MUScoop

MUScoop => Hangin' at the Al => Topic started by: Elonsmusk on December 16, 2022, 02:03:39 PM

Title: MU -3 against Creighton - Thoughts
Post by: Elonsmusk on December 16, 2022, 02:03:39 PM
If you were to gamble on this game, what would you do?

Moneyline is MU -160, give the 3 points and it is -110.

I did a two-team Parlay with Xavier to win on the Monelyine at -610 and MU to cover (giving 3) to get to +122 on the Moneyline.

Also went large on Xavier -610 on the Moneyline with profits from a hot streak I've been on.
Title: Re: MU -3 against Creighton - Thoughts
Post by: #UnleashSean on December 16, 2022, 02:05:05 PM
Gambling is bad mmmmk.
Title: Re: MU -3 against Creighton - Thoughts
Post by: GoldenEagles03 on December 16, 2022, 02:10:17 PM
If you were to gamble on this game, what would you do?

Moneyline is MU -160, give the 3 points and it is -110.

I did a two-team Parlay with Xavier to win on the Monelyine at -610 and MU to cover (giving 3) to get to +122 on the Moneyline.

Also went large on Xavier -610 on the Moneyline with profits from a hot streak I've been on.

Flip a coin.
Title: Re: MU -3 against Creighton - Thoughts
Post by: MU82 on December 16, 2022, 02:18:52 PM
If you were to gamble on this game, what would you do?

Moneyline is MU -160, give the 3 points and it is -110.

I did a two-team Parlay with Xavier to win on the Monelyine at -610 and MU to cover (giving 3) to get to +122 on the Moneyline.

Also went large on Xavier -610 on the Moneyline with profits from a hot streak I've been on.

I hope any winnings go to charity.
Title: Re: MU -3 against Creighton - Thoughts
Post by: Uncle Rico on December 16, 2022, 02:21:00 PM
If you were to gamble on this game, what would you do?

Moneyline is MU -160, give the 3 points and it is -110.

I did a two-team Parlay with Xavier to win on the Monelyine at -610 and MU to cover (giving 3) to get to +122 on the Moneyline.

Also went large on Xavier -610 on the Moneyline with profits from a hot streak I've been on.

Marquette is winning by a dozen
Title: Re: MU -3 against Creighton - Thoughts
Post by: Elonsmusk on December 16, 2022, 02:24:14 PM
Marquette is winning by a dozen

Bold...and don't necessarily disagree especially if Kalkbrenner is out.
Title: Re: MU -3 against Creighton - Thoughts
Post by: CountryRoads on December 16, 2022, 02:24:22 PM
Too much uncertainty around Kalkbrenner. Add in the fact that Marquette typically sucks in opening big east games and usually gets blown out.
Title: Re: MU -3 against Creighton - Thoughts
Post by: NCMUFan on December 16, 2022, 02:40:35 PM
I remember our very first against UCONN.  A very delightful game.
Title: Re: MU -3 against Creighton - Thoughts
Post by: fjm on December 16, 2022, 02:41:48 PM
I put small potatoes ($50) on X to cover 10 vs Georgetown.

I’m going to probably take the Under on the MU Creighton game.
Title: Re: MU -3 against Creighton - Thoughts
Post by: fjm on December 16, 2022, 02:42:15 PM
Too much uncertainty around Kalkbrenner. Add in the fact that Marquette typically sucks in opening big east games and usually gets blown out.

This is why I’m gonna put money on the under likely.
Title: Re: MU -3 against Creighton - Thoughts
Post by: GoldenEagles03 on December 16, 2022, 02:53:19 PM
This is why I’m gonna put money on the under likely.

I forgot how bad we've been to open league play.  Even lost to DePaul IIRC one of the Wojo years to open.  Just can't start 0-3 like last year and hope to recover.  7 game winstreaks in the Big East are rare. Last year was special.
Title: Re: MU -3 against Creighton - Thoughts
Post by: DegenerateDish on December 16, 2022, 02:54:55 PM
Oso over 2.5 assists (price is bad on DK, would rather play on PrizePicks).

One of Oso or Prosper will get 8+ boards, Creighton (with exception of UT game) has been getting beaten on the boards, including BYU thumping them. Oso is +136 on FD to get 8 boards, Prosper +450. Creighton has allowed a double digit opposition rebounder in 3 straight.
Title: Re: MU -3 against Creighton - Thoughts
Post by: Goose on December 16, 2022, 02:55:30 PM
Elon

I like both bets, I think we cover tonight.
Title: Re: MU -3 against Creighton - Thoughts
Post by: BM1090 on December 16, 2022, 03:02:09 PM
Lean MU but staying away tonight. Betting against teams in a slump hasn't worked much for me.
Title: Re: MU -3 against Creighton - Thoughts
Post by: Jay Bee on December 16, 2022, 03:07:03 PM
We don’t win close games so might as well do us -3 instead of the money line
Title: Re: MU -3 against Creighton - Thoughts
Post by: zcg2013 on December 16, 2022, 03:39:38 PM
If you were to gamble on this game, what would you do?

Moneyline is MU -160, give the 3 points and it is -110.

I did a two-team Parlay with Xavier to win on the Monelyine at -610 and MU to cover (giving 3) to get to +122 on the Moneyline.

