Bubble Watch 2018

[Windyplayer]

Doing a quick look just last year Preseason Top 25 not making tourney; Indiana 11/11, UConn 18/16, Syracuse 19/17, and Texas 21/22.

IU, woof.

[Herman Cain]

This gentleman has us in the play in. Maybe we would play St. Mary’s in Dayton under his scenario.

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.sbnation.com/platform/amp/college-basketball/2018/3/6/17084572/bracketology-2018-college-basketball-bubble-saint-mary-s-byu-syracuse-notre-dame-gonzaga

[willie warrior]

Heard Bilas say today that No Dick should get in with their resume. Say it ain't so, Jay.

[Its DJOver]

Heard Bilas say today that No Dick should get in with their resume. Say it ain't so, Jay.

Bilas supporting the ACC, what a surprise.

[NickelDimer]

I always cheer for Buzz. Except against MU, want VAT to win.

I do too. I’ll always love Buzz

[GGGG]

I do too. I’ll always love Buzz

F8ck Buzz with a rusty tire iron.

But beat ND tonight.

[NickelDimer]

F8ck Buzz with a rusty tire iron.

But beat ND tonight.

You’re a kinky f*cker

[WarriorInNYC]

Doing a quick look just last year Preseason Top 25 not making tourney; Indiana 11/11, UConn 18/16, Syracuse 19/17, and Texas 21/22.

And look at this year's preseason Top 25 in both directions:

USC 10/11
Notre Dame 14/14
Minnesota 15/15
Louisville 16/16
Xavier 17/17
Northwestern 19/20
Purdue 20/21

And Receiving Votes?  Virginia and Wisconsin

[Silkk the Shaka]

I’m going to have to work through this one emotionally with a few gournal entries.

Time's up - you said a second

[MU82]

Bilas supporting the ACC, what a surprise.

But Bilas also loves Wojo and, by extension, our Warriors.

Oh, and Bilas isn't on the committee.

[Dr. Blackheart]

But Bilas also loves Wojo and, by extension, our Warriors.

Oh, and Bilas isn't on the committee.

The Duke Mafia extends to ND too.

[JamilJaeJamailJrJuan]

It's actually embarrassing how much ND has been discussed on ESPN the past several days. They legit take up 75% of the bubble discussion.  Its pathetic. 

[ZiggysFryBoy]

It's actually embarrassing how much ND has been discussed on ESPN the past several days. They legit take up 75% of the bubble discussion.  Its pathetic.

FIFY

[oldwarrior81]

the "Team Sheet" lists six different ratings on the top.

The three "results-based metrics", (RPI, KPI, SOR) Marquette is ranked ahead of ND.  Avg 49 vs 62.
The three "predictive metrics" (BPI, KenPom, Sagarin) ND is listed ahead of MU.  Avg 30 vs 48

Sagarin has the Irish at #24,  Pomeroy has them #32.

[Windyplayer]

It's actually embarrassing how much ND has been discussed on ESPN the past several days. They legit take up 75% of the bubble discussion.  Its pathetic.

They're not wrong to given the circumstances. Notre Dame was a legit top 10 team with Bonzie in the line-up to start the year. It's intriguing, but they have plenty of work to do. Those who say they are in now are simply delusional.

[MU82]

Big Bilas fan. I think he is the best commentator in the sport.

But while I knew he wasn't perfect (nobody is), he really drove home that point when he kept insisting Josh Gasser would be drafted and have a long NBA career. Josh Effen Gasser.

If the Buzzards take care of buzzness today, Bilas should be wrong again here about ND.

But I still would take Bilas over any other talking head on TWL.

[TallTitan34]

CBS's projected First Four is almost identical to the 2003 Final Four.  Marquette, Texas, and Syracuse.  Way to blow it Kansas.

[burger]

Buzz is going to "F" Notre Dame......

Remember Larry Williams......

Buzz has a long memory......

[PGsHeroes32]

FSU is the team that should be on the bubble

They SUCK every game I watch them

[JamilJaeJamailJrJuan]

They're not wrong to given the circumstances. Notre Dame was a legit top 10 team with Bonzie in the line-up to start the year. It's intriguing, but they have plenty of work to do. Those who say they are in now are simply delusional.

Fine.  But there are at least a dozen other teams that merit bubble discussion.  All they talk about is ND and Cuse.  It is nauseating. 

[Windyplayer]

Fine.  But there are at least a dozen other teams that merit bubble discussion.  All they talk about is ND and Cuse.  It is nauseating.

Agreed.

[BM1090]

Florida State playing arguably the most disgusting half of offensive basketball I've ever seen.

[CTWarrior]

One thing not included in the above info from AuburnMarquette is road wins.  MU is pretty solid in that category, with three of our Q1 wins on the road.

Not sure why a Q1 road win should count more than a Q1 home win.  Q1 road win is against a top 70 team or better and a Q1 home win is against a top 30 team or better.  Doubt road Q1 wins are generally more difficult to come by than Q1 home wins.  At least I think that was the whole idea around segregating them that way.

Bottom line is that unless we beat Villanova we leave our fate in the hands of a committee with several teams close enough to us that we don't have a great argument if we get left out, nor do those bubbly teams around us if we get in and they get left out.  Lets hope after this year we take the decision out of the committee's hands for a few years.

[muguru]

Well, there goes one spot...Louisville will be in...thanks Florida St.

[BM1090]

Florida State sucks. A lot. And honestly their resume isn't any good either. They have a 1 point home win over UNC and a road win over Florida. That's it.