Just an open ended question here ...
I've seen a number of posters using stats based on points per possession and eFG. (don't recall who exactly, so forgive me for not identifying directly, but more than once a day).
I was wondering if some of you could go into a little detail on how those stats are arrived at? Specifically, what defines a possession? Also, I have no idea what exactly eFG measures. Also, what pitfalls, if any, do you see in relying on those stats?
It would be helpful, as a reader, to know what these are so I can value or disvalue the stats when I see them in commentary, etc.
Also, are there other "sabermetrics" for basketball that you think have value; perhaps that dont get as much attention?
Just looking to learn a little.
Thanks in advance.
A couple of resources...
http://kenpom.com/blog/index.php/weblog/stats_explained/
http://statsheet.com/basketball_stats_glossary
Here are a couple of ditties on the Four Factors and why they are important:
http://www.rawbw.com/~deano/articles/20040601_roboscout.htm
http://statsheet.com/blog/the-four-factors-to-winning-at-basketball
And here's one that Rob wrote which might help
http://www.crackedsidewalks.com/2008/11/value-of-tempo-free-stats-four-factors.html
Quote from: NYWarrior on January 10, 2011, 12:03:04 PM
And here's one that Rob wrote which might help
http://www.crackedsidewalks.com/2008/11/value-of-tempo-free-stats-four-factors.html
and part one looking at possessions
http://www.crackedsidewalks.com/2008/10/value-of-tempo-free-stats-part-one.html
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However, the best way to start with is by spending some time with the Pomeroy website. Efficiency is the same as points per possession (116.8 Eff = 1.17 ppp)
http://kenpom.com/team.php?team=Marquette
The rank for the different efficiencies and factors (offense and defense) will give you a feel for what is good and what is bad. Typically, 1.00 ppp is average. Marquette gives up 0.96 ppp, which is only #95 in the country. Marquette scores 1.17 ppp on offense (#15 in the country). Put that in context with allowing an opponent to score 1.41 ppp.
Thank you all.
I appreciate it!