Also went large on Xavier -610 on the Moneyline with profits from a hot streak I've been on.

Hopefully large is lots of units to bet -610 on its own.
Title: Re: MU -3 against Creighton - Thoughts
Post by: mubb3434 on December 16, 2022, 04:10:03 PM
Creighton is due for a hot shooting game....Hopefully it's not tonight.
Title: Re: MU -3 against Creighton - Thoughts
Post by: Elonsmusk on December 16, 2022, 04:21:46 PM
Hopefully large is lots of units to bet -610 on its own.

I rolled $1220 on it...80% of all profits from the last couple of weeks.  I forsee very little homecourt advantage for Georgetown in the way of audience participation.  Kenpom has X at an 82% win probability.

Now, I'll be pretty heated if GTown beats X tonight but it is house money.
Title: Re: MU -3 against Creighton - Thoughts
Post by: Elonsmusk on December 16, 2022, 04:26:15 PM
Just added Kam to make over 2.5, 3-pointers at +103 
Title: Re: MU -3 against Creighton - Thoughts
Post by: Mu8891 on December 16, 2022, 04:28:19 PM
MU should win tonight.

The fact that CU has been SO bad for last two weeks concerns me.  MU needs to jump on them early
Title: Re: MU -3 against Creighton - Thoughts
Post by: DegenerateDish on December 16, 2022, 04:42:45 PM
Part of the reason (outside of Kalkbrenner being out) Creighton has struggled the last three weeks is the ridiculous schedule McDermott put together. They go to Maui, get the Maui hangover every team gets, go to Austin, then schedule a rivalry game, then go to Vegas for two games, and now come to Milwaukee. That’s absurd scheduling. Between that and Kalkbrenner having mono, this is the perfect spot for MU to catch Creighton. Blue Jays have three straight home games after tonight, I’m sure they can’t wait to get home.
Title: Re: MU -3 against Creighton - Thoughts
Post by: Elonsmusk on December 16, 2022, 04:50:31 PM
Part of the reason (outside of Kalkbrenner being out) Creighton has struggled the last three weeks is the ridiculous schedule McDermott put together. They go to Maui, get the Maui hangover every team gets, go to Austin, then schedule a rivalry game, then go to Vegas for two games, and now come to Milwaukee. That’s absurd scheduling. Between that and Kalkbrenner having mono, this is the perfect spot for MU to catch Creighton. Blue Jays have three straight home games after tonight, I’m sure they can’t wait to get home.

Very good info. 
Title: Re: MU -3 against Creighton - Thoughts
Post by: brewcity77 on December 16, 2022, 04:59:32 PM
This is also Creighton looking like the natural progression of who they were last year and not the crazy top-10 projections people like Rothstein and Dauster assigned to them. Creighton was #50 in kenpom last year, it's rare for those teams to jump to the top-10 without a major talent infusion. Fringe top-25 was always the realistic expectation here.
Title: Re: MU -3 against Creighton - Thoughts
Post by: DoctorV on December 16, 2022, 05:30:13 PM
Just added Kam to make over 2.5, 3-pointers at +103

I got that one at ND at +110.
Good luck!
Title: Re: MU -3 against Creighton - Thoughts
Post by: avid1010 on December 16, 2022, 05:36:28 PM
Sharp $ was waiting to hit the under...but has continued to hold off as no one can get confirmation on Kalkbrenner.  That's not normal...CU doing an impressive job of keeping the lid on that one.  There has been zero talk...not even of confirmation that it is truly a GTD. 
Title: Re: MU -3 against Creighton - Thoughts
Post by: Johnny B on December 16, 2022, 06:23:51 PM
is kalkbrener playing?
Title: Re: MU -3 against Creighton - Thoughts
Post by: Oldgym on December 16, 2022, 06:34:55 PM
He is not
Title: Re: MU -3 against Creighton - Thoughts
Post by: DegenerateDish on December 16, 2022, 06:35:06 PM
This is also Creighton looking like the natural progression of who they were last year and not the crazy top-10 projections people like Rothstein and Dauster assigned to them. Creighton was #50 in kenpom last year, it's rare for those teams to jump to the top-10 without a major talent infusion. Fringe top-25 was always the realistic expectation here.

You’re absolutely right, and what’s ironic is their 2022-23 season stock potentially could hit rock bottom tonight, and they’ll then be undervalued.
Title: Re: MU -3 against Creighton - Thoughts
Post by: Uncle Rico on December 16, 2022, 07:05:46 PM
is kalkbrener playing?

Yes
Title: Re: MU -3 against Creighton - Thoughts
Post by: Johnny B on December 16, 2022, 07:29:47 PM
Yes
tell me where they hurt you buddy
Title: Re: MU -3 against Creighton - Thoughts
Post by: Newsdreams on December 16, 2022, 07:40:54 PM
tell me where they hurt you buddy
Painful
Title: Re: MU -3 against Creighton - Thoughts
Post by: BLWarrior91 on December 16, 2022, 09:49:17 PM
Marquette is winning by a dozen
Nice call!  Being within a pint is better than the “experts”.
Title: Re: MU -3 against Creighton - Thoughts
Post by: Uncle Rico on December 17, 2022, 07:06:15 AM
Nice call!  Being within a pint is better than the “experts”.

After reading FoldingBeagles I felt confident they’d win easily