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Author Topic: COVID-19 (f/k/a "the Coronavirus")  (Read 1130671 times)

injuryBug

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Re: COVID-19 (f/k/a "the Coronavirus")
« Reply #1550 on: March 17, 2020, 06:29:33 PM »
I'm beginning to wonder the prevalence of asymptomatic cases of COVID-19.

I read an article back a few weeks ago interviewing Bruce Aylward from the WHO on China's COVID-19 response. He stated that the Chinese thought that asymptomatic cases were quite rare. However, we now have three instances of cases involving groups of people that were tested (whether sick or not), where individuals tested positive and were asymptomatic. Grand Princess (Japan), the Utah Jazz and now the Brooklyn Nets. Certainly a very small subset to look at, but each group had individuals that were asymptomatic COVID-19 cases.

Since no country is testing all citizens, there's really no way to figure out how many cases end up being asymptomatic. I'm starting to think it is a great deal higher than what the Chinese found.
I am sure that number is huge just like it is for every other virus

jesmu84

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Re: COVID-19 (f/k/a "the Coronavirus")
« Reply #1551 on: March 17, 2020, 06:36:04 PM »
I'm beginning to wonder the prevalence of asymptomatic cases of COVID-19.

I read an article back a few weeks ago interviewing Bruce Aylward from the WHO on China's COVID-19 response. He stated that the Chinese thought that asymptomatic cases were quite rare. However, we now have three instances of cases involving groups of people that were tested (whether sick or not), where individuals tested positive and were asymptomatic. Grand Princess (Japan), the Utah Jazz and now the Brooklyn Nets. Certainly a very small subset to look at, but each group had individuals that were asymptomatic COVID-19 cases.

Since no country is testing all citizens, there's really no way to figure out how many cases end up being asymptomatic. I'm starting to think it is a great deal higher than what the Chinese found.

Here's a question:

Why the unnatural carnal knowledge are tests being run on asymptomatic individuals who aren't high-risk or aren't in professions on the frontlines when we have a limited amount of tests right now?

Pakuni

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Re: COVID-19 (f/k/a "the Coronavirus")
« Reply #1552 on: March 17, 2020, 06:44:20 PM »
I get the slowing the spread but The majority of the herd is inside avoiding it.  So to me it will be worse once we all come out to play.  Warm temps have no impact.  I do not see an end until the vaccine comes out several months from now.

Where'd you get your medical degree and PhD in epidemiology?

GooooMarquette

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Re: COVID-19 (f/k/a "the Coronavirus")
« Reply #1553 on: March 17, 2020, 06:45:14 PM »
By then there is a bit of herd immunity.  Once again, the idea is to slow the rate of infection.  We slow it to wait for the vaccine and to keep our health care system from being overrun.  Once we can control or slow the outbreak enough, we can go back to normal life.

Currently, there doesn't seem to be any evidence that people can become infected again once they have it.  Now, I'm hopeful that this is the case, and it is more like chicken pox... but we could get really unlucky with this and it could mutate and make our antibodies ineffective.  But that is something time will tell.


Very well stated. A LOT can be gained simply by slowing the rate of spread.

RJax55

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Re: COVID-19 (f/k/a "the Coronavirus")
« Reply #1554 on: March 17, 2020, 06:45:37 PM »
Here's a question:

Why the unnatural carnal knowledge are tests being run on asymptomatic individuals who aren't high-risk or aren't in professions on the frontlines when we have a limited amount of tests right now?

C'mon, you know why. And, I don't disagree with you.

That said, figuring out why individuals are asymptomatic could be very important in fighting this virus.

reinko

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Re: COVID-19 (f/k/a "the Coronavirus")
« Reply #1555 on: March 17, 2020, 06:46:33 PM »
Here's a question:

Why the unnatural carnal knowledge are tests being run on asymptomatic individuals who aren't high-risk or aren't in professions on the frontlines when we have a limited amount of tests right now?

The article states they went to private company and paid for them to be done.


jesmu84

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Re: COVID-19 (f/k/a "the Coronavirus")
« Reply #1556 on: March 17, 2020, 06:47:59 PM »
The article states they went to private company and paid for them to be done.

Fair enough. Hadn't read the article.

That said, it still seems like we should be prioritizing ALL TESTS during a time of pandemic/declared national emergency

GooooMarquette

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Re: COVID-19 (f/k/a "the Coronavirus")
« Reply #1557 on: March 17, 2020, 06:51:24 PM »
I get the slowing the spread but The majority of the herd is inside avoiding it.  So to me it will be worse once we all come out to play.  Warm temps have no impact.  I do not see an end until the vaccine comes out several months from now.

