A look back, Marquette's history with top 100 recruits...Part One, The 1980sWritten by: noreply@blogger.com (bma725)Last month, apropos of nothing and with no real intent behind it, I made a series of posts (http://www.muscoop.com/index.php?topic=14388.0) over on MUScoop (http://www.muscoop.com/), discussing the success or lack of success of "Top 100" recruits at a few different schools across the country. As the thread wore on, it morphed into a discussion of Marquette's success with "Top 100" recruits since Tom Crean (http://wiki.muscoop.com/doku.php/men_s_basketball/tom_crean) was hired back in 1999.
After much prodding, I agreed to take it one step further, and do a retrospective of "Top 100" recruits at Marquette not just in recent years as we had done in the thread, but as far back as the available information would allow. It took much longer than expected to find all the information I wanted, but I've finally been able to compile it all.
There's a lot of information here, so rather than deluge everyone all at once, I've decided to split this into a series of posts. In this first installment, we'll be looking at the Top 100 recruits of the 1980s, and each future installment will also be done by decade, with a final wrap up to follow.
What I'm looking at in this series at it's most basic level is whether or not a player lived up to the hype of being a "Top 100" recruit. When you hear the term "Top 100 Recruit" there's a certain amount of expectations that come with that label. Much of it is statistics driven. You expect a certain amount of production right away when you see that a player is highly ranked. When an unheralded recruit averages 7 PPG as a freshman you feel like you got a sleeper. When McDonald's All American does it, you think he's a bust.
Having said that, other things factor into the evaluation. Sadly, many of Marquette's top 100 recruits haven't been able to qualify academically or stay eligible once they got in school. While that has nothing to do with their actual basketball ability, it prevents them from living up the expectations that were set coming out of high school, and it negatively impacts their evaluation. Additionally, things like attitude and leadership are factored in as well. They will not be the sole reason a player is evaluated a certain way, but a borderline player may be pushed into one category or another based upon things like team leadership and attitude.
Before we get to the actual rankings, a couple of important notes:
- As you would expect, finding information on rankings from the pre-internet era is extremely tough. For this reason, the rankings shown in these posts go back only as far as 1980 which means we're leaving out a lot of former MU greats.
- I've been able to find quite a bit of information on rankings from the 1980s and 1990s, but obviously there are limitations on what I can get. I'm sure there will be some people that were missed or some rankings that were missed for a particular player. If anyone can provide more information(with actual proof, not just how you remember it) I'd be happy to update the lists.
- What you will see here is really bits and pieces of rankings done by different services throughout the years. Many of the recruiting services that we look at as the main sources of information today weren't around a decade ago, and vice versa. Trying to compare the rankings done by one service in 1984 to the rankings done by another in 2004 is nearly impossible.
- All of the numbers are the final rankings for a player after their senior year, or the final ranking put out by the service during their senior year. That means players like Scott Christopherson (http://wiki.muscoop.com/doku.php/men_s_basketball/scott_christopherson), Krunti Hester (http://wiki.muscoop.com/doku.php/men_s_basketball/krunti_hester), Tony Miller (http://wiki.muscoop.com/doku.php/men_s_basketball/tony_miller)etc all of whom were "Top 100" Players at one time in their high school career are not included on this list.
- One thing you will notice is that for some players the ranking will say something like 12th Team rather than giving a specific number. In the old days, several of the services did their rankings like the AP does their All American teams, with first team, second team etc. If you want to find out what ranking that corresponds to, simply multiply the team by 5. For example the 20th team means a player was ranked between 96-100 in that particular class.
- We're looking at whether or not a player lived up to their hype, not just whether or not they lived up to the hype at Marquette. That means that transfer players(in or out) are evaluated on their whole career, not just their Marquette career. Because of that, you will find some players falling in areas that you may not agree with because of how they performed at another institution. Additionally, professional success does play a small part in the evaluation. NOTE: For players that were ranked as top 100 players coming out of high school that attended other schools before transferring to MU, the player is listed with the class that they effectively joined at MU, not their original class. The year they were ranked and the school they initially attended is listed next to the ranking.
- Lastly, I've created a legend so that you may more easily understand my abbreviations that are going to follow. There's a lot of different services involved here, and typing them all out each time gets to be a bit tedious. You'll want to consult this when you look at the actual rankings(click the image for a more readable version).
(http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_5GvDUFklt88/SgeCHq2Q-zI/AAAAAAAAABM/NF86J3HP8JI/s400/Legend.JPG)
(http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_5GvDUFklt88/SgeCHq2Q-zI/AAAAAAAAABM/NF86J3HP8JI/s1600-h/Legend.JPG)
Without any further ado, here's the rankings for the 1980s, followed by the analysis...again click the picture for a better view.
(http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_5GvDUFklt88/Sges-jOA37I/AAAAAAAAABk/cWDV8pI12Zc/s400/1980s2.jpg)
(http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_5GvDUFklt88/Sges-jOA37I/AAAAAAAAABk/cWDV8pI12Zc/s1600-h/1980s2.jpg)
Looking at that list, you might be surprised to see that many top 100 players given the results that MU had in the 1980s. The team made the NCAA tournament only three times, and the decade ended with the disastrous Bob Dukiet (http://wiki.muscoop.com/doku.php/men_s_basketball/bob_dukiet) era. But when you look how that supposed high school talent worked out, maybe the results become a little more understandable.
The Hits(in chronological order)
- Doc Rivers (http://wiki.muscoop.com/doku.php/men_s_basketball/glenn_doc_rivers) - I'm not sure that any player in the 1980s lived up to their billing more than Doc. A first team Street and Smith's All American, and the first McDonald's All American in Marquette history, Doc was a stud the second he stepped on campus. He held the freshman scoring record for nearly 25 years, and he still holds the record for freshman field goal percentage. He was a Chuck Taylor All American in 1982, and an AP All American in 1983. After three seasons at MU he declared for the NBA draft and played more than a decade in the NBA.
