Author Topic: Bubble Watch 2018 (Read 244116 times)

Its DJOver · « **Reply #1375 on:** March 08, 2018, 02:17:40 PM »

Quote from: goldeneagle91114 on March 08, 2018, 02:14:22 PM

Agree, so at this point Bama won, L'Ville lost. what other bubble games have taken place that hurt us?

None, St. Johns would have been a bid thief, VCU winning helped RPI, next big game is Kansas OKST. Go Jayhawks. Also have Nevada vs Las Vegas, we want Nevada to win that. and Georgia over Missou would help RPI. That'd be it for the morning session.

JamilJaeJamailJrJuan · « **Reply #1376 on:** March 08, 2018, 02:18:59 PM »

Quote from: Its DJOver on March 08, 2018, 02:17:40 PM

None, St. Johns would have been a bid thief, VCU winning helped RPI, next big game is Kansas OKST. Go Jayhawks. Also have Nevada vs Las Vegas, we want Nevada to win that. and Georgia over Missou would help RPI. That'd be it for the morning session.

Creighton over PC is big.

goldeneagle91114 · « **Reply #1377 on:** March 08, 2018, 02:20:02 PM »

Quote from: Its DJOver on March 08, 2018, 02:17:40 PM

None, St. Johns would have been a bid thief, VCU winning helped RPI, next big game is Kansas OKST. Go Jayhawks. Also have Nevada vs Las Vegas, we want Nevada to win that. and Georgia over Missou would help RPI. That'd be it for the morning session.

So why is everyone losing their mind and declaring the NOVA game a " Must win"?

JamilJaeJamailJrJuan · « **Reply #1378 on:** March 08, 2018, 02:21:28 PM »

Quote from: goldeneagle91114 on March 08, 2018, 02:20:02 PM

So why is everyone losing their mind and declaring the NOVA game a " Must win"?

It was like 2 posters. Read the username before making too much judgement on knee jerk reactions.

Newsdreams · « **Reply #1379 on:** March 08, 2018, 02:21:59 PM »

Quote from: JamilJaeJamailJrJuan on March 08, 2018, 02:16:19 PM

Louisville lose was big.

K State was gettin in regardless.

Bama win hurts, but they’ve gotta be behind us still.

Going by this they were close to being out
https://painttouches.com/2018/03/07/bid-probabilities-for-all-bubble-teams/

BM1090 · « **Reply #1380 on:** March 08, 2018, 02:23:07 PM »

Quote from: Newsdreams on March 08, 2018, 02:21:59 PM

Going by this they were close to being out
https://painttouches.com/2018/03/07/bid-probabilities-for-all-bubble-teams/

I think they were in regardless. Their seed upside may be limited but I don't get they were getting left out. The big B12 game is Baylor

Its DJOver · « **Reply #1381 on:** March 08, 2018, 02:23:49 PM »

Quote from: Newsdreams on March 08, 2018, 02:21:59 PM

Going by this they were close to being out
https://painttouches.com/2018/03/07/bid-probabilities-for-all-bubble-teams/

Was just about to post this, obviously ever game carries different weight, but a minimal RPI boost means a lot more right now than it usually does. On the day we are currently 3-2 with Clemson up at half and CU up at half

Newsdreams · « **Reply #1382 on:** March 08, 2018, 02:25:55 PM »

Quote from: JamilJaeJamailJrJuan on March 08, 2018, 02:13:12 PM

K State was getting in regardless. No way a 10 win B12 team was getting left out.

They have said conference record is less of a factor now

JamilJaeJamailJrJuan · « **Reply #1383 on:** March 08, 2018, 02:26:01 PM »

Quote from: Newsdreams on March 08, 2018, 02:21:59 PM

Going by this they were close to being out
https://painttouches.com/2018/03/07/bid-probabilities-for-all-bubble-teams/

Not really. And that’s per 1 source, TRank, which had them as a 10 seed. A loss to a projected 6 seed in OT isn’t moving then out. K State won 10 games in the B12, which is top to bottom best league in the country. Super weak non con holds them back quite a bit, but they weren’t getting left out reagardless of what happened today. No Q3 or Q4 losses. Just have very little seeding upside due to super weak Non con SOs.

Newsdreams · « **Reply #1384 on:** March 08, 2018, 02:26:52 PM »

Quote from: JamilJaeJamailJrJuan on March 08, 2018, 02:18:59 PM

Creighton over PC is big.

Hope it moves them enough to a Q1 was close but not for sure

Newsdreams · « **Reply #1385 on:** March 08, 2018, 02:27:40 PM »

Quote from: JamilJaeJamailJrJuan on March 08, 2018, 02:26:01 PM

Not really. And that’s per 1 source, TRank, which had them as a 10 seed. A loss to a projected 6 seed in OT isn’t moving then out. K State won 10 games in the B12, which is top to bottom best league in the country. Super weak non con holds them back quite a bit, but they weren’t getting left out reagardless of what happened today. No Q3 or Q4 losses. Just have very little seeding upside due to super weak Non con SOs.

