MUScoop

MUScoop => Hangin' at the Al => Topic started by: bamamarquettefan on December 04, 2011, 12:43:43 PM

Title: MU forecast to finish #1 in RPI, favored in all but Syracuse (1 pt dog)
Post by: bamamarquettefan on December 04, 2011, 12:43:43 PM
New RPI Forecast: MU 1, OSU 2, Syracuse 3, Duke 4, Wisconsin 5, UNLV 6, Louisville 7, Kentucky 8, Bama 9, Florida 10

http://www.rpiforecast.com/index2.html

Currently Marquette is #3 in RPI, but St. Mary's is a fluke with just 4 games played.

Sagarin now picks MU to go 28-3, and game-by-game picks us as the favorite in EVERY game except a one-point loss to Syracuse.

We will lose a few more than that, but the ceiling is definitely there.

Now hopefully all these kudos don't go to the players heads in time to lose to Washington on national TV Tuesday!

That's why Buzz only lets the players celebrate until midnight, then start planning for the next game.  But us fans can celebrate longer between games :-)
Title: Re: MU forecast to finish #1 in RPI, favored in all but Syracuse (1 pt dog)
Post by: mu_hilltopper on December 04, 2011, 09:25:05 PM
UW at #5 with wins against Kennesaw State (310), Colgate (275), Wofford (203), Missouri-KC (176), Bradley (202) and BYU (48). 
Title: Re: MU forecast to finish #1 in RPI, favored in all but Syracuse (1 pt dog)
Post by: wojosdojo on December 04, 2011, 09:58:44 PM
Is rpi simply who has the toughest schedule??
Title: Re: MU forecast to finish #1 in RPI, favored in all but Syracuse (1 pt dog)
Post by: Jay Bee on December 04, 2011, 10:09:01 PM
Quote from: buzzchiapet on December 04, 2011, 09:58:44 PM
Is rpi simply who has the toughest schedule??

No.
Title: Re: MU forecast to finish #1 in RPI, favored in all but Syracuse (1 pt dog)
Post by: wojosdojo on December 04, 2011, 10:15:44 PM
Quote from: Jay Bee on December 04, 2011, 10:09:01 PM
No.

Let me rephrase. What exactly is rpi?
Title: Re: MU forecast to finish #1 in RPI, favored in all but Syracuse (1 pt dog)
Post by: THEultimateWARRIOR on December 05, 2011, 12:16:26 AM
Quote from: buzzchiapet on December 04, 2011, 10:15:44 PM
Let me rephrase. What exactly is rpi?
Rating Percentage Index, aka RPI, is how they rank teams based upon wins and losses and its strength of schedule.

Its a team's winning percentage (25%), its opponents' winning percentage (50%), and the winning percentage of those opponents' opponents (25%). The opponents' winning percentage and the winning percentage of those opponents' opponents both comprise the strength of schedule (SOS). Thus, the SOS accounts for 75% of the RPI calculation and is 2/3 its opponents' winning percentage and 1/3 times its opponents' opponents' winning percentage.
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