So as I was thinking about how MU's bracket shakes out for the BET and how if all of the higher seeds win, MU has played well against everybody until the championship (WV, U of L, ND). I got to thinking about how all of the other teams fared against who they would play as well. Of course we had to go tempo free and I came up with this. This is hypothetical if the higher seeds won: Pitt's efficiency is calculated points per possession (against Georgetown, Syracuse, Notre Dame this year); Marquette (against WV, Louisville, ND, and Pitt this year) etc.. So here I think is the correct data.
Pitt: Off. 1.10; Def. 1.00 Margin- +.10
ND: Off. 1.18; Def. 1.05 Margin- +.13
UofL: Off. 0.98; Def. 1.01 Margin- -.03
Cuse: Off. 1.05; Def. 0.95 Margin- +.10
St. J: Off. 0.94; Def. 1.10 Margin- -.16
WV: Off. 1.02; Def. 1.09 Margin- -.07
Cincy: Off 0.92; Def. 1.00 Margin- -.08
GTown: Off 0.96; Def. 1.08 Margin- -.12
UConn: Off 1.07; Def. 1.07 Margin- 0
Nova: Off 1.05; Def. 1.09 Margin- -.04
MU: Off 1.17; Def. 1.07 Margin- +.10
SH: Off 0.97; Def. 0.97 Margin- 0
RU: Off 1; Def. 1.04 Margin- -.04
PU: Off 0.98; Def 1.17 Margin- -.19
USF: Off 0.98; Def 1.19 Margin -.21
DePaul: Off 0.88; Def 1.27 Margin- -.39
If there is a silver lining, it's that our bad losses this year in the Big East all come from the top of the bracket.
Interesting notes: St. John's got beat pretty good by both Syracuse and Seton Hall, not to mention ND who they would hypothetically face in the championship.
Seton Hall beat both Syracuse and St. John's by a wide margin, the reason for their null efficiency margin.
If you are looking for a reason not to bet on DePaul other than them being seeded 16th, it's that their potential opponents beat them by: 20, 11, 30, 48, and 25.
"If there is a silver lining, it's that our bad losses this year in the Big East all come from the top of the bracket."
Sorry to disappoint, but we have no bad losses. At least not as that is defined by the selection committee.