Oso planning to go pro
Which is?
Down 1 w 5 seconds left. Doable.
That you don't need an advanced degree to criticize experts like doctors and the CDC.
Shouldn't India's totals be much higher then?
Wow, I'm very concerned for Benny. Being able to mimic Myron Medcalf's writing so closely implies an oncoming case of dementia.
Quite frankly, the medical community does not want things to change. They profit dramatically from the red-tape and hurdles. Also, the MD's greatly overestimate the complexity of routine tests and the logistics of handling large numbers of samples and large sets of data. This in part stems from medical testing facilities often hiring poorly skilled technicians that don't care about their job.There is no reason that even a small facility couldn't be running 5-10k tests a day. At that scale you could run these for $2 a sample, including labor for a highly skilled PhD level research technicians.We haven't ran 10k tests nationwide yet.We are going to have to agree to disagree on the feasibility of large scale testing and drive through facilities.
I think the goal here would be get to summer, when infection rates for this type of thing naturally slow, and hopefully use that time to bolster our healthcare capacity to adjust to a new, covid-19 reality. But I'm sure others are much more knowledgeable about this endgame than me. We've been peppering this thread with potential "new post covid-19 panic" implications, and maybe here's another one - an increase in medical care capacity that honestly was probably increasingly necessary as the boomers aged anyway. If we boost our medical care infrastructure in a way that sticks, and we adjust to the boomers' health care needs by increasing supply more, and just trying to manage demand less, that's probably a silver lining from this.
Along the lines of other posts wondering about the lasting social/cultural impact of this, I find myself wondering if there will be significant changes in the use and/or acceptance of "virtual learning environments." Obviously, a lot of schools have been increasingly heading that direction, and this certainly accelerates that process. I wonder if this will lead to more wide-spread use even in the normal course of affairs as people become more accustomed to it.
Chicago just cancelled the downtown, south side and northwest side st Patrick's day parades.
https://www.cnbc.com/2020/03/11/top-federal-health-official-says-coronavirus-outbreak-is-going-to-get-worse-in-the-us.htmlWe're passed a point of containment and into mitigation to flatten the curve so to speak. Government enforced quarantine's will become more common and widespread. A significant portion of schools, if not most, will be excused. An expansion of the air travel ban to infected areas(areas of Europe not already included) will most certainly happen. Its possible this was unavoidable in a free society, but not having adequate testing available when this popped up removed any doubt about being able to respond to this via a containment strategy.
Ya, we providers LOVE the red tape and hoops we have to jump through to get things approved.
10x more lethal than flu. Additionally, permanent lung damage seen in severe cases even where they recover. So...not good, and not comparable to the flu really. Take care of yourselves, folks.
This is an example of why data fluency is missing in most modern communication. Covid-19 is not definitely 10x more deadly than the flu. It could be but we don't have nearly enough underlying data to know. The numerator(# of deaths) is known but the denominator(# of infected) unknown/under reported. There are lots of indicators that people are contracting the virus and recovering without testing and/or medical intervention.
Connecticut postponed or cancelled all St. Patrick's Day parades two days ago.
This is an example of why data fluency is missing in most modern communication. Covid-19 is not definitely 10x more deadly than the flu. It could be but we don't have nearly enough underlying data to know. The numerator(# of deaths) is known but the denominator(# of infected) unknown/under reported. There are lots of indicators that people are contracting the virus and recovering without testing and/or medical intervention.Look at it this way, there have been ~4000 deaths in ~a month(being very conservative) so at that rate the annual mortality is about 48,000 year whereas flu killed 80,000 last year(to be fair the average is around 60,000 annually). When you factor in this is a new virus in which we need to develop standard interventions and procedures, I have no doubt that covid-19 will kill more(probably a lot more) than the flu but we are reacting as if this is some sort of super bug or cataclysmic event. Maybe it will be but there is definitely not enough evidence to point that way yet. With sometime we will develop standard interventions that will lower the mortality rate. #TrustTheProcessBottom line, slow the infection curve and generally speaking if you get the virus you'll be fine, make sure to keep it to yourself if you can.
UW-Madison going online until at least April 10th.
Great idea. Let's have everyone spend the entire day in completely packed bars instead.
Eng, I hear you on purity of data, etc. This wasn't some guy on social though. He is the director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases and is leading much of the communication for the government. Long-time bureaucrat across multiple administrations. He is trying to get folks to do something and making a point that people need to take this seriously.