MUScoop

MUScoop => Hangin' at the Al => Topic started by: jesmu84 on March 24, 2019, 12:06:04 AM

Title: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: jesmu84 on March 24, 2019, 12:06:04 AM
There is not an objective observer who could review the last 5 years of MU bball and state that the program isn't in an upward trend. Look where we came from Buzz's last year and wojos first year till today. Look at wins/losses, conference finishes, tourney seeds, roster makeup, etc. By nearly any metric, on an upward trend.

I get that people are upset that it might be non-linear or that it's slow/methodical instead of giant leaps of growth. That would be nice.  But it isn't, and, again, overall, the growth is positive.

Some believe they can predict the future and believe wojo isn't the guy to take MU to constant high-level success. And, that's all it is right now, a belief.

For me, until he proves out that belief, he is the answer for MU.

How can he prove it? Again, for me, multiple regressive seasons. Or even multiple plateau seasons. If those situations develop, I'll gladly jump on the "replace wojo" bandwagon.

But until then, I'd like to keep the guy who has the program on the positive (if slightly slow) track. He's earned the right to continue on the trail he's created until he demonstrates negative or no growth.

And, to me, there is never a single game scenario where I would change my stance, even if that is a tourney game.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Mr. Sand-Knit on March 24, 2019, 12:17:22 AM
Good post during this temper tantrum on this board
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: muguru on March 24, 2019, 12:19:20 AM
There is not an objective observer who could review the last 5 years of MU bball and state that the program isn't in an upward trend. Look where we came from Buzz's last year and wojos first year till today. Look at wins/losses, conference finishes, tourney seeds, roster makeup, etc. By nearly any metric, on an upward trend.

I get that people are upset that it might be non-linear or that it's slow/methodical instead of giant leaps of growth. That would be nice.  But it isn't, and, again, overall, the growth is positive.

Some believe they can predict the future and believe wojo isn't the guy to take MU to constant high-level success. And, that's all it is right now, a belief.

For me, until he proves out that belief, he is the answer for MU.

How can he prove it? Again, for me, multiple regressive seasons. Or even multiple plateau seasons. If those situations develop, I'll gladly jump on the "replace wojo" bandwagon.

But until then, I'd like to keep the guy who has the program on the positive (if slightly slow) track. He's earned the right to continue on the trail he's created until he demonstrates negative or no growth.

And, to me, there is never a single game scenario where I would change my stance, even if that is a tourney game.

You must have pretty low standards for the program then..did you know that Wojo is the ONLY coach that has been at MU for 5 years or more, that hasn't won a tournament game. Even Mike Deane won 1. He is also the ONLY Coach in MU history(besides Deane)(that has been there 5 years or more) that hasn't made a Sweet 16 by year 5. Dean was fired about 48 hours after his 5th year. So why should Wojo be let off the hook?? How is that acceptable after year 5. Is that how low the programs standards are now?? If so, that's pathetic.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: jesmu84 on March 24, 2019, 12:33:58 AM
You must have pretty low standards for the program then..did you know that Wojo is the ONLY coach that has been at MU for 5 years or more, that hasn't won a tournament game. Even Mike Deane won 1. He is also the ONLY Coach in MU history(besides Deane)(that has been there 5 years or more) that hasn't made a Sweet 16 by year 5. Dean was fired about 48 hours after his 5th year. So why should Wojo be let off the hook?? How is that acceptable after year 5. Is that how low the programs standards are now?? If so, that's pathetic.

You clearly didn't understand any of what I said.

This has nothing to do with "standards." And I'm not talking about any other coach at any other time at any other program in any other situation.

It has everything to do with a coach who is demonstrating success at a program, and keeping that coach until he stops demonstrating success - whether through regression or plateau.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Cheeks on March 24, 2019, 12:36:58 AM
When Wojo plateaus, recruiting tails off I will get nervous.  Hasn’t happened yet, next year looks promising....and yes I care about off the court stuff, too.

Pace is slow, but still there, definitely too slow for some.....I get it.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: TAMU, Knower of Ball on March 24, 2019, 03:26:42 AM
You must have pretty low standards for the program then..did you know that Wojo is the ONLY coach that has been at MU for 5 years or more, that hasn't won a tournament game. Even Mike Deane won 1. He is also the ONLY Coach in MU history(besides Deane)(that has been there 5 years or more) that hasn't made a Sweet 16 by year 5. Dean was fired about 48 hours after his 5th year. So why should Wojo be let off the hook?? How is that acceptable after year 5. Is that how low the programs standards are now?? If so, that's pathetic.

Guru, I cannot begin to express how little I care about a Round of 64 victory when judging a coach. I mean really. If Wojo had won against South Carolina two years ago or Murray State a few days ago and then lost in the Round of 32 do you really think the program is any better? If no, why the f*ck does it matter?

Reading your posts, it seems your motivation for firing Wojo is punitive. You want Wojo punished for not living up to your expectations. Thankfully, cooler heads make the decisions. You don't fire a coach to punish them for not meeting expectations (especially not fan expectations). You fire a coach because the best thing for the program is to find a new coach. Firing a guy who just earned the 5th highest seed in the last 40 years of the program is not what is best for the program.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: jutaw22mu on March 24, 2019, 03:35:38 AM
If you would have asked me before the game at Nova if I thought Wojo was on an upward trend, I would have agreed.  However, the way he closed out the season convinced me that he is in way over his head and is not a good fit for MU.  It’s too bad, because I do really like the guy, but he cannot coach.  I like a lot of people but would not want them in charge of our program.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: jonny09 on March 24, 2019, 07:35:32 AM
Guru, I cannot begin to express how little I care about a Round of 64 victory when judging a coach. I mean really. If Wojo had won against South Carolina two years ago or Murray State a few days ago and then lost in the Round of 32 do you really think the program is any better? If no, why the f*ck does it

matter?



Wait........So winning in the tournament doesn’t matter?   

Reading your posts, it seems your motivation for firing Wojo is punitive. You want Wojo punished for not living up to your expectations. Thankfully, cooler heads make the decisions. You don't fire a coach to punish them for not meeting expectations (especially not fan expectations). You fire a coach because the best thing for the program is to find a new coach. Firing a guy who just earned the 5th highest seed in the last 40 years of the program is not what is best for the program.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Juan Anderson's Mixtape on March 24, 2019, 07:39:45 AM
Very level headed post, jesmu.  Unfortunately, those against Wojo won't change their minds.  MU could have lost in the Sweet 16, and they would say "See, Wojo can't win during the 2nd weekend."

Now, I am not saying Wojo is some fabulous coach.  But he's coming off his best season.   He's done enough to keep his job and the arrow is still pointing up.  I don't know what Wojo's ceiling is but I know we haven't seen it.

I'm willing to see where things go.  I won't set any ultimatums for Wojo (as if me doing so would have any affect on anything).  If things crash and burn, then I will support a coaching change.   But not before. 

Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: willie warrior on March 24, 2019, 07:52:56 AM
There is not an objective observer who could review the last 5 years of MU bball and state that the program isn't in an upward trend. Look where we came from Buzz's last year and wojos first year till today. Look at wins/losses, conference finishes, tourney seeds, roster makeup, etc. By nearly any metric, on an upward trend.

I get that people are upset that it might be non-linear or that it's slow/methodical instead of giant leaps of growth. That would be nice.  But it isn't, and, again, overall, the growth is positive.

Some believe they can predict the future and believe wojo isn't the guy to take MU to constant high-level success. And, that's all it is right now, a belief.

For me, until he proves out that belief, he is the answer for MU.

How can he prove it? Again, for me, multiple regressive seasons. Or even multiple plateau seasons. If those situations develop, I'll gladly jump on the "replace wojo" bandwagon.

But until then, I'd like to keep the guy who has the program on the positive (if slightly slow) track. He's earned the right to continue on the trail he's created until he demonstrates negative or no growth.

And, to me, there is never a single game scenario where I would change my stance, even if that is a tourney game.
Haha. Trying to rationalize performance, especially recent atrocious performance, with "objective" people on this board is ludicrous
Look at the meltdown of the last part of the season in a very down year of the Beast. Objectivity: what about 5 years with 2 one and done in the dance? What about getting our ass kicked repeatedly down the stretch this year? What about the laughing stock game this year in the dance? What about the lack of prep for games, the many turnovers from veteran team? What about the dumb fouls?  All of this coming recently, and yet the so called objective Wojo lap dogs keep up the mantra of we are tracking upward and we will be really good next year. And if you bring up this objective analysis, you are called names  told you are not a fan because you challenge the spin
 HOGWASH!!
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Vander Blue Man Group on March 24, 2019, 07:55:12 AM
You must have pretty low standards for the program then..did you know that Wojo is the ONLY coach that has been at MU for 5 years or more, that hasn't won a tournament game. Even Mike Deane won 1. He is also the ONLY Coach in MU history(besides Deane)(that has been there 5 years or more) that hasn't made a Sweet 16 by year 5. Dean was fired about 48 hours after his 5th year. So why should Wojo be let off the hook?? How is that acceptable after year 5. Is that how low the programs standards are now?? If so, that's pathetic.

Do you really not see how ridiculous a Wojo/Deane comparison is?

Wojo will be back next season and deserves to be. His seat should and will be a little hotter. 

Unlike some of the nutjobs that want Markus to go, I hope he stays. But if he does go and Symir reclassifies I'd be extremely curious how Wojo adjusts and the team performs. Could tell us a lot.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: muguru on March 24, 2019, 07:55:55 AM
Guru, I cannot begin to express how little I care about a Round of 64 victory when judging a coach. I mean really. If Wojo had won against South Carolina two years ago or Murray State a few days ago and then lost in the Round of 32 do you really think the program is any better? If no, why the f*ck does it matter?

Reading your posts, it seems your motivation for firing Wojo is punitive. You want Wojo punished for not living up to your expectations. Thankfully, cooler heads make the decisions. You don't fire a coach to punish them for not meeting expectations (especially not fan expectations). You fire a coach because the best thing for the program is to find a new coach. Firing a guy who just earned the 5th highest seed in the last 40 years of the program is not what is best for the program.

He earned the 5th highest seed in 40 years, and did what with it exactly?? Getting the 5th highest seed in 40 years is 100% meaningless, if you don't do a thing with it. I mean do you get to hang a banner for something like that?? Do you not even understand that Coaching at any level from college and above is about results, and winning?? Any Coach will tell you that.

Would getting to the Round of 32 mean anything?? Maybe not on the surface, but it at least shows people you can get to the tournament and win when you do get there. Look how much Buzz won when he got to the tournament. I think the biggest problem is now that the administration doesn't really give a F, how good the program is. They really don't. They don't care if they win at the highest level or not. Bring in good kids, that stay out of trouble, produce mid major results on the court..they are fine with that.

2 tournament appearances in 5 years..don't give me this "look what he started with" nonsense. Even if you cut him some slack for the first four years...this was year 5...he had the best team he has ever had..and it's not close. What did that result in?? A monumental collapse at the end of the year, no BE title(when all they had to do was win 1 game out of 4), no Big East tournament title, and a loss to a mid major as a higher seed. The administration is okay with that now?? Apparently so, and that's really really pathetic with the resources they put into the BB program. Nothing like acting mid major ish...at Marquette, the MINIMUM expectation should be going to the tourney every single year..bare minimum. Apparently it's an "honor" now to be chosen for the NCAA tournament. Is this Wofford or something?? There's a place where they should celebrate getting an invite every so often. And...they won a game too! As a higher seed. Imagine that!

You don't think it wouldn't be good for the program?? I assume because you THINK there would be mass transfers?? Well, Sam wouldn't leave(he's a Senior that would make ZERO sense), which means Joey would stay(he'd lose a year of eligibility if he left), and Markus will be back(I'm pretty sure). Keep those 3 and bring in someone that can actually do something with that kind of talent. Someone that can make in game adjustments. That has a bag of tricks for when it's needed. And most of all, someone that doesn't say "well examine that and see if we can figure out what happened", in regards to the late season collapse. That's the one that pushed me over the edge and told me he was absolutely in over his head. You wait until the end of the year to "figure it out"?

No, you damn well should have figured it out and corrected it after the second straight loss. That's what a good Coach does. Yet we saw NOTHING different during that stretch. Not even something as small as a starting line up change. Nothing like showing you have no idea what happened, or how to fix it and not even trying something(anything) to help the team snap out of it.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: muguru on March 24, 2019, 08:01:11 AM
Haha. Trying to rationalize performance, especially recent atrocious performance, with "objective" people on this board is ludicrous
Look at the meltdown of the last part of the season in a very down year of the Beast. Objectivity: what about 5 years with 2 one and done in the dance? What about getting our ass kicked repeatedly down the stretch this year? What about the laughing stock game this year in the dance? What about the lack of prep for games, the many turnovers from veteran team? What about the dumb fouls?  All of this coming recently, and yet the so called objective Wojo lap dogs keep up the mantra of we are tracking upward and we will be really good next year. And if you bring up this objective analysis, you are called names  told you are not a fan because you challenge the spin
 HOGWASH!!

+1000...you'd think a Good Coach would have fixed at least SOME of that, right?? These Wojo backers are something else. Talk about small time thinking...how soon they forget about where this program was about 8 years ago under Buzz..going to the dance and winning was the norm. His teams had an identity. He changed things up when things weren't going right in a particular game. If this "progress" was coming at a place like Wofford or Buffalo or something, then yes, it would be great. This is freaking Marquette. If the expectations aren't to win at the highest levels consistently, then stop pumping the resources you do into the program and join the Horizon league.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: muguru on March 24, 2019, 08:04:22 AM
Do you really not see how ridiculous a Wojo/Deane comparison is?

Wojo will be back next season and deserves to be. His seat should and will be a little hotter. 

Unlike some of the nutjobs that want Markus to go, I hope he stays. But if he does go and Symir reclassifies I'd be extremely curious how Wojo adjusts and the team performs. Could tell us a lot.

Oh I want him to stay too, but if he doesn't, there won't be any "adjustments". It will be what it will be unfortunately. I mean...what did he do to stop the late season collapse?? What did he do for a game plan to stop Ja in the tourney(that was the most god awful game plan I have ever seen). Making "adjustments" to or for anything is obviously something he has ZERO idea how to do. That has been proven time and time again sadly enough.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Badgerhater on March 24, 2019, 08:06:06 AM
We have been told to wait five years to judge, but I guess that bar has been moved.

If next years flaws are still major factors then Wojo needs to go because it is all on him.

But you only ditch a coach when you know you can get a better one, I don’t think MU can do that at this time.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Jon on March 24, 2019, 08:11:38 AM
Fact is, Wojo lost this team.

Anyone who has been the top dog in any reasonably sized organization would see that Marquette was lost for the last half of the season.

Lose to Nova? Identify then implement the fix.

But when the losses continued to pile up it was all on Wojo. The buck landed squarely on his desk.

Unfortunately, Wojo didn't have the talent to correct this season's skid. Nor does he have the intestinal fortitude to address the atmospherics or climate. Leadership is 90% mental. Wojo demonstrated repeatedly that he not only could not turn things around but is too thin-skinned to be a leader at this level.

There is a reason he rode the pine next to K for as long as he did. In the fighter pilot world it's called The Right Stuff. Wojo's Right Stuff canister is pegged hard right.

You could see it on the faces of the crew. Wojo lost them. And for anyone who has ever been asked to lead something you know that is the ultimate failure of command.

Don't talk about trajectory. The real story is how Wojo lost this team in March. I know Spec Op Team Leads who have more leadership talent in their small toe than Wojo possesses in total. Time for Wojo to turn in the keys to the Escalade and slink back to Durham. After 19 years on that bench his butt cheek imprints should still be visible.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: willie warrior on March 24, 2019, 08:19:53 AM
Fact is, Wojo lost this team.

Anyone who has been the top dog in any reasonably sized organization would see that Marquette was lost for the last half of the season.

Lose to Nova? Identify then implement the fix.

But when the losses continued to pile up it was all on Wojo. The buck landed squarely on his desk.

Unfortunately, Wojo didn't have the talent to correct this season's skid. Nor does he have the intestinal fortitude to address the atmospherics or climate. Leadership is 90% mental. Wojo demonstrated repeatedly that he not only could not turn things around but is too thin-skinned to be a leader at this level.

There is a reason he rode the pine next to K for as long as he did. In the fighter pilot world it's called The Right Stuff. Wojo's Right Stuff canister is pegged hard right.

You could see it on the faces of the crew. Wojo lost them. And for anyone who has ever been asked to lead something you know that is the ultimate failure of command.

Don't talk about trajectory. The real story is how Wojo lost this team in March. I know Spec Op Team Leads who have more leadership talent in their small toe than Wojo possesses in total. Time for Wojo to turn in the keys to the Escalade and slink back to Durham. After 19 years on that bench his butt cheek imprints should still be visible.
Hmmm....there are a few references in here that remind one of the old warthog warrior
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: mu_hilltopper on March 24, 2019, 08:24:36 AM
For all the Wojo Defenders .. can you just tell us how many more seasons you are willing to go without getting MU to the round of 32?

I've said Wojo has one more season, and then it's time to pull the plug -- especially since he'll have his most talented squad ever -- and the next year will be less so.

What is it for you?  7 seasons?  9 seasons?  Never? 

(This presumes all the regular stuff, clean program, players and staff are good representatives, yadda yadda.)

Just fill in the blank:  Wojo can go ___ seasons without an NCAA win.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: real chili 83 on March 24, 2019, 08:28:12 AM
MU spends $11.3 million on men's bball. 10th in spending. We are outspent by 1 Bigwhatever school, and it isn't the rodents.

With that kind of spending, for a school our size, should we be happy with this trajectory? 

If this is good as it gets, hell no.  We should be playing into the second weekend (and beyond) more often than not. 

If Wojo isn't that guy, dump him now.   If he needs a Jerry Wainwright on the bench (Hank Raymonds) go get him one. 

If this is as good as it gets, and the BOT is ok with this, I question their stewardship.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Jon on March 24, 2019, 08:31:51 AM
Hmmm....there are a few references in here that remind one of the old warthog warrior

Willie

In my world command is an honor. Live up to the ideal or get the f#ck out of the way.

But from a business perspective, the question must be, "Are the shareholders getting the return they expect?"

In the case of Marquette basketball the answer is a decided no.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Goose on March 24, 2019, 08:34:54 AM
real

I was hoping you would post today because I wanted to hear your take on the situation. Your post is pretty much spot on. Once again, it comes down to how they define program success. Judging by many in here, Wojo has had success and enough to believe he will get better. My gut says, BOT thinks Woj has knocked out of the park.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: D'Lo Brown on March 24, 2019, 08:48:43 AM
The reaction would be essentially the same if we got blown out in the round of 32, or 16. I know this because I am a fan of many other sports teams, and partake at least a little bit in other forums/blogs/etc. All of those sites have the exact same issues following huge losses. MUScoop is nowhere close to unique. Sites like this are an anonymous outlet for passive-aggressive people that desire a way to vent, otherwise.

Trying to rationalize or address specific points raised by these people, pretty much misses the point, and it will never be satisfying. They are looking for a way to rage a bit, prove as many people wrong as possible (in their own mind), etc. And there's probably no end in sight to that.

Wojo is doing a fine job. He is not a genius coach, and he just needs to keep learning. The point where it seems like he is not adjusting enough, is where the majority of fans will start to question things. And, you know, that could happen as soon as next year.

A small cadre of anonymous internet posters each making a maximal amount of noise, doesn't represent a majority no matter how much noise they try to make. There's no satisfying them. Don't worry about it.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: vogue65 on March 24, 2019, 08:53:03 AM
MU spends $11.3 million on men's bball. 10th in spending. We are outspent by 1 Bigwhatever school, and it isn't the rodents.

With that kind of spending, for a school our size, should we be happy with this trajectory? 

If this is good as it gets, hell no.  We should be playing into the second weekend (and beyond) more often than not. 

If Wojo isn't that guy, dump him now.   If he needs a Jerry Wainwright on the bench (Hank Raymonds) go get him.

If this is as good as it gets, and the BOT is ok with this, I question their stewardship.

You can't buy happiness.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Juan Anderson's Mixtape on March 24, 2019, 09:06:08 AM
For all the Wojo Defenders .. can you just tell us how many more seasons you are willing to go without getting MU to the round of 32?

I've said Wojo has one more season, and then it's time to pull the plug -- especially since he'll have his most talented squad ever -- and the next year will be less so.

What is it for you?  7 seasons?  9 seasons?  Never? 

(This presumes all the regular stuff, clean program, players and staff are good representatives, yadda yadda.)

Just fill in the blank:  Wojo can go ___ seasons without an NCAA win.

Like I said earlier,  I will not set an ultimatum.  Looking only at tournament results is a very narrow view.

If Marquette goes 29-5, wins the BE, gets a 2 seed but loses to a hot shooting 15, the coach isn't getting fired.

