Bubble Watch

[GGGG]

Mu may miss the whole thing

Missouri?  Yes.

Marquette?  Not a chance.

[Juan Anderson's Mixtape]

I predict zero chance at a 9.  20% at a 10.  50% at 11.  30% at 12

9. 20%
10. 40%
11. 40%

[forgetful]

I predict zero chance at a 9.  20% at a 10.  50% at 11.  30% at 12

I'd say, 10%, 30%, 50%, 10% for the same seeds.

[brewcity77]

You guys are high if you think we have a shot at 9 or higher.

I think we'll be on the 8/9 line, but think as high as a 7 is realistic. It depends on if they use top-50 wins, computer rankings, or RPI as their main factor in seeding.

[ChitownSpaceForRent]

I think we'll be on the 8/9 line, but think as high as a 7 is realistic. It depends on if they use top-50 wins, computer rankings, or RPI as their main factor in seeding.

Brew, I appreciate your positivity but if we're in consideration for a 7 seed that would be a pretty big miss by the committee. Who knows though, maybe the Nova win carries a pretty big weight.

[PGsHeroes32]

I think we'll be on the 8/9 line, but think as high as a 7 is realistic. It depends on if they use top-50 wins, computer rankings, or RPI as their main factor in seeding.

Seriously?

[Boone]

A 7 seed?! 

Almost did a spit-take on my keyboard over that one.

[brewcity77]

Seriously?

Really. We've heard consistently that top-50 wins is massively important and saw that when they released the top-16. Nothing from 7-11 would surprise me, with 8/9 my expectation.

[jeffreyweee]

Brew is the counter balance to the Mr. Sand-knit types on the board. His unrealistic, unrelenting positivity is almost as bad. Not a single bracket has us higher than 9 yet Brew thinks were a top 21-24 team with a chance at 7.

9-12 are the realistic options.

[Dr. Blackheart]

Really. We've heard consistently that top-50 wins is massively important and saw that when they released the top-16. Nothing from 7-11 would surprise me, with 8/9 my expectation.

MU needed a win in the BET to get a 7. As it is, our biggest competition is our BE peers.  Hall and PC hold the head to head over MU. MU over X. Has to be an 11 seed and I am hopining X gets Dayton over MU because of distance, head to head and injuries. That said, Vandy has to be the choice for Dayton over both.

[brewcity77]

Brew is the counter balance to the Mr. Sand-knit types on the board. His unrealistic, unrelenting positivity is almost as bad. Not a single bracket has us higher than 9 yet Brew thinks were a top 21-24 team with a chance at 7.

9-12 are the realistic options.

21-24 are the 6 seeds. I don't think the idea of us being in the 28-36 range is that crazy, especially when teams are regularly moved up or down a line.

[PGsHeroes32]

Really. We've heard consistently that top-50 wins is massively important and saw that when they released the top-16. Nothing from 7-11 would surprise me, with 8/9 my expectation.

So you're ruling out Dayton?

[B. McBannerson]

Mu may miss the whole thing

A few hours ago you say we are safely in, after blasting the team all week and saying we aren't in.  Now you say we may miss the whole thing again? 

[ChitownSpaceForRent]

A few hours ago you say we are safely in, after blasting the team all week and saying we aren't in.  Now you say we may miss the whole thing again?

I like this version of Chicos.

[Hards Alumni]

I think we'll be on the 8/9 line, but think as high as a 7 is realistic. It depends on if they use top-50 wins, computer rankings, or RPI as their main factor in seeding.

puff puff pass man.

You'd like to make a wager?

[onepost]

I think we'll get a 9/10.  My only worry was that the committee would discredit our Creighton/Xavier wins but MU has a better resume than most of the bubble.  I'm with Brew that I think we'll be pleasantly surprised with our seed.....or, worst case, we get an 11 and have an easier path to the second weekend.  No chance we end up in Dayton IMO.

[Hards Alumni]

I think we'll get a 9/10.  My only worry was that the committee would discredit our Creighton/Xavier wins but MU has a better resume than most of the bubble.  I'm with Brew that I think we'll be pleasantly surprised with our seed.....or, worst case, we get an 11 and have an easier path to the second weekend.  No chance we end up in Dayton IMO.

You can't discredit the X and Creighton wins without discrediting the teams as well.

[jsglow]

I don't mean to be flippant but doesn't the committee sometimes go the easy way?  Xavier was 9-9. Done as it pertains to BEast?  Just asking.

[muguru]

I don't mean to be flippant but doesn't the committee sometimes go the easy way?  Xavier was 9-9. Done as it pertains to BEast?  Just asking.

Realistically YES they or PC should be last in the BE pecking order, but it doesn't mean they will be.

[brewcity77]

So you're ruling out Dayton?

I don't think we'll be in Dayton. I've said as much elsewhere.

You'd like to make a wager?

On what, single v double digit seed? Position on S-Curve? Dayton v bye?

One thing to remember, there's a chance Creighton, Marquette, Seton Hall, Xavier, and Providence are all on the 7-10 lines. That could force seed movement to avoid conference matchups.

I know everyone loves Lunardi because he's on the mothership, but he's never been great at seeding, just great at the field. I wouldn't look to him (or Palm) when it comes to seeds.

[MuMark]

Conference record isn't a thing so no.

[muguru]

Conference record isn't a thing so no.

I had thought the committee has said in the past that in leagues that do play a "normal" schedule(like the BE), that they do consider conference records??

[Loose Cannon]

Espn just said if rhode island wins they belive MU goes to dayton

Was there a Face attached to this or was it a scroll  at the screen bottom?

[forgetful]

Was there a Face attached to this or was it a scroll  at the screen bottom?

Well on ESPN right now Lunardi says Providence is in Dayton, and MU is still avoiding Dayton.  So, methinks Mr. Sand-Knit is just making crap up again.

[mayfairskatingrink]

So the rumored opponent is St Mary's.

Anyone know anything about them?