Non-Con Updates

[source?]

I will try to update this every Monday if people are interested.

UT-Martin: 3-2; Wins against Arkansas State, Champion Baptist, Bethune-Cookman. Losses to Marquette and Nebraska
Ohio State: 5-0; Wins against Umass-Lowell, Marquette, Sacred Heart, Campbell, James Madison.
Omaha: 3-2; Wins against Central Arkansas, Marquette, Nevada. Losses to Seattle, Nebraska.
NJIT: 2-4; Wins against Maine, Duquesne. Losses to St. John's, Albany, Umass-Lowell, Marquette.
Georgia Tech: 5-1; Wins against Georgia, Alabama A&M, IPFW, Rider, Rhode Island. Loss to Marquette.
Michigan State: 5-2; Wins against Navy, Loyola Chicago, Santa Clara, Rider, Marquette. Losses to Duke, Kansas.
Tennessee: 2-3; Wins against Southern, Santa Clara. Losses to VCU, Kansas, Marquette.
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Wisconsin: 7-0; Wins against Northern Kentucky, Chattanooga, Green Bay, Boise State, UAB, Georgetown, Oklahoma
Arizona State: 4-2; Wins against Chicago State, Bethune-Cookman, Loyola-Marymount, Colgate. Losses to Maryland, Alabama.
Alabama A&M: 1-4; Win against Oakwood. Losses to Dayton, Georgia Tech, Jacksonville State, SE Missouri State.
North Dakota: 2-4; Wins against Mayville St. (NAIA), Alabama State. Losses to Northern Iowa, South Dakota, Utah, UT Pan-American.
Morgan State: 1-6; Win against Liberty. Losses to Penn State, Towson, Northern Iowa, Houston, Elon, Virginia Tech.


Thoughts? Should I bother to update this, or is it a waste of time?

[JakeBarnes]

State lost to Kansas, not Kentucky. But I do like the updates.

[source?]

State lost to Kansas, not Kentucky. But I do like the updates.

Whoops, will fix that.

Any other error corrections are welcome and appreciated.

[brewcity77]

Interesting non-con note, Nebraska played both UTM & Omaha. They will also play Wisconsin twice, Creighton, MSU, and OSU. Had we played Rhode Island in Orlando that would have been a seventh common opponent. Anyone looking for a Big 10 team to cheer for this year could do worse than to cheer for Nebraska, who will probably have more impact on our RPI than any other team we don't play this year.

Still won't be a huge impact, but moreso than most random teams.

[keefe]

I will try to update this every Monday if people are interested.

UT-Martin: 3-2; Wins against Arkansas State, Champion Baptist, Bethune-Cookman. Losses to Marquette and Nebraska
Ohio State: 5-0; Wins against Umass-Lowell, Marquette, Sacred Heart, Campbell, James Madison.
Omaha: 3-2; Wins against Central Arkansas, Marquette, Nevada. Losses to Seattle, Nebraska.
NJIT: 2-4; Wins against Maine, Duquesne. Losses to St. John's, Albany, Umass-Lowell, Marquette.
Georgia Tech: 5-1; Wins against Georgia, Alabama A&M, IPFW, Rider, Rhode Island. Loss to Marquette.
Michigan State: 5-2; Wins against Navy, Loyola Chicago, Santa Clara, Rider, Marquette. Losses to Duke, Kansas.
Tennessee: 2-3; Wins against Southern, Santa Clara. Losses to VCU, Kansas, Marquette.
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Wisconsin: 7-0; Wins against Northern Kentucky, Chattanooga, Green Bay, Boise State, UAB, Georgetown, Oklahoma
Arizona State: 4-2; Wins against Chicago State, Bethune-Cookman, Loyola-Marymount, Colgate. Losses to Maryland, Alabama.
Alabama A&M: 1-4; Win against Oakwood. Losses to Dayton, Georgia Tech, Jacksonville State, SE Missouri State.
North Dakota: 2-4; Wins against Mayville St. (NAIA), Alabama State. Losses to Northern Iowa, South Dakota, Utah, UT Pan-American.
Morgan State: 1-6; Win against Liberty. Losses to Penn State, Towson, Northern Iowa, Houston, Elon, Virginia Tech.


Thoughts? Should I bother to update this, or is it a waste of time?

Where did you get this??

[source?]

Where did you get this??

Sources close to the administration.

[keefe]

Sources close to the administration.

What did the wife have to say?

[chapman]

We play some real duds after the next two.  Poopy for SOS/RPI, but should be good for this team.