- Dwayne Johnson (http://wiki.muscoop.com/doku.php/men_s_basketball/dwayne_johnson) - The original DJ, his is a tail of both success and regret. On the court, he was great. He averaged 12.3 PPG as a sophomore, and was the team's leading scorer and rebounder as a junior. Unfortunately, he was not as good in the classroom. Prior to his senior season DJ was declared academically ineligible and suspended for his senior year. He transferred to UW-Whitewater, where he was a 2nd team All American, and the WIAC (http://www.wiacsports.com/) player of the year in his only season.
- Mandy Johnson (http://wiki.muscoop.com/doku.php/men_s_basketball/charles_mandy_johnson) - He didn't do much scoring until his senior year, but with the talent around him, it wasn't necessary. Mandy was an efficient offensive player, who led the team in field goal percentage as a sophomore, but more importantly he was the floor general allowing the guys around him to get their points while he ran the offense. Really though, he made his mark as one of the best defensive guards in MU history. He finished his career second in MU history in steals, and held that position until this season when he was surpassed by Jerel McNeal (http://wiki.muscoop.com/doku.php/men_s_basketball/jerel_mcneal). He still holds the MU record for steals as a senior, and is in the top 10 for the sophomore and junior records.
- Kerry Trotter (http://wiki.muscoop.com/doku.php/men_s_basketball/kerry_trotter) - MU's second McDonald's All American, Trotter may not have totally lived up to that billing, but he still turned out to be a very good player, worthy of a top 100 ranking. He scored in double figures his final three years at MU, including a high of 13.6PPG as a senior, and was the team's leading scorer and rebounder as a junior. He played professionally in Europe and was twice the MVP of the Belgian league.
- Mark Anglavar (http://wiki.muscoop.com/doku.php/men_s_basketball/mark_anglavar)- One of the great shooters in MU history. When his career ended in 1991, he was the leader in 3-Point Field Goals Made, 3-Point Field Goal Percentage, and he was the leader in every single season 3-Point statistic. He's since been surpassed by other players, but make no mistake there were few that could shoot the ball like him in MU history. Not only that, but he's still in the top 10 for Freshman assists despite not actually being a point guard.
The Misses(again chronological order)
- Lloyd Moore (http://wiki.muscoop.com/doku.php/men_s_basketball/lloyd_moore) - There may not have been a bigger miss in MU history. Coming out of high school, nearly everyone thought Moore would be great. In addition to the Street and Smith ranking, he was an Adidas and Parade All American as a senior and many predicted that Moore would be the next great MU big man. Instead, he was the biggest bust in MU history, both literally and figuratively. He tore a ligament in his knee prior to his freshman campaign which resulted in an extended absence. When he returned he was so out of shape that he managed to only play in 15 games, where he averaged less than 2 PPG and 2 RPG. He transferred prior to his sophomore year (http://news.google.com/newspapers?nid=1129&dat=19830831&id=hE4NAAAAIBAJ&sjid=pm0DAAAAIBAJ&pg=2055,7053363), and was a decent player at Rutgers for two years before he was dismissed from the team for failure to keep his weight under control.
- Tony Reeder (http://wiki.muscoop.com/doku.php/men_s_basketball/tony_reeder) - Never lived up to the billing of a top 65 player while at MU. His only significant accomplishment is being among the All Time Top 10 in blocked shots as freshman, with a whopping 15 blocks. Unfortunately it didn't get better after that. He averaged under 8 PPG as a junior, and was averaging under 7 PPG as a senior when he was declared academically ineligible, ending his disappointing career.
- Tom Copa (http://wiki.muscoop.com/doku.php/men_s_basketball/tom_copa) - Probably the toughest call of this decade, I'm sure some will argue this point with me, but hear me out. Yes Copa scored almost 1000 points and grabbed over 500 rebounds, but when you are ranked among the top 65 players in a high school class, more is expected. He never averaged more than 8.5 PPG, and his scoring declined every year from his sophomore to senior year. Further, his rebounding went down from 5.5 RPG to 4.6 RPG as well. At best, he was serviceable in college, posting career averages of 8.2 PPG and 4.7 RPG, but serviceable isn't what you're looking for when you get a top 65 player. To his credit, Copa blossomed after college, parlaying his success in Europe into a back up role with the San Antonio Spurs during the 1991-92 season. I'm open to arguments on changing him to a "hit", but it's going to take a lot of convincing.
- Walter Downing (http://wiki.muscoop.com/doku.php/men_s_basketball/walter_downing) - MU just missed out on Downing the first time around, losing a close recruiting battle to Ray Meyer and DePaul. A McDonald's All American in high school, Downing never approached that sort of success at DePaul or at MU. He averaged 7.5 PPG and 3.5 RPG as a part time player at MU, and despite a high school reputation as a great shot blocker, he had a grand total of 21 during his two years.
- Gerald Posey (http://wiki.muscoop.com/doku.php/men_s_basketball/gerald_posey) - A Prop 48 (http://www.ncaachampionmagazine.org/Championship%20Magazine/ChampionMagazineStory/ArticleListings/tabid/61/articleType/ArticleView/articleId/47/Default.aspx)casualty as a freshman, Posey was supposed to contribute right away once he became eligible as a sophomore. Instead, he had disagreements with Bob Dukiet (http://wiki.muscoop.com/doku.php/men_s_basketball/bob_dukiet) which led to a famed incident where he stormed off the court during warm ups prior to the St. Thomas game in December 1988. By January, he was gone, transferring to Division III Trenton State College in New Jersey.
- Corey Floyd - Perhaps the final nail in Bob Dukiet' (http://wiki.muscoop.com/doku.php/men_s_basketball/bob_dukiet)s coffin, Floyd was expected to team with Posey as the back court of the future starting in 1988. Like Posey, he was from New Jersey and had been a great high school player. Unfortunately, the similarities did not end there. He too had academic issues, but instead of being a Prop 48 player, he was not admitted to Marquette and had to spend two years at Hutchinson Community College in Kansas to meet NCAA eligibility requirements. He then spent two years as a back up at Providence, where his only on the court contribution of note was participation in a brawl against Rhode Island (http://www.nytimes.com/1990/12/13/sports/sports-people-basketball-providence-suspends-3.html?n=Top/Reference/Times%20Topics/Organizations/U/University%20of%20Rhode%20Island) that led to a suspension.
