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Author Topic: Vote!  (Read 87328 times)

jesmu84

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Re: Vote!
« Reply #750 on: November 03, 2020, 09:10:08 PM »
Quote from: DegenerateDish on November 03, 2020, 08:24:41 PM
For the first time, Trump now betting favorite at the offshores and has a 40 cent lead in the exchanges.

Ya. This looks like a Trump win
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CreightonWarrior

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Re: Vote!
« Reply #751 on: November 03, 2020, 09:17:40 PM »
Quote from: DegenerateDish on November 03, 2020, 08:24:41 PM
For the first time, Trump now betting favorite at the offshores and has a 40 cent lead in the exchanges.
People must be dumping cash on Trump the way that line is moving.
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DegenerateDish

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Re: Vote!
« Reply #752 on: November 03, 2020, 09:20:49 PM »
Trump has gotten to as high as -900 in last 20 minutes. Exchanges have Trump at $3 over Biden (which for perspective is like the Globetrotters vs Generals).

I did not think the result would be convincing so early (for either side). I think Nate Silver needs to find a different job too.
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GooooMarquette

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Re: Vote!
« Reply #753 on: November 03, 2020, 09:21:25 PM »
Pollsters are starting to look like the political equivalent to meteorologists.
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Galway Eagle

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Re: Vote!
« Reply #754 on: November 03, 2020, 09:27:17 PM »
AZ's interesting. VA's disappointing. Not expecting anything by midnight

Fox: 129 Biden 109 Trump
Huffington Post: 131 Biden 98 Trump
Politico: 131 Biden 99 Trump
CNN: 94 Biden 72 Trump
« Last Edit: November 03, 2020, 09:29:52 PM by Galway Eagle »
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Maigh Eo for Sam

Pakuni

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Re: Vote!
« Reply #755 on: November 03, 2020, 09:41:02 PM »
Republicans: Keep politics and sports separate
Also Republicans: Let's elect a mediocre college football coach to the U.S. Senate
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The Hippie Satan of Hyperbole

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Re: Vote!
« Reply #756 on: November 03, 2020, 09:43:41 PM »
Quote from: DegenerateDish on November 03, 2020, 09:20:49 PM
Trump has gotten to as high as -900 in last 20 minutes. Exchanges have Trump at $3 over Biden (which for perspective is like the Globetrotters vs Generals).

I did not think the result would be convincing so early (for either side). I think Nate Silver needs to find a different job too.

Not just Silver. But the dozens of polls that consistently under-estimate Trump’s support. Just like four years ago.

I don’t think this is over but it clearly won’t project the way most polls were saying.
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“True patriotism hates injustice in its own land more than anywhere else.” - Clarence Darrow

Johnny B

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Re: Vote!
« Reply #757 on: November 03, 2020, 09:54:02 PM »
The polling needs to serious reform. So many states well past the margin of error two elections in a row. This looks like an easy trump win or a narrow biden win. lol so many metrics had biden winning 350 lol..
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Galway Eagle

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Re: Vote!
« Reply #758 on: November 03, 2020, 10:02:14 PM »
Quote from: Johnny B on November 03, 2020, 09:54:02 PM
The polling needs to serious reform. So many states well past the margin of error two elections in a row. This looks like an easy trump win or a narrow biden win. lol so many metrics had biden winning 350 lol..

This. I do think NC and WI are too early but Ohio Florida Texas etc etc were clearly wayyy off. 
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Maigh Eo for Sam

The Hippie Satan of Hyperbole

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Re: Vote!
« Reply #759 on: November 03, 2020, 10:04:09 PM »
Except for guru’s guy. 🤷‍♂️🤷‍♂️🤷‍♂️
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“True patriotism hates injustice in its own land more than anywhere else.” - Clarence Darrow

DegenerateDish

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Re: Vote!
« Reply #760 on: November 03, 2020, 10:09:48 PM »
Funniest tweet I saw tonight...

“He’s named Nate Silver because all his picks come in second place.”
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JWags85

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Re: Vote!
« Reply #761 on: November 03, 2020, 10:21:24 PM »
Quote from: Pakuni on November 03, 2020, 09:41:02 PM
Republicans: Keep politics and sports separate
Also Republicans: Let's elect a mediocre college football coach to the U.S. Senate

Tuberville got elected not to Congress, but the damn Senate. One of 100 Senators was coaching football less than 5 years ago.  Also crazy that it was in Alabama. He’s not from there, has no roots there, literally only spent his time at Auburn there. I could kind of see it as the Bama coach, but no, an Auburn coach who only had 1 great season. Just incredible

Quote from: DegenerateDish on November 03, 2020, 10:09:48 PM
Funniest tweet I saw tonight...

“He’s named Nate Silver because all his picks come in second place.”