[source?]

What did the wife have to say?

That's a #donedeal

[brewcity77]

We play some real duds after the next two.  Poopy for SOS/RPI, but should be good for this team.

Nukem and I discussed this on another board, that there was a real chance for Marquette to lose against a buy opponent this year. I really felt we would have been better off had we played Alabama A&M, North Dakota, and Morgan State in November and played UTM, Omaha, and NJIT in December when we were at full-strength. Playing the cupcakes we did as early as we did only increased our chances of losing one of those games.

In terms of buy games, those three should be a cakewalk, especially with Luke back. Alabama A&M is awful. They lost almost 70% of the scoring from a team that ranked 341st in offensive efficiency. North Dakota lost 4 of 5 starters and the replacements have been outright bad. And Morgan State...well, they just kind of let the coach's son, Blake Bozeman, do his thing, which is usually shoot and miss way too many threes. He's having a career year, scoring 14 ppg on 13.3 shots per game and shooting below 40% from the field. The kid is downright awful, but Daddy Bozeman keeps running him out, and the Bears keep losing.

[Texas Western]

Interesting non-con note, Nebraska played both UTM & Omaha. They will also play Wisconsin twice, Creighton, MSU, and OSU. Had we played Rhode Island in Orlando that would have been a seventh common opponent. Anyone looking for a Big 10 team to cheer for this year could do worse than to cheer for Nebraska, who will probably have more impact on our RPI than any other team we don't play this year.

Still won't be a huge impact, but moreso than most random teams.

I think we want Nebraska to Lose against the teams we play , so their rpi goes up. And then of course win against everyone else

[brewcity77]

Against the teams we play, yes, but against everyone else, the better their record, the better it is for us.

[Texas Western]

Against the teams we play, yes, but against everyone else, the better their record, the better it is for us.

Agreed

[77ncaachamps]

Morgan State: 1-6; Win against Liberty. Losses to Penn State, Towson, Northern Iowa, Houston, Elon, Virginia Tech.

I guess there's our "measuring stick" match-up.

[Jay Bee]

Interesting non-con note, Nebraska played both UTM & Omaha. They will also play Wisconsin twice, Creighton, MSU, and OSU. Had we played Rhode Island in Orlando that would have been a seventh common opponent. Anyone looking for a Big 10 team to cheer for this year could do worse than to cheer for Nebraska, who will probably have more impact on our RPI than any other team we don't play this year.

The B1G tourney bracket could sway things, but funny enough INDIANA is another team who has a lot of common opponents (compared to other teams we don't play) and they may wind up with the largest impact... 5 common B1G match-ups, plus Georgetown, Butler... add on to that their opponents' schedules and I think I4 may take the cake as a more influential non-opponent vs. Nebraska.

Northwestern.. 5 common B1G + Butler, GT.
Michigan another.. 5 common B1G + NJIT.

Anyway...Northwestern and Nebraska aren't very good. Ugh.

[brewcity77]

Didn't Nebraska start the year ranked? They beat FSU on the road tonight, though the Seminoles don't seem too good. Nebraska's one loss, to URI, is a pretty good A10 team.

[Jay Bee]

Didn't Nebraska start the year ranked? They beat FSU on the road tonight, though the Seminoles don't seem too good. Nebraska's one loss, to URI, is a pretty good A10 team.

Yep, they did start the year ranked and some nuts picked them to finish #2 in the Big Ten.

My assessment of them is different than many others.

Huskers were ~2.5 favorites at FSU. Nice little win though.

[RushmoreAcademy]

If I learned anything from my logic class at MU it's this:
G-Tech beats Alabama
Marq beats G-Tech
Alabama beats Arizona St

......... Marq will beat Arizona St.

[MU82]

If I learned anything from my logic class at MU it's this:
G-Tech beats Alabama
Marq beats G-Tech
Alabama beats Arizona St

......... Marq will beat Arizona St.

Then all we have to do is get Arizona State to beat Kentucky, and Crean can hang a banner for us, too!

[source?]

Alright, it is technically Monday so it's time for a noncon update.

UT-Martin: 5-2; Wins against Arkansas State, Champion Baptist, Bethune-Cookman, Northern Kentucky, and Longwood (take it away, Keefe). Losses to Marquette and Nebraska.

Ohio State: 6-1; Wins against Umass Lowell, Marquette, Sacred Heart, Campbell, James Madison, and Colgate. Loss to Louisville.

Omaha: 3-3; Wins against Central Arkansas, Marquette, Nevada. Losses to Seattle, Nebraska, Kansas State.