So there you have it. As you can see, the top 100 rankings weren't exactly a great predictor of success when it came to Marquette recruits in the 1980s. Out of 12 recruits, only 5 really panned out, for a success rating of 41.6%. You'll have to stay tuned for the future posts to see if this rating improves as the years go by. I'm saving my conclusions until the final part of this series, we'll have to wait and see if my theory holds up in the future years.
Obviously, this is just my way of doing it, there is no real quantitative analysis for this kind of subject. It's tough to define living up to the hype, but as Potter Stewart said, "I know it when I see it" (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/I_know_it_when_I_see_it). Feel free to disagree...
http://www.crackedsidewalks.com/2009/05/look-back-marquettes-history-with-top.html
I think the author misses the boat on Walter Downing. Walter actually had 103 blocks in his injury-abbreviated 2 seasons including 7 in a monumental performance against highly rated UNC in a game that MU should have won but for mistakes by Pops Sims(?) down the stretch. Walter started out gangbusters but had a terrible shoulder separation against Northwestern that limited his success. So I would not really classify him a a miss. Lloyd Moore was something else. The guy was was extraordinarily skilled offensively. Unforutnately he was so over-weight and out of shape that he literally ate himself off the court. Of course his injury did not help either.
I made the edit on the Downing block stat, I happened to be looking at the wrong column and transposed the numbers( the change should show up here in 15 minutes, one of the mods will have to combine the posts..sorry guys).
Having said that, injury or no injury, he was still a miss. He never averaged more that 8 PPG or 3.6 RPG for a season, and his career averages fo 7.5 PPG and 3.5 RPG are not what you expect when you get a player that was ranked in the top 30 and a McDonald's All American.
A look back, Marquette's history with top 100 recruits...Part One, The 1980sWritten by: noreply@blogger.com (bma725)Last month, apropos of nothing and with no real intent behind it, I made a series of posts (http://www.muscoop.com/index.php?topic=14388.0) over on MUScoop (http://www.muscoop.com/), discussing the success or lack of success of "Top 100" recruits at a few different schools across the country. As the thread wore on, it morphed into a discussion of Marquette's success with "Top 100" recruits since Tom Crean (http://wiki.muscoop.com/doku.php/men_s_basketball/tom_crean) was hired back in 1999.
After much prodding, I agreed to take it one step further, and do a retrospective of "Top 100" recruits at Marquette not just in recent years as we had done in the thread, but as far back as the available information would allow. It took much longer than expected to find all the information I wanted, but I've finally been able to compile it all.
There's a lot of information here, so rather than deluge everyone all at once, I've decided to split this into a series of posts. In this first installment, we'll be looking at the Top 100 recruits of the 1980s, and each future installment will also be done by decade, with a final wrap up to follow.
What I'm looking at in this series at it's most basic level is whether or not a player lived up to the hype of being a "Top 100" recruit. When you hear the term "Top 100 Recruit" there's a certain amount of expectations that come with that label. Much of it is statistics driven. You expect a certain amount of production right away when you see that a player is highly ranked. When an unheralded recruit averages 7 PPG as a freshman you feel like you got a sleeper. When McDonald's All American does it, you think he's a bust.
Having said that, other things factor into the evaluation. Sadly, many of Marquette's top 100 recruits haven't been able to qualify academically or stay eligible once they got in school. While that has nothing to do with their actual basketball ability, it prevents them from living up the expectations that were set coming out of high school, and it negatively impacts their evaluation. Additionally, things like attitude and leadership are factored in as well. They will not be the sole reason a player is evaluated a certain way, but a borderline player may be pushed into one category or another based upon things like team leadership and attitude.
Before we get to the actual rankings, a couple of important notes:
- As you would expect, finding information on rankings from the pre-internet era is extremely tough. For this reason, the rankings shown in these posts go back only as far as 1980 which means we're leaving out a lot of former MU greats.
- I've been able to find quite a bit of information on rankings from the 1980s and 1990s, but obviously there are limitations on what I can get. I'm sure there will be some people that were missed or some rankings that were missed for a particular player. If anyone can provide more information(with actual proof, not just how you remember it) I'd be happy to update the lists.
- What you will see here is really bits and pieces of rankings done by different services throughout the years. Many of the recruiting services that we look at as the main sources of information today weren't around a decade ago, and vice versa. Trying to compare the rankings done by one service in 1984 to the rankings done by another in 2004 is nearly impossible.
- All of the numbers are the final rankings for a player after their senior year, or the final ranking put out by the service during their senior year. That means players like Scott Christopherson (http://wiki.muscoop.com/doku.php/men_s_basketball/scott_christopherson), Krunti Hester (http://wiki.muscoop.com/doku.php/men_s_basketball/krunti_hester), Tony Miller (http://wiki.muscoop.com/doku.php/men_s_basketball/tony_miller)etc all of whom were "Top 100" Players at one time in their high school career are not included on this list.
- One thing you will notice is that for some players the ranking will say something like 12th Team rather than giving a specific number. In the old days, several of the services did their rankings like the AP does their All American teams, with first team, second team etc. If you want to find out what ranking that corresponds to, simply multiply the team by 5. For example the 20th team means a player was ranked between 96-100 in that particular class.
- We're looking at whether or not a player lived up to their hype, not just whether or not they lived up to the hype at Marquette. That means that transfer players(in or out) are evaluated on their whole career, not just their Marquette career. Because of that, you will find some players falling in areas that you may not agree with because of how they performed at another institution. Additionally, professional success does play a small part in the evaluation. NOTE: For players that were ranked as top 100 players coming out of high school that attended other schools before transferring to MU, the player is listed with the class that they effectively joined at MU, not their original class. The year they were ranked and the school they initially attended is listed next to the ranking.
- Lastly, I've created a legend so that you may more easily understand my abbreviations that are going to follow. There's a lot of different services involved here, and typing them all out each time gets to be a bit tedious. You'll want to consult this when you look at the actual rankings(click the image for a more readable version).