That does not matter

JamilJaeJamailJrJuan · « **Reply #1386 on:** March 08, 2018, 02:28:15 PM »

Quote from: Newsdreams on March 08, 2018, 02:26:52 PM

Hope it moves them enough to a Q1 was close but no for sure

Creighton needs to win 2 games (PC and X) to get into top 30 per RPI wizard as of this am.

Newsdreams · « **Reply #1387 on:** March 08, 2018, 02:28:56 PM »

Quote from: JamilJaeJamailJrJuan on March 08, 2018, 02:28:15 PM

Creighton needs to win 2 games (PC and X) to get into top 30 per RPI wizard as of this am.

Think they are like 34 right now

JamilJaeJamailJrJuan · « **Reply #1388 on:** March 08, 2018, 02:29:16 PM »

Quote from: Newsdreams on March 08, 2018, 02:27:40 PM

That does not matter

Jesus. Of that post this what you focus on? Unreal. Just going to move along. K State was in regardless. Disagree if you so please.

Newsdreams · « **Reply #1389 on:** March 08, 2018, 02:31:25 PM »

Quote from: JamilJaeJamailJrJuan on March 08, 2018, 02:29:16 PM

Jesus. Of that post this what you focus on? Unreal. Just going to move along. K State was in regardless. Disagree if you so please.

Now they are in for sure, but a loss is a loss be it OT the committee won't care

BM1090 · « **Reply #1390 on:** March 08, 2018, 02:34:31 PM »

Big bubble games going on right now.

Cheering for:

Creighton
Arizona
Kansas
Nevada.

In my opinion that is ordered from least to most important. Nevada needs to win the MWC Tournament to prevent the first bid thief.

WarriorInNYC · « **Reply #1391 on:** March 08, 2018, 02:40:55 PM »

Quote from: Newsdreams on March 08, 2018, 02:25:55 PM

They have said conference record is less of a factor now

Well yeah, conference record is less of a factor now, agreed. But all that means is they are looking at those wins and losses at the quality of them. And them being in the BIG12, those 10 wins are going to carry some weight.

LoudMouth · « **Reply #1392 on:** March 08, 2018, 02:47:02 PM »

Quote from: JamilJaeJamailJrJuan on March 08, 2018, 02:21:28 PM

It was like 2 posters. Read the username before making too much judgement on knee jerk reactions.

Thanks guys...moment of panic. I'm better now Let's hope our boys still play like it's a must win though

MarquetteDano · « **Reply #1393 on:** March 08, 2018, 02:48:20 PM »

Thus far this is been a bad day for us bubble wise. Other than Ville loss, not good.

I am starting to think we really need to win tonight. A few more upsets and we are screwed if we lose tonight.

Don't want to be sweating on Sunday. Let's make it easy for the committee and do this.

Vander Blue Man Group · « **Reply #1394 on:** March 08, 2018, 02:48:35 PM »

Kansas crapping its pants so far but still very early.

mu03eng · « **Reply #1395 on:** March 08, 2018, 02:48:49 PM »

Quote from: barfolomew on March 08, 2018, 01:26:27 PM

Yes, but we went from appearing in 40 of 96 brackets to appearing in 42 of 80.
So we got that going for us... which is nice.

And a donut without a hole is just a danish.

BM1090 · « **Reply #1396 on:** March 08, 2018, 02:49:42 PM »

Since I'm ripping on teams being bad, I'll go the other way here. Oklahoma State looks legit and has every time I've watched them.

Its DJOver · « **Reply #1397 on:** March 08, 2018, 02:52:19 PM »

Quote from: MarquetteDano on March 08, 2018, 02:48:20 PM

Thus far this is been a bad day for us bubble wise. Other than Ville loss, not good.

I am starting to think we really need to win tonight. A few more upsets and we are screwed if we lose tonight.

Don't want to be sweating on Sunday. Let's make it easy for the committee and do this.

Louisville lost, Bama won. Bubble teams are 1-1. K-State was already in, VCU won, which helps, Creighton game is close, could go either way, Kansas needs to get it together but its the first half. If we lose tonight we'll all be sweating on Sunday regardless of what other teams do.

BM1090 · « **Reply #1398 on:** March 08, 2018, 02:53:02 PM »

Nevada is getting beat at half by UNLV. Down 8. That'd be a terrible result.

wisblue · « **Reply #1399 on:** March 08, 2018, 02:53:44 PM »

Bid stealer alert.

UNLV leads Nevada 39-31 at halftime.

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Author Topic: Bubble Watch 2018 (Read 244116 times)