Scholarship table
Is there a better way to project acute ICU/vent needs, when said needs are unique to the patient pool? There's some smoothing here, and I agree an assumption that vent needs will occur evenly over time vs all at once is difficult to project. You could run the risk of taxing the system at any one time as you near the apex, but if you're staffed/equipped for the high point, it'd be an outlier. Seems to me that they assume most acute needs (by volume, vs percentage of cases) will occur at the peak, which is the safest bet.
At least he's focused on what really matters.Donald J. Trump@realDonaldTrump“President Trump is a ratings hit. Since reviving the daily White House briefing Mr. Trump and his coronavirus updates have attracted an average audience of 8.5 million on cable news, roughly the viewership of the season finale of ‘The Bachelor.’ Numbers are continuing to rise..
Here's a sobering NYT article about the leadership failure early on that created "The Lost Month" -- a stretch in which we might have been able to keep the virus from growing into the monster it has become:https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/28/us/testing-coronavirus-pandemic.html?campaign_id=9&emc=edit_nn_20200329&instance_id=17169&nl=morning-briefing®i_id=108420427&segment_id=23230&te=1&user_id=d36dcf821462fdd16ec3636710a855faWASHINGTON — Early on, the dozen federal officials charged with defending America against the coronavirus gathered day after day in the White House Situation Room, consumed by crises. They grappled with how to evacuate the United States consulate in Wuhan, China, ban Chinese travelers and extract Americans from the Diamond Princess and other cruise ships.The members of the coronavirus task force typically devoted only five or 10 minutes, often at the end of contentious meetings, to talk about testing, several participants recalled. The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, its leaders assured the others, had developed a diagnostic model that would be rolled out quickly as a first step.But as the deadly virus spread from China with ferocity across the United States between late January and early March, large-scale testing of people who might have been infected did not happen — because of technical flaws, regulatory hurdles, business-as-usual bureaucracies and lack of leadership at multiple levels, according to interviews with more than 50 current and former public health officials, administration officials, senior scientists and company executives.The result was a lost month, when the world’s richest country — armed with some of the most highly trained scientists and infectious disease specialists — squandered its best chance of containing the virus’s spread. Instead, Americans were left largely blind to the scale of a looming public health catastrophe.The absence of robust screening until it was “far too late” revealed failures across the government, said Dr. Thomas Frieden, the former C.D.C. director. Jennifer Nuzzo, an epidemiologist at Johns Hopkins, said the Trump administration had “incredibly limited” views of the pathogen’s potential impact. Dr. Margaret Hamburg, the former commissioner of the Food and Drug Administration, said the lapse enabled “exponential growth of cases.”And Dr. Anthony S. Fauci, a top government scientist involved in the fight against the virus, told members of Congress that the early inability to test was “a failing” of the administration’s response to a deadly, global pandemic.
My personal opinion is that a country like ours there is very little one can do without violating the basic freedoms we have as a nation and people. Too many citizens oppose those tactics as well as leaders at the state and federal level. In my readings of messages here there appear to be a call to action as the Chinese have done to stop the spread, but more than likely even their heavy-handed approach has done very little to stop it. If the solution as proposed by people here is to shut it all down, go door to door and it isn't working there then that data should be shared.
So you're point is... - you THINK china is lying - and ASSUMING they are lying their control measures didn't work. - So you ASSUME it's not worthwhile for the US to do more than they are? Yet, regardless of china lying about #s, we have 2nd hand accounts here - from wuhan - that things are going well there - and returning to normal.
rockyI do not believe that Wuhan, or China in general, is anywhere near back to normal. There still is a great emphasis on social distancing, limits on travel and limited non work life. Our team in China is working and then going home. My guess is this the back to normal we will see in the USA in upcoming months.China government pivoted from medical emergency to an economic emergency. Within 4-6 weeks much of the products for retail in USA will be completed and they are going to experience a very serious economic aftershock. There is limited demand from the USA and EU and factories are going to run out of orders to produce.China is going to have to use every tool in their toolbox to navigate a serious economic slowdown come May. Again, if only barometer is factory activity than China is looking normal, but from I hear daily, life is far from normal.
We may be done. Not sure the world can return to 'normal'. The suicides will be off the charts soon. Probably many on social media. Gone b baaaaaad
I'm not the least bit surprised you would use the NY Times as a source for anything.
I’m not the least bit surprised you don’t have a response to the article itself.
Legit question to liberal, democratic Scoopers:What exactly would you want our President to do right now, that you believe is not being done to help all Americans get through the pandemic and its economic fallout?
He is a sick, sick man. Maybe if his priority at the beginning was about the American people rather than himself, things wouldn’t be so dire.
4everI am looking forward to the answers.