That's just one example.  I prefer to look at the whole picture,  not just tournament results.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: NotAnAlum on March 24, 2019, 09:19:07 AM
Reading your  many of these posts, it seems your motivation for firing Wojo is punitive. You want Wojo punished for not living up to your expectations. Thankfully, cooler heads make the decisions.
TAMU you hit the nail on the head.  After Thursday night part of me wanted Wojo to PAY for putting out a team that embarrassed MU like they did.
But what really needs to happen is an honest discussion with Wojo by those in power and hopefully those with some real basketball knowledge about what went wrong in the last few weeks of the season and what can be done by this staff to reduce the chance of it happening again. 
Only if they refuse to accept constructive criticism or refuse to take a measure of responsibility would you start to think about making a change.
Firing the coach is the easy part; replacing them with someone better is the difficult part.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Goose on March 24, 2019, 09:28:44 AM
Lazer
I have stated many times my belief in having the eye test be part of my evaluation process. This season, I watched more MU ball than I have in the Wojo era, aside from Carlino’s year, and fortunately missed our end of season slide due to travels. From what I saw, it was fun season with some exciting wins. That said, I never saw a performance that I believed the corner had been turned in meaningful way.

Now to my question, in watching the eught games yesterday, do you think we would have beaten any of the teams that won yesterday? From what I saw of our team, I think we would have been knocked around by all eight winners.

Reason I mention this is simple. Having a good record and decent seed can be deceiving. MU was very fortunate to play in a bad BE this year and do not think that can be debated any longer. Records and seeding definitely means something, but being honest about how that came about is equally as important.

I said many times on here that long term success is the goal. Many on here are in belief next year is the year and than a big recruiting class carries us over. I do not see the foundation that has been built for long term success and that is my biggest issue.

Curious on everyone’s thoughts on how MU would have fared in any of the eight games yesterday. Want to add, this is not trying to prove a point, just looking for honest appraisal of where this team sits today.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Pakuni on March 24, 2019, 09:40:44 AM
Lazer
I have stated many times my belief in having the eye test be part of my evaluation process. This season, I watched more MU ball than I have in the Wojo era, aside from Carlino’s year, and fortunately missed our end of season slide due to travels. From what I saw, it was fun season with some exciting wins. That said, I never saw a performance that I believed the corner had been turned in meaningful way.

Now to my question, in watching the eught games yesterday, do you think we would have beaten any of the teams that won yesterday? From what I saw of our team, I think we would have been knocked around by all eight winners.

Reason I mention this is simple. Having a good record and decent seed can be deceiving. MU was very fortunate to play in a bad BE this year and do not think that can be debated any longer. Records and seeding definitely means something, but being honest about how that came about is equally as important.

I said many times on here that long term success is the goal. Many on here are in belief next year is the year and than a big recruiting class carries us over. I do not see the foundation that has been built for long term success and that is my biggest issue.

Curious on everyone’s thoughts on how MU would have fared in any of the eight games yesterday. Want to add, this is not trying to prove a point, just looking for honest appraisal of where this team sits today.

I think one point being missed regarding MU's seed and the strength of the Big East is that MU didn't earned a 5 seed because it finished second in a weak conference.
It earned a 5 seed by playing a tough nonconference schedule and beating quality opponents, i.e. Louisville, K-State, UW, Buffalo.

As for how MU would have fared in the second round ... who knows. We tend to overestimate the importance of tournament games in the overall evaluation of teams, players, conferences, etc. - understandably so, because it's the big dance and winning in the tourney is the ultimate goal. But every game is different, every matchup is different and creating some transitive effect is lazy.
That said, given the way MU played down the stretch - not just Thursday - I wouldn't have liked this team's chances against anyone yesterday.
The better question may be why such a Jekyll and Hyde season from this team, and which version is closer to reality.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: HowardsWorld on March 24, 2019, 09:42:19 AM
Lazer
I have stated many times my belief in having the eye test be part of my evaluation process. This season, I watched more MU ball than I have in the Wojo era, aside from Carlino’s year, and fortunately missed our end of season slide due to travels. From what I saw, it was fun season with some exciting wins. That said, I never saw a performance that I believed the corner had been turned in meaningful way.

Now to my question, in watching the eught games yesterday, do you think we would have beaten any of the teams that won yesterday? From what I saw of our team, I think we would have been knocked around by all eight winners.

Reason I mention this is simple. Having a good record and decent seed can be deceiving. MU was very fortunate to play in a bad BE this year and do not think that can be debated any longer. Records and seeding definitely means something, but being honest about how that came about is equally as important.

I said many times on here that long term success is the goal. Many on here are in belief next year is the year and than a big recruiting class carries us over. I do not see the foundation that has been built for long term success and that is my biggest issue.

Curious on everyone’s thoughts on how MU would have fared in any of the eight games yesterday. Want to add, this is not trying to prove a point, just looking for honest appraisal of where this team sits today.

I would say even comparing yesterdays game would be unfair. Look back at the games played the same day MU lost. Outside of the 15 and 16s there was not a single team outside or maybe Northeastern that we beat. Of the teams that lost Syracuse, Nevada, Bradley, Vermont,Yale, Old Dominion, Seton Hall, St. Marys, Louisville, Belmont I am not sure I see them beating one of those teams the way they played. I don't think our seed was the issue we would have lost to no matter who we played.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: skianth16 on March 24, 2019, 09:42:30 AM
Based on the first post, it seems like there are 2 very different views about our recent history.

The decidedly pro-Wojo camp sees Buzz's last year as the baseline for judging Wojo's performance. Makes sense, right? We have to look at where he started to really be able to tell if his teams are trending up or down. Anything that went on 2,5,10, or 30 years prior to Wojo's arrival are meaningless when it comes to judging Wojo. All he could work with was the program he inherited, nothing more, nothing less.

The no-Wojo camp sees the performance of other coaches prior to Wojo as the baseline for judging Wojo's performance. This also makes sense, doesn't it? Marquette basketball has been a nationally known brand for decades. The names and faces have changed over the years, but the fans still expect the team to win. We have some pretty impressive banners hanging in the rafters at the Fiserv, and they weren't all hung there under one coach's tenure. Plenty of coaches have been very successful at MU, and so far Wojo isn't producing the kinds of results other have. He needs to improve.

Both sides make fair points, and both sides conveniently ignore certain points from the other side. The truth, as always, is probably somewhere in the middle.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Goose on March 24, 2019, 09:45:43 AM
Howard
I am asking if anyone thinks MU’scteam this year is on the same class as the eight winners yesterday. Pick the best game MU played this year and then answer the question. I do not think at our best we would beat those teams on a regular basis, by that I mean 50% of the time.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: HowardsWorld on March 24, 2019, 09:48:19 AM
I would say our two best wins were home vs K- State and Buffalo. Howard was hot in both so its very hard to judge. Of the teams that played yesterday I could only see us beating Florida. Everyone else would have out physicaled us.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: willie warrior on March 24, 2019, 10:13:40 AM
Willie

In my world command is an honor. Live up to the ideal or get the f#ck out of the way.

But from a business perspective, the question must be, "Are the shareholders getting the return they expect?"

In the case of Marquette basketball the answer is a decided no.
I agree with this, but there are a number of posters here that feel the shareholders are getting the return they expect, and keep preaching that we are getting there, just be patient. After this years meltdown combined with the prior 4 years, just don't get that perspective. Must be that those people have the objectivity cornerstone that us country bumpkins lack.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: real chili 83 on March 24, 2019, 10:32:40 AM
real

I was hoping you would post today because I wanted to hear your take on the situation. Your post is pretty much spot on. Once again, it comes down to how they define program success. Judging by many in here, Wojo has had success and enough to believe he will get better. My gut says, BOT thinks Woj has knocked out of the park.


Been on a slow burn since Thursday. Really glad I went to Hartford. Enjoyed meeting and hanging out with Benny. Also met Thurl, Todd Smith’ s parents, amongst others.

Managed to really eff my knee up the night before leaving for Hartford. Hoping MRI says I’m justoo fat, and nothing more.  The XL Center is a real crap hole...it was a treat hobbling up and down those steps.

Been hanging out on the Underboard this weekend. More tranquil, level headed discussions. This thread is finally, one of the better threads too....so far.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Goose on March 24, 2019, 10:34:38 AM
real
Take care of your knee. We need you in MKE next season for some in person ball talk.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Hards Alumni on March 24, 2019, 11:15:24 AM
Very level headed post, jesmu.  Unfortunately, those against Wojo won't change their minds.  MU could have lost in the Sweet 16, and they would say "See, Wojo can't win during the 2nd weekend."

Now, I am not saying Wojo is some fabulous coach.  But he's coming off his best season.   He's done enough to keep his job and the arrow is still pointing up.  I don't know what Wojo's ceiling is but I know we haven't seen it.

I'm willing to see where things go.  I won't set any ultimatums for Wojo (as if me doing so would have any affect on anything).  If things crash and burn, then I will support a coaching change.   But not before.

He is coming off his best season record-wise yes.  Here is the problem.  The Big East was a hot steaming pile of garbage this year, and we didn't win it.  Every team from the BEAST in the NCAA tourney won't be playing in the second weekend.  We can throw some lipstick on this pig if we want, but post season results matter. 

2nd place in the worst field the BEAST has had in a long while
Bounced before the championship game of the BEAST tourney
Absolutely destroyed on the national stage by a mid-major

Now, if you're okay with spending like a top 10 team, and getting results that place MU in the 25-30 range of teams, that great.  I'm glad you're happy with being a lovable loser.  Wojo is going to get his next year to prove that he isn't the dolt that he clearly is, and then he should be gone if we don't take the BEAST and make it to the 2nd week of the tournament.

Anything else, and we are accepting mediocrity as a program.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: jesmu84 on March 24, 2019, 11:29:25 AM
MU spends $11.3 million on men's bball. 10th in spending. We are outspent by 1 Bigwhatever school, and it isn't the rodents.

With that kind of spending, for a school our size, should we be happy with this trajectory? 

If this is good as it gets, hell no.  We should be playing into the second weekend (and beyond) more often than not. 

If Wojo isn't that guy, dump him now.   If he needs a Jerry Wainwright on the bench (Hank Raymonds) go get him one. 

If this is as good as it gets, and the BOT is ok with this, I question their stewardship.

Is it possible that we need to spend that much to get even to this level? Not saying that Wojo is the best coach in America (he's not). But, unless we get a top 10/5/3 coach, perhaps a school like Marquette is required to commit this many resources to get to the level currently.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: jesmu84 on March 24, 2019, 11:31:20 AM
Lazer
I have stated many times my belief in having the eye test be part of my evaluation process. This season, I watched more MU ball than I have in the Wojo era, aside from Carlino’s year, and fortunately missed our end of season slide due to travels. From what I saw, it was fun season with some exciting wins. That said, I never saw a performance that I believed the corner had been turned in meaningful way.

Now to my question, in watching the eught games yesterday, do you think we would have beaten any of the teams that won yesterday? From what I saw of our team, I think we would have been knocked around by all eight winners.

Reason I mention this is simple. Having a good record and decent seed can be deceiving. MU was very fortunate to play in a bad BE this year and do not think that can be debated any longer. Records and seeding definitely means something, but being honest about how that came about is equally as important.

I said many times on here that long term success is the goal. Many on here are in belief next year is the year and than a big recruiting class carries us over. I do not see the foundation that has been built for long term success and that is my biggest issue.

Curious on everyone’s thoughts on how MU would have fared in any of the eight games yesterday. Want to add, this is not trying to prove a point, just looking for honest appraisal of where this team sits today.

The program is trending upwards from where Wojo started. Objectively, that is a fact.

Do you get rid of the him with a positive trendline?

IMO, unless the programs dips or plateaus under his leadership, you keep giving him the reins.

Also, I wonder the national reputation that may be developed if administration fires a coach with a positive trend.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: jesmu84 on March 24, 2019, 11:33:01 AM
Howard
I am asking if anyone thinks MU’scteam this year is on the same class as the eight winners yesterday. Pick the best game MU played this year and then answer the question. I do not think at our best we would beat those teams on a regular basis, by that I mean 50% of the time.

Has anyone said the program is at that level yet? I don't believe they are.

But, again, if the program is trending positively, don't you want to give them the chance to get to that level?
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: jesmu84 on March 24, 2019, 11:34:58 AM
He is coming off his best season record-wise yes.  Here is the problem.  The Big East was a hot steaming pile of garbage this year, and we didn't win it.  Every team from the BEAST in the NCAA tourney won't be playing in the second weekend.  We can throw some lipstick on this pig if we want, but post season results matter. 

2nd place in the worst field the BEAST has had in a long while
Bounced before the championship game of the BEAST tourney
Absolutely destroyed on the national stage by a mid-major

Now, if you're okay with spending like a top 10 team, and getting results that place MU in the 25-30 range of teams, that great.  I'm glad you're happy with being a lovable loser.  Wojo is going to get his next year to prove that he isn't the dolt that he clearly is, and then he should be gone if we don't take the BEAST and make it to the 2nd week of the tournament.

Anything else, and we are accepting mediocrity as a program.

I asked this elsewhere... is it possible that the small, private, non-football school in Milwaukee has to spend like a top 10 team to get results of a 25-30 (IF they don't have a top 10/5/3 coach)? If that is the reality, and coming across a coach of that talent is difficult, is the administration/fanbase pleased with the ROI?
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: skianth16 on March 24, 2019, 11:41:35 AM
The program is trending upwards from where Wojo started. Objectively, that is a fact.

Do you get rid of the him with a positive trendline?

IMO, unless the programs dips or plateaus under his leadership, you keep giving him the reins.

Also, I wonder the national reputation that may be developed if administration fires a coach with a positive trend.

There's a big difference between the program Wojo inherited and the team he inherited. He inherited a sub-par team but a very solid program. Referring to the team in 2014 as indicative of the MU program doesn't work for me. The program at the point was strong despite one less than stellar team.

Like I said before, the pro-Wojo camp downplays the MU program on purpose to make Wojo seem more accomplished. And that's a big reason why I have a hard time buying those arguments.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: brewcity77 on March 24, 2019, 11:52:21 AM
There's a big difference between the program Wojo inherited and the team he inherited. He inherited a sub-par team but a very solid program. Referring to the team in 2014 as indicative of the MU program doesn't work for me. The program at the point was strong despite one less than stellar team.

Like I said before, the pro-Wojo camp downplays the MU program on purpose to make Wojo seem more accomplished. And that's a big reason why I have a hard time buying those arguments.

This is a fair comment. Strong program, weak team. I think our general expectations changed with Buzz. He inherited a strong program & team, but but knew he would lose 4 seniors & lost the incoming recruiting class. Buzz used JUCOs to fill that void, Wojo relied on 4 year players which led to his team taking longer to mature than Buzz's team did.

The positive is that on the balance of the season, 2018-19 was a step in the right direction. But the last month turned a big step forward into two steps forward, one step back. Next year we have 4 seniors, 3 juniors, 3 sophomores, & 1-3 freshmen. On paper this should be sustainable, but as it's taking longer than it did for Buzz, I think the frustration is understandable.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: WarriorDad on March 24, 2019, 12:03:46 PM
MU spends $11.3 million on men's bball. 10th in spending. We are outspent by 1 Bigwhatever school, and it isn't the rodents.

With that kind of spending, for a school our size, should we be happy with this trajectory? 

If this is good as it gets, hell no.  We should be playing into the second weekend (and beyond) more often than not. 

If Wojo isn't that guy, dump him now.   If he needs a Jerry Wainwright on the bench (Hank Raymonds) go get him one. 

If this is as good as it gets, and the BOT is ok with this, I question their stewardship.

Some of this is a matter of allocation.  Texas is one behind Marquette, but has the largest expenditure in total athletics of any university in the country.  Which means they can distribute expenditures among football, baseball and other sports.

The same is true for nearly every school that has football.  In my view, it makes these lists highly questionable.

You say we should be playing in the second weekend more often than not.  To be as conservative as possible with that approach, that means 51% of the time (more often than not) we should be in the second weekend.  In the last 20 years do you know how many schools have done that?  I do not, but my hunch is it is extremely low and confined to the upper crest of college basketball.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: TAMU, Knower of Ball on March 24, 2019, 12:04:27 PM
There's a big difference between the program Wojo inherited and the team he inherited. He inherited a sub-par team but a very solid program. Referring to the team in 2014 as indicative of the MU program doesn't work for me. The program at the point was strong despite one less than stellar team.

Like I said before, the pro-Wojo camp downplays the MU program on purpose to make Wojo seem more accomplished. And that's a big reason why I have a hard time buying those arguments.

I recognize the program Wojo inherited. Here's the reality, for the past 40 years, getting a 5 seed and losing in the first round has been an above average season for Marquette. We are not a program that regularly grabs high seeds and makes deep tournament runs. Buzz had an improbable sweet 16 run as a team that barely made the tournament, grabbed two three seeds and made two second weekend appearances and then nosedived. Unfortunate truth is that we had an upward trend and then it crashed to Earth during Buzz' last year and departure. That is the program Wojo inherited and need to build back up.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Pakuni on March 24, 2019, 12:04:37 PM
There's a big difference between the program Wojo inherited and the team he inherited. He inherited a sub-par team but a very solid program. Referring to the team in 2014 as indicative of the MU program doesn't work for me. The program at the point was strong despite one less than stellar team.

Like I said before, the pro-Wojo camp downplays the MU program on purpose to make Wojo seem more accomplished. And that's a big reason why I have a hard time buying those arguments.

This is reasonable, but also goes both ways. Some here fail to recognize the challenges of the MU program. Some of these people are stuck in 1977, but more of them view Buzz's three-year run - which if, we're being honest, saw a lot of breaks fall our way - not as a high-water mark, but as a baseline.
That Davidson NCAA games is one of the highlights of my NCAA fandom ... but it's very interesting to think of how much the Buzz narrative changes if Davidson were able to complete a simple pass in the last 10 seconds of that game. Then he's the guy who lost a 3 vs 14 game, and was thoroughly outcoached in doing so.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: TAMU, Knower of Ball on March 24, 2019, 12:13:41 PM
He earned the 5th highest seed in 40 years, and did what with it exactly?? Getting the 5th highest seed in 40 years is 100% meaningless, if you don't do a thing with it. I mean do you get to hang a banner for something like that?? Do you not even understand that Coaching at any level from college and above is about results, and winning?? Any Coach will tell you that.

Would getting to the Round of 32 mean anything?? Maybe not on the surface, but it at least shows people you can get to the tournament and win when you do get there. Look how much Buzz won when he got to the tournament. I think the biggest problem is now that the administration doesn't really give a F, how good the program is. They really don't. They don't care if they win at the highest level or not. Bring in good kids, that stay out of trouble, produce mid major results on the court..they are fine with that.

2 tournament appearances in 5 years..don't give me this "look what he started with" nonsense. Even if you cut him some slack for the first four years...this was year 5...he had the best team he has ever had..and it's not close. What did that result in?? A monumental collapse at the end of the year, no BE title(when all they had to do was win 1 game out of 4), no Big East tournament title, and a loss to a mid major as a higher seed. The administration is okay with that now?? Apparently so, and that's really really pathetic with the resources they put into the BB program. Nothing like acting mid major ish...at Marquette, the MINIMUM expectation should be going to the tourney every single year..bare minimum. Apparently it's an "honor" now to be chosen for the NCAA tournament. Is this Wofford or something?? There's a place where they should celebrate getting an invite every so often. And...they won a game too! As a higher seed. Imagine that!

You don't think it wouldn't be good for the program?? I assume because you THINK there would be mass transfers?? Well, Sam wouldn't leave(he's a Senior that would make ZERO sense), which means Joey would stay(he'd lose a year of eligibility if he left), and Markus will be back(I'm pretty sure). Keep those 3 and bring in someone that can actually do something with that kind of talent. Someone that can make in game adjustments. That has a bag of tricks for when it's needed. And most of all, someone that doesn't say "well examine that and see if we can figure out what happened", in regards to the late season collapse. That's the one that pushed me over the edge and told me he was absolutely in over his head. You wait until the end of the year to "figure it out"?

No, you damn well should have figured it out and corrected it after the second straight loss. That's what a good Coach does. Yet we saw NOTHING different during that stretch. Not even something as small as a starting line up change. Nothing like showing you have no idea what happened, or how to fix it and not even trying something(anything) to help the team snap out of it.

Guru, I have bigger goals than you do I guess. I don't give a flying f*ck about Round of 32 appearances or even Sweet 16s. No one remembers the teams that made the Sweet 16 and lost a year later. I've seen five Sweet 16s in my life, I'm over them. I want Final Fours and National Championships. Not only that, I want a program where Final Fours and National Championship expectations are the norm. You know what programs make it there? The ones who consistently earn high seeds and have had one coach who has built a program up year after year. You know what programs don't make it there? The ones who churn through coaches every couple years because their fans are whining that they didn't win enough first round NCAA games. The administration knows this and that is what they are trying to build at Marquette.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Columbo on March 24, 2019, 12:15:09 PM
Need to give Wojo next year and support him as the program has made strides since his first year, perhaps not at the rate we want but if and when he goes, it will take another 2-3 years to get the program back up to speed primarily due to incoming recruits decommitting.

I'm not the biggest Wojo fan as I find his stubbornness to run the same offense & not periodically play zone drives me crazy. Ja just picked us apart, St. Johns and others found such a groove offensively at times that he never did anything to change up the pace of play to try to disrupt their flow offensively.

As a matter of fact, last year we played zone twice late in the year against Creighton with a big come back and beat another (Xavier?) due to the zone. Maryland through it at LSU yesterday and almost pulled it out. No creativity on his in-game coaching for the most part. It's okay to get away from man-to-man once in a while Coach!
Coach Judson told me that "he is from Duke and that's why he won't play it". In other words, he is stubborn thinking he has a bunch of 5-start athletes? Is it just me or does Wojo fail to recognize what is so apparent to the average fan at times?