NJIT: 3-5; Wins against Maine, Duqesne, Michigan. Losses to St. John's, Umass Lowell, Albany, Marquette, and Umass Lowell again for some reason.

Georgia Tech: 6-2; Wins against Georgia, Alabama A&M, IPFW, Rider, Rhode Island, and Northwestern. Losses to Marquette and South Carolina Upstate.

Michigan State: 6-3; Wins against Navy, Santa Clara, Loyola Illinois, Rider, Marquette, and Arkansas Pine Bluff. Losses to Duke, Kansas, and Notre Dame.

Tennessee: 3-3; Wins against Texas Southern, Santa Clara, and Kansas State. Losses to VCU, Kansas, and Marquette.

Wisconsin: 8-1; Wins against Northern Kentucky, Chattanooga, Green Bay, Boise State, UAB, Georgetown, Oklahoma, and Marquette. Loss to Duke.

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Arizona State: 5-3; Wins against Chicago State, Bethune-Cookman, Loyola Marymount, Colgate, and UNLV. Losses to Maryland, Alabama, and Texas A&M.

Alabama A&M: 1-5; Win against Oakwood. Losses to Dayton, Georgia Tech, Jacksonville State, SE Missouri State, and Bowling Green.

North Dakota: 3-4; Wins against Mayville State (NAIA), Alabama State, and Drake. Losses to Northern Iowa, South Dakota State, Utah, and Texas El Paso.

Morgan State: 1-7; Win against Liberty. Losses to Penn State, Towson, Northern Iowa, Houston, Elon, Virginia Tech, and Norfolk.

As always, feel free to correct if you see something wrong. I won't be updating tonight or this afternoon because I have finals.

[Loose Cannon]

Alright, it is technically Monday so it's time for a noncon update.

UT-Martin: 5-2; Wins against Arkansas State, Champion Baptist, Bethune-Cookman, Northern Kentucky, and Longwood (take it away, Keefe). Losses to Marquette and Nebraska.

Ohio State: 6-1; Wins against Umass Lowell, Marquette, Sacred Heart, Campbell, James Madison, and Colgate. Loss to Louisville.

Omaha: 3-3; Wins against Central Arkansas, Marquette, Nevada. Losses to Seattle, Nebraska, Kansas State.

NJIT: 3-5; Wins against Maine, Duqesne, Michigan. Losses to St. John's, Umass Lowell, Albany, Marquette, and Umass Lowell again for some reason.

Georgia Tech: 6-2; Wins against Georgia, Alabama A&M, IPFW, Rider, Rhode Island, and Northwestern. Losses to Marquette and South Carolina Upstate.

Michigan State: 6-3; Wins against Navy, Santa Clara, Loyola Illinois, Rider, Marquette, and Arkansas Pine Bluff. Losses to Duke, Kansas, and Notre Dame.

Tennessee: 3-3; Wins against Texas Southern, Santa Clara, and Kansas State. Losses to VCU, Kansas, and Marquette.

Wisconsin: 8-1; Wins against Northern Kentucky, Chattanooga, Green Bay, Boise State, UAB, Georgetown, Oklahoma, and Marquette. Loss to Duke.

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Arizona State: 5-3; Wins against Chicago State, Bethune-Cookman, Loyola Marymount, Colgate, and UNLV. Losses to Maryland, Alabama, and Texas A&M.

Alabama A&M: 1-5; Win against Oakwood. Losses to Dayton, Georgia Tech, Jacksonville State, SE Missouri State, and Bowling Green.

North Dakota: 3-4; Wins against Mayville State (NAIA), Alabama State, and Drake. Losses to Northern Iowa, South Dakota State, Utah, and Texas El Paso.

Morgan State: 1-7; Win against Liberty. Losses to Penn State, Towson, Northern Iowa, Houston, Elon, Virginia Tech, and Norfolk.

As always, feel free to correct if you see something wrong. I won't be updating tonight or this afternoon because I have finals.

  Thanks for this!

[MU82]

I hated that Michigan State lost to Notre Dame. The team that takes on ND is always my favorite college basketball team on any day MU doesn't play!

Just from the results, it would appear this isn't one of Arizona State's stronger teams. Here's hoping we avenge last year's disappointing loss.

[MUfan12]

Just from the results, it would appear this isn't one of Arizona State's stronger teams. Here's hoping we avenge last year's disappointing loss.

Looks like they have some guys that can really shoot it. MU's zone will have it's work cut out for it.

