Yes MU has been playing really well.
Yes they're at home.
But a 15 point spread seems like a lot versus a Seton Hall team that's 3-3 in conference play, has alternated wins and losses in their past 12 games, and IS COMING OFF A LOSS.
A number of fans on this board are worried about a let-down game. Looking at the predictions for tonight, of the twelve posters so far, only one has picked MU to win by 15, and that was exactly 15. The other eleven (including me) are looking for a tighter game.
Maybe we're missing something or just being pessamistic, but let's hope the bookies are right.
Ken Pom thinks 15 is just about right: http://www.kenpom.com/sked.php?y=2007&team=Marquette&t=p
Not sure if I agree with it, but there is at least some statistical basis for it.
I don't think any of us are being pessimistic, I'd say more like realistic. We know we can win by that much, just look at the WV game for that. But this is the Big East, and when you get a team like SH that is looking for a win to stay above .500 in the conference a 15 point spread seems a bit too much.
I picked a 13 pt spread for the game, but I'm thinking it will be about an 8 pt lead most of the game and then get a bump at the end from fouls. 15 points is way to much for any Big East game against anyone but the very bottom of the conference.
Curious, but does anyone remember what Ken Pom had us doing the last 4 games, after we lost to Syracuse? I'm sure he didn't have us winning all 4.
For what it's worth (if anything) Tony Mejia (http://www.sportsline.com/collegebasketball/exclusives/mejia) predicts 81-64. That's 17 points for the math challeged.
Quote from: StillAWarrior on January 24, 2007, 04:11:41 PM
For what it's worth (if anything) Tony Mejia (http://www.sportsline.com/collegebasketball/exclusives/mejia) predicts 81-64. That's 17 points for the math challeged.
Thanks, I ran out of fingers and didn't want to take my shoes off at work. ;)
Quote from: WashDCWarrior on January 24, 2007, 04:47:43 PM
Thanks, I ran out of fingers and didn't want to take my shoes off at work. ;)
You went to Notre Dame??? ;D
would have won by 16 save for that last TO after a rebound and the 3 pointer by SH with time running out.
Kinsella and that damn turnover!!!