With that said, he's still developing and maturing as a coach. I'll support him big time headed into next year as none of us can challenge his passion, commitment, and dedication to his team and to the overall program. That is something he does very well. 



Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: skianth16 on March 24, 2019, 12:29:33 PM
This is reasonable, but also goes both ways. Some here fail to recognize the challenges of the MU program. Some of these people are stuck in 1977, but more of them view Buzz's three-year run - which if, we're being honest, saw a lot of breaks fall our way - not as a high-water mark, but as a baseline.
That Davidson NCAA games is one of the highlights of my NCAA fandom ... but it's very interesting to think of how much the Buzz narrative changes if Davidson were able to complete a simple pass in the last 10 seconds of that game. Then he's the guy who lost a 3 vs 14 game, and was thoroughly outcoached in doing so.

Buzz's 3 year tourney success should definitely not be a baseline. Very few programs can sustain that kind of success year in and year out. I think most here would agree that it's not fair to judge the current program by the Al era standards, either. But we also shouldn't be comparing a Big East school that has become a household name in March (in this millenia) to the mid-major that we were under O'Neill and Deane.

I think the baseline for our program should be the early Big East years. Making the move to a power conference was a big step for the program and I've got to think that opened some doors and created new expectations.

Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: willie warrior on March 24, 2019, 12:34:42 PM
Guru, I have bigger goals than you do I guess. I don't give a flying f*ck about Round of 32 appearances or even Sweet 16s. No one remembers the teams that made the Sweet 16 and lost a year later. I've seen five Sweet 16s in my life, I'm over them. I want Final Fours and National Championships. Not only that, I want a program where Final Fours and National Championship expectations are the norm. You know what programs make it there? The ones who consistently earn high seeds and have had one coach who has built a program up year after year. You know what programs don't make it there? The ones who churn through coaches every couple years because their fans are whining that they didn't win enough first round NCAA games. The administration knows this and that is what they are trying to build at Marquette.
Well, perhaps the administration has the wrong guy.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: jesmu84 on March 24, 2019, 12:36:55 PM
There's a big difference between the program Wojo inherited and the team he inherited. He inherited a sub-par team but a very solid program. Referring to the team in 2014 as indicative of the MU program doesn't work for me. The program at the point was strong despite one less than stellar team.

Like I said before, the pro-Wojo camp downplays the MU program on purpose to make Wojo seem more accomplished. And that's a big reason why I have a hard time buying those arguments.

That's a fair distinction - team v program. I generally agree that as a program - money, academic resources, facilities, staff, etc - things are not any different than when buzz was here.

But the team wojo inherited and thus team success is objectively positive as a trend.

I was honestly not trying to down play the program before wojo. I was just looking at the team makeup and results in Buzz's last year/wojos first year compared to today.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: jesmu84 on March 24, 2019, 12:37:44 PM
Well, perhaps the administration has the wrong guy.

Perhaps.

But don't you want to give him the chance to build on his already positive trend to find out?
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: WarriorDad on March 24, 2019, 12:40:36 PM
I would say our two best wins were home vs K- State and Buffalo. Howard was hot in both so its very hard to judge. Of the teams that played yesterday I could only see us beating Florida. Everyone else would have out physicaled us.

I could see us beating MMinnesota, Villanova (we already have) and today Iowa, Buffalo (already have), Ohio State, Oklahoma, Irvine. 

Louisville was one of our better wins, Wisconsin, too. 
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: willie warrior on March 24, 2019, 12:42:37 PM
Perhaps.

But don't you want to give him the chance to build on his already positive trend to find out?
He does not have near a positive trend as you imagine.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Cheeks on March 24, 2019, 12:43:14 PM
Is it possible that we need to spend that much to get even to this level? Not saying that Wojo is the best coach in America (he's not). But, unless we get a top 10/5/3 coach, perhaps a school like Marquette is required to commit this many resources to get to the level currently.

Correct, we spend this much just to be in the conversation.

Also correct that these expenditures are not accurate in how they are portrayed and I and others have outlined this for years here.  Because some cute list shows up on the internet without context is what is missing.  Been rehashed many times.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Cheeks on March 24, 2019, 12:48:49 PM
There's a big difference between the program Wojo inherited and the team he inherited. He inherited a sub-par team but a very solid program. Referring to the team in 2014 as indicative of the MU program doesn't work for me. The program at the point was strong despite one less than stellar team.

Like I said before, the pro-Wojo camp downplays the MU program on purpose to make Wojo seem more accomplished. And that's a big reason why I have a hard time buying those arguments.

We had a coach leave for a craphole in Va Tech for less money...that doesn’t scream strong program.  It screams NCAA infractions coming and I’m getting out of dodge, or it screams something else.  Buzzard crapped on the conference and the school as he left, also not indicative of a strong program....for some reason you are letting him off the hook for that.

It also amazes me how quickly we value how strong a program is on sometimes on seconds of an outcome.  If Davidson didn’t shat their pants, that would have been us as a 3 seed knocked out in the first round...literally seconds away from changing that entire mantra.  Which is why Obsessing over what happens for two weeks in March can be dangerous.  Davidson makes their free throws, or doesn’t piss themselves, we have the worst loss in our history in the NCAAs from a seeding perspective and there goes your claim.  That’s how fragile, knife’s edge this stuff can be.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: djvern414 on March 24, 2019, 12:55:26 PM
Not defending, but I remember Davidson making almost all their free throws except one, just Blue & Wilson raining tres.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: 4everwarriors on March 24, 2019, 12:55:33 PM
Why are peeps so willin' ta extend another year. Watt's gonna change? Rip da bandage off and let's get started, hey?
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: SERocks on March 24, 2019, 12:55:47 PM
You know what programs don't make it there? The ones who churn through coaches every couple years because their fans are whining that they didn't win enough first round NCAA games. The administration knows this and that is what they are trying to build at Marquette.

This.  Wojo deserves another three to four years to see if we can get where we want to be. 
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: jesmu84 on March 24, 2019, 12:57:50 PM
He does not have near a positive trend as you imagine.

So you admit it is positive. And you don't want to see how high that trend can go?
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Silent Verbal on March 24, 2019, 12:57:55 PM
It also amazes me how quickly we value how strong a program is on sometimes one seconds of an outcome.  If Davidson didn’t shat their pants, that would have been us as a 3 seed knocked out in the first round...literally seconds away from changing that entire mantra.  Which is why Obsessing over what happens for two weeks in March can be dangerous.  Davidson makes their free throws, or doesn’t piss themselves, we have the worst loss in our history in the NCAAs from a seeding perspective and there goes your claim.  That’s how fragile, knife’s edge this stuff can be.

Yeah, and if Louisville doesn’t miss a wide open layup at the end of regulation, Creighton doesn’t crap their pants on that inbounds play, and Nova actually executes their last possession in MKE, we’d have three more losses this season.  And if Uncle Joe had lady parts, he’d be Aunt Josephine. 
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Cheeks on March 24, 2019, 12:58:27 PM
He does not have near a positive trend as you imagine.

Yes he does, right there in the data.  There is a reason why we keep score for every game, why we have a regular season, etc.  Deny it all if you wish.  You haven’t been happy in decades, and your posts here during Buzz, Crean, Wojo, all prove it out.  Sad.  Really sad for you.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: willie warrior on March 24, 2019, 01:03:08 PM
So you admit it is positive. And you don't want to see how high that trend can go?
Reading is fundamental. "Near a positive trend" as I stated does not mean as near a positive trend which you implied. He has not shown a positive trend as evidenced by the late season meltdown including a severe ass kicking in the dsnce.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: jesmu84 on March 24, 2019, 01:05:41 PM
Reading is fundamental. "Near a positive trend" as I stated does not mean as near a positive trend which you implied. He has not shown a positive trend as evidenced by the late season meltdown including a severe ass kicking in the dsnce.

My apologies for misinterpreting.

So, in your opinion, this team and the results are no better after this season than they were after wojos first season?
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Cheeks on March 24, 2019, 01:12:37 PM
Not defending, but I remember Davidson making almost all their free throws except one, just Blue & Wilson raining tres.

Davidson was 14 of 22 from the free throw line, 64%.  As a team they shot 80% that year, they choked hard that game from the line...it was due to our free throw defense apparently.  They were the number one free throw shooting team in the country that year.

And they threw the ball away to win the game.  It was a gift.

We got damn lucky, which is exactly what Buzzard said.  On that day, it was better be lucky than good...thankfully.

Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: RJax55 on March 24, 2019, 01:13:59 PM
This is reasonable, but also goes both ways. Some here fail to recognize the challenges of the MU program. Some of these people are stuck in 1977, but more of them view Buzz's three-year run - which if, we're being honest, saw a lot of breaks fall our way - not as a high-water mark, but as a baseline.
That Davidson NCAA games is one of the highlights of my NCAA fandom ... but it's very interesting to think of how much the Buzz narrative changes if Davidson were able to complete a simple pass in the last 10 seconds of that game. Then he's the guy who lost a 3 vs 14 game, and was thoroughly outcoached in doing so.

I agree, but Buzz and his teams took advantage of the breaks. Wojo has not. Programs and coaches don't get endless opportunities.

I know others will disagree, but to me the horrible collapse rendered this season a huge missed opportunity. Nothing is given in the future.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: WarriorDad on March 24, 2019, 01:14:37 PM
Why are peeps so willin' ta extend another year. Watt's gonna change? Rip da bandage off and let's get started, hey?

Not ready to do that yet.  It will just put us back starting all over again in my view.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Jon on March 24, 2019, 01:18:20 PM
So you admit it is positive. And you don't want to see how high that trend can go?

If I were to plot out Wojo's tenure from Day 1 there would be upward slope until this past February when the trend is now decidedly negative.

So, the trend line is negative. This fact is indisputable.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: willie warrior on March 24, 2019, 01:18:25 PM
My apologies for misinterpreting.

So, in your opinion, this team and the results are no better after this season than they were after wojos first season?
Did not say that. In my opinion  the last 7 games of this season,  with the alleged talent we have, demonstrates that the team under Wojo fell flat on their ass, and spinning that we are trending positively is not realistic. It is spin.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Pakuni on March 24, 2019, 01:19:23 PM
I know others will disagree, but to me the horrible collapse rendered this season a huge missed opportunity. Nothing is given in the future.

I think everyone agrees with this.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Cheeks on March 24, 2019, 01:19:43 PM
Reading is fundamental. "Near a positive trend" as I stated does not mean as near a positive trend which you implied. He has not shown a positive trend as evidenced by the late season meltdown including a severe ass kicking in the dsnce.

You need to try again.  Woefully bad at this.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: jutaw22mu on March 24, 2019, 01:20:30 PM
This.  Wojo deserves another three to four years to see if we can get where we want to be.

Lol what the heck how bout another 10?  Maybe by then we will win one tourney game.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Cheeks on March 24, 2019, 01:22:18 PM
Yeah, and if Louisville doesn’t miss a wide open layup at the end of regulation, Creighton doesn’t crap their pants on that inbounds play, and Nova actually executes their last possession in MKE, we’d have three more losses this season.  And if Uncle Joe had lady parts, he’d be Aunt Josephine.

All true, but that’s exactly my point.  We are saying how good a coach is based on what could be defined as one play.  Or in some cases, by another team sharif the bed when our coach has nothing to do with it....the number one FT shooting team in the country at 80% making only 64% in a tournament game they lose by 1 point, was not caused by anything our coahes did....but we still benefited.  Crapshoot.  March Madness.

Mark Few said it best.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Eldon on March 24, 2019, 01:22:52 PM
I agree, but Buzz and his teams took advantage of the breaks. Wojo has not. Programs and coaches don't get endless opportunities.

I know others will disagree, but to me the horrible collapse rendered this season a huge missed opportunity. Nothing is given in the future.

As the old saying goes "luck is when preparation meets opportunity."
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Pakuni on March 24, 2019, 01:23:14 PM
If I were to plot out Wojo's tenure from Day 1 there would be upward slope until this past February when the trend is now decidedly negative.

So, the trend line is negative. This fact is indisputable.

That's a bit like taking a look at a historical chart of the Dow Jones that ends in October 2008 and declaring that stocks are a losing investment.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Cheeks on March 24, 2019, 01:25:15 PM
If I were to plot out Wojo's tenure from Day 1 there would be upward slope until this past February when the trend is now decidedly negative.

So, the trend line is negative. This fact is indisputable.

The overall trend line is positive....thus far.  Doesn’t mean he is the ultimate answer, but trend line overall is positives

Every team in the tournament sans one loses their last game and thus a downward result.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: WarriorDad on March 24, 2019, 01:31:16 PM
I agree, but Buzz and his teams took advantage of the breaks. Wojo has not. Programs and coaches don't get endless opportunities.

I know others will disagree, but to me the horrible collapse rendered this season a huge missed opportunity. Nothing is given in the future.

I agree with this.  I also believe change should be strategic and measured, or your future will be worse than the present we currently live in.  Change for sake of change is not a good strategy.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: RJax55 on March 24, 2019, 01:48:08 PM
I think everyone agrees with this.

Honestly, I'm not so sure. Coaches only have so long to make an impact. I see the opportunity missed as a very significant moment for both Wojo and the program.

Short-term: I worry if the rumors of Markus leaving are true, how does this upward trend talking point continue? Most teams don't improve after losing their conference's player of the year.

Long-term: I think we both agree that MU is not the easiest job to recruit to. Even given the history, resources, etc. Without significant accomplishments to point to after five years, I'm concerned how Wojo sells his program.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: 79Warrior on March 24, 2019, 01:57:17 PM
Not ready to do that yet.  It will just put us back starting all over again in my view.

I agree. He should get another year. Not sure why the wheels fell off down the stretch, but a coaching change now sets MU back again. Assuming everyone returns, the team will be solid next season. If he cannot get it done next year, then it will be time to start over.

As far as UNLV, no way he is interested in that gig. That is rumor central at its best. Wojo has not given the slightest indication he is unhappy. The dude is a competitor, he is not leaving for a mid major program.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: jesmu84 on March 24, 2019, 02:16:55 PM
If I were to plot out Wojo's tenure from Day 1 there would be upward slope until this past February when the trend is now decidedly negative.

So, the trend line is negative. This fact is indisputable.

Season over season improvement. That's all I'm looking for. You're entitled to a different opinion.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: TAMU, Knower of Ball on March 24, 2019, 02:21:53 PM
Why are peeps so willin' ta extend another year. Watt's gonna change? Rip da bandage off and let's get started, hey?

Who was the last coach to get fired after leading a team to a top 5 seed with no off the court issues?
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Jon on March 24, 2019, 02:27:07 PM
Who was the last coach to get fired after leading a team to a top 5 seed with no off the court issues?

Larry Brown. He "left" KU after winning a Natty. He landed with the Spurs. But he didn't want to leave KU.

The Panty Dropper can fill in the details.


Bob Huggins. He was canned by the new UC Prez who really didn't like the man. There were no crimes committed. There were no NCAA violations. She didn't like Huggins' drinking and the fact that his guys left early to play pro ball. Personality conflict.


Frank Martin. Did he really 'choose to leave' Manhattan, KS?
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Pakuni on March 24, 2019, 02:41:46 PM

Bob Huggins. He was canned by the new UC Prez who really didn't like the man. There were no crimes committed. There were no NCAA violations. She didn't like Huggins' drinking and the fact that his guys left early to play pro ball. Personality conflict.

Cincy was a 7 seed the year Huggins got the boot.

Quote
Frank Martin. Did he really 'choose to leave' Manhattan, KS?

Yes.
Also, K-State was an 8 seed the year Martin left.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Cheeks on March 24, 2019, 02:45:40 PM
Larry Brown. He "left" KU after winning a Natty. He landed with the Spurs. But he didn't want to leave KU.

The Panty Dropper can fill in the details.


Bob Huggins. He was canned by the new UC Prez who really didn't like the man. There were no crimes committed. There were no NCAA violations. She didn't like Huggins' drinking and the fact that his guys left early to play pro ball. Personality conflict.


Frank Martin. Did he really 'choose to leave' Manhattan, KS?

Nope, these are all wrong.

Larry Brown's KU team went on probation for 3 years a few short months after he left.  In today's age, KU would have been stripped of the title.  He knew he was going down hard with the ship, so he went to the Spurs.  Whether he would have been canned is speculative, but KU got thrown into NCAA jail.

Bob Huggins was a 7 seed, not top 5 as TAMU stated, when he was pushed out.

Frank Martin was a 8 seed at K State, not a top 5 seed as TAMU stated.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: TAMU, Knower of Ball on March 24, 2019, 04:19:11 PM
Larry Brown. He "left" KU after winning a Natty. He landed with the Spurs. But he didn't want to leave KU.

The Panty Dropper can fill in the details.


Bob Huggins. He was canned by the new UC Prez who really didn't like the man. There were no crimes committed. There were no NCAA violations. She didn't like Huggins' drinking and the fact that his guys left early to play pro ball. Personality conflict.


Frank Martin. Did he really 'choose to leave' Manhattan, KS?

There were off the court issues in all of these situations and only Larry Brown was a top 5 seed. Also, only one of them was fired.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: CTWarrior on March 24, 2019, 04:42:14 PM
I recognize the program Wojo inherited. Here's the reality, for the past 40 years, getting a 5 seed and losing in the first round has been an above average season for Marquette. We are not a program that regularly grabs high seeds and makes deep tournament runs. Buzz had an improbable sweet 16 run as a team that barely made the tournament, grabbed two three seeds and made two second weekend appearances and then nosedived. Unfortunate truth is that we had an upward trend and then it crashed to Earth during Buzz' last year and departure. That is the program Wojo inherited and need to build back up.
I know we got a 5 seed, but that was because the NCAA really has unusual reasoning to say the least this year.  By any objective computer measure (including the NCAA's own NET ranking) we deserved a 7 seed or worse.  We got the 5 because we were 10-5 in Quad 1 games and had a pretty good road/neutral record (8-6).   Swap our splits with Georgetown and Creighton to home wins instead of road wins, and we have a team that is now 8-7 in Quad 1 games and 6-8 in road/neutral games and are probably a 7 seed despite having an identical season.  Also it appears that the old late season record test they used to use is out the window as well (although I agree with that, as I believe the NCAA tournament entry and seeding should be based on the totally of your resume without favoring later games over earlier ones) or we may have done even worse using old criteria.

Does anybody here really think we were the 17th best team in the country on selection Sunday? 

I don't know where a 7 seed would rank in the last 40 years, but I expect it would still be really high up there.

Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: CTWarrior on March 24, 2019, 04:46:53 PM
Davidson was 14 of 22 from the free throw line, 64%.  As a team they shot 80% that year, they choked hard that game from the line...it was due to our free throw defense apparently.  They were the number one free throw shooting team in the country that year.

And they threw the ball away to win the game.  It was a gift.

We got damn lucky, which is exactly what Buzzard said.  On that day, it was better be lucky than good...thankfully.
In order to capitalize on that gift we had to hit three consecutive late threes and score inbounding the ball with less than 10 seconds on the clock to win the game.  They missed one FT and turned the ball over once (we were pressing, which is trying to get turnovers, BTW) during the end game.  Sure they weren't perfect down the stretch, but we were, and that is the point.  We played fantastically well at the end of that game, which is what "clutch" teams do.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Cheeks on March 24, 2019, 05:05:05 PM
In order to capitalize on that gift we had to hit three consecutive late threes and score inbounding the ball with less than 10 seconds on the clock to win the game.  They missed one FT and turned the ball over once (we were pressing, which is trying to get turnovers, BTW) during the end game.  Sure they weren't perfect down the stretch, but we were, and that is the point.  We played fantastically well at the end of that game, which is what "clutch" teams do.

Also true, but it was a gift and we were lucky....as Buzz said.  That's how close a first round exit happens vs an Elite 8 run. One free throw or one bad pass, and all of a sudden the entire narrative is turned.  As much as we were hitting those 3's, Davidson was bricking a lot of free throws during the game which they had made at 80% during the year.  That's luck, for some reason Nickle says luck doesn't exist in sports which blows my mind.  This is why I hate it when people put all of it on what happens in March.  40 minutes, on in some cases, 2 seconds, should not define a year, but I know it does for some people. I will agree with Mark Few on that one. 
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: TAMU, Knower of Ball on March 24, 2019, 05:12:55 PM
I know we got a 5 seed, but that was because the NCAA really has unusual reasoning to say the least this year.  By any objective computer measure (including the NCAA's own NET ranking) we deserved a 7 seed or worse.  We got the 5 because we were 10-5 in Quad 1 games and had a pretty good road/neutral record (8-6).   Swap our splits with Georgetown and Creighton to home wins instead of road wins, and we have a team that is now 8-7 in Quad 1 games and 6-8 in road/neutral games and are probably a 7 seed despite having an identical season.  Also it appears that the old late season record test they used to use is out the window as well (although I agree with that, as I believe the NCAA tournament entry and seeding should be based on the totally of your resume without favoring later games over earlier ones) or we may have done even worse using old criteria.

Does anybody here really think we were the 17th best team in the country on selection Sunday? 

I don't know where a 7 seed would rank in the last 40 years, but I expect it would still be really high up there.

