Scholarship table
1. After the Imperial College's model that originated the lockdown was found to be painfully wrong I'm not sure how much I trust a model out of them.2. Locking down sooner obviously would have saved lives, this feels like mental masturbation for those that want to throw darts at leadership for not coming to terms with the unbelievable a week sooner than we did.
Realistically we weren't going to shut down earlier than we did. And I'm not blaming the President for that. Until New York started to spiral and the NBA postponed, we were not in that mindset as a nation.
DO you know what testing you had? My current understanding is that a positive results means you had it but a negative result means you probably didn't have it but not for sure.
A Harvard health expert predicts an additional 100,000 US coronavirus deaths by Septemberhttps://www.businessinsider.com/harvard-expert-predicts-coronavirus-deaths-in-us-by-september-2020-6We have a long long way to go, and it’s beginning to seem the public is becoming numbed by the staggering numbers.
Agree with this. The week of March 9th went from cautious concern nationally to extreme measures time.
saying we’ll have another 100K during summer months seems like alarmist nonsense.
But .. imagine if we all had put on masks indoors ~3 weeks earlier.
Even with lots of folks being careful, in the past 10 days or so we're averaging around 800-900 deaths per day. No unreasonable that that keeps up for another 90 days...(please check my numbers. I see US deaths @ ~103k on May 31, and at ~112k on Jun 10. 10 day average ~900)
Based on Asia results with the virus, the MO hair salon, more research. I just don't know why this is still a debate/controversial. I'd rather wear a mask and have a semblance of normal movement then the alternative (uncontrolled spread). https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-masks-study/widespread-mask-wearing-could-prevent-covid-19-second-waves-study-idUSKBN23G37VAlso here is a point from Scott Gottlieb that I thought was important. Case increases are not necessarily cause for alarm due to increased testing -- as long as we are TRACING and ISOLATING those cases/contacts. Just goes back to the point to remember why we count (to take action/deploy resources/etc).https://twitter.com/ScottGottliebMD/status/1270850635152400384
Will they require grade school kids to ware masks when/if they return to school? Will the school system supply those masks? What if a 5, 6, or 7 year old takes it off because they don't like waring it. Will they be disciplined or sent home? How will they social distance in a classroom. Will they be able to take their mask off at lunch time or recess and if so how will that prevent the spread? Will music departments be cut as singing spreads the virus.
Unfortunately, society is numb to those numbers. We don't consider them people anymore... just another statistic.
Wearing a mask to some is a sign of looking weak, soft, etc...It doesn't help that the President and others are leading the way on this. For others, it is simply selfish, that nothing has happened to them or their loved ones (yet) so they aren't going to do it. Not taking it seriously. This also was repeatedly advanced by the President, Fox News etc..Wearing a mask of course is a small ask as a safety courtesy to others around you, both strangers, and friends and loved ones.Enough data is out there that suggests it helps, possibly a lot, and worst case, it isn't going to hurt. Finally, wearing a mask is a daily visual reminder of the ongoing severity of the virus, something a certain group or people doesn't want to see for the next 6 months.
But it is a statistic.
The problem it is not is not that many are seeing it as a statistic; it’s that many are seeing it as just a statistic.