I saw tweets calling him Nate Aluminum and Nate Tin which made me laugh
« Last Edit: November 03, 2020, 10:22:59 PM by JWags85 »
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DegenerateDish

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Re: Vote!
« Reply #762 on: November 03, 2020, 10:37:02 PM »
The Tubberville win is just absurd. I don’t care D or R, him winning a Senate (!!!) seat is crazy.
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Pakuni

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Re: Vote!
« Reply #763 on: November 03, 2020, 10:41:37 PM »
Quote from: DegenerateDish on November 03, 2020, 10:37:02 PM
The Tubberville win is just absurd. I don’t care D or R, him winning a Senate (!!!) seat is crazy.

I get that it's Alabama, which nearly sent a sexual predator to the Senate two years ago just because he had an 'R' next to his name. But still, tonight they chose a football coach over a man who prosecuted the Klan and other domestic terrorists.
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Galway Eagle

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Re: Vote!
« Reply #764 on: November 03, 2020, 10:42:46 PM »
Quote from: Pakuni on November 03, 2020, 10:41:37 PM
I get that it's Alabama, which nearly sent a sexual predator to the Senate two years ago just because he had an 'R' next to his name. But still, tonight they chose a football coach over a man who prosecuted the Klan and other domestic terrorists.

Well it's Alabama and he prosecuted the clan... to quote my favorite Alabaman "that's all I have to say about that"
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Maigh Eo for Sam

Hards Alumni

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Re: Vote!
« Reply #765 on: November 03, 2020, 10:46:44 PM »
Lots of results will be in tomorrow, WI, MI, PA are going to be the deciders.
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DegenerateDish

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Re: Vote!
« Reply #766 on: November 03, 2020, 10:55:15 PM »
The Illinois Fair Tax proposal does not pass.
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withoutbias

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Re: Vote!
« Reply #767 on: November 03, 2020, 10:59:01 PM »
Quote from: Hards_Alumni on November 03, 2020, 10:46:44 PM
Lots of results will be in tomorrow, WI, MI, PA are going to be the deciders.

Is there actually a chance of the mail in votes making a big enough difference to give Trump any of those states?
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Pakuni

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Re: Vote!
« Reply #768 on: November 03, 2020, 11:08:35 PM »
Quote from: WithoutBias on November 03, 2020, 10:59:01 PM
Is there actually a chance of the mail in votes making a big enough difference to give Trump any of those states?

Trump or Biden?
There are more than 500k uncounted mail-in ballots from Philly and Pittsburgh alone, so yeah, they're a long way from done in Pennsylvania.
Edit: 2.2 million mail-in ballots left to be counted in Pennsylvania.
« Last Edit: November 03, 2020, 11:14:15 PM by Pakuni »
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Johnny B

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Re: Vote!
« Reply #769 on: November 03, 2020, 11:21:31 PM »
MI and Penn are essentially who knows with tons of mail in votes left to be counted. 77% in WI with 4pt plus trump lead. idk if there more mail in votes to be counted there or not. Hard to bleleive he wins WI by 4 plus
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forgetful

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Re: Vote!
« Reply #770 on: November 03, 2020, 11:27:31 PM »
Quote from: Johnny B on November 03, 2020, 11:21:31 PM
MI and Penn are essentially who knows with tons of mail in votes left to be counted. 77% in WI with 4pt plus trump lead. idk if there more mail in votes to be counted there or not. Hard to bleleive he wins WI by 4 plus

Milwaukee county has barely started counting.

This election might end up being decided in the courts. Fighting over counting mail in ballots in Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania.

Regardless, the electoral college will again be decided by probably something like 100,000 total votes again. With possibly the loser having over 50% of the overall vote and 4-8M vote margin.
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Johnny B

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Re: Vote!
« Reply #771 on: November 03, 2020, 11:28:36 PM »
Quote from: forgetful on November 03, 2020, 11:27:31 PM
Milwaukee county has barely started counting.

This election might end up being decided in the courts. Fighting over counting mail in ballots in Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania.

Regardless, the electoral college will again be decided by probably something like 100,000 total votes again. With possibly the loser having over 50% of the overall vote and 4-8M vote margin.
yeah wonderfull. Shi t storm
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Hards Alumni

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Re: Vote!
« Reply #772 on: November 03, 2020, 11:41:55 PM »
Quote from: WithoutBias on November 03, 2020, 10:59:01 PM
Is there actually a chance of the mail in votes making a big enough difference to give Trump any of those states?

Yes, easily.  Go to any electoral map online and see which counties are still counting.  Plus there are plenty that have stopped counting for the night, and will resume tomorrow.
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Galway Eagle

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Re: Vote!
« Reply #773 on: November 04, 2020, 01:01:17 AM »
Fox: Milwaukee county 99% reported

NY Times: Milwaukee county 41% reported

Same current numbers listed. Weird
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Maigh Eo for Sam

Johnny B

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Re: Vote!
« Reply #774 on: November 04, 2020, 01:30:58 AM »
ap says 90 %
4 point trump lead. its a comfortable trump win unless mke county is like the last stuff count. polls way off on wisco. i see multple apparently credible metrics that gave biden a 95 % chance to win wisco and trump wins easily. polling sucks.
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