Kolek planning to go pro
My fav comment today was, in regards to China having this fairly contained and it dying down, "China isn't my worry, its the rapid spread across the rest of the world"...if there was a disease that showed up in 5, 10, even 100 people in a country, it wouldn't begin to merit this level of hysteria. If China is under control and vaccines in the works, I don't care about 1 person in Croatia, 3 people in St Louis, 5 in Helsinki.
Allow me to explain why you should. China lies. China lies. I can't type it enough. I can't say it enough. If people are moving around the world, asymptomatic for a week or two and infecting other people these 1, 3, and 5 people bloom into clusters. Now, China can shut that down. Just look at the major cities. They slam the doors closed, and implement draconian (very effective) measures. The rest of the world doesn't operate like China. The US can't enforce the measures that China took.You and I might not die from the virus. What MIGHT happen is all the beds are full with Covid2019 patients. Where does the normal flow of people who go to the ER or the hospital end up? There isn't enough workers, or hospitals to tend to everyone, and people will die from things other than Covid2019. Not to mention all the people who will show up to the ER and Urgent Cares... who SWEAR they have the virus, and demand antibiotics, and who aren't being seen fast enough. What this virus does is completely and totally overwhelms the medical communities ability to do their job. If anything close to 20% of people who contract Covid2019 require hospitalization or extended care we are boned. I'm not panicking, but I'm taking this very seriously. The economic impact will be enormous unless this is gone in a month. Even then, it will be bad.
wow hards! you're becoming my hero man! they're saying, if you are having a heart attack, stroke, bleeding to death in china...sorry, but we've got sick people to attend to, but we'll take a kidney or 2
Supposed to be traveling to Milan at the beginning of April, I guess it is wait and watch for now.
If people are moving around the world, asymptomatic for a week or two and infecting other people these 1, 3, and 5 people bloom into clusters.
To be clear, that's a very big if. We know you can be asymptomatic for a couple weeks. I don't think anybody has proven (or disproven) that it's contagious while asymptomatic.
Very true
I'm not sure if you're being sarcastic or not... So I'll assume no.This guy is a great resource for understanding basic epidemiology. I can't remember how to embed videos, and there isn't a button on herehttps://youtu.be/dnE9O-vV-ws
Serious question, though .. once COVID19 is widespread .. enough to be, for example, in Milwaukee, would quarantines matter? What's the theory of what could happen? I don't see the food/grocery industry crumbling, besides some specifics being halted. If it was widespread, I don't see mass quarantines being effective -- the horse has left the barn.So .. what's the theory?
What May HappenMore cases are likely to be identified in the coming days, including more cases in the United States. It’s also likely that person-to-person spread will continue to occur, including in the United States. Widespread transmission of COVID-19 in the United States would translate into large numbers of people needing medical care at the same time. Schools, childcare centers, workplaces, and other places for mass gatherings may experience more absenteeism. Public health and healthcare systems may become overloaded, with elevated rates of hospitalizations and deaths. Other critical infrastructure, such as law enforcement, emergency medical services, and transportation industry may also be affected. Health care providers and hospitals may be overwhelmed. At this time, there is no vaccine to protect against COVID-19 and no medications approved to treat it. Nonpharmaceutical interventions would be the most important response strategy.
Wow, I'm very concerned for Benny. Being able to mimic Myron Medcalf's writing so closely implies an oncoming case of dementia.
I've seen at least one upper level pro soccer match in Europe played in an empty stadium due to concerns.
Exactly. I thought about buying some extra N95's yesterday just to have on hand, and I had second thoughts about the risks of taking a flight to go see some stupid basketball tournament.Then I had an epiphany because it is not just some stupid basketball tournament and everyone's sold out of masks... so I asked myself what's the downside, Benny? The downside is postponing exposure to the virus.Any non-millennials remember chicken pox parties?Yes, I realize this is going to be a very unpopular opinion, but I would rather be one of the first 10,000 cases in the US than one of ten million cases. If there is a modicum of inevitability here, send me some of that delicious Wuhan pork belly right now, because the sooner I can get into the hospital, the sooner I can get out... and I'd rather get in while there's still a good supply of beds, supplies, staff, etc. That said, I'm in perfect health, I don't smoke, and as long as my hermetic cube has wi-fi, I can work. So I'd much rather take my chances with a virus having a 0.9% risk given my access to proper medical care.In the absence of vaccination, inoculation is preferable to the futility of prevention.
The downside is postponing exposure to the virus.Any non-millennials remember chicken pox parties?Yes, I realize this is going to be a very unpopular opinion, but I would rather be one of the first 10,000 cases in the US than one of ten million cases.
I'm going to ask an incredibly dumb question...So once you get it, and it passes through your system, are you then fine from getting the same strain again? I mean I know I can get the flu multiple times in the year, I guess what I'm asking is to your point, if I get it, get done with it, am I then fine to be around other people that have it?Feel free to call me dumb for asking this.
I saw that Japan is closing their schools for a month. I always also think the market knows more than anyone else, so I'm at the point where I'm going to go stock up on non-perishables, and explain to my kids what's going on in the world and how that might impact things.
Yes. You should be innoculated for the rest of your life providing you get it strong enough to develop the antibodies or your immune system isn't compromised.