MUScoop

MUScoop => Hangin' at the Al => Topic started by: Henry Sugar on February 18, 2013, 08:55:03 AM

Title: Pitt Stats
Post by: Henry Sugar on February 18, 2013, 08:55:03 AM
(http://i228.photobucket.com/albums/ee41/roblowe14/Pitt.png)

The first half stats are disgusting. 1.53 ppp and an eFG% of 71%. Offensive Rebounding percentage of 60%. Above average turnover rate.

Second half stats show the late run by Pitt more than anything. MU got to the line a ridiculous amount.

Let's put all this in context a bit. MU scored 1.27 ppp against a team allowing only 0.88 ppp. This was Pitt's worst overall defensive outing all year. Second worst? Marquette scoring 1.14 ppp. This was their worst defensive eFG% performance, third worst defensive rebounding performance, and third worst defensive free throw rate performance.

Marquette is back to having the #1 offense in the conference (#8 defensively).
Title: Re: Pitt Stats
Post by: Lennys Tap on February 18, 2013, 09:13:28 AM
Quote from: Warrior's Path on February 18, 2013, 08:55:03 AM
(http://i228.photobucket.com/albums/ee41/roblowe14/Pitt.png)

The first half stats are disgusting. 1.53 ppp and an eFG% of 71%. Offensive Rebounding percentage of 60%. Above average turnover rate.

Second half stats show the late run by Pitt more than anything. MU got to the line a ridiculous amount.

Let's put all this in context a bit. MU scored 1.27 ppp against a team allowing only 0.88 ppp. This was Pitt's worst overall defensive outing all year. Second worst? Marquette scoring 1.14 ppp. This was their worst defensive eFG% performance, third worst defensive rebounding performance, and third worst defensive free throw rate performance.

Marquette is back to having the #1 offense in the conference (#8 defensively).

I posted that the first half of the Pitt game was one of the best I've seen an MU team play. May have to take the "one of" out of the equation.
Title: Re: Pitt Stats
Post by: NersEllenson on February 18, 2013, 09:46:56 AM
Quote from: Warrior's Path on February 18, 2013, 08:55:03 AM
(http://i228.photobucket.com/albums/ee41/roblowe14/Pitt.png)

The first half stats are disgusting. 1.53 ppp and an eFG% of 71%. Offensive Rebounding percentage of 60%. Above average turnover rate.

Second half stats show the late run by Pitt more than anything. MU got to the line a ridiculous amount.

Let's put all this in context a bit. MU scored 1.27 ppp against a team allowing only 0.88 ppp. This was Pitt's worst overall defensive outing all year. Second worst? Marquette scoring 1.14 ppp. This was their worst defensive eFG% performance, third worst defensive rebounding performance, and third worst defensive free throw rate performance.

Marquette is back to having the #1 offense in the conference (#8 defensively).

Can you let us know where each of Buzz's teams has finished offensively in the Big East? Seems we have always been near the top...which at this point..with 5 years of data "trends" toward a systematic output with a high degree of statistical probability.  Similar to how Bo Ryan's Wisconsin teams somehow, ALWAYS end up in the NCAA and better than anyone would ever give them credit for.
Title: Re: Pitt Stats
Post by: MUDPT on February 18, 2013, 09:58:30 AM
Offensive Efficiency Big East under Buzz/ TC
2013 1st
2012 2nd
2011 3rd
2010 8th
2009 2nd
2008 5th
2007 8th
2006 6th

Defensive Efficiency under Buzz/ TC
2013 8th
2012 6th
2011 12th
2010 4th
2009 8th
2008 3rd
2007 8th
2006 8th
Title: Re: Pitt Stats
Post by: NersEllenson on February 18, 2013, 11:07:56 AM
Quote from: MUDPT on February 18, 2013, 09:58:30 AM
Offensive Efficiency Big East under Buzz/ TC
2013 1st
2012 2nd
2011 3rd
2010 8th
2009 2nd
2008 5th
2007 8th
2006 6th

Defensive Efficiency under Buzz/ TC
2013 8th
2012 6th
2011 12th
2010 4th
2009 8th
2008 3rd
2007 8th
2006 8th

Thank you...interesting to look at...would anyone really think this is our most offensively efficient team under Buzz...considering some of the perimeter shooting challenges? To recap teams for context:
2103 - Vander
2012 - DJO/Jae (Sweet 16)
2011 - Jimmy  (Sweet 16)
2010 - Lazar and Midgets (hard to believe this team was the best defensively of any under Buzz) First Round loss
2009 - Wes, Rel, Dom (Round of 32)

Obviously more goes into it, but if you add Offensive/Defensive rating with lowest number combined being best combo...this team should be Sweet 16 bound comparative to others.

