MUScoop

MUScoop => Hangin' at the Al => Topic started by: wardle2wade on March 11, 2014, 01:49:24 PM

Title: Big East Tourney Odds
Post by: wardle2wade on March 11, 2014, 01:49:24 PM
Saw this on twitter from CasualHoya...

Per @BovadaLV, odds to win the Big East Tournament...

Nova 3/2
Creighton 7/4
St John's 6/1
Xavier 9/1
Marquette 12/1
Georgetown 12/1

Not much surprise here, besides maybe X being overvalued in my opinion.
Title: Re: Big East Tourney Odds
Post by: drewm88 on March 11, 2014, 01:59:04 PM
Ken Pomeroy gives a 3.3% chance of winning. If you believe in him, that makes us a terrible bet.
Title: Re: Big East Tourney Odds
Post by: wardle2wade on March 11, 2014, 02:12:41 PM
Quote from: drewm88 on March 11, 2014, 01:59:04 PM
Ken Pomeroy gives a 3.3% chance of winning. If you believe in him, that makes us a terrible bet.

True, but theoretically everyone is a terrible bet... these are betting odds.

Also, kenpom doesn't take into consideration that Stainbrook is out.  I'm sure kenpom's optimism on Xavier (4th best chance at 6.4%) doesn't take his absence into account.  With the MU-X matchup, Stainbrook's absence directly increases MU's odds.
Title: Re: Big East Tourney Odds
Post by: chapman on March 11, 2014, 03:40:19 PM
Quote from: drewm88 on March 11, 2014, 01:59:04 PM
Ken Pomeroy gives a 3.3% chance of winning. If you believe in him, that makes us a terrible bet.

Sagarin's down to 2.36%.  I'd homer up and take 42/1 odds, I suppose.  Not touching 12/1.
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