(http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_5GvDUFklt88/SgeCHq2Q-zI/AAAAAAAAABM/NF86J3HP8JI/s400/Legend.JPG)
(http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_5GvDUFklt88/SgeCHq2Q-zI/AAAAAAAAABM/NF86J3HP8JI/s1600-h/Legend.JPG)
Without any further ado, here's the rankings for the 1980s, followed by the analysis...again click the picture for a better view.
(http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_5GvDUFklt88/Sges-jOA37I/AAAAAAAAABk/cWDV8pI12Zc/s400/1980s2.jpg)
(http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_5GvDUFklt88/Sges-jOA37I/AAAAAAAAABk/cWDV8pI12Zc/s1600-h/1980s2.jpg)
Looking at that list, you might be surprised to see that many top 100 players given the results that MU had in the 1980s. The team made the NCAA tournament only three times, and the decade ended with the disastrous Bob Dukiet (http://wiki.muscoop.com/doku.php/men_s_basketball/bob_dukiet) era. But when you look how that supposed high school talent worked out, maybe the results become a little more understandable.
The Hits(in chronological order)
- Doc Rivers (http://wiki.muscoop.com/doku.php/men_s_basketball/glenn_doc_rivers) - I'm not sure that any player in the 1980s lived up to their billing more than Doc. A first team Street and Smith's All American, and the first McDonald's All American in Marquette history, Doc was a stud the second he stepped on campus. He held the freshman scoring record for nearly 25 years, and he still holds the record for freshman field goal percentage. He was a Chuck Taylor All American in 1982, and an AP All American in 1983. After three seasons at MU he declared for the NBA draft and played more than a decade in the NBA.
- Dwayne Johnson (http://wiki.muscoop.com/doku.php/men_s_basketball/dwayne_johnson) - The original DJ, his is a tail of both success and regret. On the court, he was great. He averaged 12.3 PPG as a sophomore, and was the team's leading scorer and rebounder as a junior. Unfortunately, he was not as good in the classroom. Prior to his senior season DJ was declared academically ineligible and suspended for his senior year. He transferred to UW-Whitewater, where he was a 2nd team All American, and the WIAC (http://www.wiacsports.com/) player of the year in his only season.
- Mandy Johnson (http://wiki.muscoop.com/doku.php/men_s_basketball/charles_mandy_johnson) - He didn't do much scoring until his senior year, but with the talent around him, it wasn't necessary. Mandy was an efficient offensive player, who led the team in field goal percentage as a sophomore, but more importantly he was the floor general allowing the guys around him to get their points while he ran the offense. Really though, he made his mark as one of the best defensive guards in MU history. He finished his career second in MU history in steals, and held that position until this season when he was surpassed by Jerel McNeal (http://wiki.muscoop.com/doku.php/men_s_basketball/jerel_mcneal). He still holds the MU record for steals as a senior, and is in the top 10 for the sophomore and junior records.
- Kerry Trotter (http://wiki.muscoop.com/doku.php/men_s_basketball/kerry_trotter) - MU's second McDonald's All American, Trotter may not have totally lived up to that billing, but he still turned out to be a very good player, worthy of a top 100 ranking. He scored in double figures his final three years at MU, including a high of 13.6PPG as a senior, and was the team's leading scorer and rebounder as a junior. He played professionally in Europe and was twice the MVP of the Belgian league.
- Mark Anglavar (http://wiki.muscoop.com/doku.php/men_s_basketball/mark_anglavar)- One of the great shooters in MU history. When his career ended in 1991, he was the leader in 3-Point Field Goals Made, 3-Point Field Goal Percentage, and he was the leader in every single season 3-Point statistic. He's since been surpassed by other players, but make no mistake there were few that could shoot the ball like him in MU history. Not only that, but he's still in the top 10 for Freshman assists despite not actually being a point guard.
The Misses(again chronological order)
- Lloyd Moore (http://wiki.muscoop.com/doku.php/men_s_basketball/lloyd_moore) - There may not have been a bigger miss in MU history. Coming out of high school, nearly everyone thought Moore would be great. In addition to the Street and Smith ranking, he was an Adidas and Parade All American as a senior and many predicted that Moore would be the next great MU big man. Instead, he was the biggest bust in MU history, both literally and figuratively. He tore a ligament in his knee prior to his freshman campaign which resulted in an extended absence. When he returned he was so out of shape that he managed to only play in 15 games, where he averaged less than 2 PPG and 2 RPG. He transferred prior to his sophomore year (http://news.google.com/newspapers?nid=1129&dat=19830831&id=hE4NAAAAIBAJ&sjid=pm0DAAAAIBAJ&pg=2055,7053363), and was a decent player at Rutgers for two years before he was dismissed from the team for failure to keep his weight under control.
- Tony Reeder (http://wiki.muscoop.com/doku.php/men_s_basketball/tony_reeder) - Never lived up to the billing of a top 65 player while at MU. His only significant accomplishment is being among the All Time Top 10 in blocked shots as freshman, with a whopping 15 blocks. Unfortunately it didn't get better after that. He averaged under 8 PPG as a junior, and was averaging under 7 PPG as a senior when he was declared academically ineligible, ending his disappointing career.
- Tom Copa (http://wiki.muscoop.com/doku.php/men_s_basketball/tom_copa) - Probably the toughest call of this decade, I'm sure some will argue this point with me, but hear me out. Yes Copa scored almost 1000 points and grabbed over 500 rebounds, but when you are ranked among the top 65 players in a high school class, more is expected. He never averaged more than 8.5 PPG, and his scoring declined every year from his sophomore to senior year. Further, his rebounding went down from 5.5 RPG to 4.6 RPG as well. At best, he was serviceable in college, posting career averages of 8.2 PPG and 4.7 RPG, but serviceable isn't what you're looking for when you get a top 65 player. To his credit, Copa blossomed after college, parlaying his success in Europe into a back up role with the San Antonio Spurs during the 1991-92 season. I'm open to arguments on changing him to a "hit", but it's going to take a lot of convincing.
