The Quincy Miller decision to go NBA really was a surprise, as his decision to stay had been called one of the best decisions on the draft this year. I have the loss of his 6.49 Value Add still leaving Baylor at #5 with a team 35.2, while UCLA ironically flips spots with them after adding Tony Parker's 3.03 for a team 38.96, second only to Indiana. Wow, an Indiana-UCLA title game.
I'm also surprised by Dominic Cheek (3.62) deciding to go, which drops Nova from an NCAA worthy 43rd place 24.29 to a NIT-borderline 66th at 20.67.
Florida International's decision to exclude every D1 school in the Dominique Ferguson (2.66) release may only drop them from a 208th ranked 5.15 to a 261st ranked 2.49, but the long-term damage to the program may be more significant.
I know some think it's ridiculous to keep running team rankings this early since kids transfer, declare, sign etc., but I believe that as long as you have a specific projected value calculated for every kid, it makes sense because every time a kid moves, the rankings reflect him by moving his one Value Add figure. Anyway, these updates aren't instant yet, but we are improving the site as we go:
www.valueaddbasketball.com
I've got UCLA beating Indiana 172-38 and when Tom Crean cries and shouts out "I NEVER SHOULD'VE LEFT MARQUETTE!" I will laugh.