If we win Saturday, is it safe to assume we will have secured nothing worse than a 6 seed? Not sure where that would put our RPI, but I assume it would be something around 23-25.
If last season is any indication, a 6 seed should be a safe assumption. We entered the tournament with seemingly a far less impressive resume and were a 7 seed...19-10 (10-6), RPI 31, and SOS 25, 5-5 in final 10, and 3-6 v. Top 50. Just looking at the various criteria, assuming we win Saturday...
RPI: 2007 > 2006
SOS: 2007 > 2006
W/L: 2007 > 2006
Last 10: 2007 > 2006
Top 50: 2007 > 2006
That would all be pre-BE Tournament of course (and if we lose Saturday 8/9 seed seems highly likely). With a win Saturday, I think the 6 seed is safe, even if we lose our first BET game, with the opportunity to move up a notch with every win after the first round (Win Wed stay a 6. Win Thu, move up to 5. Win Friday, move up to 4. Win Saturday, move up to 3.) If you don't buy that, Syracuse took themselves from the wrong side of the bubble to a 5 seed last year.
BTW, for all of the hand wringing around here from those who have proclaimed this team no good because of a couple losses to teams like Notre Dame, Louisville and DePaul, take a look at the numbers above. of course if we lose Saturday...