I know this info isn't everyone's cup of tea, so I try not to post it too often. With a few games into conference play, here's an update on the Big East power ratings, used to determine gambling lines. If you're trying to figure the line, add in three-five points for home court and a point or two for "name" teams that get heavy play (Duke, Carolina, etc.).
I'd expect MU will be about a 2 pt favorite over WVU on Saturday (give or take a half point).
Team Current Last HI LOW
Pitt 95 94 95 88
UConn 91 92 93 91
'Ville 89 91 92 89
G'Town 89 89 89 84
ND 88 89 90 88
WVU 88 87 88 84
MU 86 86 88 86
Syr 86 86 86 85
Nova 85 85 88 85
Prov 83 82 84 82
SJU 78 78 80 78
Cincy 78 78 79 77
Rutgers 75 75 76 75
Hall 74 75 76 74
DPU 74 72 74 71
SFU 72 71 74 71
Quote from: MUDish on January 08, 2009, 09:37:45 PM
I know this info isn't everyone's cup of tea, so I try not to post it too often. With a few games into conference play, here's an update on the Big East power ratings, used to determine gambling lines. If you're trying to figure the line, add in three-five points for home court and a point or two for "name" teams that get heavy play (Duke, Carolina, etc.).
I'd expect MU will be about a 2 pt favorite over WVU on Saturday (give or take a half point).
Team Current Last HI LOW
Pitt 95 94 95 88
UConn 91 92 93 91
'Ville 89 91 92 89
G'Town 89 89 89 84
ND 88 89 90 88
WVU 88 87 88 84
MU 86 86 88 86
Syr 86 86 86 85
Nova 85 85 88 85
Prov 83 82 84 82
SJU 78 78 80 78
Cincy 78 78 79 77
Rutgers 75 75 76 75
Hall 74 75 76 74
DPU 74 72 74 71
SFU 72 71 74 71
Thanks for these. I always find this interesting as it shows where a lot of the money is going, and that tells you something. As a bet, the numbers that intrigue me are 'Cuse at 86 the the 'Ville at 89. Looeyvile just seems like a mess right now and the Orange are playing pretty darn good. Sunday Jan 25th they play in New York, and according to these numbers 'Cuse will be barely favored. You have to like Syracuse minus 2 points or less in that matchup.
that list tells me this bet against Loserville every time. bet on Syracuse everytime and take Mu on Sat!!!
The reports of Louisville's demise have been greatly exaggerated. Frankly, I wouldn't be surprised to see them steamroll Villanova this weekend... on the road.
Quote from: Henry Sugar on January 09, 2009, 10:48:59 AMThe reports of Louisville's demise have been greatly exaggerated. Frankly, I wouldn't be surprised to see them steamroll Villanova this weekend... on the road.
Agreed. They did this last year as well. They're too talented to play this way throughout the season, with too good of a coach. By the end of the year, I hate to say it, but I think they'll be playing like a top 10-15 team.