I'm unsure myself, what are the scenarios?
Suspect we want to go with 'Ville here as that would give us a better cushion going into Cincy next week. We do have the tie-breaker over 'Ville in terms of the double-bye. Lose at Cincy and things get dicey re the double-bye?
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Louisville, if you can stomach it. We have the tiebreaker over Louisville, and while I think we beat Cincy next week, might as well root for the known benefit as this point.
If Louisville wins tonight and we win tomorrow, we clinch a double-bye. On paper, there are teams that could still match our then-worst-possible 13-5 record, but while we would lose all tiebreakers with ND and Georgetown under that scenario, we would win all possible tiebreakers with Louisville and/or South Florida, guaranteeing we finish no worse than 4th.
We definitely want UL to win tonight, then take destiny in our hands to secure the double-bye with a win at WVU.