Herd immunity is only part of the reason for slowing the spread. As Hards mentioned, there is also the goal of spreading the cases so the healthcare system doesn’t get overrun. And even though a vaccine may take several months, researchers are also actively looking at “off-label” uses of currently approved drugs, to see if they might mitigate the severity of the illness. I won’t be surprised if we hear about some viable possibilities within a few weeks, if not sooner.

Hards Alumni

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Re: COVID-19 (f/k/a "the Coronavirus")
« Reply #1558 on: March 17, 2020, 06:59:34 PM »
I'm beginning to wonder the prevalence of asymptomatic cases of COVID-19.

I read an article back a few weeks ago interviewing Bruce Aylward from the WHO on China's COVID-19 response. He stated that the Chinese thought that asymptomatic cases were quite rare. However, we now have three instances of cases involving groups of people that were tested (whether sick or not), where individuals tested positive and were asymptomatic. Grand Princess (Japan), the Utah Jazz and now the Brooklyn Nets. Certainly a very small subset to look at, but each group had individuals that were asymptomatic COVID-19 cases.

Since no country is testing all citizens, there's really no way to figure out how many cases end up being asymptomatic. I'm starting to think it is a great deal higher than what the Chinese found.

Ha, its almost as if the Chinese government lies.

Hards Alumni

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Re: COVID-19 (f/k/a "the Coronavirus")
« Reply #1559 on: March 17, 2020, 07:00:50 PM »
The article states they went to private company and paid for them to be done.

C.R.E.A.M.

jesmu84

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RJax55

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Re: COVID-19 (f/k/a "the Coronavirus")
« Reply #1561 on: March 17, 2020, 07:09:19 PM »
Ha, its almost as if the Chinese government lies.

True, but the WHO seemed to support that claim. And, I know, the criticism of the WHO and China.

If asymptomatic cases are common, thats both a big positive and negative.

StillAWarrior

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Re: COVID-19 (f/k/a "the Coronavirus")
« Reply #1562 on: March 17, 2020, 07:21:48 PM »
Gotta admit, I’m curious to see if everyone singing Fauci’s praises and extolling his credibility will accept his claim that the problems with testing were not the President’s or CDC’s fault.
Hell, CNN called him “Trump’s Coronavirus truth teller.”
Never wrestle with a pig.  You both get dirty, and the pig likes it.

Hards Alumni

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Re: COVID-19 (f/k/a "the Coronavirus")
« Reply #1563 on: March 17, 2020, 07:28:56 PM »
True, but the WHO seemed to support that claim. And, I know, the criticism of the WHO and China.

If asymptomatic cases are common, thats both a big positive and negative.

Personally, I'd prefer all mild cases, but I don't have a genie and three wishes  ;D

GooooMarquette

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Re: COVID-19 (f/k/a "the Coronavirus")
« Reply #1564 on: March 17, 2020, 07:30:30 PM »
Gotta admit, I’m curious to see if everyone singing Fauci’s praises and extolling his credibility will accept his claim that the problems with testing were not the President’s or CDC’s fault.
Hell, CNN called him “Trump’s Coronavirus truth teller.”

I view Fauci as similar to John Kelly. Kelly TRIED to push back and do the right things when he was Chief of Staff, but learned that he could only go so far to avoid the wrath of Trump. IMHO, Fauci is walking a similar tightrope to avoid getting fired and replaced by a Trump yes-man.

Fauci is far from perfect, but I believe he is trying to do the right thing.

Hards Alumni

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Re: COVID-19 (f/k/a "the Coronavirus")
« Reply #1565 on: March 17, 2020, 07:31:26 PM »
Gotta admit, I’m curious to see if everyone singing Fauci’s praises and extolling his credibility will accept his claim that the problems with testing were not the President’s or CDC’s fault.
Hell, CNN called him “Trump’s Coronavirus truth teller.”

That is fair criticism, but that may be political nonsense that he has to buy into to remain on the job.  We've all seen our President's proclivity for firing people who say bad things about him.  Also, to me, blame is currently inconsequential, and if it strokes Trump's ego enough to keep Fauci around, I am okay with it.

I still will take issue with the CDC guidance that masks aren't necessary... because that is foolishness and they had an agenda when they made that claim.

StillAWarrior

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Re: COVID-19 (f/k/a "the Coronavirus")
« Reply #1566 on: March 17, 2020, 07:39:49 PM »
That is fair criticism, but that may be political nonsense that he has to buy into to remain on the job.  We've all seen our President's proclivity for firing people who say bad things about him.  Also, to me, blame is currently inconsequential, and if it strokes Trump's ego enough to keep Fauci around, I am okay with it.