17th best team in the country? No. 17th best resume? Yes. To me that either means the team was pretty good or the coach got them to punch above their weight class.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: CTWarrior on March 24, 2019, 05:18:32 PM
17th best team in the country? No. 17th best resume? Yes. To me that either means the team was pretty good or the coach got them to punch above their weight class.
I don't think it was the 17th best resume for reasons mentioned in the earlier post.  We got wins against teams in the lower portion of the top 75 on the road (Butler, Xavier, Creighton and Georgetown) that made our resume look better than it was.  Then we lost to a couple of them at home and they didn't count as Quad 1 losses at home that made our Quad 1 record look better than it really was.  I think the NCAA's criteria was different this year than usual and that it went in our favor. 

But I get what you're saying.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Dr. Blackheart on March 24, 2019, 05:20:48 PM
17th best team in the country? No. 17th best resume? Yes. To me that either means the team was pretty good or the coach got them to punch above their weight class.

Judging from all these blowouts...it looks like most of CBB is down this season.  Lots of upsets and unexpected blow outs.  Very fine lines between good and bad.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: curbina on March 24, 2019, 07:13:44 PM
If I were to plot out Wojo's tenure from Day 1 there would be upward slope until this past February when the trend is now decidedly negative.

So, the trend line is negative. This fact is indisputable.

Jon is correct. A Linear regression line can be used to determine the slope of a line. The trend line is negative.

If  a stock is rising in value from Dec to Feb and rolls over late Feb and Mar, would you buy or sell the stock in question?
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: cheebs09 on March 24, 2019, 07:15:49 PM
Judging from all these blowouts...it looks like most of CBB is down this season.  Lots of upsets and unexpected blow outs.  Very fine lines between good and bad.

I think the gap between the top 4 seed lines and the rest is pretty big.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Dr. Blackheart on March 24, 2019, 07:21:30 PM
I think the gap between the top 4 seed lines and the rest is pretty big.

+1
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Cheeks on March 24, 2019, 07:52:15 PM
Jon is correct. A Linear regression line can be used to determine the slope of a line. The trend line is negative.

If  a stock is rising in value from Dec to Feb and rolls over late Feb and Mar, would you buy or sell the stock in question?

This is season long trend from year to year.  In this case, trend line down is a good thing because it is tied to the rating of the team.  Better than Buzz's last year by a bunch, slightly worse than Buzz's second to last year.

(https://3.bp.blogspot.com/-lHo4MakQ6QU/XIaq7rABL1I/AAAAAAAAAVM/hXd-ozRmgjYH7DoAQQufACNifBOOpG5MgCLcBGAs/s1600/marquette%2Bratings.jpg)
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: muguru on March 24, 2019, 07:56:45 PM
This is season long trend from year to year.  In this case, trend line down is a good thing because it is tied to the rating of the team.  Better than Buzz's last year by a bunch, slightly worse than Buzz's second to last year.

(https://3.bp.blogspot.com/-lHo4MakQ6QU/XIaq7rABL1I/AAAAAAAAAVM/hXd-ozRmgjYH7DoAQQufACNifBOOpG5MgCLcBGAs/s1600/marquette%2Bratings.jpg)

Talk trends all you want...let's talk about the on court results...like the commercial says "just ok...is NOT ok". Or at least it shouldn't be. I think for the admin it is though.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Cheeks on March 24, 2019, 07:58:49 PM
Talk trends all you want...let's talk about the on court results...like the commercial says "just ok...is NOT ok". Or at least it shouldn't be. I think for the admin it is though.

That data is based 100% on the ON COURT results. 
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: muguru on March 24, 2019, 08:09:22 PM
That data is based 100% on the ON COURT results.

Fine, but what i'm telling you is...the 5 years Wojo has been here have NOT by any stretch met MY expectations. I have season tickets(15 years now), I donate every year to the B&G fund..I expect more. That's my right.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Cheeks on March 24, 2019, 08:13:25 PM
Fine, but what i'm telling you is...the 5 years Wojo has been here have NOT by any stretch met MY expectations. I have season tickets(15 years now), I donate every year to the B&G fund..I expect more. That's my right.

That's nice.  And like I said, you have every right to feel that way. I also think you are going to be disappointed to no end then, and perhaps should spend money elsewhere.  Your choice, spend anyway you want.

Look, I hope we win it all, become a powerhouse again.  I'm pragmatic, think we can become really really good again, the process is slow and too slow for some...clearly.  But that doesn't change the FACTS (not emotions) that we are trending the right way.  Leave emotion out of it.  Leave your expectations out of it for a second, it is factual to say we are trending the right way under any objective measurement.  Those that say no, are either ignorant or lying.  No other answer.

Now, you may wish to say we aren't trending better quickly enough...fine...but that doesn't change that over the last 6 years (including Buzz), we are trending upward and nearly back to where he was his second to last year, and better than his last year.  PURE FACTS.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: curbina on March 24, 2019, 08:23:48 PM
Trend lines must be drawn w.r.t time, you’re using a 6 year time frame that includes one year of buzz data. Your trend line is just BS!
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: curbina on March 24, 2019, 08:28:25 PM
W.r.t trend lines, data used must be actual data NOT data from talking heads!
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Cheeks on March 24, 2019, 08:33:15 PM
Trend lines must be drawn w.r.t., you’re using a 6 year time frame that includes one year of buzz data. Your trend line is just BS!

Here's the trend line for only Wojo, still trending the right way.  Just facts.  Trend line even better.  Sorry the data doesn't fit your agenda.  Apologize when you are ready.

Note:  2019 are not final numbers as tournament still playing.  I will post final numbers when the tournament is done.

(http://i67.tinypic.com/2wn68f9.jpg)

Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: curbina on March 24, 2019, 08:35:05 PM
This is season long trend from year to year.  In this case, trend line down is a good thing because it is tied to the rating of the team.  Better than Buzz's last year by a bunch, slightly worse than Buzz's second to last year.

(https://3.bp.blogspot.com/-lHo4MakQ6QU/XIaq7rABL1I/AAAAAAAAAVM/hXd-ozRmgjYH7DoAQQufACNifBOOpG5MgCLcBGAs/s1600/marquette%2Bratings.jpg)

You must use true data NOT data from talking heads. Talking head data is just BS!

Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: WindyCityGoldenEagle on March 24, 2019, 08:35:40 PM
As disappointing as the game was the team still came pretty damn close to meeting my expectations for the season (hit just about everything but two tourney wins) and the program is still trending towards my big picture expectations of making tourney 4 times every 5 years (so 80%) making 2nd weekend 2-3 times in that 5 year period (so 50%) and slipping into a f4 every 10-15 years.

All of that said next year is obviously a big year and anything short of 2nd weekend is a disappointment for me.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Cheeks on March 24, 2019, 08:36:38 PM
W.r.t trend lines, data used must be actual data NOT data from talking heads!

Data is from the sources I listed, the same sources that are used by the NCAA as part of their selection process. Sagarin, KenPom, RPI, NET and BPI.  Again, sorry you don't like data.  You are free to look it up yourself or just look here at the raw numbers, but in the event you believe I processed them wrong or lied....by all means the sources are all public. Knock yourself out.

(http://i68.tinypic.com/30iatfq.jpg)
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: curbina on March 24, 2019, 08:42:00 PM
True, I don’t like your data! Your data is just BS, ratings from talking heads!
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Cheeks on March 24, 2019, 08:45:00 PM
True, I don’t like your data! Your data is just BS, ratings from talking heads!

LOL.

Who is the "talking head" that represents the NCAA Net Rankings?  BPI talking head?  RPI talking head?   This should be good.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Blackhat on March 24, 2019, 08:48:00 PM
We're still building folks.   Keep your hard hats on.

(https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/OnKU2JrLVPvY6_VJNfWEby1AUs8=/0x0:1131x651/920x613/filters:focal(476x236:656x416):format(webp)/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/60088669/Wojo_Hard_Hat.0.jpg)
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: curbina on March 24, 2019, 08:51:24 PM
Chico, you don’t know sh!t about data science! You must use true team data NOT some talking head projections!
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: curbina on March 24, 2019, 08:56:41 PM
LOL.

Who is the "talking head" that represents the NCAA Net Rankings?  BPI talking head?  RPI talking head?   This should be good.

Again, you don’t know sh!t about data science! Dumb as a box of rocks!
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: muguru on March 24, 2019, 09:01:38 PM
Here's the trend line for only Wojo, still trending the right way.  Just facts.  Trend line even better.  Sorry the data doesn't fit your agenda.  Apologize when you are ready.

Note:  2019 are not final numbers as tournament still playing.  I will post final numbers when the tournament is done.

(http://i67.tinypic.com/2wn68f9.jpg)

They are ONLY facts if YOU want them to be..You are using predictive measures to support your argument. That's bunk. How about you throw those out the window and look at REAL results...

Year 1- Losing record, no tournament
Year 2- No tournament with an NBA draft pick on the roster
Year 3- NCAA's as a 10 seed...got blasted by 20
Year 4- NIT(anytime you go from NCAA to NIT it's a step back)
Year 5- NCAA's as a 5 seed...blasted by 20 to a mid major. When you factor in a 1-6 end to a season, at the time the slide started were no worse than a 3 seed, needed 1 win to win a BE title(with 4 remaining), that is NOT a positive trend line. Your sgarain etc, tell us NOTHING. They are simply numbers. Look at the real results and what has occurred and the trend line is NOT good, especially the way they ended the season...if that isn't trending down..I don't know what is.

Since you want to site numbers(which you seem to love so much), tell me..what were the odds that with 4 games to go, and only needing to win one of those, with two of them at home, that a team(any team) would NOT get at least one of those wins?? I know the answer and i'm pretty sure you do to. If you don't understand how absolutely astronomical the odds were against them not winning at least one of those games to win a ttile, then there is nothing I can say. If you think accomplishing an incredibly rare feat like they did with that, is "trending in the right direction". Then all hope for you is lost...For real.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: jesmu84 on March 24, 2019, 09:03:57 PM
They are ONLY facts if YOU want them to be..You are using predictive measures to support your argument. That's bunk. How about you throw those out the window and look at REAL results...

Year 1- Losing record, no tournament
Year 2- No tournament with an NBA draft pick on the roster
Year 3- NCAA's as a 10 seed...got blasted by 20
Year 4- NIT(anytime you go from NCAA to NIT it's a step back)
Year 5- NCAA's as a 5 seed
...blasted by 20 to a mid major. When you factor in a 1-6 end to a season, at the time the slide started were no worse than a 3 seed, needed 1 win to win a BE title(with 4 remaining), that is NOT a positive trend line. Your sgarain etc, tell us NOTHING. They are simply numbers. Look at the real results and what has occurred and the trend line is NOT good, especially the way they ended the season...if that isn't trending down..I don't know what is.

Since you want to site numbers(which you seem to love so much), tell me..what were the odds that with 4 games to go, and only needing to win one of those, with two of them at home, that a team(any team) would NOT get at least one of those wins?? I know the answer and i'm pretty sure you do to. If you don't understand how absolutely astronomical the odds were against them not winning at least one of those games to win a ttile, then there is nothing I can say. If you think accomplishing an incredibly rare feat like they did with that, is "trending in the right direction". Then all hope for you is lost...For real.

Uh. Even by your own "data", that's 100% a positive trend.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Dr. Blackheart on March 24, 2019, 09:05:30 PM
When Scoop breaks into a Data Pissing Match...
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Goose on March 24, 2019, 09:08:21 PM
Fxxk the data. Watch other teams play and see how we stack up. Frankly, I did and we don’t. In reality, we played a sh1t schedule and the data looks good. Don’t blame MU on sh1t schedule, it just ended up played 30 games against teams were not elite this year.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Blackhat on March 24, 2019, 09:13:36 PM
Wojo should make a banner out of that chart.   Get the banner ball rolling again at MU......
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Boston Warrior on March 24, 2019, 09:14:02 PM
From the eye test...

I think beat UCI and Ohio State...

I am not sure we beat anyone else that’s left in the tournament.

No guarantees that the uci and Ohio State make the sweet 16
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Goose on March 24, 2019, 09:16:54 PM
Boston

Agreed. What does that say about the data trend? It was a crap year in college ball, outside of 8-12 teams, and we won a bunch of close games against similar talent levels. Not a bad thing, just reality.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: muguru on March 24, 2019, 09:17:46 PM
Uh. Even by your own "data", that's 100% a positive trend.

Okay so they went from NIT to the NCAAS as a 5 seed...you say that's good..you are welcome to that. HOWEVER when you consider the fact that on February 27th, they were absolutely no worse then a 3 seed and finished with a 1-6 ending and DROPPED all the way down to a 5 seed, how is that a positive trend?? I will tell you what..I will say this...from the end of last season until February 27th this year...they were definitely trending up...but from February 27th until the end of this season, they weren't just trending down, they were trending down off a cliff.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: jesmu84 on March 24, 2019, 09:21:59 PM
Okay so they went from NIT to the NCAAS as a 5 seed...you say that's good..you are welcome to that. HOWEVER when you consider the fact that on February 27th, they were absolutely no worse then a 3 seed and finished with a 1-6 ending and DROPPED all the way down to a 5 seed, how is that a positive trend?? I will tell you what..I will say this...from the end of last season until February 27th this year...they were definitely trending up...but from February 27th until the end of this season, they weren't just trending down, they were trending down off a cliff.

Actually, i said it was a positive trend. Which it is. Thanks for agreeing
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: jesmu84 on March 24, 2019, 09:22:59 PM
Boston

Agreed. What does that say about the data trend? It was a crap year in college ball, outside of 8-12 teams, and we won a bunch of close games against similar talent levels. Not a bad thing, just reality.

Yup. Reality. Just like the positive trend is reality.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Goose on March 24, 2019, 09:27:14 PM
jesmu

The data is not lying, just not telling the whole story. College basketball was down this year. Big gap between the really good teams and everyone else. That is not MU’s fault and they did well against similar teams. I am not disputing facts, they are correct.

There are plenty of examples of data being misleading. Golf equipment has changed the game, steroids changed baseball, new D rules in NFL and list goes on. My only point, you still have to use your head in digesting data.

I will concede that MU was on the upper end of about 40 teams that were light years behind the good teams. My concession is based off record, which cannot be disputed by me.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: muguru on March 24, 2019, 09:48:55 PM
Yup. Reality. Just like the positive trend is reality.

1-6 to end the season from February 27th on and failing to win one of 4 games(two at home), and NOT winning a Big east title when it was essentially a done deal based on probability/odds is a positive trend?? If you were okay with how the season ended, so be it...I would think that would be weird, but whatever.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: jesmu84 on March 24, 2019, 10:10:25 PM
jesmu

The data is not lying, just not telling the whole story. College basketball was down this year. Big gap between the really good teams and everyone else. That is not MU’s fault and they did well against similar teams. I am not disputing facts, they are correct.

There are plenty of examples of data being misleading. Golf equipment has changed the game, steroids changed baseball, new D rules in NFL and list goes on. My only point, you still have to use your head in digesting data.

I will concede that MU was on the upper end of about 40 teams that were light years behind the good teams. My concession is based off record, which cannot be disputed by me.

Understood and agreed Goose. As I've mentioned, for me, Wojo/team/program/whatever, are trending upward over last 5 years (wojos tenure). Let's see how far he can take them. Maybe this is it. Maybe it's not. I want to find out.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: jesmu84 on March 24, 2019, 10:16:29 PM
1-6 to end the season from February 27th on and failing to win one of 4 games(two at home), and NOT winning a Big east title when it was essentially a done deal based on probability/odds is a positive trend?? If you were okay with how the season ended, so be it...I would think that would be weird, but whatever.

NIT to NCAA 5 seed. Positive trend. Keep deflecting though
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Silent Verbal on March 24, 2019, 10:21:19 PM
NIT to NCAA 5 seed. Positive trend. Keep deflecting though

NCAA 3 seed to NCAA 5 seed in final three weeks of the season, and then ass kicking in the tournament by a 12 seed.  Negative trend.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: curbina on March 24, 2019, 10:25:39 PM
If MU basketball was trending upward and Wojo was fulfilling all expectations then this board would not be in such turmoil! I think Wojo is a losing One-And-Done coach!
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: RushmoreAcademy on March 24, 2019, 10:27:23 PM
He earned the 5th highest seed in 40 years, and did what with it exactly?? Getting the 5th highest seed in 40 years is 100% meaningless, if you don't do a thing with it. I mean do you get to hang a banner for something like that?? Do you not even understand that Coaching at any level from college and above is about results, and winning?? Any Coach will tell you that.

Would getting to the Round of 32 mean anything?? Maybe not on the surface, but it at least shows people you can get to the tournament and win when you do get there. Look how much Buzz won when he got to the tournament. I think the biggest problem is now that the administration doesn't really give a F, how good the program is. They really don't. They don't care if they win at the highest level or not. Bring in good kids, that stay out of trouble, produce mid major results on the court..they are fine with that.

2 tournament appearances in 5 years..don't give me this "look what he started with" nonsense. Even if you cut him some slack for the first four years...this was year 5...he had the best team he has ever had..and it's not close. What did that result in?? A monumental collapse at the end of the year, no BE title(when all they had to do was win 1 game out of 4), no Big East tournament title, and a loss to a mid major as a higher seed. The administration is okay with that now?? Apparently so, and that's really really pathetic with the resources they put into the BB program. Nothing like acting mid major ish...at Marquette, the MINIMUM expectation should be going to the tourney every single year..bare minimum. Apparently it's an "honor" now to be chosen for the NCAA tournament. Is this Wofford or something?? There's a place where they should celebrate getting an invite every so often. And...they won a game too! As a higher seed. Imagine that!

You don't think it wouldn't be good for the program?? I assume because you THINK there would be mass transfers?? Well, Sam wouldn't leave(he's a Senior that would make ZERO sense), which means Joey would stay(he'd lose a year of eligibility if he left), and Markus will be back(I'm pretty sure). Keep those 3 and bring in someone that can actually do something with that kind of talent. Someone that can make in game adjustments. That has a bag of tricks for when it's needed. And most of all, someone that doesn't say "well examine that and see if we can figure out what happened", in regards to the late season collapse. That's the one that pushed me over the edge and told me he was absolutely in over his head. You wait until the end of the year to "figure it out"?

No, you damn well should have figured it out and corrected it after the second straight loss. That's what a good Coach does. Yet we saw NOTHING different during that stretch. Not even something as small as a starting line up change. Nothing like showing you have no idea what happened, or how to fix it and not even trying something(anything) to help the team snap out of it.


Pro-tip: You have to hit the caps lock a second time to turn it off. 
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Cheeks on March 24, 2019, 10:27:44 PM
Chico, you don’t know sh!t about data science! You must use true team data NOT some talking head projections!

Lol.  I swim in data every day that would make your head spin.  Petabytes of it. 

You keep saying true team data, not taking head projections...what on earth are you barking about.  The whole point of using these different sources, which have their algorithm unto themselves, was to prevent anyone claiming a bias source.  Further, I chose those the NCAA uses to JUDGE teams, which is the entire point of the exercise.  To judge, independently, without unhinged emotions, which so many seem to have. 

You are free to offer your own data, I’ll stick with that which the committee uses for the tournament since that is all that matters to some of you....I literally couldn’t be any fairer or unbiased in the data selected.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: curbina on March 24, 2019, 10:29:31 PM
Two trips to the NCAA and both trips ended with a 19 point loss. This is NOT trending upward, it is One-And-Done!
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Cheeks on March 24, 2019, 10:30:10 PM
Again, you don’t know sh!t about data science! Dumb as a box of rocks!

Still waiting for your data and still waiting for why you are calling it talking head data since that is what the NCAA has been on record using to help sort teams out.  But please, continue with your enlightenment.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Cheeks on March 24, 2019, 10:32:45 PM
They are ONLY facts if YOU want them to be..You are using predictive measures to support your argument. That's bunk. How about you throw those out the window and look at REAL results...

Year 1- Losing record, no tournament
Year 2- No tournament with an NBA draft pick on the roster
Year 3- NCAA's as a 10 seed...got blasted by 20
Year 4- NIT(anytime you go from NCAA to NIT it's a step back)
Year 5- NCAA's as a 5 seed...blasted by 20 to a mid major. When you factor in a 1-6 end to a season, at the time the slide started were no worse than a 3 seed, needed 1 win to win a BE title(with 4 remaining), that is NOT a positive trend line. Your sgarain etc, tell us NOTHING. They are simply numbers. Look at the real results and what has occurred and the trend line is NOT good, especially the way they ended the season...if that isn't trending down..I don't know what is.

Since you want to site numbers(which you seem to love so much), tell me..what were the odds that with 4 games to go, and only needing to win one of those, with two of them at home, that a team(any team) would NOT get at least one of those wins?? I know the answer and i'm pretty sure you do to. If you don't understand how absolutely astronomical the odds were against them not winning at least one of those games to win a ttile, then there is nothing I can say. If you think accomplishing an incredibly rare feat like they did with that, is "trending in the right direction". Then all hope for you is lost...For real.

