MUScoop

MUScoop => Hangin' at the Al => Topic started by: Tugg Speedman on December 19, 2011, 04:32:25 PM

Title: Bettors ... MU 7.5 point favorite vs LSU (Over/Under 140)
Post by: Tugg Speedman on December 19, 2011, 04:32:25 PM
http://www.docsports.com/college-basketball-lines.html

Any comments on this line?

I'll take the over.

Add...

Of all the games with lines tonight, we are the biggest road favorite.

(UNC is a 38 point favorite at home against Nicolas State, how do you take the over in a game like that?)
Title: Re: Bettors ... MU 7.5 point favorite vs LSU (Over/Under 140)
Post by: wheresthecake? on December 19, 2011, 05:16:58 PM
LSU is a quality team as well at 7-3 and with four returning starters from last season. The Tigers have played a more difficult schedule with just four home games compared to six road games. LSU is 3-1 at home this season, outscoring opponents 75.2 to 64.2 on average.

Marquette is just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall, which proves that they are overvalued. The Golden Eagles are 0-4 ATS in their last five games as a favorite as well. LSU is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. The Tigers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog. LSU is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. These last four trends make for a 19-0 system backing the Tigers. Take LSU Monday.
Title: Re: Bettors ... MU 7.5 point favorite vs LSU (Over/Under 140)
Post by: Pharaoh on December 19, 2011, 05:26:53 PM
MU covers and go with the over.
Title: Re: Bettors ... MU 7.5 point favorite vs LSU (Over/Under 140)
Post by: RawdogDX on December 19, 2011, 05:28:40 PM
Quote from: wheresthecake? on December 19, 2011, 05:16:58 PM
LSU is a quality team as well at 7-3 and with four returning starters from last season. The Tigers have played a more difficult schedule with just four home games compared to six road games. LSU is 3-1 at home this season, outscoring opponents 75.2 to 64.2 on average.

Marquette is just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall, which proves that they are overvalued. The Golden Eagles are 0-4 ATS in their last five games as a favorite as well. LSU is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. The Tigers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog. LSU is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. These last four trends make for a 19-0 system backing the Tigers. Take LSU Monday.


ATS is as useful as the board that shows past roulette numbers.

http://www.grantland.com/blog/the-triangle/post/_/id/6240/when-it-comes-the-point-spread-sometimes-numbers-do-lie
Title: Re: Bettors ... MU 7.5 point favorite vs LSU (Over/Under 140)
Post by: Eye on December 19, 2011, 05:50:01 PM
Won't bet the game (almost never bet on games MU is favored that I'll be watching live), but I'd take the 7.5. MU has been allowing a few more buckets a game than expected without Otule. Gun to my head I'd take the over, as I think MU will really try to dictate tempo tonight with a healthy 10 for the first time since Washington.
Title: Re: Bettors ... MU 7.5 point favorite vs LSU (Over/Under 140)
Post by: MarquetteDano on December 19, 2011, 06:06:10 PM
Quote from: RawdogDX on December 19, 2011, 05:28:40 PM
ATS is as useful as the board that shows past roulette numbers.

http://www.grantland.com/blog/the-triangle/post/_/id/6240/when-it-comes-the-point-spread-sometimes-numbers-do-lie

Hey... have you ever seen that Discovery Channel showing "Breaking Vegas"  ?  There was a team who found out certain roulette tables have bias on certain numbers and bet accordingly.

They won millions before the casinos banned the entire team.
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