Oso planning to go pro
Lots of old data still in there. I think the defense is significantly better than is current ranking, but also think the offense is worse. On the upside, I think teams are more likely to improve on the offensive end as the season goes on.
I agree the offense might be overranked given our early games but it does look like it has turned a corner the last few games. Might even be top 20.
Still too early for Pomeroy in my opinion, but let's go with the predictions for the Big East. Very tightly bunched. Going to be a war.Butler 11-7Seton Hall 11-7Villanova 11-7Marquette 10-8Xavier 10-8Georgetown 8-10Depaul 8-10Creighton 8-10Providence 7-11St. John's 5-13
I would love for that to be the case, but against quality opponents this year we have scored 436 points in 437 possessions. USC was the only quality opponent where we were over 1.10 ppp (1.16, next best was Purdue at 1.03).The limited evidence so far would indicate an offense in the 100-125 range is more likely than top-20.
Simply cutting down on turnovers would send the offense skyrocketing. Tough ask considering the cast of characters and increasingly difficult schecdule
Still too early for Pomeroy in my opinion, but let's go with the predictions for the Big East. Very tightly bunched. Going to be a war.
Too early for what? Is literally any ranking or opinion too early at this point for you... like 5 years to judge... January to judge ? Or is there another source you’d value much more than kp as of today?
I am going off Ken’s comments himself, the rankings / ratings are more accurate with more data and tend to settle in a bit later. Not a matter of one being better than another, more that KP and others are still quite fluid at this point in the year.
Cheeks is right in that KenPom doesn't become its fully formed, useful data set until the 2nd week in January. Definitely usable but with a caveat
No, you’re not. “Too early” and “are more accurate later” are completely different. Answer the Q or understand how silly your comment is
How are they different? Too early and THUS less accurate today then what they will be later in the season.Maybe I am not understanding what you think is silly, but seems pretty clear to me. Similar comments made by Palm, Sagarin, Massey over the years.