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Marquette
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Author Topic: Bracketology Thread 2023  (Read 80863 times)

CountryRoads

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Re: Bracketology Thread 2023
« Reply #775 on: March 11, 2023, 08:49:31 AM »
And I'll echo what Wisblue said. If we switched resumes with Baylor, yall would be screaming about them not having enough Q1 games and too weak of a SOS

I’m not sure about that. Think most would be pretty humbled by the fact that we were pounded in the head to head. The only screaming done would be that the team finished 2-4 and is once again collapsing.

Uncle Rico

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Re: Bracketology Thread 2023
« Reply #776 on: March 11, 2023, 08:50:26 AM »
I’m not sure about that. Think most would be pretty humbled by the fact that we were pounded in the head to head. The only screaming done would be that the team finished 2-4 and is once again collapsing.

If Marquette finished like Baylor, NLW and furley would have parade down Wisconsin Avenue
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TAMU, Knower of Ball

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Re: Bracketology Thread 2023
« Reply #777 on: March 11, 2023, 09:07:30 AM »
I’m not sure about that. Think most would be pretty humbled by the fact that we were pounded in the head to head. The only screaming done would be that the team finished 2-4 and is once again collapsing.

Poking my head over on their fan forum, that's not the case. They are screaming about finishing 2-4 but also screaming that they deserve the 2 seed over us and Gonzaga. I guess we must just have better fans.

Just realized I'm talking about Baylor so it's a given that we have better fans but I don't think we're any less of homers
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Dr. Blackheart

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Re: Bracketology Thread 2023
« Reply #778 on: March 11, 2023, 09:09:37 AM »
If Marquette finished like Baylor, NLW and furley would have parade down Wisconsin Avenue

That would be a one person parade, hey? 

Ellenson Guerrero

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Re: Bracketology Thread 2023
« Reply #779 on: March 11, 2023, 09:10:10 AM »
Poking my head over on their fan forum, that's not the case. They are screaming about finishing 2-4 but also screaming that they deserve the 2 seed over us and Gonzaga. I guess we must just have better fans.

Just realized I'm talking about Baylor so it's a given that we have better fans but I don't think we're any less of homers

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Galway Eagle

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Re: Bracketology Thread 2023
« Reply #780 on: March 11, 2023, 09:14:57 AM »
How many wins does one need to have a ton of losses that just don't matter because they're all "good losses" I mean at a certain point W & Ls is what the seasons actually about...
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ATL MU Warrior

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Re: Bracketology Thread 2023
« Reply #781 on: March 11, 2023, 09:36:18 AM »
You shouldn’t be able to go 2-4 since the reveal and stay on the same seed line.  At some point, wins have to be a requirement to maintain your position. I get that they’re losing to really good teams, but they are still LOSING.

wadesworld

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Re: Bracketology Thread 2023
« Reply #782 on: March 11, 2023, 09:45:17 AM »
If we get a 3 seed MU’s non conference schedule going forward should be at Kansas, at Duke, and road games against every Big 12 school (since they’ll all be Q1). Skip the tournaments, skip the rivalry games, cancel the home and homes, skip the conference vs. conference games.

Go 0-14 against those teams, no problem. Win even 4 of them? Give us that 1 seed.
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TAMU, Knower of Ball

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Re: Bracketology Thread 2023
« Reply #783 on: March 11, 2023, 09:53:04 AM »
How many wins does one need to have a ton of losses that just don't matter because they're all "good losses" I mean at a certain point W & Ls is what the seasons actually about...

It depends on your whole resume. Look at Virginia  They have the same overall record as us and are playing in the ACC championship yet they are projected to be 6 to 8 spots behind us on S Curve. Who you beat matters
« Last Edit: March 11, 2023, 09:56:32 AM by TAMU, Knower of Ball »
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TAMU, Knower of Ball

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Re: Bracketology Thread 2023
« Reply #784 on: March 11, 2023, 09:55:36 AM »
If we get a 3 seed MU’s non conference schedule going forward should be at Kansas, at Duke, and road games against every Big 12 school (since they’ll all be Q1). Skip the tournaments, skip the rivalry games, cancel the home and homes, skip the conference vs. conference games.

Go 0-14 against those teams, no problem. Win even 4 of them? Give us that 1 seed.

I mean you can try that but I wouldn't recommend it. Baylor has 11 Q1 wins and they are either going to be the last 2 or top 3 seed. Oklahoma has 6 Q1 wins and they aren't even making the NIT. I don't think 4 Q1 wins would cut it for a 1 seed. Or even a tourney berth
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Frenns Liquor Depot

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Re: Bracketology Thread 2023
« Reply #785 on: March 11, 2023, 10:03:24 AM »
You shouldn’t be able to go 2-4 since the reveal and stay on the same seed line.  At some point, wins have to be a requirement to maintain your position. I get that they’re losing to really good teams, but they are still LOSING.

If the system is as described it’s flawed.  Very good/deep conferences deserve more bids because of their depth, not higher seeds. 

bilsu

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Re: Bracketology Thread 2023
« Reply #786 on: March 11, 2023, 10:06:43 AM »
I mean you can try that but I wouldn't recommend it. Baylor has 11 Q1 wins and they are either going to be the last 2 or top 3 seed. Oklahoma has 6 Q1 wins and they aren't even making the NIT. I don't think 4 Q1 wins would cut it for a 1 seed. Or even a tourney berth
Both have a lot of quality wins, because the non-conference season said the league is by far the best. This may be true, but we will not know until the sweet 16 is played how good the Big 12 really is.

bilsu

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Re: Bracketology Thread 2023
« Reply #787 on: March 11, 2023, 10:14:17 AM »
If the system is as described it’s flawed.  Very good/deep conferences deserve more bids because of their depth, not higher seeds.
I think there should be a minimum number of conference wins required, which can be achieve with wins in conference tournament. 20 game conference schedules should require at least 9 conference wins, maybe 10 to get in. There is no need to take teams with bad records, just because they have a tough schedule.