- Walter Downing (http://wiki.muscoop.com/doku.php/men_s_basketball/walter_downing) - MU just missed out on Downing the first time around, losing a close recruiting battle to Ray Meyer and DePaul. A McDonald's All American in high school, Downing never approached that sort of success at DePaul or at MU. He averaged 7.5 PPG and 3.5 RPG as a part time player at MU.
- Gerald Posey (http://wiki.muscoop.com/doku.php/men_s_basketball/gerald_posey) - A Prop 48 (http://www.ncaachampionmagazine.org/Championship%20Magazine/ChampionMagazineStory/ArticleListings/tabid/61/articleType/ArticleView/articleId/47/Default.aspx)casualty as a freshman, Posey was supposed to contribute right away once he became eligible as a sophomore. Instead, he had disagreements with Bob Dukiet (http://wiki.muscoop.com/doku.php/men_s_basketball/bob_dukiet) which led to a famed incident where he stormed off the court during warm ups prior to the St. Thomas game in December 1988. By January, he was gone, transferring to Division III Trenton State College in New Jersey.
- Corey Floyd - Perhaps the final nail in Bob Dukiet' (http://wiki.muscoop.com/doku.php/men_s_basketball/bob_dukiet)s coffin, Floyd was expected to team with Posey as the back court of the future starting in 1988. Like Posey, he was from New Jersey and had been a great high school player. Unfortunately, the similarities did not end there. He too had academic issues, but instead of being a Prop 48 player, he was not admitted to Marquette and had to spend two years at Hutchinson Community College in Kansas to meet NCAA eligibility requirements. He then spent two years as a back up at Providence, where his only on the court contribution of note was participation in a brawl against Rhode Island (http://www.nytimes.com/1990/12/13/sports/sports-people-basketball-providence-suspends-3.html?n=Top/Reference/Times%20Topics/Organizations/U/University%20of%20Rhode%20Island) that led to a suspension.
So there you have it. As you can see, the top 100 rankings weren't exactly a great predictor of success when it came to Marquette recruits in the 1980s. Out of 12 recruits, only 5 really panned out, for a success rating of 41.6%. You'll have to stay tuned for the future posts to see if this rating improves as the years go by. I'm saving my conclusions until the final part of this series, we'll have to wait and see if my theory holds up in the future years.
Obviously, this is just my way of doing it, there is no real quantitative analysis for this kind of subject. It's tough to define living up to the hype, but as Potter Stewart said, "I know it when I see it" (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/I_know_it_when_I_see_it). Feel free to disagree...
http://www.crackedsidewalks.com/2009/05/look-back-marquettes-history-with-top.html
Quote from: bma725 on May 11, 2009, 12:41:41 PM
I made the edit on the Downing block stat, I happened to be looking at the wrong column and transposed the numbers( the change should show up here in 15 minutes, one of the mods will have to combine the posts..sorry guys).
Having said that, injury or no injury, he was still a miss. He never averaged more that 8 PPG or 3.6 RPG for a season, and his career averages fo 7.5 PPG and 3.5 RPG are not what you expect when you get a player that was ranked in the top 30 and a McDonald's All American.
BMA, Walter's performance was severely affected by his shoulder separation as well as his on-going knee issues which dated back to HS. His performance against the best modern-day Loyola team (featuring Alfrederick Hughes, Carl Golston and Andre battle ) is one of the most memorable in my 5 decades of watching MU basketball along with the UNC game. The shoulder separation obviously shelved him for most of his junior season and he was still a force on defense as a senior. Remember his game was more on defense than offense. His shoulder injury also shelved Majerus's experiment with the triple towers of Downing, Tom copa and Mike Davis. this trio played very well toether. Without Walter, not so good. In the end, I do not consider him a miss. More so his was a case of "what might have been".
Quote from: Nukem2 on May 11, 2009, 12:28:25 PM
I think the author misses the boat on Walter Downing. Walter actually had 103 blocks in his injury-abbreviated 2 seasons including 7 in a monumental performance against highly rated UNC in a game that MU should have won
What a great doubleheader weekend that was in '86. A Saturday win against Dayton and a two point loss/shoulda coulda win the next day against UNC.
Quote from: Nukem2 on May 11, 2009, 12:59:59 PM
BMA, Walter's performance was severely affected by his shoulder separation as well as his on-going knee issues which dated back to HS. His performance against the best modern-day Loyola team (featuring Alfrederick Hughes, Carl Golston and Andre battle ) is one of the most memorable in my 5 decades of watching MU basketball along with the UNC game. The shoulder separation obviously shelved him for most of his junior season and he was still a force on defense as a senior. Remember his game was more on defense than offense. His shoulder injury also shelved Majerus's experiment with the triple towers of Downing, Tom copa and Mike Davis. this trio played very well toether. Without Walter, not so good. In the end, I do not consider him a miss. More so his was a case of "what might have been".
I wasn't just evaluating him on his career at Marquette, his career at DePaul came into play as well, so there was time prior to his injury as well. He didn't live up to the advance billing of a McDonald's All American while at DePaul either. While he may have had great moments, he was not able to put it together for an entire career and live up to the hype that preceded him.
Quote from: SaintPaulWarrior on May 11, 2009, 01:12:42 PM
What a great doubleheader weekend that was in '86. A Saturday win against Dayton and a two point loss/shoulda coulda win the next day against UNC.
The Milwaukee Arena was really rocking that weekend. The UNC loss followed by OT losses to solid Notre Dame and DePaul teams shortlyt thereafter tokk the sails out of MU's season. Also, I think those diheartening losses along with recruting misses were the reason for the departure that summer of Rick Majerus to the Bucks.
Quote from: bma725 on May 11, 2009, 01:16:40 PM
I wasn't just evaluating him on his career at Marquette, his career at DePaul came into play as well, so there was time prior to his injury as well. He didn't live up to the advance billing of a McDonald's All American while at DePaul either. While he may have had great moments, he was not able to put it together for an entire career and live up to the hype that preceded him.