1) some of these metrics are predictive, some are pure ratings with no predictive KPI to them... so you are incorrect

2) your own little diatribe above admits trending positive....the oh so delicious irony

Again, it may not be fast enough for you or steep enough, but proper trend regardless.  Your own words give you away, and so does the data and so do the results even if they aren’t the results you wanted or believe we should have had
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Cheeks on March 24, 2019, 10:34:58 PM
Fxxk the data. Watch other teams play and see how we stack up. Frankly, I did and we don’t. In reality, we played a sh1t schedule and the data looks good. Don’t blame MU on sh1t schedule, it just ended up played 30 games against teams were not elite this year.

You are speaking with emotion right now.  We played a solid schedule and did well against it. We did not play a crap schedule. You are right that we are not elite, but we did what the NCAA asked which is to play a tough schedule and do well with it. 

Are you suggesting we didn’t deserve to be in the tournament?
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Cheeks on March 24, 2019, 10:38:31 PM
Boston

Agreed. What does that say about the data trend? It was a crap year in college ball, outside of 8-12 teams, and we won a bunch of close games against similar talent levels. Not a bad thing, just reality.

This I agree with, but that doesn’t mean we weren’t good enough to be in the next tier and proved it over the long haul.  College basketball in general isn’t as good as it used to be, but it’s all relative. 

We could say the Final Four team of 2003 wasn’t as good as the 71 team, but it doesn’t really matter.  This year’s Duke team is not nearly as good as some past Duke teams, but they are playing against this year’s college teams so what does it matter?  It’s ultimately relative to who your peers are that you play in that year, right?
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: curbina on March 24, 2019, 10:38:55 PM
Still waiting for your data and still waiting for why you are calling it talking head data since that is what the NCAA has been on record using to help sort teams out.  But please, continue with your enlightenment.

Chico, you are just BS! The win/loss data is available in many locations. If you want the data go get it yourself! I don’t answer to you and NOT intimidated by you. Actually, I think you are dumb as a box of rocks! Enjoy your evening. :)
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Cheeks on March 24, 2019, 10:43:40 PM
1-6 to end the season from February 27th on and failing to win one of 4 games(two at home), and NOT winning a Big east title when it was essentially a done deal based on probability/odds is a positive trend?? If you were okay with how the season ended, so be it...I would think that would be weird, but whatever.

You keep moving the goalposts to get an answer you want.

On one hand you complain about what has he done in five YEARS, but then you switch to what did he do the last three weeks...I hope you see how dishonest that is in your analysis.  No one is going to say the end of the season was good or positive, but that hasn’t been what we’ve been talking about.

You want to claim the last 3 weeks sucked, I don’t think you will find a man, woman, gender neutral, alien, mushroom, blade of grass, or vat of Crisco that would disagree with you. 
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: MUDPT on March 24, 2019, 10:46:31 PM
This is a topic, I thought a bunch about the last couple of days.  I kind of view it like WAR in baseball.  I still think Wojo is a positive WAR (a random replacement coach, maybe a mid major would be 0 WAR).  But he's on the lower scale, a 1.0, where Beilein is a 8 WAR and Coach K is 10 WAR.  Can he get better, into the upper echelon, like the other coaches?  I'm not sure.  The end of the season, especially the blow out and the end of the @ Seton Hall games were weird.

I also think about something I read on Kirk Ferentz last fall. Basically, the Iowa fanbase and administration are okay with their program when they are good most years, outstanding every once in awhile and terrible every once in a while. Could they do better? Maybe.  But the alternative is programs, like Nebraska, Illinois, Minnesota who cycle through coaches as soon as they sniff they might not be good. 
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: curbina on March 24, 2019, 10:50:08 PM
You keep moving the goalposts to get an answer you want.

On one hand you complain about what has he done in five YEARS, but then you switch to what did he do the last three weeks...I hope you see how dishonest that is in your analysis.  No one is going to say the end of the season was good or positive, but that hasn’t been what we’ve been talking about.

You want to claim the last 3 weeks sucked, I don’t think you will find a man, woman, gender neutral, alien, mushroom, blade of grass, or vat of Crisco that would disagree with you.

Two trips to the NCAA and both trips ended with a 19 point loss! One-And-Done Wojo! You’re wasting your time trying to convince me that Wojo is a good coach.



Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: jesmu84 on March 24, 2019, 10:52:15 PM
NCAA 3 seed to NCAA 5 seed in final three weeks of the season, and then ass kicking in the tournament by a 12 seed.  Negative trend.

Oh. I understand the game now.

I'm gonna go through every NCAA team and point out the negative trend in their season that demonstrates how bad the coach is.

In case you missed the topic of the thread, it's about season over season success.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: curbina on March 24, 2019, 11:05:55 PM
This is a topic, I thought a bunch about the last couple of days.  I kind of view it like WAR in baseball.  I still think Wojo is a positive WAR (a random replacement coach, maybe a mid major would be 0 WAR).  But he's on the lower scale, a 1.0, where Beilein is a 8 WAR and Coach K is 10 WAR.  Can he get better, into the upper echelon, like the other coaches?  I'm not sure.  The end of the season, especially the blow out and the end of the @ Seton Hall games were weird.

I also think about something I read on Kirk Ferentz last fall. Basically, the Iowa fanbase and administration are okay with their program when they are good most years, outstanding every once in awhile and terrible every once in a while. Could they do better? Maybe.  But the alternative is programs, like Nebraska, Illinois, Minnesota who cycle through coaches as soon as they sniff they might not be good.

MUDPT,
I respect your opinion but my opinion is just st different. I view Wojo as a losing stock and/or commodity in my portfolio. My past experience in trading has taught me to never hang on to a loser no mater how much you may like it. You can always find a better trade. This rule has treated me well for many years.


Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: muguru on March 24, 2019, 11:12:23 PM
Oh. I understand the game now.

I'm gonna go through every NCAA team and point out the negative trend in their season that demonstrates how bad the coach is.

In case you missed the topic of the thread, it's about season over season success.

I know what it's about..and the ONLY reason you Wojo slurpers can say the program is trending positively is because he went to the NCAA'S this year after coming off an NIT season..stop and think about that..the ONLY way it's possible to have an upward trend is to go up from where you were..in this instance..it was NCAA(upward from prior seasons), NIT(DOWN) from previous season..and now NCAA(up from previous season)...

Well..see..here's the problem with your "upward trajectory"..it's 3 letters..NIT...that's sandwiched in between two NCAA'S..and that's the ONLY reason it's on an upward trend now..my point being..you replace those three letters..NIT with 4 letters..NCAA like it should be and there wouldn't be an upward trend for you Wojo slurpers to keep pointing to.

Here is an upward trend..as an example..

Year 1..NCAA appearance
Year 2..NCAA appearance..advance to round of 32.
Year 3..NCAA appearance..Sweet 16
Year 4..NCAA Elite 8
Year 5..NCAA Final Four

That's an upward trend..and how it should look..2 ncaa blowout losses sandwiched around an NIT by any measure is at best stagnant. At a program like Saint Louis or Old Dominion for example im sure theyd be extactic with the "upward" trend that MU is on..that should NEVER be ok at Marquette however.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: curbina on March 24, 2019, 11:13:41 PM
Oh. I understand the game now.

I'm gonna go through every NCAA team and point out the negative trend in their season that demonstrates how bad the coach is.

In case you missed the topic of the thread, it's about season over season success.

I understand time frames and trends very well, I use them every day. My problem is the data. You’re not using true team data for each game. You are using talking heads predictions/ratings, that is data of opinions not true data.

Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: TAMU, Knower of Ball on March 24, 2019, 11:14:52 PM
If MU basketball was trending upward and Wojo was fulfilling all expectations then this board would not be in such turmoil!

You must be new here.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: curbina on March 24, 2019, 11:29:18 PM
I know what it's about..and the ONLY reason you Wojo slurpers can say the program is trending positively is because he went to the NCAA'S this year after coming off an NIT season..stop and think about that..the ONLY way it's possible to have an upward trend is to go up from where you were..in this instance..it was NCAA(upward from prior seasons), NIT(DOWN) from previous season..and now NCAA(up from previous season)...

Well..see..here's the problem with your "upward trajectory"..it's 3 letters..NIT...that's sandwiched in between two NCAA'S..and that's the ONLY reason it's on an upward trend now..my point being..you replace those three letters..NIT with 4 letters..NCAA like it should be and there wouldn't be an upward trend for you Wojo slurpers to keep pointing to.

Here is an upward trend..as an example..

Year 1..NCAA appearance
Year 2..NCAA appearance..advance to round of 32.
Year 3..NCAA appearance..Sweet 16
Year 4..NCAA Elite 8
Year 5..NCAA Final Four

That's an upward trend..and how it should look..2 ncaa blowout losses sandwiched around an NIT by any measure is at best stagnant. At a program like Saint Louis or Old Dominion for example im sure theyd be extactic with the "upward" trend that MU is on..that should NEVER be ok at Marquette however.

You can take the win/loss for each game during Wojo’s tenure and plot it w.r.t time. Then calculate the linear regression line for the data and it will give you the slope. If the slop is positive then you have an upward trend but if the slope is negative you have a downward trend. Note a time frame of 5 years can contain smaller timeframes where the slope maybe positive and/or negative. You can also compare the trend for each year. At this period of time, MU in a down trend.

Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: curbina on March 24, 2019, 11:34:34 PM
You must be new here.

Sorry, you’re in error. If you had taken the time you could have found out how long I’ve been here, that information is availiable. :)

Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: curbina on March 24, 2019, 11:38:59 PM
You must be new here.

BTW, I will tell you just as I told Chico. I don’t answer to you and NOT intimidated by you. Enjoy your evening. :)
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Cheeks on March 24, 2019, 11:56:04 PM
Two trips to the NCAA and both trips ended with a 19 point loss. This is NOT trending upward, it is One-And-Done!

Ah yes, you have nothing and bellowing in emotion...not data.  As I thought.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Cheeks on March 24, 2019, 11:57:18 PM
I understand time frames and trends very well, I use them every day. My problem is the data. You’re not using true team data for each game. You are using talking heads predictions/ratings, that is data of opinions not true data.

Data of opinions?  WTF are you talking about? 
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Cheeks on March 24, 2019, 11:58:49 PM
BTW, I will tell you just as I told Chico. I don’t answer to you and NOT intimidated by you. Enjoy your evening. :)

You aren’t the boss of me



Lol.  Holy crap that is awesome
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: brewcity77 on March 25, 2019, 12:07:56 AM
I don't think it was the 17th best resume for reasons mentioned in the earlier post.  We got wins against teams in the lower portion of the top 75 on the road (Butler, Xavier, Creighton and Georgetown) that made our resume look better than it was.  Then we lost to a couple of them at home and they didn't count as Quad 1 losses at home that made our Quad 1 record look better than it really was.  I think the NCAA's criteria was different this year than usual and that it went in our favor. 

But I get what you're saying.

I had our resume 18th. The only surprise I had was that the NCAA didn't alter their criteria more this year. They acted the same as past years. And look at the other teams on the 5 line. Wisconsin got Q1 wins against Nebraska (2), Penn State, & Xavier. Auburn got them against Florida and Alabama (and only 5 total). Mississippi State had Q1 wins against St Mary's, Clemson, Arkansas, & Dayton. It's easy to say our resume had flaws, but it's unfair to do so without acknowledging the flaws of other similar resumes.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: curbina on March 25, 2019, 12:26:02 AM
You aren’t the boss of me



Lol.  Holy crap that is awesome

:)
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: rocky_warrior on March 25, 2019, 12:49:44 AM
Two trips to the NCAA and both trips ended with a 19 point loss! One-And-Done Wojo! You’re wasting your time trying to convince me that Wojo is a good coach.

Well you posted this in your first post on Feb 1, 2015 , so at least you're consistent.

Considering the inconsistent track record of Duke assistants (see list shown below) Marquette gambled on an assistant with no experience as a head coach. Under Wojo's leadership Marquette basketball is now in complete turmoil! I suppose you could say that "you've got to know when to hold 'em and know when to fold 'em" and it is now time to send Wojo back to Duke and hire an experienced basketball coach!

Of course, he's made 2 NCAAs and had a fairly successful NIT since then.  But f*ck that, DATA! Or, you just want to be right.

Hah.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: curbina on March 25, 2019, 01:02:20 AM
Well you posted this in your first post on Feb 1, 2015 , so at least you're consistent.

Of course, he's made 2 NCAAs and had a fairly successful NIT since then.  But f*ck that, DATA! Or, you just want to be right.

Hah.

I don’t have the right to post my opinion?
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Cheeks on March 25, 2019, 01:52:47 AM
I don’t have the right to post my opinion?

Sure, but don’t pretend it is based on anything other than emotion.

 You still have not explained the talking head data charge.  I’m sure you know Jeff Sagarin is a MIT grad in mathematics, sports statistician.  Ken Pomeroy is an atmospheric scientist teaching at Univ of Utah but spends most of his time and earning a living doing college basketball stats.  Are those your talking heads b3cause the other three metrics don’t have a talking head behind them.

Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Goose on March 25, 2019, 06:02:58 AM
Cheeks
I do not think you have brought your best stuff of late. You can spin, compare and share data all day long and that is fine with me. Fact is, this team/program is light years away from competing day in and day out with the winning teams the last two days.

Sure, we could spring and upset or two, we could have done that any game the last 3-4 years. Big frickin deal, we can spring an occasional upset. If that floats your boat, there are plenty of MU faithful on here that would join that cruise.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: 1SE on March 25, 2019, 06:43:29 AM
A point is made earlier on the thread which is something I've been preaching for years. Whether or not you think the program has been making incremental improvements over the past 5 years, it is completely without argument that we are NOT getting value for money with this trajectory.

Of the 17 programs that spend $10 million or more on MBB, Mizzou, Illinois and TCU are the only other teams without a NCAA win in the past 5 years, and TCU at least has a NIT championship to show for the spend. (G-town is also yikes - 17 million and no NCAA in the past 4).

At least we're still a profitable program - but how long can that last without success? I think we might as well see what this team can do next year (but if we wouldn't lose anyone by firing Wojo and promoting Stan I'd give that a shot). But with no NCAA win next year we need to change course.

To repeat Topper's question (which I didn't see any answer to) how many years without a NCAA win is ok? Chico, Tower?

Duke   $19,507,686.00   $34,398,285.00   ACC
Kentucky   $19,180,059.00   $27,965,227.00   SEC
Georgetown   $17,702,377.00   $17,702,377.00   Big East
Louisville   $17,065,364.00   $43,960,492.00   ACC
TCU   $15,168,356.00   $12,889,761.00   Big 12
Syracuse   $13,260,311.00   $29,322,084.00   ACC
Indiana   $12,855,019.00   $24,560,829.00   Big Ten
Marquette   $11,803,633.00   $19,327,629.00   Big East
Texas   $11,430,591.00   $17,567,914.00   Big 12
Kansas   $11,126,047.00   $18,266,319.00   Big 12
Villanova   $11,120,378.00   $11,120,378.00   Big East
Florida State   $11,029,101.00   $13,252,028.00   ACC
Michigan State   $10,975,215.00   $17,548,611.00   Big Ten
Illinois   $10,404,451.00   $15,827,099.00   Big Ten
North Carolina   $10,293,415.00   $21,408,475.00   ACC
Washington   $10,154,262.00   $9,683,868.00   Pac-12
Missouri   $10,065,698.00   $10,065,698.00   SEC

https://www.midmajormadness.com/2018/6/11/17441968/ncaa-revenue-expense-statistics-college-basketball-2016-gonzaga-mid-major
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Class71 on March 25, 2019, 07:29:05 AM
Apparently we like to chase windmills in attempting to change people's minds on Wojo. So I will not attempt an impossibility. Logic is gone and emotions lead each of our positions. Time will tell who is correct but at that point most will have moved on to something else. It simply is too painful to watch a horrible struggle.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: jesmu84 on March 25, 2019, 07:40:42 AM
I know what it's about..and the ONLY reason you Wojo slurpers can say the program is trending positively is because he went to the NCAA'S this year after coming off an NIT season..stop and think about that..the ONLY way it's possible to have an upward trend is to go up from where you were..in this instance..it was NCAA(upward from prior seasons), NIT(DOWN) from previous season..and now NCAA(up from previous season)...

Well..see..here's the problem with your "upward trajectory"..it's 3 letters..NIT...that's sandwiched in between two NCAA'S..and that's the ONLY reason it's on an upward trend now..my point being..you replace those three letters..NIT with 4 letters..NCAA like it should be and there wouldn't be an upward trend for you Wojo slurpers to keep pointing to.

Here is an upward trend..as an example..

Year 1..NCAA appearance
Year 2..NCAA appearance..advance to round of 32.
Year 3..NCAA appearance..Sweet 16
Year 4..NCAA Elite 8
Year 5..NCAA Final Four

That's an upward trend..and how it should look..2 ncaa blowout losses sandwiched around an NIT by any measure is at best stagnant. At a program like Saint Louis or Old Dominion for example im sure theyd be extactic with the "upward" trend that MU is on..that should NEVER be ok at Marquette however.

So we agree on the positive trend over the 5 years. Great! Now let's see how high it can go!
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: TAMU, Knower of Ball on March 25, 2019, 08:11:38 AM
A point is made earlier on the thread which is something I've been preaching for years. Whether or not you think the program has been making incremental improvements over the past 5 years, it is completely without argument that we are NOT getting value for money with this trajectory.

Of the 17 programs that spend $10 million or more on MBB, Mizzou, Illinois and TCU are the only other teams without a NCAA win in the past 5 years, and TCU at least has a NIT championship to show for the spend. (G-town is also yikes - 17 million and no NCAA in the past 4).

At least we're still a profitable program - but how long can that last without success? I think we might as well see what this team can do next year (but if we wouldn't lose anyone by firing Wojo and promoting Stan I'd give that a shot). But with no NCAA win next year we need to change course.

To repeat Topper's question (which I didn't see any answer to) how many years without a NCAA win is ok? Chico, Tower?

Duke   $19,507,686.00   $34,398,285.00   ACC
Kentucky   $19,180,059.00   $27,965,227.00   SEC
Georgetown   $17,702,377.00   $17,702,377.00   Big East
Louisville   $17,065,364.00   $43,960,492.00   ACC
TCU   $15,168,356.00   $12,889,761.00   Big 12
Syracuse   $13,260,311.00   $29,322,084.00   ACC
Indiana   $12,855,019.00   $24,560,829.00   Big Ten
Marquette   $11,803,633.00   $19,327,629.00   Big East
Texas   $11,430,591.00   $17,567,914.00   Big 12
Kansas   $11,126,047.00   $18,266,319.00   Big 12
Villanova   $11,120,378.00   $11,120,378.00   Big East
Florida State   $11,029,101.00   $13,252,028.00   ACC
Michigan State   $10,975,215.00   $17,548,611.00   Big Ten
Illinois   $10,404,451.00   $15,827,099.00   Big Ten
North Carolina   $10,293,415.00   $21,408,475.00   ACC
Washington   $10,154,262.00   $9,683,868.00   Pac-12
Missouri   $10,065,698.00   $10,065,698.00   SEC

https://www.midmajormadness.com/2018/6/11/17441968/ncaa-revenue-expense-statistics-college-basketball-2016-gonzaga-mid-major

As has been explained many times before, the reason we are top 10 in expense is because we rent out our arena from an NBA team. The only other team on that list that has that expense is Georgetown. I believe all the others own their arena. If you take that expense out and replaced it with the normal arena costs that all other schools have to pay we wouldn't be top 10. I'm not sure where we would be, but it would be a very pedestrian number for a high major.

And we are getting bang for our buck. Basketball at the end of the day is a marketing tool for the university and it still has a positive ROI. That's not close to changing. You ask how long can we keep that up? Well we just put up our best numbers in years so I guess its being kept up just fine.

As to your question, you are asking the wrong question. Tournament wins is a meaningless stat. Goal is to build a winning program. Best sign of that is consistently earning high seeds in the tournament. You continue to do that and the tournament wins will come. Is there a theoretical line of "wow we've gotten a high seed X numbers of years in a row but have still haven't won an NCAA tournament game"? Probably, I have no idea what that line is. Luckily, I don't think any coach has ever tested that line. The closest example I could think of is Mick Cronin who has gotten to the tournament 9 years in a row with mostly high seeds but has only made it to the second weekend once.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: vogue65 on March 25, 2019, 08:20:23 AM
As has been explained many times before, the reason we are top 10 in expense is because we rent out our arena from an NBA team. The only other team on that list that has that expense is Georgetown. I believe all the others own their arena. If you take that expense out and replaced it with the normal arena costs that all other schools have to pay we wouldn't be top 10. I'm not sure where we would be, but it would be a very pedestrian number for a high major.

And we are getting bang for our buck. Basketball at the end of the day is a marketing tool for the university and it still has a positive ROI. That's not close to changing. You ask how long can we keep that up? Well we just put up our best numbers in years so I guess its being kept up just fine.

As to your question, you are asking the wrong question. Tournament wins is a meaningless stat. Goal is to build a winning program. Best sign of that is consistently earning high seeds in the tournament. You continue to do that and the tournament wins will come. Is there a theoretical line of "wow we've gotten a high seed X numbers of years in a row but have still haven't won an NCAA tournament game"? Probably, I have no idea what that line is. Luckily, I don't think any coach has ever tested that line. The closest example I could think of is Mick Cronin who has gotten to the tournament 9 years in a row with mostly high seeds but has only made it to the second weekend once.

