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Author Topic: #23 according to Ken Pom  (Read 6054 times)

avid1010

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Re: #23 according to Ken Pom
« Reply #25 on: January 04, 2023, 06:39:01 AM »
I think it’s worse because teams are shooting better against this years team.  More turnovers, less blocked shots.  They miss the minutes Kuath gave them defensively but it’s a trade off for a much better offense.
Agreed...and the style of defense we play...I think we could improve our defensive numbers tomorrow...at the cost of our offensive numbers.

Goose

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Re: #23 according to Ken Pom
« Reply #26 on: January 04, 2023, 06:44:44 AM »
What I like about the defense this year is they force a lot of difficult shots late in the shot clock and they avoid the silly reach in fouls. A lot more discipline this season. Plus, they appear to have the ability to shift up a gear or two when needed.

Uncle Rico

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Re: #23 according to Ken Pom
« Reply #27 on: January 04, 2023, 06:47:26 AM »
What I like about the defense this year is they force a lot of difficult shots late in the shot clock and they avoid the silly reach in fouls. A lot more discipline this season. Plus, they appear to have the ability to shift up a gear or two when needed.

They have so far.  I think they’ll be susceptible to halves like last night that extend full game.  The lack of a true interior presence limits how good the defense can be
Ramsey head thoroughly up his ass.

tower912

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Re: #23 according to Ken Pom
« Reply #28 on: January 04, 2023, 06:48:25 AM »
MU's defense is generally solid until the shot goes up.    The defensive rebounding issues hurt. 
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Goose

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Re: #23 according to Ken Pom
« Reply #29 on: January 04, 2023, 06:52:23 AM »
Rico
I agree. I thought at halftime last night that only we would lose the game would be in a blowout. They found a way to turn it around and get the win. They are missing the presence of Kur type defender.

Uncle Rico

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Re: #23 according to Ken Pom
« Reply #30 on: January 04, 2023, 06:58:04 AM »
Rico
I agree. I thought at halftime last night that only we would lose the game would be in a blowout. They found a way to turn it around and get the win. They are missing the presence of Kur type defender.

When we get to March, matchups will really matter as much as seeding for this particular team.  I suppose we could argue that’s always the case, but I’d be more bullish seeing them matchup against inefficient offenses. 
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Scoop Snoop

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Re: #23 according to Ken Pom
« Reply #31 on: January 04, 2023, 07:31:15 AM »
Rico
I agree. I thought at halftime last night that only we would lose the game would be in a blowout. They found a way to turn it around and get the win. They are missing the presence of Kur type defender.

I was hoping that Ben would develop into at least a passable one (no pun intended), but he is simply not there. Too slow and does not see plays developing in time to position himself to defend. I think he has a good chance of getting there eventually. 
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1318WWells

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Re: #23 according to Ken Pom
« Reply #32 on: January 04, 2023, 07:40:54 AM »
Rico
I agree. I thought at halftime last night that only we would lose the game would be in a blowout. They found a way to turn it around and get the win. They are missing the presence of Kur type defender.

Oso is capable of being that Kur type defender.  It’s too bad he doesn’t have a capable backup like Kur had last year.  He can’t risk foul trouble and he’s much too important to the offense this year to play as aggressive as Kur defensively.

Would be nice to have that luxury to hang with the big boys in March.

MU82

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Re: #23 according to Ken Pom
« Reply #33 on: January 04, 2023, 08:13:25 AM »
Oso's defense is good. For example, he made Dixon try a difficult fade-away to try to tie the game on Saturday, and he holds his ground well considering he gives up bulk to most other centers. He is quick, he'll challenge perimeter players attempting 3s, he's not foul-prone, and he is 6th in the conference in blocks at almost 2 a game.

But our defense asks him to do a lot of switching and he often ends up outside. A pretty large percentage of points the opposing big scores are done against one of our guards who has had to switch onto the big. Rarely are those on Oso.

1318WWells also makes an excellent point that Oso has to be a little more careful than Kuath was last year. Kur could go for every single block because Shaka rarely played him more than half a game. It's like a starting pitcher knowing he won't even go 5 innings -- just keep firing 100 mph fastballs.

Oso is better than Kur in every way except blocking shots, and he is pretty good at that, too. Kur totally disappeared down the stretch last season, he was a poor rebounder despite his size, and he perfected the missed dunk including a couple of game-changers. There's a reason Shaka only played Kuath about 15 minutes a game down the stretch -- he wasn't playing well. Shaka not only preferred Oso more, but he started to even prefer Lewis or O-Max at the 5 when we went to small-ball.

For this season alone, I wish we had a Kuath-type backup to play 10 mpg. But for the long-term, I like Gold more. He can develop into a nice 4/5 who can score from all levels.
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Jay Bee

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Re: #23 according to Ken Pom
« Reply #34 on: January 04, 2023, 08:15:33 AM »
Oso is capable of being that Kur type defender.

Not when it comes to blocking shots. Oso won’t get there. Can’t.
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MUDPT

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Re: #23 according to Ken Pom
« Reply #35 on: January 04, 2023, 08:25:18 AM »
Moved back to #20 after last night’s games.  Probably because our friends to the west beat Minnesota by 3 and are now ranked 49th.

