Scholarship table
The decisions being made right now carry a lot of weight. And every decision has a tradeoff. Keeping that in mind, we all need to be more thoughtful when reacting to decisions that are being made.
The lockdown won't go on for two months. My guess is that by the end of next week, people are going to gradually do what they normally do. And in four weeks or so, even the 50+ gathering will be largely ignored.This is all about "flattening the curve" for the next ten days. Preventing the spike that Italy and others saw.A lot of people are going to die from this. But even then those stories will be on the back burner as life ramps up again.
Anyone entering the Seattle VA is automatically tested.
Granted, I'm not putting a ton of stock in what politicians are saying, but Cuomo just said that they expect this to peak in NY in 45 days.Yiiikes.
Tested or screened?Because testing everyone who entered that hospital would be extremely irresponsible and not in accordance with guidelines.
Anecdotally, it seems like younger and older people aren't taking this as seriously as gen x-ers and late millenials.I also think that people are willing to shut down for a max of two weeks before they say f it, im getting with my life, consequences be damned.
One other thing I'm having trouble wrapping my brain around. What mechanism would have kept the virus out of the US until recently that we are behind Italy? And if Seattle has true full community spread, why didn't we see more deaths there and those deaths be more spread out. Not trying to be a truther here but trying to make sense of this.
The article mentions scientists and govt officials frustration with younger people feeling immune and ignoring practices that will help to flatten the curve. Middle age and older generations may be skeptical, but more prone to doing what is asked.
What I'm having trouble rationalizing is how much national effort we put into avoiding Coronavirus deaths that we don't put into avoiding deaths of flu, or cancer, or car accidents, or overdoses, or suicides. I'm not trying to sound like I don't care, because I do, but at some point we have to have a frank conversation about how much "effort" is too much effort.
Florida closes all bars and nightclubs for the next 30 days. Basically because younger people were ignoring the social distancing advice.
Does anyone know how having business interruption insurance plays into this?Are you covered if you close down voluntarily? Or if you aren't closed down, but government mandates bring your sales to a standstill?
But restaurants and beaches still wide open. No idea what they are doing
1. Luck of where the initial seeding events occur. If the initial traveler is a resident, who goes home and has limited external travel, not as much initial spread. May buy you a week or two. If the traveler is a tourist, going to a bunch of sites with 100's or 1000's of people. Then you lost yourself some weeks. If our first infections were at say Disney World, we'd be a whole lot worse off right now.2. Population age near initial seeding events. 3. The number of seeding events. Northern Italy, as a big tourist destination site, probably had multiple seeding events. That is what we had a week or two later due to internal travel. I also still have trouble wrapping my head around the numbers. Too many unknowns. What are the true numbers of cases in these countries. The cruise ship, and Korea, suggest an actual death rate of 1%. So that means Italy like has over 200-400k cases right now, and the US has 10-15k cases. We don't really know though because there are too many variables that can affect the fatality rate.
I think you're misunderstanding why people have concerns over the economic impacts of a mass lockdown. Think about all the people living paycheck to paycheck right now who would likely end up missing work. What happens to them if the lockdown goes on for 2 months? What is the ripple effect going forward for the businesses they work for? How will their children eat?
Ft Lauderdale and Miami Beaches are closed. Which really just drew the crowds to the nearby restaurants......Restaurants are to be limited to 50% capacity as well. Interesting question about what exactly defines a bar. Most bars serve food here. But they are very much bars. No one goes to the Square Grouper for food, though they may order wings or a fish sandwich. Can they stay open?
I'm guessing a liquor license is what defines a bar.This was Clearwater beach, yesterday.https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZZamrmTMs6wIn case you have much faith in people to make good decisions.
So, when you struggle with these rationalizations, do you weigh the costs of not making an "effort" to stop/slow COVID-19? .