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MUScoop => Hangin' at the Al => Topic started by: ToddRosiakSays on March 08, 2010, 11:15:03 PM

Title: [Rosiak's Blog] A 5.2% chance
Post by: ToddRosiakSays on March 08, 2010, 11:15:03 PM
A 5.2% chance
               


Ken Pomeroy breaks down the odds of each team advancing in the Big East tournament. His favorite to win the championship is third-seeded West Virginia (29.2%) while lowest seed DePaul comes in at 0.0003%.

Here are the percentages for Marquette, according to Pomeroy's calculations:

Making it to quarterfinal - 66.7%
               

http://www.jsonline.com/blogs/sports/87075932.html
               
Title: Re: [Rosiak's Blog] A 5.2% chance
Post by: chapman on March 09, 2010, 06:48:17 AM
0.0003% seems a little high for DePaul.
Title: Re: [Rosiak's Blog] A 5.2% chance
Post by: mu_hilltopper on March 09, 2010, 07:22:32 AM
Looks like Todd reads Henry Sugar who reads Pomeroy.

"If this is anyone but Steve Allen, you're stealing my bit!"
Title: Re: [Rosiak's Blog] A 5.2% chance
Post by: GuyIncognito on March 09, 2010, 07:36:21 AM
So you're telling me there's a chance....
Title: Re: [Rosiak's Blog] A 5.2% chance
Post by: willie warrior on March 09, 2010, 07:41:41 AM
Quote from: chapman on March 09, 2010, 06:48:17 AM
0.0003% seems a little high for DePaul.
Unless they play us.
Title: Re: [Rosiak's Blog] A 5.2% chance
Post by: PuertoRicanNightmare on March 09, 2010, 07:44:54 AM
Quote from: ToddRosiakSays on March 08, 2010, 11:15:03 PM
A 5.2% chance
               


Ken Pomeroy breaks down the odds of each team advancing in the Big East tournament. His favorite to win the championship is third-seeded West Virginia (29.2%) while lowest seed DePaul comes in at 0.0003%.

Here are the percentages for Marquette, according to Pomeroy's calculations:

Making it to quarterfinal - 66.7%
               

http://www.jsonline.com/blogs/sports/87075932.html
               
I'm all for statistics, but this is idiotic. So, if we win our first game, you're telling me we still only have an 11 percent chance of making the final? I'm sure it becomes adjusted, but it's just silly to discuss something like that.
Title: Re: [Rosiak's Blog] A 5.2% chance
Post by: tower912 on March 09, 2010, 08:00:59 AM
We didn't beat any of the top 4 seeds.  0-5.       11-2 against those seeded lower than us.   I am going to postulate that is the reason for this statistical prediction.   
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