http://www.chicagonow.com/blogs/chicago-college-basketball/2011/05/value-added-is-a-rather.html
Grats guys :)
2 things
Ben Averkamp, wow!
How pathetic would the BADger offense be without Jordan Taylor?
Quote from: ringout on May 26, 2011, 11:12:07 AM
2 things
Ben Averkamp, wow!
How pathetic would the BADger offense be without Jordan Taylor?
I think these numbers are interesting and make for good discussion. There is no doubt that Taylor ws the key player for the badgers. However, I do not think you can say the badgers would have average 7 points less agame without him. In fact the offense would have been less dominated by one person and could of actually scored more points. Taylor allowed them to run the possession clock down to the final seconds, because he could break the other team down one on one. Take Taylor out and they may have actually had to play faster on offense as UW had no other player like him to consistantly get off a good last second shot.
> There is a defensive component to this, but I'm saving that for another post. Check back!
So, next he's going to channel Henry Sugar?
Just to clarify on how many fewer points wisconsin would have scored without him - the value add is based on points scored PER TRIP. So hypothetically, if with taylor they had averaged 50 trips per game and scored 55 points a game, and. Without him they had been a slightly less boring 60 points in 60 trips, then the system would say the badgers scored 10 percent more points PER TRIP with him. The system would be right at the same time that your prediction would be right, because they would have actually scored 5 more points without him.
However, his offense would have been valuable because there's a better chance of winning when scoring 55 boring points but only giving your opponemt 50 trips to match you, then of scoring 60 points at a faster clip that gave your opponents 60 return trips to top you 60.
You may be overstating the reputation of the Chicago Now blogs a bit.
That said, Pudner does a great job of getting the blog picked up by some of the national pundits.
Really nice mention. Good to see someone else can appreciate Pudner's massive statgeek abilities ;D
Quote from: Henry Sugar on May 26, 2011, 03:14:46 PM
You may be overstating the reputation of the Chicago Now blogs a bit.
That said, Pudner does a great job of getting the blog picked up by some of the national pundits.
Thanks! I can't pretend to know how big Chicago Now's following is, or Big Apple Buckets, which has run a few nice follow-ups, though I can't seem to pull them up now (http://nycbuckets.com.)
I guess at very least I've managed to go beyond annoying some of our MU fans to annoying at least a few people in the 1st and 2nd city :-)