Scholarship table
Finding first deaths earlier than previously thought. Also in Santa Clara. The area that had the anti-body study done. https://www.washingtonpost.com/nation/2020/04/22/death-coronavirus-first-california/
I can't read the article because it's behind a paywall.Does the head of CDC apologize for horribly botching their initial attempts to make test kits, and acknowledge that this wouldn't be nearly as bad if they had gotten their sh!t together sooner?Edit: Is WaPo the only major newspaper that still has its COVID stories behind a paywall? Both NYT and WSJ have been allowing access for quite a while.
Unusual blood clotting issues? If this is the case, wouldn't it have presented and been noticed by doctors before this? We had people dying from this since at least January globally, doesn't it seem that if there were an unusually high incidence we would have heard of it earlier?https://www.msn.com/en-us/health/health-news/doctors-try-to-untangle-why-theyre-seeing-unprecedented-blood-clotting-among-covid-19-patients/ar-BB130owV?ocid=spartandhp
If you have Amazon Prime you can subscribe to WaPo online for like $4 a month. It is worth it.
This is a pretty interesting read at how contagious this is and hopefully that it is much more widespread than we think. https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/22/us/coronavirus-sequencing.html
From my reading of the article, it’s still just a hunch (like the “don’t use ibuprofen” thing earlier) and has yet to be studied. Also, some think it happens (if at all) in only a subset (yet to be defined) of COVID patients. A couple of quotes from the article that led me to this:"Even before Covid, we're on high alert for suspicion of clots in the ICU because they're at high risk," Gong said.Even so, doctors have a hunch that Covid patients might be clotting even more than other ICU patients.And this:"My gut tells me there are probably a subset of Covid patients who have really abnormal clotting behavior, that this is happening more frequently than we would expect it to," said Hibbert, an instructor at Harvard Medical School.She quickly added, though, that doctors' gut feelings are "notoriously misleading" and that studies need to be done to get to the bottom of exactly how common clotting is among coronavirus patients.Anyhow, good to know docs are looking into this. I suspect that, even though we haven’t heard about it, ICU docs treating COVID patients are well aware of this hunch.
So yeah, about herd immunity...the populace doesn't develop herd immunity to more common coronaviruses, what is leading us to believe that we will for COVID-19?
I suspect it’s because most coronaviruses mutate before we can get the critical mass for herd immunity. This virus (at least the antigenic part) seems not to do that. Again - speculation based on what I’ve heard so far....
The other coronaviruses do not mutate any more rapidly that SARS-CoV2. It is simply a matter of any immunity not lasting a particularly long time, and the virus becoming endemic in a population. It appears we are going to have this become endemic. What we can hope for, and I think will be the case, is that subsequent rounds of infection have lower mortality due to a slightly elevated immune response. That means mortality can be significantly lowered, but infection rates remaining high. The good news is that this doesn't affect children as severely, so we do not have to worry about long-term high mortality in kids (previously uninfected).
Helpful information. I thought I read something about a slower mutation rate, but I can’t find it right now. I trust your info.Regarding future rounds of infection, I think you are right that are that the elevated immune response will help. Also, we will hopefully have some effective treatments by then, like we now do with HIV/AIDS.
The more I read about Sweden I wonder if they had it right?
I had a long call with a former colleague of mine yesterday. He lives in an Atlanta suburb. They are soft-launching a re-opening of the state this week. Asked if he was nervous, he said slightly but his business is in tough shape and he is more worried about his employees and the economic future. In my opinion this is why the protests are happening. It is easy for Sam Dekker or the nation's wealthy to vent on Twitter to stay home, and they may be right for certain segments of society. Put yourself in the shoes of someone who has their livelihood imploding or believe their individual rights are trampled on and disagreements happen. I can rationally see the arguments of both sides.The more I read about Sweden I wonder if they had it right? But if we took that approach, would the political willpower to withstand the deaths and the incredible criticism that goes with it be tolerable? Almost certainly no.
Dude. We know why the protests are happening. And it has nothing to do with the virus or economy.