JakeBarnes

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Re: Bracketology Thread 2023
« Reply #788 on: March 11, 2023, 10:37:53 AM »
I think there should be a minimum number of conference wins required, which can be achieve with wins in conference tournament. 20 game conference schedules should require at least 9 conference wins, maybe 10 to get in. There is no need to take teams with bad records, just because they have a tough schedule.

Quality vs quantity. Don't entice conferences to try and poach depaul so they can add meaningless wins for that sort of criteria.

This is a pretty strong top This year. SEVEN teams are in 1 seed contention. Someone is gonna get screwed for being good in a year where other topt eams are really frigging good.
Assume what I say should be in teal if it doesn't pass the smell test for you.


lawdog77

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Re: Bracketology Thread 2023
« Reply #789 on: March 11, 2023, 10:44:40 AM »
Our conference needs to figure out how to inflate our bottom-feeders NET. Is it making them schedule bad teams and beating them by 30+? Or have them schedule middle of the road teams (like Oklahoma did). When the whole conference is basically Top 75 net, it's impossible to drop too far in the NET

Uncle Rico

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Re: Bracketology Thread 2023
« Reply #790 on: March 11, 2023, 11:29:20 AM »
Our conference needs to figure out how to inflate our bottom-feeders NET. Is it making them schedule bad teams and beating them by 30+? Or have them schedule middle of the road teams (like Oklahoma did). When the whole conference is basically Top 75 net, it's impossible to drop too far in the NET

The scheduling is fine.  It’s up to the schools whether they want to be good at basketball or not.  DePaul and GTown haven’t.  DePaul for a long time and GTown the last few years.
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Juan Anderson's Mixtape

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Re: Bracketology Thread 2023
« Reply #791 on: March 11, 2023, 11:37:42 AM »
If the system is as described it’s flawed.  Very good/deep conferences deserve more bids because of their depth, not higher seeds.

Thankfully, the system compensates for this flaw by taking many more teams than can realistically win the championship.

Once the tournament starts, seeds aren't all that relevant.  Matchups, hot/cold shooting, upsets, and luck can be the difference between losing early and winning it all.

lawdog77

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Re: Bracketology Thread 2023
« Reply #792 on: March 11, 2023, 11:40:41 AM »
The scheduling is fine.  It’s up to the schools whether they want to be good at basketball or not.  DePaul and GTown haven’t.  DePaul for a long time and GTown the last few years.
To a point, but I look at Oklahoma. They played one tourney team in the non conference and lost by double digits. They also lost to Sam Houston, beat Arkansas Pine Bluff by only 8, South Alabama by 4. Their key to a good NET preconference was don't schedule the horrible teams.

Juan Anderson's Mixtape

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Re: Bracketology Thread 2023
« Reply #793 on: March 11, 2023, 11:43:32 AM »
To a point, but I look at Oklahoma. They played one tourney team in the non conference and lost by double digits. They also lost to Sam Houston, beat Arkansas Pine Bluff by only 8, South Alabama by 4. Their key to a good NET preconference was don't schedule the horrible teams.

They also beat Alabama by a million points in a non-conference game.  That was later in the year.  I know the timing probably caused your oversight.

BM1090

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Re: Bracketology Thread 2023
« Reply #794 on: March 11, 2023, 11:54:40 AM »
Uab -1.5 tonight

Opened FAU -1.5. Lots of $$ on UAB

Elonsmusk

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Re: Bracketology Thread 2023
« Reply #795 on: March 11, 2023, 12:05:18 PM »
Anyone want to wager on who is seeded higher, Baylor or Marquette?  I'm taking Marquette, regardless of the outcome of tonight's game against X.

lawdog77

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Re: Bracketology Thread 2023
« Reply #796 on: March 11, 2023, 01:00:51 PM »
They also beat Alabama by a million points in a non-conference game.  That was later in the year.  I know the timing probably caused your oversight.
yep. oops

Dr. Blackheart

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Re: Bracketology Thread 2023
« Reply #797 on: March 11, 2023, 01:09:03 PM »
They also beat Alabama by a million points in a non-conference game.  That was later in the year.  I know the timing probably caused your oversight.

So if Missouri beats Bama today, does our seeding go up based upon our Secret Scrimmage W? 

tower912

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Re: Bracketology Thread 2023
« Reply #798 on: March 11, 2023, 01:10:09 PM »
Yes.  Reverse Beasley.
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forgetful

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Re: Bracketology Thread 2023
« Reply #799 on: March 11, 2023, 01:11:44 PM »
Our conference needs to figure out how to inflate our bottom-feeders NET. Is it making them schedule bad teams and beating them by 30+? Or have them schedule middle of the road teams (like Oklahoma did). When the whole conference is basically Top 75 net, it's impossible to drop too far in the NET

You want to schedule as teams in the 130-180 range and beat them by double digits instead of beating the 180-250 range teams.

The quality of team at 150 and 220 really isn't that different, but it means a lot in the computer rankings and NET. That is largely how the power conferences are gaming the system, just like the RPI used to be gamed. It sets a very high baseline in NET for the whole conference, and then they all rise.