Author Topic: 1-point dog to DePaul (Read 2806 times)

Windyplayer · « **on:** February 23, 2018, 05:45:30 PM »

Per ESPN app. Um, wow. Vegas really doubling down on the Howard injury. This SEEMS like really easy money.

GooooMarquette · « **Reply #1 on:** February 23, 2018, 05:49:51 PM »

Being a home game and all....

skianth16 · « **Reply #2 on:** February 23, 2018, 05:53:40 PM »

Quote from: GooooMarquette on February 23, 2018, 05:49:51 PM

Being a home game and all....

Right. I'm even planning to be there early enough to sing along when they play the alma mater.

tower912 · « **Reply #3 on:** February 23, 2018, 05:54:03 PM »

Basically a road pick em.

GooooMarquette · « **Reply #4 on:** February 23, 2018, 06:00:17 PM »

Quote from: skianth16 on February 23, 2018, 05:53:40 PM

Right. I'm even planning to be there early enough to sing along when they play the alma mater.

I'll be listening on TV to hear the first chant of "This is Our House" at the new digs.

Floorslapper · « **Reply #5 on:** February 23, 2018, 06:27:15 PM »

Quote from: Windyplayer on February 23, 2018, 05:45:30 PM

Per ESPN app. Um, wow. Vegas really doubling down on the Howard injury. This SEEMS like really easy money.

Vegas generally goes off of KenPom projection, yet we are favored to win by 2 in Pomeroy. Considering we've been playing MUCH better with Markus sidelined, assuming Markus is out again Saturday, MU getting 1 seems like a lock to me. I suspect we win by 10-15 tomorrow.

NickelDimer · « **Reply #6 on:** February 23, 2018, 06:29:05 PM »

I hope the team is aware of this

muwarrior69 · « **Reply #7 on:** February 23, 2018, 06:31:13 PM »

Quote from: Floorslapper on February 23, 2018, 06:27:15 PM

Vegas generally goes off of KenPom projection, yet we are favored to win by 2 in Pomeroy. Considering we've been playing MUCH better with Markus sidelined, assuming Markus is out again Saturday, MU getting 1 seems like a lock to me. I suspect we win by 10-15 tomorrow.

I get really nervous when some of us start counting our chickens before they hatch.

Loose Cannon · « **Reply #8 on:** February 23, 2018, 06:33:43 PM »

Quote from: muwarrior69 on February 23, 2018, 06:31:13 PM

I get really nervous when some of us start counting our chickens before they hatch.

Amen

Mr. Nielsen · « **Reply #9 on:** February 23, 2018, 06:34:06 PM »

ESPN App is trash.

CBS App has MU as a 3.5 point favorite.

FOX Sport App has MU -3.5. FOX Sports App is great for Big East highlights.

Eldon · « **Reply #10 on:** February 23, 2018, 06:37:01 PM »

Bradley Center South

Dr. Blackheart · « **Reply #11 on:** February 23, 2018, 06:40:47 PM »

Quote from: Eldon on February 23, 2018, 06:37:01 PM

Bradley Center South

Double Beef 'n Chadder Hippodrome South, with Potato Cakes on the Side

VegasWarrior77 · « **Reply #12 on:** February 23, 2018, 07:34:51 PM »

The consensus Vegas line is MU -3.5 with an over/under of 155.

auburnmarquette · « **Reply #13 on:** February 23, 2018, 08:04:13 PM »

Quote from: Floorslapper on February 23, 2018, 06:27:15 PM

Vegas generally goes off of KenPom projection, yet we are favored to win by 2 in Pomeroy. Considering we've been playing MUCH better with Markus sidelined, assuming Markus is out again Saturday, MU getting 1 seems like a lock to me. I suspect we win by 10-15 tomorrow.

Vegas starts with kenpom but then adjusts for injuries. One book owner said he never adjusts more than 2 points for a college change (new eligible player or injury), so that would make it a pickem.

Value add claims you take an injury to a top 6 player (Howard 6.41) and subtract the no. 7 player (Jamal Cain 1.14), so in this case that would take Marquette from 2 point favorite to a 3 point dog based on kenpom minus value add injury.

However, the built in home advantage would seem to be mostly eliminated with our fan base so analytically it's tight.

So if you start with analytics as a slight underdog but then make the common sense subjective adjustment for how well Sacar Anim and the freshmen have stepped up I feel good about a win, but I understand the spread.

GooooMarquette · « **Reply #14 on:** February 23, 2018, 08:22:06 PM »

Quote from: muwarrior69 on February 23, 2018, 06:31:13 PM

I get really nervous when some of us start counting our chickens before they hatch.

I'm pretty sure we're a lot less important in that regard than Wojo and the team. As a matter of fact, it's quite possible that overconfident Scoopers have no impact on the outcome....

PGsHeroes32 · « **Reply #15 on:** February 23, 2018, 08:25:14 PM »

We ain’t dogs

Lowest I’ve seen is MU -2

naginiF · « **Reply #16 on:** February 23, 2018, 08:41:29 PM »

Same here. I show MU -3.5 and a 155 O/U.

Give the points and pound the over. 90-81

mileskishnish72 · « **Reply #17 on:** February 23, 2018, 09:09:14 PM »

Agreed, Nagin. I'm down at -1. Plus the parlay.

I very often do not bet on MU games because I'm afraid I will let subjectivity enter the picture.
Sometimes (like this) it just looks to be good to be true (although I'd never buy a stock with the same feeling, so maybe subjectivity has snuck in!).

BM1090 · « **Reply #18 on:** February 23, 2018, 11:56:12 PM »

My ESPN app says MU -3

GB Warrior · « **Reply #19 on:** February 24, 2018, 06:22:09 AM »

I didn't realize that all of DePaul's wins in the BE have come on the road. They haven't won in their new stadium in conference.

I hope someday someone can turn this program around.

skianth16 · « **Reply #20 on:** February 24, 2018, 07:50:08 AM »

Quote from: Mr. Nielsen on February 23, 2018, 06:34:06 PM

ESPN App is trash.
CBS App has MU as a 3.5 point favorite.

FOX Sport App has MU -3.5. FOX Sports App is great for Big East highlights.

I think some sites or apps default to a -1 line for the home team when a game is first loaded. Since the line posted on ESPN or any other sports app doesn't actually impact betting, it's no big deal if they have a default line in there for a few hours or a few days.

RushmoreAcademy · « **Reply #21 on:** February 24, 2018, 07:53:44 AM »

Quote from: GooooMarquette on February 23, 2018, 08:22:06 PM

I'm pretty sure we're a lot less important in that regard than Wojo and the team. As a matter of fact, it's quite possible that overconfident Scoopers have no impact on the outcome....

Blasphemy!!!

Benny B · « **Reply #22 on:** February 24, 2018, 08:12:03 AM »

Opened at -3.5, went to -3 around midnight. I was actually in the process of putting together a BE parlay card when the line changed.

Jay Bee · « **Reply #23 on:** February 24, 2018, 10:47:06 AM »

#FakeNews

We aren't underdogs.

ESPN's sh1t is broken and some of you don't realize it. That's all.

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Author Topic: 1-point dog to DePaul (Read 2806 times)