Predictions Update
Written by: noreply@blogger.com (Rob Lowe)
Predictions for Marquette BE Wins
Just a quick update on the current predictions for the rest of the season.
(http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_Xpuy4viivhI/SZOhpPZ86rI/AAAAAAAAAk8/3nyZTeScvWM/s400/BE+Histogram+2.12.09.png)
(http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_Xpuy4viivhI/SZOhpPZ86rI/AAAAAAAAAk8/3nyZTeScvWM/s1600-h/BE+Histogram+2.12.09.png)
Most likely view - 13 wins
11 wins or more - 99%
12 wins or more - 91%
13 wins or more - 69%
14 wins or more - 36%
15 wins or more - 10%
16 wins - 1.3%
Where the predictions originally had a view as low at nine wins, and then a most likely view of 14 wins, we now start to head back towards a view of 13 wins.
Here's the key question... Is 13 wins enough for the Bye-Bye?
http://www.crackedsidewalks.com/2009/02/predictions-update.html
I think it depends on who we beat as I think 13 would get us into a tiebreaker situation. We beat UConn or Pitt and I think we get a double bye with 13 wins.