Scoop Snoop

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Re: #23 according to Ken Pom
« Reply #36 on: January 04, 2023, 08:29:45 AM »
Moved back to #20 after last night’s games.  Probably because our friends to the west beat Minnesota by 3 and are now ranked 49th.

"Our friends"?  ;D Yeah, their success is good for Marquette's NET, so until Selection Sunday, its good when they win. After that? Kolek 'em.
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MU82

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Re: #23 according to Ken Pom
« Reply #37 on: January 04, 2023, 09:09:00 AM »
"Our friends"?  ;D Yeah, their success is good for Marquette's NET, so until Selection Sunday, its good when they win. After that? Kolek 'em.

I'll never root for 'em, and I'll be happy when they lose, especially to bad teams. But if they happen to win, we get small consolation that it helps our NET. That's how I look at it.
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Elonsmusk

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Re: #23 according to Ken Pom
« Reply #38 on: January 04, 2023, 09:43:02 AM »
I was hoping that Ben would develop into at least a passable one (no pun intended), but he is simply not there. Too slow and does not see plays developing in time to position himself to defend. I think he has a good chance of getting there eventually.

Ben has struggled at times defensively, but has also shown a willingness to scrap and has had some good moments defensively.  He's definitely a good prospect and I'm excited to see hime progress during his time at MU.  He's going to be extremely important to the program as there's really no "big" in the pipeline.

Spotcheck Billy

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Re: #23 according to Ken Pom
« Reply #39 on: January 04, 2023, 10:10:26 AM »
Moved back to #20 after last night’s games.  Probably because our friends to the west beat Minnesota by 3 and are now ranked 49th.

WI dropped 7 places in the NET after only beating MN by 3 at home, MN rose 6 spots in the NET for losing to WI.

Goose

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Re: #23 according to Ken Pom
« Reply #40 on: January 04, 2023, 10:13:03 AM »
I have said for years that winning programs are not watching past opponent's W/L's because of Kenpom rating. MU is not there yet, but if they take care of business I don't care what any past opponent does on a given night. Again, MU is not there yet, but getting closer every week.

Newsdreams

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Re: #23 according to Ken Pom
« Reply #41 on: January 04, 2023, 06:23:53 PM »
Winning out gets MU to 27-4.  Likely a two seed.    That is MU's ceiling.
NC for me is ceiling.
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Carl

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Re: #23 according to Ken Pom
« Reply #42 on: January 05, 2023, 07:45:32 PM »
T-Rank has Marquette as the 13th best team in the country. I know it’s not all that meaningful in the grand scheme of things but it is always nice when the eye test and the stat nerds agree that this team is legit!

Elonsmusk

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Re: #23 according to Ken Pom
« Reply #43 on: January 05, 2023, 08:31:37 PM »
T-Rank has Marquette as the 13th best team in the country. I know it’s not all that meaningful in the grand scheme of things but it is always nice when the eye test and the stat nerds agree that this team is legit!

And Ken Pom has us at 17 now.  Highest we've been in Ken Pom at any point in-season since 2012.  The 2013 Elite 8 team peaked at 21 on February 23 heading into a game against Villanova which we lost.

withoutbias

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Re: #23 according to Ken Pom
« Reply #44 on: January 05, 2023, 08:46:06 PM »
Defense has to start traveling. Only Xavier’s is worse inside the top 30.

mileskishnish72

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Re: #23 according to Ken Pom
« Reply #45 on: January 06, 2023, 06:43:31 AM »
After that? Kolek 'em.
Gotta admit, I am liking Kolek as a verb.

BrewCity83

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Re: #23 according to Ken Pom
« Reply #46 on: January 06, 2023, 10:57:48 AM »
Defense has to start traveling. Only Xavier’s is worse inside the top 30.

Isn't our defensive rating impacted by the fast pace the offense plays at? Or are there built-in adjustments in the defensive rating formulas to account for that?
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MarquetteDano

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Re: #23 according to Ken Pom
« Reply #47 on: January 06, 2023, 11:05:15 AM »
Isn't our defensive rating impacted by the fast pace the offense plays at? Or are there built-in adjustments in the defensive rating formulas to account for that?

Hope I am understanding your question... most of the ratings these days are "tempo free".  It is points given per possession, not points per game.  So if you play at a fast pace it is taken into account.

Our defense at this point is not great.  Better than some of Wojo's defenses for sure,  but not great.

BrewCity83

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Re: #23 according to Ken Pom
« Reply #48 on: January 06, 2023, 11:46:40 AM »
Hope I am understanding your question... most of the ratings these days are "tempo free".  It is points given per possession, not points per game.  So if you play at a fast pace it is taken into account.

Our defense at this point is not great.  Better than some of Wojo's defenses for sure,  but not great.

That does answer my question--thanks.
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brewcity77

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Re: #23 according to Ken Pom
« Reply #49 on: January 06, 2023, 12:12:26 PM »
The thing with our defense, though, is it has been great when it's needed to be. Second half at Nova was dominant. Locked down Wisky to allow the comeback, even if we ultimately lost. Against Purdue and Providence it was the offense down the stretch, not the defense, that cost us.

It hasn't been 40 minutes good, that's for sure, but it can lock down. If the staff can get consistent defensive efforts like we've seen in spurts, this is a team with third weekend upside.
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