Kolek planning to go pro
Should we do so if it triples the cost of energy and all consumer goods produced in the United States?
I saw this article this morning.http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/wonkblog/wp/2015/02/04/ben-franklin-lost-a-son-to-smallpox-heres-his-sobering-advice-to-parents-on-immunization/Ben Franklin lost a son to smallpox. Here’s his sobering advice for parents worried about vaccines today.Ben Franklin lost a 4-year-old son to smallpox. He wrote about the incident in his autobiography nearly a half-century later. His words are keenly relevant to the current national conversation about early childhood vaccines, and are worth a close read:In 1736 I lost one of my sons, a fine boy of four years old, by the small-pox, taken in the common way. I long regretted bitterly, and still regret that I had not given it to him by inoculation. This I mention for the sake of parents who omit that operation, on the supposition that they should never forgive themselves if a child died under it; my example showing that the regret may be the same either way, and that, therefore, the safer should be chosen.Many parents in the 1700s avoided inoculating their children for fear of harming them -- just as a minority of parents today refuse to vaccinate due to a drastic misunderstanding of the potential harms and benefits of a vaccination. Franklin ultimately regretted not inoculating his own son (he did so not out of fear of side effects, but because the boy was sick with another illness at the time).The incident stuck with him so much that he went on to co-author a how-to guide on smallpox inoculation with a London physician.As I wrote Tuesday, the incredible success of vaccine programs has afforded us the luxury of indulging in ill-informed skepticism of them. Some 250 years ago, the situation was very different.(A hat tip to Amy Webb on Twitter).Christopher Ingraham writes about politics, drug policy and all things data. He previously worked at the Brookings Institution and the Pew Research Center.
Ben Franklin lost a son to smallpox. Here’s his sobering advice for parents worried about vaccines today.Ben Franklin lost a 4-year-old son to smallpox. He wrote about the incident in his autobiography nearly a half-century later. His words are keenly relevant to the current national conversation about early childhood vaccines, and are worth a close read:In 1736 I lost one of my sons, a fine boy of four years old, by the small-pox, taken in the common way. I long regretted bitterly, and still regret that I had not given it to him by inoculation. This I mention for the sake of parents who omit that operation, on the supposition that they should never forgive themselves if a child died under it; my example showing that the regret may be the same either way, and that, therefore, the safer should be chosen.Many parents in the 1700s avoided inoculating their children for fear of harming them -- just as a minority of parents today refuse to vaccinate due to a drastic misunderstanding of the potential harms and benefits of a vaccination. Franklin ultimately regretted not inoculating his own son (he did so not out of fear of side effects, but because the boy was sick with another illness at the time).The incident stuck with him so much that he went on to co-author a how-to guide on smallpox inoculation with a London physician.
We also know we are in a 19 year pause right now.....climate is so complex....there are so many things we don't know....many more that we don't know then we do. That's the scary part for both outcomes. Meaning, it could get really bad, or it could be nothing at all and things revert. What's the role of the Sun? What's the role of the oceans? How much is man at fault? What about all the farting cows. So on and so forth.
Probably.But it likely wouldn't come to that. Innovation solves many issues.
Wow, I'm very concerned for Benny. Being able to mimic Myron Medcalf's writing so closely implies an oncoming case of dementia.
Your mixing vaccination and inoculation. Ben could have inoculated his son against smallpox - fairly effective - but if he had wanted to vaccinate him, he would have had to invent the vaccine first. Vaccines did not exist at the time.
Exactly... if costs go higher due to greater environmental regulations, the market will react the same way it has for decades....just lay off a bunch of people and replace them with much cheaper robots. Problem solved.
