MUScoop

MUScoop => Hangin' at the Al => Topic started by: NoCheese on November 20, 2011, 09:56:25 AM

Title: The Line on Tonight's Game
Post by: NoCheese on November 20, 2011, 09:56:25 AM
MU was giving 6.5 this morning and now it's down to MU - 4.

That's a huge difference. Is there new of any significance?
Title: Re: The Line on Tonight's Game
Post by: NoCheese on November 20, 2011, 09:59:45 AM
Never mind. Glitch. I see it back as MU - 6.5...hmmm..
Title: Re: The Line on Tonight's Game
Post by: brewcity77 on November 20, 2011, 10:04:59 AM
kenpom.com has us as 75-67 winners.
Title: Re: The Line on Tonight's Game
Post by: NoCheese on November 20, 2011, 11:30:01 AM
thanks brewcity!

What's does he have tonight's Alabama game at? :)

i need to subscribe to Kenpom still
Title: Re: The Line on Tonight's Game
Post by: bamamarquettefan on November 20, 2011, 01:02:17 PM
Bama 64, purdue 63 - but don't be ripping ken off from his 20 bucks for all the work he does
Title: Re: The Line on Tonight's Game
Post by: Mu2323 on November 20, 2011, 01:36:12 PM
Joke that you have to pay now
Title: Re: The Line on Tonight's Game
Post by: brewcity77 on November 20, 2011, 01:40:07 PM
Quote from: Mu2323 on November 20, 2011, 01:36:12 PMJoke that you have to pay now

Disagree. The amount of info on kenpom.com is worth far more than you get from just about any other site, and for less than $20, it's a huge bargain. I can't blame him for wanting to get paid for his hard work. When you look at what you pay annually for Scout, Rivals, or other sites, the value for kenpom.com is immense.
Title: Re: The Line on Tonight's Game
Post by: avid1010 on November 20, 2011, 03:04:00 PM
anyone ever see anything comparing his projections hitting against the spread?
Title: Re: The Line on Tonight's Game
Post by: Bob "Big Daddy" Wild on November 20, 2011, 05:04:44 PM
Quote from: avid1010 on November 20, 2011, 03:04:00 PM
anyone ever see anything comparing his projections hitting against the spread?

Not an official study...I do remember someone posting somewhere (I think on scoop) where they had a gambling strategy where they only bet games where there was a significant difference between kenpom and the vegas spread...something like an 8 point difference.  They claimed it was successful for them.

It is a bit foggy for me, but it caught my eye at the time.
Title: Re: The Line on Tonight's Game
Post by: BM1090 on November 20, 2011, 07:06:23 PM
I'm using this as a experimental year for Kenpom vs. Vegas. I'll make a spreadsheet or document and then analyze it at the end of the year.
Title: Re: The Line on Tonight's Game
Post by: NoCheese on November 20, 2011, 07:13:47 PM
I ended up paying my $20.00 a little later in the day. It's well worth it.
Title: Re: The Line on Tonight's Game
Post by: brewcity77 on November 20, 2011, 07:45:34 PM
Quote from: avid1010 on November 20, 2011, 03:04:00 PManyone ever see anything comparing his projections hitting against the spread?

Pomeroy himself has an article saying that Vegas is more accurate than he is. Seems odd to me, because I'm pretty sure they care more about people betting equally on both sides than actually predicting accurate winners, but that's from the horse's mouth.
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