It absolutely may be. Or it may be 100% true and correct. I have no doubt that many people who thought he was the only trustworthy person on the team will discount him now.
Never wrestle with a pig.  You both get dirty, and the pig likes it.

Jockey

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Re: COVID-19 (f/k/a "the Coronavirus")
« Reply #1567 on: March 17, 2020, 07:54:00 PM »
Anyone else notice how quickly the numbers are starting to rise on the Covid-19 dashboard?

GooooMarquette

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Re: COVID-19 (f/k/a "the Coronavirus")
« Reply #1568 on: March 17, 2020, 07:57:08 PM »
Anyone else notice how quickly the numbers are starting to rise on the Covid-19 dashboard?

Yep. 😔

Bo Ryan's Massage Therapist

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Re: COVID-19 (f/k/a "the Coronavirus")
« Reply #1569 on: March 17, 2020, 08:04:11 PM »
Dudes, The local ICUs are starting to get patients. I’m a primary care provider in Milwaukee.  It is only a matter of time before the state has our first of many deaths.  I've been testing multiple patients a day and we were told today by our organization/the state to stop.  We send our tests to the state lab and they can only handle 400 tests a day. They can't keep up.  The state says the infection is already widespread and there is no point in testing mild illness or outpatients. Right now we're only going to test inpatients and critically ill patients.  It seems if you are celebrity you can get a test too.

 We are grossly under prepared for this as a country as we don't have adequate testing and there is lack of protective equipment. I'm supposed to wear an N 95 respirator mask but I don't have one.  I’m wearing a standard poorly fitted mask that doesn’t offer great protection.  I have to wear the same damn gown every day for the same patients. Protocol is to change protective equipment after each patient but we just don’t have the resources.  It's madness.

Don't let anyone tell you this isn't real. And it's definitely not just the flu. The flu doesn’t kill 20% of patients hospitalized with it.  The flu doesn’t permanently destroy your lungs like this. Stay safe my friends
« Last Edit: March 17, 2020, 08:22:35 PM by Bo Ryan's Massage Therapist »
“If a player leaves Marquette and doesn’t have some of my blood in him, then I don’t think I’ve done a good job.”  Al McGuire

Jockey

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Re: COVID-19 (f/k/a "the Coronavirus")
« Reply #1570 on: March 17, 2020, 08:11:11 PM »
Dudes, The local ICUs are starting to get patients. I’m a primary care provider in Milwaukee.  It is only a matter of time before the state has our first of many deaths.  I've been testing multiple patients a day and we were told today by our organization/the state to stop.  We send our tests to the state lab and they can only handle 400 tests a day. They can't keep up.  The state says the infection is already widespread and there is no point in testing mild illness or outpatients. Right now we're only going to test inpatients and critically ill patients.  It seems if you are celebrity you can get a test too.  We are grossly under prepared for this as a country as we don't have adequate testing and there is lack of protective equipment. I'm supposed to wear an N 95 respirator mask but I don't have one.  I’m wearing a standard poorly fitted mask that doesn’t offer great protection.  I have to wear the same damn gown every day for the same patients. Protocols to change protective equipment after each patient but we just don’t have the resources.  It's madness. Don't let anyone tell you this isn't real. And it's definitely not just the flu. The flu doesn’t kill 20% of patients hospitalized with it.  The flu doesn’t permanently destroy your lungs like this. Stay safe my friends

YOU stay safe.

My wife was a nurse and was on the front lines at the start of the AIDS crisis. It was a very scary time not just for her, but for myself as well as early on, we didn't even know how the disease was spread from person to person. You, and thousands of other healthcare pros, put yourselves at risk on a daily basis doing what is right.

GooooMarquette

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Re: COVID-19 (f/k/a "the Coronavirus")
« Reply #1571 on: March 17, 2020, 08:21:54 PM »
YOU stay safe.

My wife was a nurse and was on the front lines at the start of the AIDS crisis. It was a very scary time not just for her, but for myself as well as early on, we didn't even know how the disease was spread from person to person. You, and thousands of other healthcare pros, put yourselves at risk on a daily basis doing what is right.


+1 Keep fighting the good fight.

Hopefully, firsthand accounts like this will bring more people into our current reality.

Eldon

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Re: COVID-19 (f/k/a "the Coronavirus")
« Reply #1572 on: March 17, 2020, 08:27:21 PM »


Hards Alumni

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Re: COVID-19 (f/k/a "the Coronavirus")
« Reply #1574 on: March 17, 2020, 08:30:24 PM »
WHO: ibuprofen bad for coronavirus

https://www.yahoo.com/news/avoid-taking-ibuprofen-covid-19-symptoms-202007508.html

Okay, now I don't feel quite as bad about my post a day ago.