Of course, but that is always going to be the case. That's why you have a budget, routine maintenance, etc, to fix those roads.That is NOT the case with climate change, nor is the cost \ harm on the same level. We KNOW the bridges need to be fixed as we can see the damage AND we can see what new concrete, or paving, or steel can do. This is where you analogy falls short. We have NO IDEA how much money on climate change "fixes" will it take, nor do we even know if it will even work. PLUS, because the climate always changes and for millions of years has gone into cycles of warming and cooling (there's a reason why Greenland is called Greenland), we don't know if 50 years from now or 10,000 years from now things reverse. We just don't know.That's the question. How many trillions do we want to spend and what do we get out of it? Especially in a world where not everyone is playing by the same rules. China "says" they will lower their emissions.....oh, but they have to wait for 20 years before they start....just trust them. So I ask, we are going to spend all of this money, etc, and what are we getting for it? I think it's a fair question. Shouldn't someone be able to say that by doing all of this we believe we will lower C02 by X and temperature by Y? No one is willing to put any metrics behind it, but we should just spend away and just trust the process. No wonder so many people are skeptical. Where's the accountability?
Not that tough, guys.
Until she goes from suck to blow.
One of the most poignant scenes in the Adams series was when John and John Jr were abroad and a small pox epidemic was sweeping through New England. Abigail Adams had the doctor come by with a cart of dead bodies to have her family inoculated. Brutally ineffective compared with today's vaccines but the only possible prescriptive for deadly viral contagions. Imagine the strength Abigail needed to make that decision, alone, in order to save her children. People today have no idea how horrible are these contagions. Idiots who fail to vaccinate put large holes in the herd immunity that enable viruses to propagate.For those who have not seen it, I highly recommend the HBO series on John Adams. We are blessed to have had such men define the concept of America. Today's politicians would do well to study the works of Adams, Jefferson, and Madison.
In a perfect world, this is the kind of stuff kids would be taught in school. And we might actually end up with some good politicians that way.But if you ask the average person now, "Who were Adams, Jefferson, and Madison?" you'd probably get one of two replies. "Weren't they presidents or something?" or "Wasn't Jefferson the guy that liked black chicks?"
This is what I would expect from today's elementary school kids:"Madison is my sister. I also have a cousin named Madison. There's also a Madison in the other class.""Isn't Jefferson that creepy looking guy from that old TV show?""Sam Adams is the guy on my dad's juice box. My dad really, really likes juice."
Not surprisingly, Oregon (Don't Tread on Me) has the highest opt out rate in the nation. Lawmakers are looking at eliminating the philosophical exemption.http://www.oregonlive.com/politics/index.ssf/2015/02/vaccination_philosophical_exem.html
You're putting up hurdles before we even know what they are. Also, China does a lot of dumb sh*t, but that doesn't mean the US should just go along for the ride. Climate change is real. Boom. Truth. Is it all because of humans? Likely not. Too many variables. Do human contribute? Likely yes. Okay, settled. Fine. So what do we do? Well, throwing up our hands because we don't have a youtube video or IKEA instructions on how to fix the problem is silly. We need to start at square one: Human behavior. Can we all understand how we make an impact. How can we minimize it day to day? After that, let's look at industries and see if the private sector can innovate. Maybe some cooperation with governments and public funding. After that, let's use some social, global and economic pressures with our trade partners, so they get their sh*t together as well. After that, let's see if we can find another planet to move to, or at least steal their air with a gigantic spaceship that turns into a maid with a vacuum. Not that tough, guys.
I'm a huge climate change guy. But I agree with you. And, it appears we all agree that we don't know enough about the situation to come up with metrics and measured solutions. So, in light of throwing money at the wall and hoping the solution works (even though we wouldn't have measured results), can we agree to increase funding for studying the situation (the variables, etc)?
Yes, but in exchange I ask that the data be shared with all, including the calculations behind the data. Too many organizations are not being allowed to peer review the data, get access to why the calculations and "adjustments" are made. That seems to be denying science or hiding some of it, which quite frankly I don't understand. I sense it's because they don't want to get in a public debate about how the sausage is made because it could bring even more scrutiny on things, but if things are as serious as some want to make it out to be, then open up the models.
Kids today don't have time for that history stuff. They have to read " Billy Has Two Moms"