Sure, the current Big East leaders seem unthreatening and friendly. They're from Omaha! Their best player's name is Doug! Their mascot is Billy the Bluejay! Don't let it fool you. With the Golden Eagles enjoying a Superman-type run...
http://analytics.misix.com/creighton-21-4-11-2-at-marquette-15-10-7-5/
When talking a heavy favorite, analytics are boring...what can they say?...geez, what do you think.
Creighton is better in just about every category and is going to thump MU...thats my analytics....now without having read your article, did I just nail exactly what you said?
Sure there will be a couple of paragraphs about some inane stat that MU has over Creighton...but bottom line folks.
Analytics aside, I'll be rooting for MU and hoping the best thru the game...as long as I can mentally figure out a way we can win.
Quote from: jsheim on February 18, 2014, 04:42:30 PM
When talking a heavy favorite, analytics are boring...what can they say?...geez, what do you think.
Creighton is better in just about every category and is going to thump MU...thats my analytics....now without having read your article, did I just nail exactly what you said?
Sure there will be a couple of paragraphs about some inane stat that MU has over Creighton...but bottom line folks.
Analytics aside, I'll be rooting for MU and hoping the best thru the game...as long as I can mentally figure out a way we can win.
That's not exactly what we wrote and I don't feel that offensive rebounding and free throw rates are inane, but I'm wrong often.
Quote from: jsheim on February 18, 2014, 04:42:30 PM
When talking a heavy favorite, analytics are boring...what can they say?...geez, what do you think.
What is Vegas saying? Is Creighton really a heavy favorite? Clearly, they have the advantage, but I don't think a win in our home building against a top 15 team is a huge upset. I'd characterize Creighton as a heavy favorite at home against DePaul--not at the BC against MU.
I for one enjoy these pieces and if they confirm your hunches then so be it, but some of us like to see the numbers.
I saw Creighton -3 on scoresandodds.com
Opening line in Vegas is Creighton -3.
FWIW - Vegas handicapper Dave Cokin's free play is on MU tonight. Thought some would be interested in a handicapper's perspective. I share this for information and entertainment purposes only.
http://smokincokin.com/
02/19 05:00 PM CB (755) CREIGHTON (756) MARQUETTE
Take: (756) MARQUETTE +3
Must win does not necessarily translate into will win. Bettors frequently fall into the trap of firing on a team that needs to win a particular game and end up disappointed when the results don't pan out.
But there are definitely scenarios where going with the must win entry produces profits and I can see that being the case tonight. Creighton is visiting Marquette in a Big East showdown, and I believe there's a pretty decent case to be made for the Golden Eagles.
There's no doubt as to the better team here. It's Creighton, and they left little doubt as to that fact in the first meeting with Marquette. The Bluejays dominated for the full 40 minutes en route to a very easy win.
But I see this as a potential flat spot for the road favorite. Creighton is off a huge blowout win over Villanova. That victory put the Bluejays back into first place in the Big East, and having swept the Wildcats, Creighton is now in great shape to win the league. They could relax a bit mentally tonight, and that's when life on the road can get very tough for even the best teams.
I consider this a must win for Marquette. The Golden Eagles are presently in okay shape overall at 15-10 with a winning record in league play. But they're skating on thin ice, with not a single signature win on their resume. This team definitely needs to knock off a ranked opponent if they want to cement that NCAA invite.
Marquette is playing its best basketball of the season right now. They're off three straight wins, and I really like the fact they're upped their percentage on three-balls in this mini-run. The recent improvement for Marquette is a key, as this is a team that has been a very strong closer for the most part since Buzz Williams assumed the coaching reigns.
I'm looking at tonight's clash as the biggest game Marquette has played all season. It's not anywhere close to that for Creighton, so the situation becomes the great equalizer to me. I'm expecting a dynamite duel tonight between these two teams, and I'm siding with Marquette plus the points to come through.
Quote from: VegasWarrior77 on February 19, 2014, 09:09:33 AM
FWIW - Vegas handicapper Dave Cokin's free play is on MU tonight. Thought some would be interested in a handicapper's perspective. I share this for information and entertainment purposes only.
http://smokincokin.com/
02/19 05:00 PM CB (755) CREIGHTON (756) MARQUETTE
Take: (756) MARQUETTE +3
Must win does not necessarily translate into will win. Bettors frequently fall into the trap of firing on a team that needs to win a particular game and end up disappointed when the results don't pan out.
But there are definitely scenarios where going with the must win entry produces profits and I can see that being the case tonight. Creighton is visiting Marquette in a Big East showdown, and I believe there's a pretty decent case to be made for the Golden Eagles.
There's no doubt as to the better team here. It's Creighton, and they left little doubt as to that fact in the first meeting with Marquette. The Bluejays dominated for the full 40 minutes en route to a very easy win.
But I see this as a potential flat spot for the road favorite. Creighton is off a huge blowout win over Villanova. That victory put the Bluejays back into first place in the Big East, and having swept the Wildcats, Creighton is now in great shape to win the league. They could relax a bit mentally tonight, and that's when life on the road can get very tough for even the best teams.
I consider this a must win for Marquette. The Golden Eagles are presently in okay shape overall at 15-10 with a winning record in league play. But they're skating on thin ice, with not a single signature win on their resume. This team definitely needs to knock off a ranked opponent if they want to cement that NCAA invite.
Marquette is playing its best basketball of the season right now. They're off three straight wins, and I really like the fact they're upped their percentage on three-balls in this mini-run. The recent improvement for Marquette is a key, as this is a team that has been a very strong closer for the most part since Buzz Williams assumed the coaching reigns.
I'm looking at tonight's clash as the biggest game Marquette has played all season. It's not anywhere close to that for Creighton, so the situation becomes the great equalizer to me. I'm expecting a dynamite duel tonight between these two teams, and I'm siding with Marquette plus the points to come through.
We like this analysis--unless we get blown out--then it will suck.