Oso planning to go pro
These experts sure hand-wave a lot of their numbers. I find that concerning.
Well then..."Don’t believe the numbers when you see, even on our Johns Hopkins website, that 1,600 Americans have the virus,” he said. “No, that means 1,600 got the test, tested positive. There are probably 25 to 50 people who have the virus for every one person who is confirmed.”He added: “I think we have between 50,000 and half a million cases right now walking around in the United States.”
$hits getting real, 30 day lock down starting as soon as Monday....Pentagon has been briefed(multiple folks there say so that I know)
I agree. Though it's no much different than the hand waving of "Only 1600 confirmed cases (but only 10k tested)" - both are based on an incomplete data set. Based on how easily this *appears* to be transmitted, I'm inclined to believe it's a much higher number than we think. How much higher? I let the experts guess at that.
I live in Italy part time, my claim to authority.In fact, I have an apartment in Bergamo, belong to the Bergamo golf course (closed).My wife has been on the phone with her friends in Bergamo today, like every day since she got home last week. Her self imposed quarantine ends tomorrow, I hope I don't have IT.So what's up in Bergamo?An old friend in a nursing home was diagnosed with the virus.He went to the ICU at the hospital.They sent him back to the nursing home for hospice to die.There are not enough ICU beds.There are not enough ventilators.So why are we talking about epidemiology? Why are we talking about mega data?
Very sad, but that same scenario is happening over and over in Italian hospitals. A doc at one of the largest said they no longer intubate patients over 60 years of age. They are sent home to die. Problem? Lack of ventilators.If the epidemic here in the US is even close to what it is in Italy, we will be doing the same thing.
I will say this, when the dust settles if we aren't talking about closing all wet markets...with violence if necessary....then imma be really pissed
yes yes and yes
Just got clarification from one of the folks I know at the Pentagon....lockdown plan is in place and ready to roll but no trigger pull right now.
National emergency - Trump
Then he said he takes no responsibility for lack of testing. Then blames Obama for swine flu. Truman just rolled over in his grave.
Down 1 w 5 seconds left. Doable.
What does a "lockdown" entail in an American context?
I have heard from someone who has been dead on all of this since early January that the "lockdown" is going to be for NY, CALI, WASH and NJ. Though I would think areas in Colorado and Chicago now too.My GUESS would be no travel in and out of the hot zones.
Has anyone been stocking up on supplies? I'm trying to figure out the right way to do this, honestly. Based on my stop at Woodman's today, the panic buying is getting nuts.
Is Chicago really a hot zone? I looked at a map yesterday and it said only 3 cases in cook county.
My trip to the grocery store -- because we've suddenly and unexpectedly got a house full of college kids -- was...interesting. Honestly, I've never seen anything like it. Lots and lots of people with very full carts.