All that talk, bottom line, cost of arena rental, thanks.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Eldon on March 25, 2019, 08:26:18 AM
As has been explained many times before, the reason we are top 10 in expense is because we rent out our arena from an NBA team. The only other team on that list that has that expense is Georgetown. I believe all the others own their arena. If you take that expense out and replaced it with the normal arena costs that all other schools have to pay we wouldn't be top 10. I'm not sure where we would be, but it would be a very pedestrian number for a high major.

And we are getting bang for our buck. Basketball at the end of the day is a marketing tool for the university and it still has a positive ROI. That's not close to changing. You ask how long can we keep that up? Well we just put up our best numbers in years so I guess its being kept up just fine.

As to your question, you are asking the wrong question. Tournament wins is a meaningless stat. Goal is to build a winning program. Best sign of that is consistently earning high seeds in the tournament. You continue to do that and the tournament wins will come. Is there a theoretical line of "wow we've gotten a high seed X numbers of years in a row but have still haven't won an NCAA tournament game"? Probably, I have no idea what that line is. Luckily, I don't think any coach has ever tested that line. The closest example I could think of is Mick Cronin who has gotten to the tournament 9 years in a row with mostly high seeds but has only made it to the second weekend once.

Nova plays four games per year in the Wells Fargo Center (home of the Sixers).  Not sure on the cost.

The other thing that I would point out is that basketball team expenditures can be seen--as you point out--as a marketing expense.  Wojo may not be producing ROI in terms of tourney credits, but Markus's 50-point games, being interviewed on ESPN, Dan Patrick, etc., has a real ROI component to it.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Cheeks on March 25, 2019, 09:25:49 AM
A point is made earlier on the thread which is something I've been preaching for years. Whether or not you think the program has been making incremental improvements over the past 5 years, it is completely without argument that we are NOT getting value for money with this trajectory.

Of the 17 programs that spend $10 million or more on MBB, Mizzou, Illinois and TCU are the only other teams without a NCAA win in the past 5 years, and TCU at least has a NIT championship to show for the spend. (G-town is also yikes - 17 million and no NCAA in the past 4).

At least we're still a profitable program - but how long can that last without success? I think we might as well see what this team can do next year (but if we wouldn't lose anyone by firing Wojo and promoting Stan I'd give that a shot). But with no NCAA win next year we need to change course.

To repeat Topper's question (which I didn't see any answer to) how many years without a NCAA win is ok? Chico, Tower?

Duke   $19,507,686.00   $34,398,285.00   ACC
Kentucky   $19,180,059.00   $27,965,227.00   SEC
Georgetown   $17,702,377.00   $17,702,377.00   Big East
Louisville   $17,065,364.00   $43,960,492.00   ACC
TCU   $15,168,356.00   $12,889,761.00   Big 12
Syracuse   $13,260,311.00   $29,322,084.00   ACC
Indiana   $12,855,019.00   $24,560,829.00   Big Ten
Marquette   $11,803,633.00   $19,327,629.00   Big East
Texas   $11,430,591.00   $17,567,914.00   Big 12
Kansas   $11,126,047.00   $18,266,319.00   Big 12
Villanova   $11,120,378.00   $11,120,378.00   Big East
Florida State   $11,029,101.00   $13,252,028.00   ACC
Michigan State   $10,975,215.00   $17,548,611.00   Big Ten
Illinois   $10,404,451.00   $15,827,099.00   Big Ten
North Carolina   $10,293,415.00   $21,408,475.00   ACC
Washington   $10,154,262.00   $9,683,868.00   Pac-12
Missouri   $10,065,698.00   $10,065,698.00   SEC

https://www.midmajormadness.com/2018/6/11/17441968/ncaa-revenue-expense-statistics-college-basketball-2016-gonzaga-mid-major

How many times are these numbers going to be used incorrectly? 

In terms of ROI, how was attendance this year?  How was viewership ratings of MU games?  How is recruiting going?  How was exposure where MU was receiving national attention?  All of that has value and in some cases hard dollars, which ROIs are measured.

Our ROI this year was very good.  This notion that it was bad this year is laughable.  Off the hook laughable.  MU sold more tickets, received more media impressions, etc, etc, in years.  Now, if attendance suffers down the road, ticket sales are off, etc, you may have a point....but from a pure ROI perspective, this has been the best ROI we have had in 7 years at least.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Cheeks on March 25, 2019, 09:33:12 AM
Cheeks
I do not think you have brought your best stuff of late. You can spin, compare and share data all day long and that is fine with me. Fact is, this team/program is light years away from competing day in and day out with the winning teams the last two days.

Sure, we could spring and upset or two, we could have done that any game the last 3-4 years. Big frickin deal, we can spring an occasional upset. If that floats your boat, there are plenty of MU faithful on here that would join that cruise.

Well, that’s fine.  I think you are arguing two different things.  Whether we can compete with these other teams the last few days is purely subjective, I’m using data.  How many times did we here Wisconsin was going nowhere because they weren’t athletic enough and then we see them in Sweet 16 or Final Four?  Until games are played, it is purely subjective.  Iowa had the same collapse we did, they damn near made the Sweet 16.  I guarantee you 99% of people here did not see that coming.

Our team is constructed as a three point shooting team, when we hit we can beat anyone.  Do you think our team is not as talented as Loyola Chicago? You know it is, but they managed to get to a Final Four. 

Do we need more athletes?  Yes.  Do we need more drivers?  Yes.  Is our team complete?  No.  We keep taking steps forward, I get that p pole want them faster.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Goose on March 25, 2019, 10:02:02 AM
Cheeks

Loyola proved anything can happen, once. Not interested in MU have Sr. Jean moment and then disappearing.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Hards Alumni on March 25, 2019, 10:49:36 AM
How many times are these numbers going to be used incorrectly? 

In terms of ROI, how was attendance this year?  How was viewership ratings of MU games?  How is recruiting going?  How was exposure where MU was receiving national attention?  All of that has value and in some cases hard dollars, which ROIs are measured.

Our ROI this year was very good.  This notion that it was bad this year is laughable.  Off the hook laughable.  MU sold more tickets, received more media impressions, etc, etc, in years.  Now, if attendance suffers down the road, ticket sales are off, etc, you may have a point....but from a pure ROI perspective, this has been the best ROI we have had in 7 years at least.

I think the return should be based on post season success, not financials.

I think that gets the root of the problem here.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Marcus92 on March 25, 2019, 11:50:54 AM
I posted this in another thread -- but have been following this one as well, and wanted to share my thoughts.

I think everyone here wants the same thing. Namely, Marquette competing for and winning a second national title.

So is Wojo the right coach to get us there?

What winning coaches look like
NCAA appearances and high seeds aren't the end goal. But they are a key measure of progress and success along the way. It's worth considering that only 8 current Division I head coaches have won a national title:

Mike Krzyzewski (1991, 1992, 2001, 2010, 2015)
Roy Williams (2005, 2009, 2017)
Jay Wright (2016, 2018)
Jim Boeheim (2003)
John Calipari (2012)
Tom Izzo (2000)
Bill Self (2008)
Tubby Smith (1998)

On average, they won their first national championship in their 16th season as a head coach. It took Boeheim 27 years. Wright 22 years. Calipari 20 years. And all of them except Williams have had first-round exits from the NCAA tournament. Jay Wright, in fact, has lost in the first round 5 times. What they had in common up to that point was making the tournament often, and earning high seeds.

What winning programs look like
Here are the 11 Division I programs that have earned NCAA bids each of the past 3 seasons, while averaging better than a 5 seed:

North Carolina - 2017 (1 seed), 2018 (2), 2019 (1)
Duke - 2017 (2), 2018 (2), 2019 (1)
Gonzaga - 2017 (1), 2018 (4), 2019 (1)
Kansas - 2017 (1), 2018 (1), 2019 (4)
Virginia - 2017 (5), 2018 (1), 2019 (1)
Villanova - 2017 (1), 2018 (1), 2019 (6)
Kentucky - 2017 (2), 2018 (5), 2019 (2)
Purdue - 2017 (4), 2018 (2), 2019 (3)
Michigan - 2017 (7), 2018 (3), 2019 (2)
Florida St. - 2017 (3), 2018 (9), 2019 (4)
Michigan St. - 2017 (9), 2018 (3), 2019 (2)

Notice anything? Williams at NC, Coach K at Duke, Self at Kansas, Wright at Nova, Calipari at UK, Izzo at MSU. Six of the 8 coaches who've won a national title are on this list. What that tells me is NCAA appearances and seeding count. (And that Mark Few and Tony Bennett are the most likely candidates to celebrate their first national title).

What's that got to do with Wojo?
Obviously, MU isn't there yet. And honestly, chances are Wojo won't be a Hall of Fame coach like Coach K. However...

When you look at the records of successful coaches early in their careers -- not just one individual coach, but a broad cross-spectrum of them -- Wojo's first 5 seasons compare favorably. You might believe he should have accomplished more. But history suggests that not many coaches do.

To the argument about winning zero NCAA games, I call bulls**t. Hugely disappointing? Yes. Meaningful? Not likely. No statistician would call 2 NCAA games anything close to a reliable data set. It's 2 data points. How can you judge anything based on that, compared to a season's worth of games? With almost all of this team coming back, the bad loss to Murray State could motivate them even more for next season.

I believe Marquette isn't far from joining the ranks of those 11 programs listed above. Like many here, I have big concerns about how the season ended. But MU has still appeared in 2 of the past 3 NCAA tournaments and earned a better seed each time. If that progress continues next season (winning the Big East and earning a 3 seed or better), I'll feel even more confident that we're on the right path.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Silkk the Shaka on March 25, 2019, 12:15:03 PM
I posted this in another thread -- but have been following this one as well, and wanted to share my thoughts.

I think everyone here wants the same thing. Namely, Marquette competing for and winning a second national title.

So is Wojo the right coach to get us there?

What winning coaches look like
NCAA appearances and high seeds aren't the end goal. But they are a key measure of progress and success along the way. It's worth considering that only 8 current Division I head coaches have won a national title:

Mike Krzyzewski (1991, 1992, 2001, 2010, 2015)
Roy Williams (2005, 2009, 2017)
Jay Wright (2016, 2018)
Jim Boeheim (2003)
John Calipari (2012)
Tom Izzo (2000)
Bill Self (2008)
Tubby Smith (1998)

On average, they won their first national championship in their 16th season as a head coach. It took Boeheim 27 years. Wright 22 years. Calipari 20 years. And all of them except Williams have had first-round exits from the NCAA tournament. Jay Wright, in fact, has lost in the first round 5 times. What they had in common up to that point was making the tournament often, and earning high seeds.

What winning programs look like
Here are the 11 Division I programs that have earned NCAA bids each of the past 3 seasons, while averaging better than a 5 seed:

North Carolina - 2017 (1 seed), 2018 (2), 2019 (1)
Duke - 2017 (2), 2018 (2), 2019 (1)
Gonzaga - 2017 (1), 2018 (4), 2019 (1)
Kansas - 2017 (1), 2018 (1), 2019 (4)
Virginia - 2017 (5), 2018 (1), 2019 (1)
Villanova - 2017 (1), 2018 (1), 2019 (6)
Kentucky - 2017 (2), 2018 (5), 2019 (2)
Purdue - 2017 (4), 2018 (2), 2019 (3)
Michigan - 2017 (7), 2018 (3), 2019 (2)
Florida St. - 2017 (3), 2018 (9), 2019 (4)
Michigan St. - 2017 (9), 2018 (3), 2019 (2)

Notice anything? Williams at NC, Coach K at Duke, Self at Kansas, Wright at Nova, Calipari at UK, Izzo at MSU. Six of the 8 coaches who've won a national title are on this list. What that tells me is NCAA appearances and seeding count. (And that Mark Few and Tony Bennett are the most likely candidates to celebrate their first national title).

What's that got to do with Wojo?
Obviously, MU isn't there yet. And honestly, chances are Wojo won't be a Half of Fame coach like Coach K. However...

When you look at the records of successful coaches early in their careers -- not just one individual coach, but a broad cross-spectrum of them -- Wojo's first 5 seasons compare favorably. You might believe he should have accomplished more. But history suggests that not many coaches do.

To the argument about winning zero NCAA games, I call bulls**t. Hugely disappointing? Yes. Meaningful? Not likely. No statistician would call 2 NCAA games anything close to a reliable data set. It's 2 data points. How can you judge anything based on that, compared to a season's worth of games? With almost all of this team coming back, the bad loss to Murray State could motivate them even more for next season.

I believe Marquette isn't far from joining the ranks of those 11 programs listed above. Like many here, I have big concerns about how the season ended. But MU has still appeared in 2 of the past 3 NCAA tournaments and earned a better seed each time. If that progress continues next season (winning the Big East and earning a 3 seed or better), I'll feel even more confident that we're on the right path.

There is certainly a compelling bull case to be made in Wojo's favor, and you laid it out very well here.


The final line here is exactly where I'm at:

"If that progress continues next season (winning the Big East and earning a 3 seed or better), I'll feel even more confident that we're on the right path."

Sucks we'll have to wait that long to find out, but them's the breaks.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Cheeks on March 25, 2019, 03:18:50 PM
I think the return should be based on post season success, not financials.

I think that gets the root of the problem here.

Yup, you and others are in that basket.  That’s fine, but as someone who actually worked in athletic departments I can tell you point blank that is not the sole criteria.  It is part of it, for sure, but a lot more goes into it when looking at that return.  That is especially true for a school like MU that doesn’t have football receipts to count on and because basketball is so tied to the identity of the school. 

Off the court stuff at UAB or Fresno State....not that big a deal.  Off the court stuff at Gonzaga, MU, off the field stuff at Notre Dame....stays with you for years.  Also part of the equation.  Balancing act has to be done and I know there is a segment of our fan base that doesn’t want to hear that reality.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: muguru on March 25, 2019, 04:23:50 PM
So we agree on the positive trend over the 5 years. Great! Now let's see how high it can go!

LOL you are a tool...I love how every response you have given me, you conveniently "skim" over the most important parts of my post...Did you see what I posted is a positive trend?? THAT is a positive trend, and how it should be.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: muguru on March 25, 2019, 04:30:42 PM
As has been explained many times before, the reason we are top 10 in expense is because we rent out our arena from an NBA team. The only other team on that list that has that expense is Georgetown. I believe all the others own their arena. If you take that expense out and replaced it with the normal arena costs that all other schools have to pay we wouldn't be top 10. I'm not sure where we would be, but it would be a very pedestrian number for a high major.

And we are getting bang for our buck. Basketball at the end of the day is a marketing tool for the university and it still has a positive ROI. That's not close to changing. You ask how long can we keep that up? Well we just put up our best numbers in years so I guess its being kept up just fine.

As to your question, you are asking the wrong question. Tournament wins is a meaningless stat. Goal is to build a winning program. Best sign of that is consistently earning high seeds in the tournament. You continue to do that and the tournament wins will come. Is there a theoretical line of "wow we've gotten a high seed X numbers of years in a row but have still haven't won an NCAA tournament game"? Probably, I have no idea what that line is. Luckily, I don't think any coach has ever tested that line. The closest example I could think of is Mick Cronin who has gotten to the tournament 9 years in a row with mostly high seeds but has only made it to the second weekend once.

So what happens when the powers that be at MU worry about selling tickets at Fiserv?? What happens when season ticket holders start to cancel?? You keep going back to this earning a high seed in the tournament. Sure, they were a 5..but have you forgotten that they were a minimum of a 3 before the epic, unprecedented collapse at the end of the season?? It's important to understand how they got to a 5...and where they were before that. It doesn't look that impressive then, all things considered.  To me a 5 isn't that high of a seed. a 1,2 or 3...maybe a 4 is a high seed. Look at what's left in the tournament...all the 1,2,3's are still there, 3 of the 4's are still there...one 5 and a 12.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: MUBurrow on March 25, 2019, 04:36:10 PM
So what happens when the powers that be at MU worry about selling tickets at Fiserv?? What happens when season ticket holders start to cancel?? You keep going back to this earning a high seed in the tournament. Sure, they were a 5..but have you forgotten that they were a minimum of a 3 before the epic, unprecedented collapse at the end of the season?? It's important to understand how they got to a 5...and where they were before that. It doesn't look that impressive then, all things considered.  To me a 5 isn't that high of a seed. a 1,2 or 3...maybe a 4 is a high seed. Look at what's left in the tournament...all the 1,2,3's are still there, 3 of the 4's are still there...one 5 and a 12.

Even if next year's team is "only" on pace for a 5 seed throughout the season, I guarantee you only a statistically insignificant number of season ticket holders will start to cancel. You can want Wojo fired for the collapse because you think its underachieving, but the $ and attendance won't bear out the University impacting consequences you're projecting here.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: jesmu84 on March 25, 2019, 04:38:20 PM
LOL you are a tool...I love how every response you have given me, you conveniently "skim" over the most important parts of my post...Did you see what I posted is a positive trend?? THAT is a positive trend, and how it should be.

I'm not skimming over anything. I haven't seen one person say they were happy with how the season ended. But the year over year trend is absolutely positive. No objective measure says otherwise.

Regarding your hypothetical positive trend... sure. That is an example of one. Isn't it possible that MU could get there? Isn't it possible that could be year 10-15 of Wojo?

As an aside, I find your hypothetical to be horribly unrealistic. Is there an example of that exact scenario in history?
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Cheeks on March 25, 2019, 07:27:22 PM
So what happens when the powers that be at MU worry about selling tickets at Fiserv?? What happens when season ticket holders start to cancel?? You keep going back to this earning a high seed in the tournament. Sure, they were a 5..but have you forgotten that they were a minimum of a 3 before the epic, unprecedented collapse at the end of the season?? It's important to understand how they got to a 5...and where they were before that. It doesn't look that impressive then, all things considered.  To me a 5 isn't that high of a seed. a 1,2 or 3...maybe a 4 is a high seed. Look at what's left in the tournament...all the 1,2,3's are still there, 3 of the 4's are still there...one 5 and a 12.

If that happens, it will be addressed.  So far that isn't the case....right?   

How about this, what happens if we win the Big East next year and put another good product on the floor....then what?
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: jesmu84 on March 25, 2019, 07:28:45 PM
If that happens, it will be addressed.  So far that isn't the case....right?   

How about this, what happens if we win the Big East next year and put another good product on the floor....then what?

Then guru will b*tch that we didn't win by enough.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: muguru on March 25, 2019, 07:34:55 PM
Then guru will b*tch that we didn't win by enough.

Nope...all I care about is that they win, don't care about margin other than, it's much easier on my ohysical well being if the ywin comfortably.  :D
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: jesmu84 on March 25, 2019, 07:39:09 PM
Nope...all I care about is that they win, don't care about margin other than, it's much easier on my ohysical well being if the ywin comfortably.  :D

Doubtful. They won this season. A lot. Enough to finish 2nd in conference and get a 5 seed in the tourney.

Yet all you've done is whine since the season ended.

So, somehow I don't believe you now.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Cheeks on March 25, 2019, 07:45:58 PM
Doubtful. They won this season. A lot. Enough to finish 2nd in conference and get a 5 seed in the tourney.

Yet all you've done is whine since the season ended.

So, somehow I don't believe you now.

Whined plenty DURING the season, quiet when we won, however.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: muguru on March 25, 2019, 08:36:47 PM
Whined plenty DURING the season, quiet when we won, however.

I have explained that many times...I EXPECT them to win...therefore, when they do win, it's not surprising to me, thus there really isn't anything to talk about for me. Most people here seem shocked win they win some games they didn't think they were supposed to(in their eyes). heck some people flat out say "I expect them to lose this game". I NEVER EVER EVER expect them to lose.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: muguru on March 25, 2019, 08:39:59 PM
Doubtful. They won this season. A lot. Enough to finish 2nd in conference and get a 5 seed in the tourney.

Yet all you've done is whine since the season ended.

So, somehow I don't believe you now.

They didn't win enough for MY liking. I'm entitled to that. Just because a lot of people here have low expectations for where they THINK MU can get to, doesn't mean  we all have to share that same opinion.

I needed something...anything to wipe away the bad taste I had in my mouth from the epic collapse and failure to win the BE, a win of a 12 seeded Mid Major would have gone a long way...but alas.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: mviale on March 25, 2019, 09:38:53 PM
Its been a slow run, but wojo had to rebuild a team in tatters
2013-13 Buzz left us dry at 17-15 and finished with 4 game losing streak
2014-15, Buzz team finished under WOJO 13-19
2015-16 Ellenson comes on 20-13
2016-17, Ellenson leaves and start over at finish 19-13 and get to 1st round NCAA
2017-18, deserve NCAA bid but make small run in NIT finish 21-14
2018-19,  3 years of building with Hauser and Howard, start season 23-4 and end 24-10.






Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Cheeks on March 25, 2019, 10:28:51 PM
They didn't win enough for MY liking. I'm entitled to that. Just because a lot of people here have low expectations for where they THINK MU can get to, doesn't mean  we all have to share that same opinion.

I needed something...anything to wipe away the bad taste I had in my mouth from the epic collapse and failure to win the BE, a win of a 12 seeded Mid Major would have gone a long way...but alas.

We don’t have low expectations, we have realistic expectations. 
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: muguru on March 25, 2019, 11:06:09 PM
We don’t have low expectations, we have realistic expectations.