Still think you are looking too much at offensive numbers. He was a defensive center and thats what his hype was built on in his fabulous career at Provdence HS in New Lenox, IL. Including his DePaul seasons, Walter had 208 career blocked shots ( and numerous altered shots ). Other than MacIlvaine, the most blocked shots in an MU career is 175. You have to evaluate him on his game. He never was a great offensive player.
Quote from: Nukem2 on May 11, 2009, 01:30:57 PM
Still think you are looking too much at offensive numbers. He was a defensive center and thats what his hype was built on in his fabulous career at Provdence HS in New Lenox, IL. Including his DePaul seasons, Walter had 208 career blocked shots ( and numerous altered shots ). Other than MacIlvaine, the most blocked shots in an MU career is 175. You have to evaluate him on his game. He never was a great offensive player.
His hype was on more than just his defense. When he led Providence to the state championship, he did so by averaging nearly 18 PPG, and the year before he averaged 17 PPG.
When he went to DePaul, he was hyped as the next guy to carry on the tradition of Aguirre and Cummings...not just come in and be a defensive presence. He never lived up to that. Go to the DePaul board some time and ask about him. You'll get lots of posts about how he was a bust, how he never showed any fire, how he just didn't want to get better etc.
Quote from: bma725 on May 11, 2009, 01:42:17 PM
His hype was on more than just his defense. When he led Providence to the state championship, he did so by averaging nearly 18 PPG, and the year before he averaged 17 PPG.
When he went to DePaul, he was hyped as the next guy to carry on the tradition of Aguirre and Cummings...not just come in and be a defensive presence. He never lived up to that. Go to the DePaul board some time and ask about him. You'll get lots of posts about how he was a bust, how he never showed any fire, how he just didn't want to get better etc.
Whatever, but he simply does not belong on a list with Lloyd Moore. As I alluded to earlier, Walter did have severe knee problems throughout his career whcih limited his development. I saw him at an all-star tournament at Boston University ( Boston Shootout, which was a real biggee in those days ) after his senior season. In those games, Walter really struggled to get up and down the court grabbing his knees quite often. Those knees continued really a problem at DePaul and he finally grew out of that problem in his redshirt season at MU. That along with his passive personality and DePaul fans being spoiled by the Aguirre/Cummings teams were really his downfall in his Chicago stay. The severe shoulder separation stymied what was really a VERY promising start to his MU career. Walter's hype was also over-kill since he played in a small school conference, so the opposition was not always the best. Once again, he was a defensive player. 17 ppg for a three-time state champion was built mostly on layups and put-backs.
Quote from: Nukem2 on May 11, 2009, 02:08:52 PM
Whatever, but he simply does not belong on a list with Lloyd Moore. As I alluded to earlier, Walter did have severe knee problems throughout his career whcih limited his development. I saw him at an all-star tournament at Boston University ( Boston Shootout, which was a real biggee in those days ) after his senior season. In those games, Walter really struggled to get up and down the court grabbing his knees quite often. Those knees continued really a problem at DePaul and he finally grew out of that problem in his redshirt season at MU. That along with his passive personality and DePaul fans being spoiled by the Aguirre/Cummings teams were really his downfall in his Chicago stay. The severe shoulder separation stymied what was really a VERY promising start to his MU career. Walter's hype was also over-kill since he played in a small school conference, so the opposition was not always the best. Once again, he was a defensive player. 17 ppg for a three-time state champion was built mostly on layups and put-backs.
It's about whether or not a player lived up to his own hype. The fact that Lloyd Moore was a bigger disappointment is consequential to what Downing or anyone else on that list did. Whether his hype was fair or not, when someone is thought of as one of the best high school players in America, when they make a top 30 list and become a McDonald's All American, there are expectations that go with that. I'm not saying he was a terrible player, just that he didn't meet the expectations that come with the hype he got, and that the recruiting analysts missed their mark. For him to live up to those expectations purely as a defensive player, he would have had to be one of the great defenders in the history of the game...he wasn't.
Quote from: bma725 on May 11, 2009, 02:22:50 PM
Whether his hype was fair or not, when someone is thought of as one of the best high school players in America, when they make a top 30 list and become a McDonald's All American, there are expectations that go with that. I'm not saying he was a terrible player, just that he didn't meet the expectations that come with the hype he got, and that the recruiting analysts missed their mark.
I never saw Downing play, but I see what bma is getting at. The paragraph above reminds me of the exact same situation as Brian Butch. You wouldn't call him a terrible player at all, in fact, he would have played a key role for MU. However, as a top 20 recruit and McDonald's All-American, he never came close to living up to expectations.
What would be interesting is to find out what happened to these guys after they were done with MU.
Copa, while at MU, probably was a near-miss.
Post MU, he was a hit. Not many people make it to an NBA roster.
But I don't think his post-MU career should affect his contributions while an undergrad.
As good as Doc Rivers was he did not live upto his hype. When he was a senior in high they were calling him the best high school guard in the last 25 years. He was not as good some of McGuire's guards.
Very interesting read. Thank you.
Was MU's Gerald Posey the same Gerald Posey who played for the Heat a few years back, and a handful of other NBA teams?
I must've missed his brief MU "career" while I was in HS. At the time I had other things on my mind like whether I'd attend UW or MU. Oh, how different things could've been.
Quote from: 77ncaachamps on May 11, 2009, 05:09:46 PM
Copa, while at MU, probably was a near-miss.
Post MU, he was a hit. Not many people make it to an NBA roster.
But I don't think his post-MU career should affect his contributions while an undergrad.
I have to ask, what's the 2nd place NCAA 1977 banner mean?
Quote from: 94Warrior on May 11, 2009, 07:32:40 PM
Very interesting read. Thank you.
Was MU's Gerald Posey the same Gerald Posey who played for the Heat a few years back, and a handful of other NBA teams?
I must've missed his brief MU "career" while I was in HS. At the time I had other things on my mind like whether I'd attend UW or MU. Oh, how different things could've been.
