Scholarship table
This is nuts. 96% asymptomatic across 4 different prisons? It feels like the further we get into this, the less we know. https://thehill.com/homenews/state-watch/494670-ninety-six-percent-of-inmates-in-four-state-prisons-who-tested-positive
Detailed article on why Sweden's path was the right way to gohttps://medium.com/@don.donovan/what-should-we-do-about-covid19-9c3b1719b77d
Or, if we had a better safety net in place, there would be less angst about a couple of additional weeks of safer in place.
In the early weeks of coronavirus - the US saw over 15,000 additional deaths in the country than usual that probably were because of the virus, but not counted as such. This was at the time when there were well under 10,000 confirmed deaths.
Any article that starts with "death rate fraud" is going to be ignored. Clearly there are problems with the stat, but they are way overblowing it. And using "fraud" to describe it is disingenuous.And not only that, but what do people think is going to happen here? Things ARE going to open back up. Some at the end of this week. Some in two weeks. Some a bit later. Bascially the "Sweden-model" is going to be in place here.
I agree that "fraud" is the wrong word, but .. the concept that there is a "real" death rate is not entirely wrong. What we're finding about massive asymptomatic populations is that our case undercount is astronomical.I also agree the "Sweden Model" is going to be put in place eventually -- except I'd bet on openings .. and future closings when there's the inevitable surge(s).
Barring absolute catastrophe - like hospitals across the country looking like NY with Italy-type death rates, and maybe still not even then - I think we press ahead with degrees of reopening only from here on out.
I don't think its a given that we are going to see future closings to combat surges. We in the US have shown (what to me anyway) appears to be a unique degree of polarization regarding the costs/benefits of quarantine. I think that the appetite to close back down, even in the face of infection rate surges, will be extremely low. Barring absolute catastrophe - like hospitals across the country looking like NY with Italy-type death rates, and maybe still not even then - I think we press ahead with degrees of reopening only from here on out.
Just to cover all my bases, I agree, and disagree! I think many businesses (mine, and my wife's included) are settling in on what the "new normal" will be for the foreseeable future (which, admittedly, might mean only a couple months). That is: 1) neither company has had any layoffs or furloughs (though regardless, the following may still be true) 2) Offices have been closed, or extremely sparse (<= 10% attendance) 3) In the near term, offices will be ramped up to 20-50% attendance 4) But no current plans to bring more than that back. Much more WFH than in the past, going forward.Distancing, and employee safety is the focus - and no changes to that are expected in the next few months. Commercial real-estate is probably going to suffer.
Commercial real-estate is probably going to suffer.
In spades. Warehouses will be valuable, but office space value is going down big time.
Yep. I predict that this will be one of the most significant legacies of the virus.Employers have discovered that many of their workers can perform their duties from home perfectly fine, and will be asking themselves why they are spending thousands of dollars in occupancy costs (rent, utilities, tech costs) per employee when they don't really need to.
Agree, though this already happened at my firm and many others. Our office only had a ~60% occupancy rate on any given day, so we shrunk our footprint and went to an open/shared space. Kind of sucked, IMO, but $ almost exclusively drive every decision unfortunately.
Something to watch closelyPremier league looking to start in early JuneSerie A starting end of may early JuneGerman league to begin training in a couple weeks
Gives us an idea of path forward. Hopefully we can get some form of baseball this year.Even with empty stadiums, its not like anything would change for the Marlins.
As every business decision should be (within ethical limits). The problem is that many companies focus on short-term vs. long-term.
Indeed, and that is the potential problem I see. For me personally, I get a ton of value by being able to collaborate, often informally, with my colleagues. That just isn't possible when no one is in the office, and it is far more difficult via IM or WebEx/Zoom. And more broadly, I don't see how the folks with 0-3 years of experience are supposed to learn and be mentored remotely. But, I'll allow that maybe I am just old and set in my ways and that it will all work out fine, but it was a decision driven by $ rather than long-term planning.