Mine are realistic..MU isnt some mid major like I think a lot of this fan base thinks they are..you think Loyola fans ever thought they'd  see a Final Four? Or Butler fans? Let alone back to back final fours. Hell id bet anything Villanova fans never dreamed of winning 2 National Championships in 3 years let alone 1. I guarantee you Wisconsin fans never thought they'd see a Final Four..they played for a Championship.

And you know what Marquette has on every single one of those schools? A much more storied tradition and history..a budget that not many others can speak of..they are FAR AND away on a level that those others could only dream of having from a tradition stand point..so i get tired of people saying MU cant be amongst the elite in CBB regularly..they can be...they CAN win a National Champ again..if not multiple..i wish the administration felt that way however..Marquette is SUPPOSED to be a basketball power..an elite..i wish people involved that make decisions realized that and acted as such.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Cheeks on March 25, 2019, 11:30:14 PM
Mine are realistic..MU isnt some mid major like I think a lot of this fan base thinks they are..you think Loyola fans ever thought they'd  see a Final Four? Or Butler fans? Let alone back to back final fours. Hell id bet anything Villanova fans never dreamed of winning 2 National Championships in 3 years let alone 1. I guarantee you Wisconsin fans never thought they'd see a Final Four..they played for a Championship.

And you know what Marquette has on every single one of those schools? A much more storied tradition and history..a budget that not many others can speak of..they are FAR AND away on a level that those others could only dream of having from a tradition stand point..so i get tired of people saying MU cant be amongst the elite in CBB regularly..they can be...they CAN win a National Champ again..if not multiple..i wish the administration felt that way however..Marquette is SUPPOSED to be a basketball power..an elite..i wish people involved that make decisions realized that and acted as such.

MU didn’t have a more storied history than Villanova....more of a push than anything.

I’m sorry, but we were elite for about 8 years out of 100.  In my mind there are maybe 5 or 6 elite programs, and right now Indiana and UCLA aren’t on the list.  By your logic Army football should be elite because of a great run for a specific time period. 

I think we can be very good consistently, and yes even win it all if things line up properly....and that means being a little lucky.   You mentioned Loyola....they were in Virginia’s bracket.  Their trip to the Final Four meant not facing the 1 or 2 seeds because they were both knocked out ahead of time.  That is part of the luck and crapshoot nature of the tournament...they didn’t control that, it was luck that the bracket opened up for them.

I’m being pragmatic, but also optimistic that it can happen.  Stability is needed, something we don’t have and every time you and others want to reset the damn clock, you make us unstable again.  Take a look at the teams that usually get to the Final Four and win it all....teams coached by guys that have been around a long time and often at that school for a long time.

We lack patience, and the ability for our guys to grow into in my opinion.  Most of the coaches that win it all also have had plenty of crap burgers along the way, just do the research. 
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Cheeks on March 25, 2019, 11:38:04 PM
Mine are realistic..MU isnt some mid major like I think a lot of this fan base thinks they are..you think Loyola fans ever thought they'd  see a Final Four? Or Butler fans? Let alone back to back final fours. Hell id bet anything Villanova fans never dreamed of winning 2 National Championships in 3 years let alone 1. I guarantee you Wisconsin fans never thought they'd see a Final Four..they played for a Championship.

And you know what Marquette has on every single one of those schools? A much more storied tradition and history..a budget that not many others can speak of..they are FAR AND away on a level that those others could only dream of having from a tradition stand point..so i get tired of people saying MU cant be amongst the elite in CBB regularly..they can be...they CAN win a National Champ again..if not multiple..i wish the administration felt that way however..Marquette is SUPPOSED to be a basketball power..an elite..i wish people involved that make decisions realized that and acted as such.

Is Kentucky elite?   They have won ONE title the last 20 years...but you think we can win a couple.

Is Kansas elite?  They have won ONE title the last 30 years.  Is Indiana?  One title 30+ years.

Is UCLA elite?  They have won ONE title the last 40+ years.

I think my case is rested.  I’m being pragmatic and anything can happen
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: TAMU, Knower of Ball on March 25, 2019, 11:47:09 PM
Mine are realistic..MU isnt some mid major like I think a lot of this fan base thinks they are..you think Loyola fans ever thought they'd  see a Final Four? Or Butler fans? Let alone back to back final fours. Hell id bet anything Villanova fans never dreamed of winning 2 National Championships in 3 years let alone 1. I guarantee you Wisconsin fans never thought they'd see a Final Four..they played for a Championship.

And you know what Marquette has on every single one of those schools? A much more storied tradition and history..a budget that not many others can speak of..they are FAR AND away on a level that those others could only dream of having from a tradition stand point..so i get tired of people saying MU cant be amongst the elite in CBB regularly..they can be...they CAN win a National Champ again..if not multiple..i wish the administration felt that way however..Marquette is SUPPOSED to be a basketball power..an elite..i wish people involved that make decisions realized that and acted as such.

I think the Villanova program trumps ours, no shame in that I think they are top 10 all time. I think we are more like top 20 top 25.

Unfortunately, the reason we are in the top 20-25 of programs is because of what we did over 40 years ago.  We were a blue blood and a series of bad hires and decisions slowly led us to the crater that was the Dukiet years. KO started the resurgence, Deane took us a step back, Crean rebounded from Deane's mistakes, Buzz built on what Crean started until he didn't. Now Wojo is tasked with bringing us back to the level we were at during Buzz' peak. I think we are getting there. Once he does, he will need to build on it.

Programs can tumble very quickly. The fall from Blue Blood to Dukiet only took 12 years. The closest we've been to blue blood status since was Buzz' 4th and 5th years. It took us 24 years and 4 coaches to get to that point and frankly Buzz' peak was nothing compared to what we were. Building a program takes time, patience, and features many missteps along the way. One day, we are going to find the coach that views Marquette as a destination job, sees that being a blue blood is possible here, and has the chops to pull it off. I don't know if Wojo is that guy or if he's just another Crean, a guy who can rebuild a program from a temporary setback but take it no higher. If that's the case, he will eventually be let go or encouraged to move on and we will need to find a coach like Buzz, who can take what a previous coach did and build on it...but hopefully with more stability and permanency.

Don't set your goals too small. Knocking off a 12 seed in the first round is meaningless when it comes to building a program. A final four is just a fart in the wind if not supported by consistent success. You mention  Loyola and Butler. Would you really be satisfied as a fan if the peak of your program's success was an appearance or two and you never reached those heights again? I want blue blood status again, not a couple of Round of 32 and Sweet 16 appearances.

It sounds like you want blue blood status back too. That's good. That's what the administration wants as well. We should not be content until we are there (though let's be real, we won't be, we will always want more). But to get there, you need to play the long game and see the big picture. Don't throw away progress because you want to throw a temper tanturm over not winning enough first round tournament games for your liking. It's a long road, do you have the stomach for it?
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: jesmu84 on March 26, 2019, 05:10:47 AM
Mine are realistic..MU isnt some mid major like I think a lot of this fan base thinks they are..you think Loyola fans ever thought they'd  see a Final Four? Or Butler fans? Let alone back to back final fours. Hell id bet anything Villanova fans never dreamed of winning 2 National Championships in 3 years let alone 1. I guarantee you Wisconsin fans never thought they'd see a Final Four..they played for a Championship.

And you know what Marquette has on every single one of those schools? A much more storied tradition and history..a budget that not many others can speak of..they are FAR AND away on a level that those others could only dream of having from a tradition stand point..so i get tired of people saying MU cant be amongst the elite in CBB regularly..they can be...they CAN win a National Champ again..if not multiple..i wish the administration felt that way however..Marquette is SUPPOSED to be a basketball power..an elite..i wish people involved that make decisions realized that and acted as such.

Tradition and history from 40 years ago is not at all relevant to success in the present.

Also, Loyola? A flash in the pan? I thought you wanted consistent success
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Galway Eagle on March 26, 2019, 05:14:54 AM
Mine are realistic..MU isnt some mid major like I think a lot of this fan base thinks they are..you think Loyola fans ever thought they'd  see a Final Four? Or Butler fans? Let alone back to back final fours. Hell id bet anything Villanova fans never dreamed of winning 2 National Championships in 3 years let alone 1. I guarantee you Wisconsin fans never thought they'd see a Final Four..they played for a Championship.

And you know what Marquette has on every single one of those schools? A much more storied tradition and history..a budget that not many others can speak of..they are FAR AND away on a level that those others could only dream of having from a tradition stand point..so i get tired of people saying MU cant be amongst the elite in CBB regularly..they can be...they CAN win a National Champ again..if not multiple..i wish the administration felt that way however..Marquette is SUPPOSED to be a basketball power..an elite..i wish people involved that make decisions realized that and acted as such.

Prior to our slide and novas jump our traditions were a wash at best or slight edge to them. Know your history before jumping to conclusions.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: muguru on March 26, 2019, 07:03:55 AM
I think the Villanova program trumps ours, no shame in that I think they are top 10 all time. I think we are more like top 20 top 25.

Unfortunately, the reason we are in the top 20-25 of programs is because of what we did over 40 years ago.  We were a blue blood and a series of bad hires and decisions slowly led us to the crater that was the Dukiet years. KO started the resurgence, Deane took us a step back, Crean rebounded from Deane's mistakes, Buzz built on what Crean started until he didn't. Now Wojo is tasked with bringing us back to the level we were at during Buzz' peak. I think we are getting there. Once he does, he will need to build on it.

Programs can tumble very quickly. The fall from Blue Blood to Dukiet only took 12 years. The closest we've been to blue blood status since was Buzz' 4th and 5th years. It took us 24 years and 4 coaches to get to that point and frankly Buzz' peak was nothing compared to what we were. Building a program takes time, patience, and features many missteps along the way. One day, we are going to find the coach that views Marquette as a destination job, sees that being a blue blood is possible here, and has the chops to pull it off. I don't know if Wojo is that guy or if he's just another Crean, a guy who can rebuild a program from a temporary setback but take it no higher. If that's the case, he will eventually be let go or encouraged to move on and we will need to find a coach like Buzz, who can take what a previous coach did and build on it...but hopefully with more stability and permanency.

Don't set your goals too small. Knocking off a 12 seed in the first round is meaningless when it comes to building a program. A final four is just a fart in the wind if not supported by consistent success. You mention  Loyola and Butler. Would you really be satisfied as a fan if the peak of your program's success was an appearance or two and you never reached those heights again? I want blue blood status again, not a couple of Round of 32 and Sweet 16 appearances.

It sounds like you want blue blood status back too. That's good. That's what the administration wants as well. We should not be content until we are there (though let's be real, we won't be, we will always want more). But to get there, you need to play the long game and see the big picture. Don't throw away progress because you want to throw a temper tanturm over not winning enough first round tournament games for your liking. It's a long road, do you have the stomach for it?


Stomach, maybe...time left on this earth?? Questionable.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: muguru on March 26, 2019, 07:05:53 AM
Prior to our slide and novas jump our traditions were a wash at best or slight edge to them. Know your history before jumping to conclusions.

I was referring more towards UW, Loyola and Butler. I know about Nova's tradition.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Cheeks on March 26, 2019, 09:17:15 AM
I was referring more towards UW, Loyola and Butler. I know about Nova's tradition.

Then why did you say MU has something on EVERY single one of those programs you mentioned?
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Goose on March 26, 2019, 09:28:33 AM
Many folks on here, myself included, very much enjoyed the Buzz style of play, type of player and the on court success they had, but MU admin/BOT did not have the stomach to continue in the manner Buzz was building his program. I have said many times over, that is their right, I get it an do not completely disagree with their thought process. Possibly the complete change of program style has taken away folks wanting to stomach a long overhaul.

Years ago I said MU should have made it perfectly clear they type of program they were going to run and expectations of that program. Basically, they continue to sell the premise they want to be elite. That is great, how long did they that would take? Has that time table changed? What do they consider elite? I think MU continues to live with their head in the sand hoping the alumni will continue to have the stomach for waiting for success.

Lastly, I do not think there is a consensus of what an elite program looks like on here. MU should provide an outline on how they determine program success and share with the faithful that support the program. At that point, some might have the stomach for it and some might not.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Marcus92 on March 26, 2019, 09:34:31 AM
Tradition matters, but only to an extent.

Eight Division I men's basketball programs have 3 or more national titles: UCLA (11), Kentucky (8), North Carolina (6), Duke (5), Indiana (5), Connecticut (4), Kansas (3) and Villanova (3).

What's tradition doing for Indiana and Connecticut these days? If tradition was all-important, the Hoosiers and Huskies would still be dominating -- instead of missing 3 straight NCAA tournaments. Neither program has yet to find a head coach who can build on what Bobby Knight and Jim Calhoun accomplished.

What was UConn's tradition before Calhoun arrived on campus? Or Florida's before Billy Donovan? Arizona's before Lute Olsen? Georgetown's before John Thompson?

Successful head coaches create their own tradition of winning.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Pakuni on March 26, 2019, 09:38:20 AM
Mine are realistic..MU isnt some mid major like I think a lot of this fan base thinks they are

Literally no one here thinks MU is a mid-major.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Eldon on March 26, 2019, 09:42:37 AM
Many folks on here, myself included, very much enjoyed the Buzz style of play, type of player and the on court success they had, but MU admin/BOT did not have the stomach to continue in the manner Buzz was building his program. I have said many times over, that is their right, I get it an do not completely disagree with their thought process. Possibly the complete change of program style has taken away folks wanting to stomach a long overhaul.

Years ago I said MU should have made it perfectly clear they type of program they were going to run and expectations of that program. Basically, they continue to sell the premise they want to be elite. That is great, how long did they that would take? Has that time table changed? What do they consider elite? I think MU continues to live with their head in the sand hoping the alumni will continue to have the stomach for waiting for success.

Lastly, I do not think there is a consensus of what an elite program looks like on here. MU should provide an outline on how they determine program success and share with the faithful that support the program. At that point, some might have the stomach for it and some might not.

This is an insightful post.

How much of this is the BOT and how much of it is the president?

I ask because the BOT of a university is largely made up of alums who are in the private sector, while the president is an academic. What I'm getting at is that the president swims in a different sea, and hence has different priorities, different definition of 'elite', etc.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: MUBurrow on March 26, 2019, 09:43:37 AM
What's tradition doing for Indiana and Connecticut these days? If tradition was all-important, the Hoosiers and Huskies would still be dominating -- instead of missing 3 straight NCAA tournaments. Neither program has yet to find a head coach who can build on what Bobby Knight and Jim Calhoun accomplished.

sanctions sanctions sanctions sanctions sanctions sanctions
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Pakuni on March 26, 2019, 09:51:12 AM
sanctions sanctions sanctions sanctions sanctions sanctions

Indiana has been off probation for eight years. Can't really use the "sanctions" excuse for them anymore.
I mean, Oregon currently is on probation and they're in better shape than IU. Louisville made the tournament this year while on probation. Syracuse made a Final Four while on probation a few years ago.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: MU82 on March 26, 2019, 09:57:27 AM
I think the Villanova program trumps ours, no shame in that I think they are top 10 all time. I think we are more like top 20 top 25.

Unfortunately, the reason we are in the top 20-25 of programs is because of what we did over 40 years ago.  We were a blue blood and a series of bad hires and decisions slowly led us to the crater that was the Dukiet years. KO started the resurgence, Deane took us a step back, Crean rebounded from Deane's mistakes, Buzz built on what Crean started until he didn't. Now Wojo is tasked with bringing us back to the level we were at during Buzz' peak. I think we are getting there. Once he does, he will need to build on it.

Programs can tumble very quickly. The fall from Blue Blood to Dukiet only took 12 years. The closest we've been to blue blood status since was Buzz' 4th and 5th years. It took us 24 years and 4 coaches to get to that point and frankly Buzz' peak was nothing compared to what we were. Building a program takes time, patience, and features many missteps along the way. One day, we are going to find the coach that views Marquette as a destination job, sees that being a blue blood is possible here, and has the chops to pull it off. I don't know if Wojo is that guy or if he's just another Crean, a guy who can rebuild a program from a temporary setback but take it no higher. If that's the case, he will eventually be let go or encouraged to move on and we will need to find a coach like Buzz, who can take what a previous coach did and build on it...but hopefully with more stability and permanency.

Don't set your goals too small. Knocking off a 12 seed in the first round is meaningless when it comes to building a program. A final four is just a fart in the wind if not supported by consistent success. You mention  Loyola and Butler. Would you really be satisfied as a fan if the peak of your program's success was an appearance or two and you never reached those heights again? I want blue blood status again, not a couple of Round of 32 and Sweet 16 appearances.

It sounds like you want blue blood status back too. That's good. That's what the administration wants as well. We should not be content until we are there (though let's be real, we won't be, we will always want more). But to get there, you need to play the long game and see the big picture. Don't throw away progress because you want to throw a temper tanturm over not winning enough first round tournament games for your liking. It's a long road, do you have the stomach for it?

Love love love this post. TAMU, you are on fire.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Goose on March 26, 2019, 09:59:25 AM
Eldon

From the little I know, there has been a difference of opinion in the BOT over the ball program. It appears that the one consensus among the BOT is that all agree the program pays a lot of bills. For a university that counts on basketball paying some bills, it seems to lack anyone with basketball knowledge on their current BOT. On the bright side, the President of MU is a big sports fan and gets on the court for every home game, but not sure if that translate to us becoming elite again.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: MUBurrow on March 26, 2019, 10:11:44 AM
Indiana has been off probation for eight years. Can't really use the "sanctions" excuse for them anymore.
I mean, Oregon currently is on probation and they're in better shape than IU. Louisville made the tournament this year while on probation. Syracuse made a Final Four while on probation a few years ago.

I agree its probably getting a little stale, but the post-Sampson penalties absolutely crippled that program. In addition to the probate, it was the loss of scholarships IIRC. Crean was running walkons out there for a number of years.  If you threw those at a top program like Duke or UNC, they would take a decade to recover too. (Heck, we may get the chance to see how all that plays out with KU).
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Pakuni on March 26, 2019, 10:21:14 AM
I agree its probably getting a little stale, but the post-Sampson penalties absolutely crippled that program. In addition to the probate, it was the loss of scholarships IIRC. Crean was running walkons out there for a number of years.  If you threw those at a top program like Duke or UNC, they would take a decade to recover too. (Heck, we may get the chance to see how all that plays out with KU).

Things definitely got ugly for a couple of years, but after all that happened, Crean was able to bring in some top-ranked kids like Watford, Zeller, Farrell, Vonleh, Blackmon, etc. His 2012 and 13 classes were ranked 7th and 4th in the country, respectively.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: MUBurrow on March 26, 2019, 10:27:28 AM
Things definitely got ugly for a couple of years, but after all that happened, Crean was able to bring in some top-ranked kids like Watford, Zeller, Farrell, Vonleh, Blackmon, etc. His 2012 and 13 classes were ranked 7th and 4th in the country, respectively.

Which is the perfect counter to the "what's tradition doing for Indiana these days?" - tradition enables a program to overcome being a heartbeat from the death penalty (allows the program to avoid more dire penalties, honestly) and pull T-10 recruiting classes within 5 years with a middling head coach.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: vogue65 on March 26, 2019, 10:55:50 AM
Love love love this post. TAMU, you are on fire.

Ha, first,  the term "blue blood" was coined by Al McGuire.  He never claimed Marquette was a blue blood.  He gave up coaching for a number of reasons.  Publically the reason  was that he felt he could no longer get the recruits, no details given.

That's my story and I'm sticking to it.   

Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Cheeks on March 26, 2019, 10:57:16 AM
TAMU, good stuff.  My only quibble, we were never a blueblood, at least not the definition I use.  We had a special, elite run for about a decade.  Blue bloods do it for decades, and we have not had that consistency.

We are a proud, very good program with rich history but not a blue blood, not elite in my opinion. 

Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Goose on March 26, 2019, 11:33:30 AM
vogue65

Big fan of yours, but Al did not leave because he could no longer get recruits. At the time of his departure he had a slew of AA's waiting to join the party. They would come from Mt. Vernon, Jersey City and Chicago. If Al had stayed, the next years would have been his deepest pool of talent.

Again, I enjoy reading your comments.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Charlotte Warrior on March 26, 2019, 11:49:54 AM
I think the Villanova program trumps ours, no shame in that I think they are top 10 all time. I think we are more like top 20 top 25.

Unfortunately, the reason we are in the top 20-25 of programs is because of what we did over 40 years ago.  We were a blue blood and a series of bad hires and decisions slowly led us to the crater that was the Dukiet years. KO started the resurgence, Deane took us a step back, Crean rebounded from Deane's mistakes, Buzz built on what Crean started until he didn't. Now Wojo is tasked with bringing us back to the level we were at during Buzz' peak. I think we are getting there. Once he does, he will need to build on it.

Programs can tumble very quickly. The fall from Blue Blood to Dukiet only took 12 years. The closest we've been to blue blood status since was Buzz' 4th and 5th years. It took us 24 years and 4 coaches to get to that point and frankly Buzz' peak was nothing compared to what we were. Building a program takes time, patience, and features many missteps along the way. One day, we are going to find the coach that views Marquette as a destination job, sees that being a blue blood is possible here, and has the chops to pull it off. I don't know if Wojo is that guy or if he's just another Crean, a guy who can rebuild a program from a temporary setback but take it no higher. If that's the case, he will eventually be let go or encouraged to move on and we will need to find a coach like Buzz, who can take what a previous coach did and build on it...but hopefully with more stability and permanency.