Definitely not the same Gerald Posey. The Gerald Posey at MU is 40 years old now and didn't play in the NBA.
http://wiki.muscoop.com/doku.php/men_s_basketball/gerald_posey
Quote from: 94Warrior on May 11, 2009, 07:32:40 PM
Very interesting read. Thank you.
Was MU's Gerald Posey the same Gerald Posey who played for the Heat a few years back, and a handful of other NBA teams?
I must've missed his brief MU "career" while I was in HS. At the time I had other things on my mind like whether I'd attend UW or MU. Oh, how different things could've been.
I think you may be talking about James Posey.
http://espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=671 (http://espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=671)
Quote from: ChicosBailBonds on May 11, 2009, 07:37:37 PM
Definitely not the same Gerald Posey. The Gerald Posey at MU is 40 years old now and didn't play in the NBA.
http://wiki.muscoop.com/doku.php/men_s_basketball/gerald_posey
I remember Posey's first game. First MU game in the BC. They turned off the lights to introduce the starting line-ups...and they took a few minutes to come back on. Kind of symbolic for the Dukiet era.
Quote from: ChicosBailBonds on May 11, 2009, 07:35:31 PM
I have to ask, what's the 2nd place NCAA 1977 banner mean?
The only thing I can figure, Chicos, is that those are Tarheel colors, hence "second place."
Quote from: 77ncaachamps on May 11, 2009, 05:09:46 PM
Copa, while at MU, probably was a near-miss.
Post MU, he was a hit. Not many people make it to an NBA roster.
But I don't think his post-MU career should affect his contributions while an undergrad.
That's one I was really torn on. There's a couple of people in each decade that I could go either way on, and he was the one in the 1980s. He didn't have the achievements of a top 100 player in college, but by the same token how many people from that class or more specifically that ranking actually made the NBA?
It's a tough call.
Quote from: Ready2Fly on May 11, 2009, 03:05:16 PM
I never saw Downing play, but I see what bma is getting at. The paragraph above reminds me of the exact same situation as Brian Butch. You wouldn't call him a terrible player at all, in fact, he would have played a key role for MU. However, as a top 20 recruit and McDonald's All-American, he never came close to living up to expectations.
in grade school, Walter played for St. Thaddeus in a nearby town. He was dunking alot in grade school and as you can imagine, altered or blocked alot of shots. His knees were knocked back then and you could tell that but for his knees, he'd have been even more of a beast.
I had the opportunity to meet him again a few years ago at a kids camp. What a tremendous person and what a great help to kids, both on the court and in telling the kids things about work ethic and his Christian faith. Far from a bust in my book...
Quote from: wildbillsb on May 11, 2009, 08:53:55 PM
The only thing I can figure, Chicos, is that those are Tarheel colors, hence "second place."
That's right! ;)
Can you believe UNC actually made this banner?!? :D
Quote from: ChicosBailBonds on May 11, 2009, 07:37:37 PM
Definitely not the same Gerald Posey. The Gerald Posey at MU is 40 years old now and didn't play in the NBA.
http://wiki.muscoop.com/doku.php/men_s_basketball/gerald_posey
Damn I'm old!
I was thinking of James Posey.
Quote from: 77ncaachamps on May 11, 2009, 09:23:31 PM
That's right! ;)
Can you believe UNC actually made this banner?!? :D
Smacks of something Crean would do.
Quote from: The Wizard of West Salem on May 11, 2009, 08:21:44 PM
I remember Posey's first game. First MU game in the BC. They turned off the lights to introduce the starting line-ups...and they took a few minutes to come back on. Kind of symbolic for the Dukiet era.
Yup, the old mercury lights. Back then those were issues with many arenas....took a long time for the mercs to come back up. Then they switched to the lights they use now that can come up at a moment's notice.
Quote from: 77ncaachamps on May 11, 2009, 09:23:31 PM
That's right! ;)
Can you believe UNC actually made this banner?!? :D
Got it. Actually, I don't see a problem with it. Making it to the final game is better than the Final Four. Every school hangs Final Four banners and some hang them for the championship game? Though most schools say "NCAA Runner-UP" in the ones I've seen, not "2nd place".
Dean Smith hadn't won a championship by 77 and that might explain it.
Tom Copa had stone hands and was a huge disappointment for his size and strength. He had off court issues that might have contributed to his lack of development. He seemed like a decent guy but might have been more interested in being a college student than college bball player. He certainly wasn't the only player on his team that had these issues. I'm glad I never had anything but FFP skills in the academic arena because I wouldn't have been able to handle division 1 scholarship responsibilities.
I'm surprised no one has mentioned the fact that one of Walter Downing's legs was longer than the other. He was the only player on the team who didn't wear New Balance shoes because Adidas, Converse or.... made him special shoes.
There was an article on him throwing out all his bball trophies a few years back. He regretted it and moved on. I think he was an assistant coach at Hinsdale South in Illinois I believe.
I remember him as a nice guy whenever he came into McCormick's cafeteria after practice with the team. I also remember him playing the Star Spangled Banner on Senior Night. I can tell you that he was an improvement over what we had back then.
Walter's biggest problem beside physical limitations was his competition in high school. He was overhyped and played against the smaller schools in IL. http://www.marchmadness.org/records/yearly/1979ba.htm
Copa seemed like a genuinely nice guy. I had a couple of classes with him and he was quite normal. I remember his missed breakaway dunks landing at mid-court at least twice. I don't remember stone hands but I do remember no touch. His name became synonymous among my friends and I during pick-up games when someone would throw up a brick. Someone else would yell "Copa"! His 'off-court' issues was one very unfortunate event late in his collegiate career that wasn't malicious, just kids being kids with a tragic ending.
Quote from: Nukem2 on May 11, 2009, 01:20:54 PM
The Milwaukee Arena was really rocking that weekend. The UNC loss followed by OT losses to solid Notre Dame and DePaul teams shortlyt thereafter tokk the sails out of MU's season. Also, I think those diheartening losses along with recruting misses were the reason for the departure that summer of Rick Majerus to the Bucks.
I have never heard a player booed like Joe Wolf that day. Really surprised and unnerved the Wolf family.
