Bubble Watch 2018

[TAMU, Knower of Ball]

Damn, Nevada down 23...and it's not halftime yet.

[PGsHeroes32]

Was is Nevada in??

If you can’t beat the San Francisco Dons you shouldn’t get an at large.

Their best player wasn’t good enough to stick with a bottom tier ACC team

[skianth16]

Damn, Nevada down 23...and it's not halftime yet.

Butler was down 20 before they ever even scored!

[DegenerateDish]

Nevada gonna possibly be down 40 at half.

[BM1090]

First bid stealer in the mountain west. Thats a shame.

[injuryBug]

Do MTSU, St Mary's and Nevada all get in?  I think 1 of the 3 will

[brewcity77]

Do MTSU, St Mary's and Nevada all get in?  I think 1 of the 3 will

Nevada will. St Mary's may. MTSU sure as hell shouldn't.

[PGsHeroes32]

Do MTSU, St Mary's and Nevada all get in?  I think 1 of the 3 will

They all suck

[BM1090]

Was is Nevada in??

If you can’t beat the San Francisco Dons you shouldn’t get an at large.

Their best player wasn’t good enough to stick with a bottom tier ACC team

Honestly their resume isn't impressive but they'll make it

[peterpan]

Honestly their resume isn't impressive but they'll make it

Rhode island the only tournament team they’ve beaten and some bad losses sprinkled in there. 7 losses. seems they should at least be on the bubble.

[TAMU, Knower of Ball]

Nevada has an RPI of 11 and SOS of 63. They will make it in with room to spare.

Not so sure on St. Mary's and MTSU. I would leave both out personally.

[TheyWereCones]

I don't know if this has been said yet, but MU played 13 out of 20 conference games against tournament teams, and 1 out of every 4 games was against a top 5 team.  Finishing 10-10 in that kind of gauntlet seems like a team that deserves a bid.  It seems like our lack of a "signature" win (with numerous opportunities, I know...) is our only resume hole, but doesn't everyone else have even bigger holes?  On paper, I just don't see how we aren't in.

[PGsHeroes32]

Nevada has an RPI of 11 and SOS of 63. They will make it in with room to spare.

Not so sure on St. Mary's and MTSU. I would leave both out personally.

Idc what RPI says

They have beaten 1 tourney team. And it’s another mid major

[Its DJOver]

Idc what RPI says

They have beaten 1 tourney team. And it’s another mid major

I agree with you, unfortunately I don't think the comitee will.

[injuryBug]

with a mid major like Nevada the RPI can fool you

[skianth16]

Idc what RPI says

They have beaten 1 tourney team. And it’s another mid major

They're a perfect storm for the flaws of the quadrant system. All but 1 of their Q2 games are outside the top 75 in RPI, but they were on the road. And somehow their non-con SOS is a top 20 too. Not sure how that happened. They're a lock, but they're not impressive on paper.

[PGsHeroes32]

I agree with you, unfortunately I don't think the comitee will.

Yeah I know.

But that’s why it’s dumb.

This could be a wide open tourney with so few dominate teams.

But instead we are gonna let in untested teams who lose to teams that gave me a call to check on my eligibility.

[GrimmReaper33]

Usually I like to see the mid major teams like Nevada, MTSU, St Mary's, etc. get in over the major conference teams that go .500 or worse in their conference. 

Now that MU is one of those teams on the bubble I think it's ridiculous that a mid major who plays no one can get in!

[esotericmindguy]

Idc what RPI says

They have beaten 1 tourney team. And it’s another mid major

So don’t let any mid majors in? Let all the teams that finish in the bottom 30-40% of their major conference in? Come on. They have an SOS in 60s with an RPI of 11. I’m sorry, if you can’t finish in the top half of your conference then you can’t complain about missing the tourney.

[esotericmindguy]

Usually I like to see the mid major teams like Nevada, MTSU, St Mary's, etc. get in over the major conference teams that go .500 or worse in their conference. 

Now that MU is one of those teams on the bubble I think it's ridiculous that a mid major who plays no one can get in!

Ha! Same. I’d rather see a mid major over a team that’s proven they aren’t capable of a final 4 run.

[PGsHeroes32]

So don’t let any mid majors in? Let all the teams that finish in the bottom 30-40% of their major conference in? Come on. They have an SOS in 60s with an RPI of 11. I’m sorry, if you can’t finish in the top half of your conference then you can’t complain about missing the tourney.

No, I’m saying don’t let bad teams in.

It’s a simple concept. Beat someone worth noting.

[PGsHeroes32]

Ha! Same. I’d rather see a mid major over a team that’s proven they aren’t capable of a final 4 run.

And what has any of St Mary’s, Nevada, Middle Tennessee done to prove they are capable of a final 4 run?

[skianth16]

And what has any of St Mary’s, Nevada, Middle Tennessee done to prove they are capable of a final 4 run?

Some of these teams have 40% - 50% more wins than us. That's a hard thing to do, even if your SOS is 80 or 100. If you can win 8 or 10 straight, I think you're capable of making a run. Winning in your conference is tough, even if it's the MAC or the Mountain West. It's harder in the Big East and the ACC for sure, but Nevada's KenPom rating of 20 is no accident. That's why there are always upsets in March. Smaller schools with so-so schedules that find a way to win a ton of games are probably better than a lot of people think they are.

[JamilJaeJamailJrJuan]

Georgia fell back to 76 in RPI. Quad 3....for now. Could possible shift back up.

[PGsHeroes32]

Some of these teams have 40% - 50% more wins than us. That's a hard thing to do, even if your SOS is 80 or 100. If you can win 8 or 10 straight, I think you're capable of making a run. Winning in your conference is tough, even if it's the MAC or the Mountain West. It's harder in the Big East and the ACC for sure, but Nevada's KenPom rating of 20 is no accident. That's why there are always upsets in March. Smaller schools with so-so schedules that find a way to win a ton of games are probably better than a lot of people think they are.

Or you can let a team like Cuse in when everyone says they lost too much

And they make the final 4.

I want battle tested teams getting at larges.

Love mid majors who earn their bids