Don't set your goals too small. Knocking off a 12 seed in the first round is meaningless when it comes to building a program. A final four is just a fart in the wind if not supported by consistent success. You mention  Loyola and Butler. Would you really be satisfied as a fan if the peak of your program's success was an appearance or two and you never reached those heights again? I want blue blood status again, not a couple of Round of 32 and Sweet 16 appearances.

It sounds like you want blue blood status back too. That's good. That's what the administration wants as well. We should not be content until we are there (though let's be real, we won't be, we will always want more). But to get there, you need to play the long game and see the big picture. Don't throw away progress because you want to throw a temper tanturm over not winning enough first round tournament games for your liking. It's a long road, do you have the stomach for it?

Dodds, why aren't you on your own board?
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Cheeks on March 26, 2019, 11:55:07 AM
Dodds, why aren't you on your own board?

TAMU is definitely not Dodds.  I hear TAMU might be Chicos, however.  ;)
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: 79Warrior on March 26, 2019, 12:57:37 PM
Is Kentucky elite?   They have won ONE title the last 20 years...but you think we can win a couple.

Is Kansas elite?  They have won ONE title the last 30 years.  Is Indiana?  One title 30+ years.

Is UCLA elite?  They have won ONE title the last 40+ years.

I think my case is rested.  I’m being pragmatic and anything can happen

UCLA last won in 1994 with Jim Harrick
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Cheeks on March 26, 2019, 01:16:45 PM
UCLA last won in 1994 with Jim Harrick

Actually 1995, but correct...that's the ONE they have won in 40+ years (44 years).  Prior to that was 1975.

Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: TAMU, Knower of Ball on March 26, 2019, 05:44:18 PM
Dodds, why aren't you on your own board?

Ha, I haven't been on that site for over two years. If I want to see 50 people argue with 1 person I can get that here by looking at Chicos most recent posts.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: TAMU, Knower of Ball on March 26, 2019, 05:58:44 PM
Years ago I said MU should have made it perfectly clear they type of program they were going to run and expectations of that program. Basically, they continue to sell the premise they want to be elite. That is great, how long did they that would take? Has that time table changed? What do they consider elite? I think MU continues to live with their head in the sand hoping the alumni will continue to have the stomach for waiting for success.

Lastly, I do not think there is a consensus of what an elite program looks like on here. MU should provide an outline on how they determine program success and share with the faithful that support the program. At that point, some might have the stomach for it and some might not.

I don't understand this perspective. Why does different people's definitions of elite matter? The goal is to build the program, not be elite. Because if you continue to build the program, eventually the program will be elite by whatever definition you choose to use. There will never be a point where anyone associated with the program, not the coaches, not the players, not the BOT, not the administration, not the donors, not the fans, where any of them will stop and say "You know what, this is enough. We don't need to win more."

If Wojo gets us back to Buzz level success, we will want more. If he gets us above Buzz level success, we will want more. If he gets us to the level of programs like Louisville/Arizona/Syracuse/etc, we will want to be blue bloods. If he gets us to blue blood status, we will want to pass the other blue bloods to become the top blue blood. If he gets us to the the top program in college basketball, we will want to extend our lead.

The goal of a coach is to grow the program. Leave it better than the way they found it. If at any point the program starts to regress or plateaus for a significant amount of time (and the amount of acceptable time grows as each new level is achieved), the coach should be fired so a new one who can get it to the next level can take over.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Cheeks on March 26, 2019, 06:09:29 PM

Years ago I said MU should have made it perfectly clear they type of program they were going to run and expectations of that program. Basically, they continue to sell the premise they want to be elite. That is great, how long did they that would take? Has that time table changed? What do they consider elite? I think MU continues to live with their head in the sand hoping the alumni will continue to have the stomach for waiting for success.

Lastly, I do not think there is a consensus of what an elite program looks like on here. MU should provide an outline on how they determine program success and share with the faithful that support the program. At that point, some might have the stomach for it and some might not.

Probably semantics or interpretation, but what does ELITE mean?

I believe MU sells themselves as a product that can compete with anyone on a given day, which has been proven.  By compete, I mean win.  Compete for conference titles, go to the post season, etc.  When you say ELITE, I think top 5 or 6 programs which in all honesty I do not see MU pitching themselves as.  It may be a fine line, but I believe we strive to be an excellent program worthy of any fan base who will bring significant resources to bear (facilities, training, academic support, competition, etc), but I don't see where we have said we are the next Duke, UNC, etc in that positioning.  My opinion only.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: jesmu84 on March 26, 2019, 06:10:46 PM
I don't understand this perspective. Why does different people's definitions of elite matter? The goal is to build the program, not be elite. Because if you continue to build the program, eventually the program will be elite by whatever definition you choose to use. There will never be a point where anyone associated with the program, not the coaches, not the players, not the BOT, not the administration, not the donors, not the fans, where any of them will stop and say "You know what, this is enough. We don't need to win more."

If Wojo gets us back to Buzz level success, we will want more. If he gets us above Buzz level success, we will want more. If he gets us to the level of programs like Louisville/Arizona/Syracuse/etc, we will want to be blue bloods. If he gets us to blue blood status, we will want to pass the other blue bloods to become the top blue blood. If he gets us to the the top program in college basketball, we will want to extend our lead.

The goal of a coach is to grow the program. Leave it better than the way they found it. If at any point the program starts to regress or plateaus for a significant amount of time (and the amount of acceptable time grows as each new level is achieved), the coach should be fired so a new one who can get it to the next level can take over.

This. So much this.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: muguru on March 26, 2019, 06:13:50 PM
Probably semantics or interpretation, but what does ELITE mean?

I believe MU sells themselves as a product that can compete with anyone on a given day, which has been proven.  By compete, I mean win.  Compete for conference titles, go to the post season, etc.  When you say ELITE, I think top 5 or 6 programs which in all honesty I do not see MU pitching themselves as.  It may be a fine line, but I believe we strive to be an excellent program worthy of any fan base who will bring significant resources to bear (facilities, training, academic support, competition, etc), but I don't see where we have said we are the next Duke, UNC, etc in that positioning.  My opinion only.

They haven't said it...but that is EXACTLY what they should be striving for...no less. That to me is the definition of Elite.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: TAMU, Knower of Ball on March 26, 2019, 06:29:26 PM
They haven't said it...but that is EXACTLY what they should be striving for...no less. That to me is the definition of Elite.

We should. Now tell me the programs that have gotten to that level in the shortest amount of time.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Herman Cain on March 26, 2019, 06:34:42 PM
vogue65

Big fan of yours, but Al did not leave because he could no longer get recruits. At the time of his departure he had a slew of AA's waiting to join the party. They would come from Mt. Vernon, Jersey City and Chicago. If Al had stayed, the next years would have been his deepest pool of talent.

Again, I enjoy reading your comments.
I agree with this analysis
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: muguru on March 26, 2019, 06:34:50 PM
We should. Now tell me the programs that have gotten to that level in the shortest amount of time.

I would argue had they not made life so uncomfortable for Buzz, that he felt the need to leave...MU would be there already...That's what pisses me off more than anything...they were knocking on the door...and the admin slammed it shut.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: real chili 83 on March 26, 2019, 06:46:11 PM
Many folks on here, myself included, very much enjoyed the Buzz style of play, type of player and the on court success they had, but MU admin/BOT did not have the stomach to continue in the manner Buzz was building his program. I have said many times over, that is their right, I get it an do not completely disagree with their thought process. Possibly the complete change of program style has taken away folks wanting to stomach a long overhaul.

Years ago I said MU should have made it perfectly clear they type of program they were going to run and expectations of that program. Basically, they continue to sell the premise they want to be elite. That is great, how long did they that would take? Has that time table changed? What do they consider elite? I think MU continues to live with their head in the sand hoping the alumni will continue to have the stomach for waiting for success.

Lastly, I do not think there is a consensus of what an elite program looks like on here. MU should provide an outline on how they determine program success and share with the faithful that support the program. At that point, some might have the stomach for it and some might not.

Dis^^^^^^^^
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: real chili 83 on March 26, 2019, 06:49:35 PM
I agree with this analysis

I analyze with this agreement.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Herman Cain on March 26, 2019, 06:52:29 PM
I would argue had they not made life so uncomfortable for Buzz, that he felt the need to leave...MU would be there already...That's what pisses me off more than anything...they were knocking on the door...and the admin slammed it shut.
Mr. Guru:
Sometime administrations do the darndest things.

Just think how the Michigan State Football fans felt in 1999. Nick Saban worked to turn their fortunes around and he just turned the corner. Then LSU came along and offered a tiny bit more money and MSU was too cheap to pay up. Think about how their history would have turned out.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Cheeks on March 26, 2019, 07:00:32 PM
They haven't said it...but that is EXACTLY what they should be striving for...no less. That to me is the definition of Elite.

OK, well since we haven't been winning at a high level for decade upon decade upon decade, it will take a long time to get there....right?  Probably decades.  We don't have our own TV network, the ACC does starting in 4 months, we don't have football, we don't have warm weather, and we don't have their history.  We have nice history, we have a good TV package, we are basketball centric, but not the same as those. 

And as a reminder, Coach K at Duke won ONE NCAA tournament game his first five years....but he took a very good program to ELITE.  Let's see what Wojo can do.  Maybe nothing, but if you are going to use history and comparisons of these schools, you may want to embrace a few more from those very schools.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: TAMU, Knower of Ball on March 26, 2019, 07:03:15 PM
I would argue had they not made life so uncomfortable for Buzz, that he felt the need to leave...MU would be there already...That's what pisses me off more than anything...they were knocking on the door...and the admin slammed it shut.

Guru, we were nowhere near the levels of Duke, UNC, etc when Buzz left. Even after his Elite Eight year we weren't close. You know what Duke fans call a three year stretch of 11 seed, 3 seed, 3 seed? A really bad three years. All it took for Buzz was one surprise draft decision from Vander and it sent us tumbling from "on our way to elite" to "needing to rebuild." The Dukes of the world deal with 3-5 NBA draft decisions a year and they simply reload. We weren't anywhere close to being able to do that.

I posted about this on the "alternate history" page but I don't think Buzz staying would have made 14-15 go that much better. It likely would have been another year out of the postseason. Now I think hanging onto Shayok and Hill plus Buzz being a better coach would have led to a quicker rebuild, but I don't think we would have been even close to sniffing blue blood status. That is built over time.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: MU82 on March 26, 2019, 08:29:51 PM
I would argue had they not made life so uncomfortable for Buzz, that he felt the need to leave...MU would be there already...That's what pisses me off more than anything...they were knocking on the door...and the admin slammed it shut.

Even if I agree with this ... and I agree much more with what TAMU says ... OK great ... but that ship has sailed. Bemoaning it does NOTHING for our situation going forward.

Buzz inherited a good group of players and did well. He became a good coach and our teams were fun to watch. And yet, in his 6th season, he had a MUCH worse year than Wojo had this season. So wouldn't your hypothetical AD from another thread have fired him?
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: muguru on March 26, 2019, 09:02:36 PM
Guru, we were nowhere near the levels of Duke, UNC, etc when Buzz left. Even after his Elite Eight year we weren't close. You know what Duke fans call a three year stretch of 11 seed, 3 seed, 3 seed? A really bad three years. All it took for Buzz was one surprise draft decision from Vander and it sent us tumbling from "on our way to elite" to "needing to rebuild." The Dukes of the world deal with 3-5 NBA draft decisions a year and they simply reload. We weren't anywhere close to being able to do that.

I posted about this on the "alternate history" page but I don't think Buzz staying would have made 14-15 go that much better. It likely would have been another year out of the postseason. Now I think hanging onto Shayok and Hill plus Buzz being a better coach would have led to a quicker rebuild, but I don't think we would have been even close to sniffing blue blood status. That is built over time.

Vander's decision killed that team you're right, but I do believe had all these restrictions not been placed on Buzz, he'd have had them right back in the tourney the following year, had he still been allowed to go after ANY Juco he wanted. That's a way of "reloading". Even if you say we weren't close(which is probably true), they were heading that direction..the talk lately here has been "trend lines"...well if you throw out Buzz's last year, the three seasons prior were "sweet 16, sweet 16, Elite 8. If that isn't a positive trend I don't know what is?? I truly believe if Buzz were still at MU and he had no restrictions as far as the type of kids he could bring in..MU would have been in a final Four again recently. The man could coach, and his teams had an identity, something Wojo's teams lack. WQhat is their identity anyway?? Does anyone know??
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: MU82 on March 26, 2019, 09:13:06 PM
guru, quick question:

What was your opinion when MU hired Buzz as coach? Were you thrilled about it?
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: muguru on March 26, 2019, 09:23:07 PM
guru, quick question:

What was your opinion when MU hired Buzz as coach? Were you thrilled about it?

Yes...because I thought he had loads of potential, I also thought that would keep the three amigos there. It did. However, admittedly, had I known at the time(found it out later) that a certain coach that is currently Coaching in the sweet 16 was interested, he would have been my run away choice.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Herman Cain on March 26, 2019, 09:34:22 PM
Vander's decision killed that team you're right, but I do believe had all these restrictions not been placed on Buzz, he'd have had them right back in the tourney the following year, had he still been allowed to go after ANY Juco he wanted. That's a way of "reloading". Even if you say we weren't close(which is probably true), they were heading that direction..the talk lately here has been "trend lines"...well if you throw out Buzz's last year, the three seasons prior were "sweet 16, sweet 16, Elite 8. If that isn't a positive trend I don't know what is?? I truly believe if Buzz were still at MU and he had no restrictions as far as the type of kids he could bring in..MU would have been in a final Four again recently. The man could coach, and his teams had an identity, something Wojo's teams lack. WQhat is their identity anyway?? Does anyone know??
When the new President and AD came in the bloom came off the Rose with Buzz. The final straw was the Williams stabbing Buzz in the back after the WV win and dancing to Country Roads (something that would have celebrated in the media in  Al's day).  Everything went down hill internally from there. That last season Buzz was just mailing it in. So unfortunately, the divorce had to happen as Buzz couldn't be the Buzz that was successful .  It was in the best interest of both parties to move on. Administration hired exactly the type of guy they wanted and  we have seen now for the past five years how that played out for MU and Buzz.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: TAMU, Knower of Ball on March 26, 2019, 10:03:12 PM
Vander's decision killed that team you're right, but I do believe had all these restrictions not been placed on Buzz, he'd have had them right back in the tourney the following year, had he still been allowed to go after ANY Juco he wanted. That's a way of "reloading". Even if you say we weren't close(which is probably true), they were heading that direction..the talk lately here has been "trend lines"...well if you throw out Buzz's last year, the three seasons prior were "sweet 16, sweet 16, Elite 8. If that isn't a positive trend I don't know what is?? I truly believe if Buzz were still at MU and he had no restrictions as far as the type of kids he could bring in..MU would have been in a final Four again recently. The man could coach, and his teams had an identity, something Wojo's teams lack. WQhat is their identity anyway?? Does anyone know??

Honestly, the restrictions talk has been way overblown in my opinion. There are literally hundreds of high major worthy recruits every year and because a small handful of them are now off the table Buzz was stymied? Seems like an excuse to me. You hate those right?

Buzz' trend line was great until his last year. That's why other than Chicos and Willie, no one was on the fire Buzz train. I have yet to see anyone claim that Wojo is a better coach than Buzz.

Buzz' teams did and didn't have an identity. We always talked about "chip on the shoulder" and "toughness" but those are really just cliches. What made Buzz such as superb coach was that he could change his team's identity to fit the roster. We had run and gun teams, slow em down teams, bully you in the paint teams. Buzz could adjust to his team's strengths and hide their weaknesses like few could.

Wojo on the other hand is much more of a systems coach. He runs the Duke Motion offense but until this season he never had the players to properly run it. Those who have criticized him for not getting his players early were correct. I was one of the ones who challenged those like Dr. B who said he should have "pole axed" people early to get his players in quicker. I didn't think that way because I was so used to what Buzz could do with changing identities. I was wrong.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Cheeks on March 26, 2019, 10:17:42 PM

Buzz' trend line was great until his last year. That's why other than Chicos and Willie, no one was on the fire Buzz train. I have yet to see anyone claim that Wojo is a better coach than Buzz


This is some Jussie level bullshyte right here   Show me one post where I said Buzz should be fired.  I didn't.  Use the search function

This is more like what I said

https://www.muscoop.com/index.php?topic=25197.msg280687#msg280687

https://www.muscoop.com/index.php?topic=14181.msg127421#msg127421

https://www.muscoop.com/index.php?topic=13376.msg486194#msg486194

Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: TAMU, Knower of Ball on March 26, 2019, 10:32:56 PM
This is some Jussie level bullshyte right here   Show me one post where I said Buzz should be fired.  I didn't.  Use the search function

This is more like what I said

https://www.muscoop.com/index.php?topic=25197.msg280687#msg280687

https://www.muscoop.com/index.php?topic=14181.msg127421#msg127421

https://www.muscoop.com/index.php?topic=13376.msg486194#msg486194

Weird. I just assumed with the outrage about his off the court behaviors that you would have nobly been calling for him to be let go.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: muguru on March 26, 2019, 10:43:53 PM
Weird. I just assumed with the outrage about his off the court behaviors that you would have nobly been calling for him to be let go.

 amazingly hypocritical isn't it TAMU?  here's a guy that continually take shots at him.... and anyone that tries to defend him he tries to rip to shreds and yet he pulls up an old thread... trying to show and basically call out ppl that wanted Buzz fired and he leads the charge in ripping the guy to shreads..smh
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Herman Cain on March 26, 2019, 10:53:21 PM
Can we please bring back Floorslapper/Ners
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: BM1090 on March 27, 2019, 10:11:59 AM
Can we please bring back Floorslapper/Ners

God, no. But he couldn't possibly make this board worse than it has been for the past week.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Cheeks on March 27, 2019, 12:25:55 PM
Weird. I just assumed with the outrage about his off the court behaviors that you would have nobly been calling for him to be let go.

I was not happy, wanted him punished and wasn’t happy to see him go.  But I didn’t call for his firing for X’a and O’s, and to my knowledge didn’t for the other crap....but memories fade and maybe someone can find something I said calling for it.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Cheeks on March 27, 2019, 12:28:19 PM
amazingly hypocritical isn't it TAMU?  here's a guy that continually take shots at him.... and anyone that tries to defend him he tries to rip to shreds and yet he pulls up an old thread... trying to show and basically call out ppl that wanted Buzz fired and he leads the charge in ripping the guy to shreads..smh
Not at all, you are missing the point.

I have said time and again that Buzz was a good coach, coach of the year level coach.  I point out that even though that is the case, our fan base that constantly lines for him back....some wanted him to be fired.  Nature of fandom, but that was the point.  Sorry it flew over your head.
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: muguru on March 27, 2019, 12:57:06 PM


So...let's get this straight...you assault his character repeatedly, say you didn't want him gone for X's and O's stuff...and DIDN'T want him fired... Yet...I didn't want him fired, or to leave, and yet..I'm a horrible person for thinking that, and wanting him to stay?? Even you have to see how absolutely hypocritical that is, right?? It's okay for you to assault his character after he's gone...someone who you claim you DIDN'T want gone, then repeatedly bash him, how he quit his last year etc. But you didn't want him to leave?? I didn't want him to leave and you try to throw all the allegations, quitting his last year etc stuff in my face to show WHY he should have left/been let go etc, the same Coach you didn't want to leave??

Have you had enough of me taking you behind the woodshed yet?? Or do you have more to bring??
Title: Re: Program trajectory and wojo
Post by: Cheeks on March 27, 2019, 10:06:48 PM
So...let's get this straight...you assault his character repeatedly, say you didn't want him gone for X's and O's stuff...and DIDN'T want him fired... Yet...I didn't want him fired, or to leave, and yet..I'm a horrible person for thinking that, and wanting him to stay?? Even you have to see how absolutely hypocritical that is, right?? It's okay for you to assault his character after he's gone...someone who you claim you DIDN'T want gone, then repeatedly bash him, how he quit his last year etc. But you didn't want him to leave?? I didn't want him to leave and you try to throw all the allegations, quitting his last year etc stuff in my face to show WHY he should have left/been let go etc, the same Coach you didn't want to leave??

Have you had enough of me taking you behind the woodshed yet?? Or do you have more to bring??

Wait, what. You don't want Wojo to be fired...is that what you are saying?  Are you really saying that....do you want to quickly edit your posts

I didn't assault Buzz's character, he did that all by himself.  His character was revealed often to people that worked for him and with him. 


Now let me explain the difference so you and Lenny and others can get it through their head. I did not say Buzz should be fired, there are many posts for you to search from...find one where I said it. I provided you several where I specifically said DO NOT FIRE HIM.  There reason is simple, when you fire a coach you start all over again.  At a place like MU, that's not a good situation.  Despite the rhetoric, we don't have lots of alums waiting around to write dead money checks for coaches not coaching.  Nor do we have football as a backstop.  ALSO, as I have said and is provable (again, search is an easy tool on this board) that Buzz was a good coach.  I was hopeful that the powers that be with the suspensions, the firing of his assistant, the public embarrassment, etc, would finally maybe point his ethical compass north.  Instead, he fled after turning in a piss poor performance his last year where he mailed it in.