Win today.
Win against a Cincy/Hall/S.Fla-type team.
Win against Pitt or W Virginia.
Loss to Syracuse.
Hate MU's projected 8/9 with one win going against a very strong and tall group of #1s. Seems like there's real hope against more than a few #2s and #3s.
In this scenario, is MU still an 8 or 9??
They win three in a row and then lose to #1 team in country, probably get a five seed.
I think we're at about an 8 right now. Each win between now and selection Sunday, in my opinion, can move us up another spot. Would a win today and then sweeping 4 games in the Big East tourney move us up to a 3? I really think it would, given the tremendous roll we're on, coming into the postseason. Winning out isn't likely, but there are quality wins to be had there, and I do believe this is reflects the potential we have in our seeding. I'm curious if anyone else sees it similarly. I think nyg's scenario is about right.
I think a 5 is possible. Here's why. Seeding is done on how highly the selection committee ranks the team on the Sunday when the final seedings are done. The whole season is taken into account for getting into the tourney, but seeding is done on the respective competitiveness of the team on that specific day. Marquette's losses to NC State and DePaul will not be as big of a factor as a team that has won 10 of its last 12 games or whatever it is under your scenario. If we do that, we're a 5 seed.
We are currently 30th in the AP poll and rank high in the Sagarin Rankings and are the 26th team in ESPN's power poll. If we continue with our upward progression and a 5 is possible.
There are teams like Butler that are currently ranked high in the AP poll and ESPN Coaches' poll that actually aren't that good of a team, they just have a good record from playing in a shitty conference. Same for Texas AM, UTEP, Baylor, and Vanderbilt. As we sit here today Marquette is a much better team than those teams.
In 1997 we got an unexpected 5 seed and then flamed out against Providence and Austin Crochere.
Quote from: Avenue Commons on March 06, 2010, 08:06:35 AM
I think a 5 is possible. Here's why. Seeding is done on how highly the selection committee ranks the team on the Sunday when the final seedings are done. The whole season is taken into account for getting into the tourney, but seeding is done on the respective competitiveness of the team on that specific day. Marquette's losses to NC State and DePaul will not be as big of a factor as a team that has won 10 of its last 12 games or whatever it is under your scenario. If we do that, we're a 5 seed.
We are currently 30th in the AP poll and rank high in the Sagarin Rankings and are the 26th team in ESPN's power poll. If we continue with our upward progression and a 5 is possible.
There are teams like Butler that are currently ranked high in the AP poll and ESPN Coaches' poll that actually aren't that good of a team, they just have a good record from playing in a crapty conference. Same for Texas AM, UTEP, Baylor, and Vanderbilt. As we sit here today Marquette is a much better team than those teams.
In 1997 we got an unexpected 5 seed and then flamed out against Providence and Austin Crochere.
Agree with all of your analysis except that Baylor and Texas A7M are not good teams. Baylor is for real..book that. I do not see a scenario where MU finishes with worse than a 7 seed..including if they lose their next 2. The roll they have been on the last month will carry weight with the tourney committee, as ill Saragin and Pomeroy rankings of 19 and 21..those alone put us at a solid 5
i agree with you guys to an extent. If we win vs ND, win 2 in the tourney we are a 6. Beat ND, win 1 tourney game we are probably a 7(8,6 are possible). Make it to the ship of the BET we are a 5. Win the ship and we might get a 4. We wont get any higher than 4.
Definitely possible.......the committee likes hot teams.