MUScoop

MUs final RPI and who to root for in EVERY conference tourney

Written by: jpudner@concentricgrasstops.com (bamamarquettefan1)

The new www.rpiforecast.com is updated through the Seton Hall loss, so at this point a quick rundown of the only two things that can affect a bid to MU - what we do in the Big East Tournament and what other teams do in their tournaments.

First, after the Seton Hall loss, our final RPI cold be anywhere from 85th to 22nd, based on how we do:

Final RPILose to Providence â€" 85th â€" NIT
Beat Providence, lose to WVU â€" 67th â€" NCAA unless destroyed by WVU
Beat Providence & WVU, lose to Lville â€" 53rd â€" Top 8 seed
Beat Prov, WVU, Lville, lose ND â€" 41st â€" high seed
Beat Prov, WVU, Lville, ND, lose to Pitt â€" 32nd
Beat Prov, WVU, Lville, ND & Pitt â€" 22nd

Spoilers

Second, my projection of an NCAA bid with just one win assumes two or three spoilers in other tournaments.  Most tournaments don't matter because only one team goes from them, but here are is a list of all tournaments and who we want to root for in certain ones.  If 5 or 6 spoilers win their tournaments, then MUs bid could be in double with just the Providence win.  If there are no spoilers at all, we literally could get in the tournament even losing to Providence.


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ConferenceRoot forChance of SpoilerMost likely spoiler[/tr]

A10	Xavier, Temple	45%	Richmond, Dayton
ACC	Duke, UNC or at least Va Tech, Clemson	23%	BC, Flo State
AE	Doesn't matter	0%
ASun	Doesn't matter	0%
B10	OSU, Purdue, Wisc, Illinois or at least Mich or Mich State	less than10%	Minn, PSU, NW
B12	Kansas, Texas, Missouri, Texas A&M, K-State or at least Nebraska or Colorado	less than10%	OK State, Baylor
BE	MU - otherwise one of top 10 teams	less than10%	Seton Hall
BSky	Doesn't matter	0%
BSth	Doesn't matter	0%
BW	Doesn't matter	0%
CAA	ODU, GMU	less than20%	VCU, Drexel
CUSA	UAB or at least Memphis, Central Flo or UTEP	88%	Southern Miss
Horz	Butler, but may not matter	less than10%	Cleveland St., UWM, Valp
Ivy	Doesn't matter	0%
MAAC	Doesn't matter	0%
MAC	Doesn't matter	0%
MEAC	Doesn't matter	0%
MVC	Doesn't matter	0%
MWC	BYU, SD State, UNLV or at least New Mexico	less than10%	Colorado State
NEC	Doesn't matter	0%
OVC	Doesn't matter	0%
P10	Arizona, Washington or UCLA	21%	Wash St. or USC
Pat	Doesn't matter	0%
SB	Doesn't matter	0%
SC	Doesn't matter	0%
SEC	Florida, Kentucky, Vandy, Tenn or at least Georgia	less than10%	Mississippi, Alabama, Arkansas
Slnd	Doesn't matter	0%
Sum	Doesn't matter	0%
SWAC	Doesn't matter	0%
WAC	Utah State	26%	Hawaii or Boise State
WCC	St. Mary's or Gonzaga	less than10%	Portland

http://www.crackedsidewalks.com/2011/03/mus-final-rpi-and-who-to-root-for-in.html

Let's run the table and get slotted as a 5 seed!

The Butler UWM game is very interesting for MU. Butler wins they are in and UWM is not. UWM wins they are in and Butler still might make it taking away an at large bid. It seems logical to be rooting for Butler. However, I think the NCAA looks at how bubble teams have down against teams that  are already placed in the tournament. In that case MU's win over UWM may want to make us root for UWM. I think we need to root heavily for UWM, Gonzaga and Bucknell. We also need to root for Seton hall to beat Rutgers.