MUScoop

MUScoop => Hangin' at the Al => Topic started by: bamamarquettefan on February 18, 2011, 09:18:38 AM

Title: Forecast RPI - 9-9 record, RPI of 70, Top Number 9 seed in the tourney
Post by: bamamarquettefan on February 18, 2011, 09:18:38 AM
As Chicos pointed out, only two other teams have made the tourney with an RPI of 70 or worse, but very few teams miss that Dance Card said would be in.  Something has to give.

Forecast RPI predicts a 9-9 finish, and

Calculates that if this happens Dance Card would calculate not only that MU would be in, but that we would be the top 9 seed in the tournament, meaning that we still have a cushion of more than 10 teams between us and elimination.

Just win baby!
Title: Re: Forecast RPI - 9-9 record, RPI of 70, Top Number 9 seed in the tourney
Post by: brewcity77 on February 18, 2011, 09:35:41 AM
Hmm...that's odd. At-larges like Xavier, Baylor, and Oklahoma State lag behind us seed-wise, but are given a much higher probability of making the field as at-large teams. I guess I get Xavier, they're predicted to win out, but they are given a better at-large rank and have a much better RPI, so why seed them lower? Baylor I guess I can see, they have a tough run-out including Missouri on the road and Texas at home, but they are also higher than us in both at-large rank and RPI, while being predicted for a 9-7 conference finish. And I just don't get Oklahoma State at all. Projected for a 6-10 Big 12 record with only two wins over other teams projected "in"; Missouri and Kansas State? I'd be very curious as to the logic behind their predictions.
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