2013 - 9
2012 - 8
2011 - 15 (Big over achieving year)
2010 - 12
2009 - 10
Title: Re: Pitt Stats
Post by: MUDPT on February 18, 2013, 11:20:10 AM
The midgets were really good at not fouling and turning people over. Looking at raw defensive efficiency numbers the 2010 team was actually worse than last year and this year in conference play.  The other defenses in conference were not as good in 2010 I guess.
Title: Re: Pitt Stats
Post by: MUDPT on February 18, 2013, 11:28:45 AM
Ners, just went back and looked at the offensive numbers.  You are right, this is the second least efficient offensive team under Buzz.  The only one that was less was last year's team (for some reason).  Guess offense is down across the league this year, or defenses are better.
Title: Re: Pitt Stats
Post by: Silkk the Shaka on February 18, 2013, 05:57:52 PM
Hanging 1.53 on Pitt is absurd.

There's an old adage that a team plays well below average 5 times a season, well above average 5 times, and right around average the rest.  That seems to comply with a standard distribution curve, so it makes logical sense as well as anecdotal.  Do you track individual game performances and would you happen to have that data?  I'm guessing the two Pitt games and @USF would fall under the well above average (adjusted for opponent strength), and @L'Ville, @GTown, and @UWGB would fall well below average.  I'd be curious if those are right and what other games would fall under those categories.
Title: Re: Pitt Stats
Post by: MUDPT on February 18, 2013, 08:38:24 PM
Colgate: O: 1.22; D: 0.91
SELU: O:  0.96; D:  0.79
Butler: O:  1.09; D:  1.11
Mississippi St.:  O: 1.25; D: 0.87
USC: O: 1.16; D: 0.97
UMBC: O: 1.16; D: 0.68
Florida: O:  0.80; D: 1.34
Wisconsin: O: 0.94; D: 0.83
Savannah St: O: 1.04; D: 0.75
UWGB: O: 0.85; D: 0.89
LSU: O: 1.12; D: 1.07
UNCC: O: 1.10; D: 0.97
BIG EAST
UConn: O: 1.12; D: 1.04
H Georgetown: O: 0.89; D: 0.87
@ Pittsburgh: O: 1.14; D: 1.03
Seton Hall: O: 1.05; D: 0.94
Cincy: O: 0.99; D: 1.01
Providence: O: 1.25; D: 1.09
H USF: O: 1.03; D: 0.82
Louisville: O: 0.84; D: 1.15
@ USF: O: 1.15; D: 0.77
DePaul: O:1.39; D: 1.22
@ Georgetown: O: 0.86; D: 0.98
Pittsburgh: O: 1.27; D: 1.11
Title: Re: Pitt Stats
Post by: Henry Sugar on February 19, 2013, 08:33:34 AM
From Hoya Prospectus

http://www.hoyaprospectus.com/p/big-east-performance-charts.html (http://www.hoyaprospectus.com/p/big-east-performance-charts.html)

(http://home.comcast.net/~hoya_prospectus/BE_Performance/Season_2013/Marquette.jpg)
Title: Re: Pitt Stats
Post by: Silkk the Shaka on February 19, 2013, 09:31:32 AM
TOTALLY forgot about that website.  That was exactly what I was looking for, thanks!

So the extreme outliers on the upside have been UW, @Pitt, @USF, with Pitt at home being close behind.  Offense seems to be trending in the right direction, with defense being inconsistent of late (no shocker there).  Hopefully we have some of those outliers on the upside left in the tank come tournament time.
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