I am thinking that a team could be derived from the non top 100 recruits that would be competitive with the top 100 success stories from this era. This could be due to a problem with the ranking system and I agree that it will be interesting to see if it improves. It could also reflect the state of the program in the 80s.
Here are four players that I saw play in the late 80s that were successful non-top 100 recruits. Maybe someone else can round out the list from the early 80s.
Tony Smith
David Boone
Trevor Powell
maybe Pops sims.
Quote from: CrackedSidewalksSays on May 11, 2009, 12:00:03 PM
"Doc Rivers" was a Chuck Taylor All American in 1982, and an AP All American in 1983.
http://www.crackedsidewalks.com/2009/05/look-back-marquettes-history-with-top.html
Doc Rivers was never an AP All American, not first, second or third team. While he wasn't a miss by any stretch, he was merely very good, not great. According to at least one publication, he was the best incoming freshman in the nation, but he was nothing like that. He was an a very good player for a long time in the NBA, but I'd bet you that most MU fans at the time he left wouldn't have thought that would happen after watching him at MU.
Quote from: 1990Warrior on May 12, 2009, 09:47:07 AM
I am thinking that a team could be derived from the non top 100 recruits that would be competitive with the top 100 success stories from this era. This could be due to a problem with the ranking system and I agree that it will be interesting to see if it improves. It could also reflect the state of the program in the 80s.
Here are four players that I saw play in the late 80s that were successful non-top 100 recruits. Maybe someone else can round out the list from the early 80s.
Tony Smith
David Boone
Trevor Powell
maybe Pops sims.
I'd add Mark Anglavar to that list.
Quote from: Nukem2 on May 11, 2009, 02:08:52 PM
Whatever, but he simply does not belong on a list with Lloyd Moore. As I alluded to earlier, Walter did have severe knee problems throughout his career whcih limited his development. I saw him at an all-star tournament at Boston University ( Boston Shootout, which was a real biggee in those days ) after his senior season. In those games, Walter really struggled to get up and down the court grabbing his knees quite often. Those knees continued really a problem at DePaul and he finally grew out of that problem in his redshirt season at MU. That along with his passive personality and DePaul fans being spoiled by the Aguirre/Cummings teams were really his downfall in his Chicago stay. The severe shoulder separation stymied what was really a VERY promising start to his MU career. Walter's hype was also over-kill since he played in a small school conference, so the opposition was not always the best. Once again, he was a defensive player. 17 ppg for a three-time state champion was built mostly on layups and put-backs.
Most of his problems were because one of his legs was significantly shorter than the other.
Quote from: 1990Warrior on May 12, 2009, 09:47:07 AM
I am thinking that a team could be derived from the non top 100 recruits that would be competitive with the top 100 success stories from this era. This could be due to a problem with the ranking system and I agree that it will be interesting to see if it improves. It could also reflect the state of the program in the 80s.
Here are four players that I saw play in the late 80s that were successful non-top 100 recruits. Maybe someone else can round out the list from the early 80s.
Tony Smith
David Boone
Trevor Powell
maybe Pops sims.
Worthen, Lee, Michaael Wilson
Quote from: CTWarrior on May 12, 2009, 10:24:22 AM
Doc Rivers was never an AP All American, not first, second or third team. While he wasn't a miss by any stretch, he was merely very good, not great. According to at least one publication, he was the best incoming freshman in the nation, but he was nothing like that. He was an a very good player for a long time in the NBA, but I'd bet you that most MU fans at the time he left wouldn't have thought that would happen after watching him at MU.
According to his official MU bio he was a honorable mention AP All American in 1983.
Quote from: tower912 on May 12, 2009, 06:02:04 AM
Copa seemed like a genuinely nice guy. I had a couple of classes with him and he was quite normal. I remember his missed breakaway dunks landing at mid-court at least twice. I don't remember stone hands but I do remember no touch. His name became synonymous among my friends and I during pick-up games when someone would throw up a brick. Someone else would yell "Copa"! His 'off-court' issues was one very unfortunate event late in his collegiate career that wasn't malicious, just kids being kids with a tragic ending.
Copa was a great guy. I do agree, however with him not living up to his hype as a bball player. My favorite in this discussion, though, is Lloyd Moore. A great guy who had a genuine weakness for the tombstone pizzas from the McCormick Hall dorm store.
Quote from: PuertoRicanNightmare on May 12, 2009, 10:52:26 AM
Most of his problems were because one of his legs was significantly shorter than the other.
Ah, thanks for the reminder PRN. It was hard for Walter to run the floor. When I saw him at the Boston Shootout in the early 80s he really struggled.
Quote from: CTWarrior on May 12, 2009, 10:24:22 AM
Doc Rivers was never an AP All American, not first, second or third team. While he wasn't a miss by any stretch, he was merely very good, not great. According to at least one publication, he was the best incoming freshman in the nation, but he was nothing like that. He was an a very good player for a long time in the NBA, but I'd bet you that most MU fans at the time he left wouldn't have thought that would happen after watching him at MU.
Doc would have been everything and more than advertised if there had been better talent surrounding him. Glenn's problem was that he had to do everything including, but not limited to jumping center, bring the ball up the court, scoring, and guarding the opponent's best player. Hard to do each facet with All-American results. Truth is Hank surrounded him with talent that sucked ass.
Quote from: 1990Warrior on May 12, 2009, 09:47:07 AM
I am thinking that a team could be derived from the non top 100 recruits that would be competitive with the top 100 success stories from this era. This could be due to a problem with the ranking system and I agree that it will be interesting to see if it improves. It could also reflect the state of the program in the 80s.
Here are four players that I saw play in the late 80s that were successful non-top 100 recruits. Maybe someone else can round out the list from the early 80s.
Tony Smith
David Boone
Trevor Powell
maybe Pops sims.
Trevor Powell was an alright guy and a decent player...and had a real hot girlfriend when he was a freshman...but by and large he was a MCC player when we were an MCC team. Same with Mark Anglavar. So yeah they were the best players on those teams, but they were terrible teams.