[MUMountin]

The B1G tourney bracket could sway things, but funny enough INDIANA is another team who has a lot of common opponents (compared to other teams we don't play) and they may wind up with the largest impact... 5 common B1G match-ups, plus Georgetown, Butler... add on to that their opponents' schedules and I think I4 may take the cake as a more influential non-opponent vs. Nebraska.

Northwestern.. 5 common B1G + Butler, GT.
Michigan another.. 5 common B1G + NJIT.

Anyway...Northwestern and Nebraska aren't very good. Ugh.

Correct--Indiana will actually have the largest impact on our RPI of teams that we don't play, followed closely by Nebraska, Michigan, and Northwestern.

For rooting preferences for the rest of the season, here's the top 50 non-BE teams in terms of their expected influence on MU's RPI at the end of the season, along with their conference and  percentage that their W/L record will play into MU's RPI at the end of the year (data pulled from RPIForecast; sorry for the poor formatting):

MU Opponents:

1   Wisconsin   B10   1.78
2   NJIT   ind   1.78
3   Michigan St.   B10   1.72
4   Ohio St.   B10   1.72
5   Tennessee   SEC   1.72
6   Tennessee Martin   OVC   1.72
7   Georgia Tech   ACC   1.7
8   Nebraska Omaha   Sum   1.7
9   North Dakota   BSky   1.7
10   Alabama A&M   SWAC   1.69
11   Morgan St.   MEAC   1.67
12   Arizona St.   P12   1.67

Non-Opponents:
13   Indiana   B10   0.25
14   Nebraska   B10   0.22
15   Michigan   B10   0.22
16   Northwestern   B10   0.22
17   Minnesota   B10   0.19
18   Maine   AE   0.18
19   Maryland Eastern Shore   MEAC   0.17
20   Chicago St.   WAC   0.17
21   Long Beach St.   BW   0.16
22   Penn St.   B10   0.16
23   Illinois   B10   0.16
24   Murray St.   OVC   0.15
25   Illinois St.   MVC   0.14
26   Rutgers   B10   0.14
27   Lehigh   Pat   0.14
28   Duke   ACC   0.14
29   Saint Mary's   WCC   0.14
30   Syracuse   ACC   0.14
31   North Carolina   ACC   0.14
32   Notre Dame   ACC   0.14
33   Iowa   B10   0.13
34   Oklahoma   B12   0.13
35   Maryland   B10   0.13
36   Albany   AE   0.12
37   Texas Southern   SWAC   0.12
38   Eastern Illinois   OVC   0.12
39   IUPUI   Sum   0.11
40   Northern Arizona   BSky   0.11
41   South Dakota   Sum   0.11
42   Texas Pan American   WAC   0.11
43   George Washington   A10   0.11
44   Kansas   B12   0.11
45   Colorado   P12   0.11
46   Oregon St.   P12   0.11
47   Stanford   P12   0.11
48   Georgia   SEC   0.11
49   Alabama   SEC   0.11
50   Purdue   B10   0.11

[MU82]

Correct--Indiana will actually have the largest impact on our RPI of teams that we don't play, followed closely by Nebraska, Michigan, and Northwestern.

For rooting preferences for the rest of the season, here's the top 50 non-BE teams in terms of their expected influence on MU's RPI at the end of the season, along with their conference and  percentage that their W/L record will play into MU's RPI at the end of the year (data pulled from RPIForecast; sorry for the poor formatting):

MU Opponents:

1   Wisconsin   B10   1.78
2   NJIT   ind   1.78
3   Michigan St.   B10   1.72
4   Ohio St.   B10   1.72
5   Tennessee   SEC   1.72
6   Tennessee Martin   OVC   1.72
7   Georgia Tech   ACC   1.7
8   Nebraska Omaha   Sum   1.7
9   North Dakota   BSky   1.7
10   Alabama A&M   SWAC   1.69
11   Morgan St.   MEAC   1.67
12   Arizona St.   P12   1.67

Non-Opponents:
13   Indiana   B10   0.25
14   Nebraska   B10   0.22
15   Michigan   B10   0.22
16   Northwestern   B10   0.22
17   Minnesota   B10   0.19
18   Maine   AE   0.18
19   Maryland Eastern Shore   MEAC   0.17
20   Chicago St.   WAC   0.17
21   Long Beach St.   BW   0.16
22   Penn St.   B10   0.16
23   Illinois   B10   0.16
24   Murray St.   OVC   0.15
25   Illinois St.   MVC   0.14
26   Rutgers   B10   0.14
27   Lehigh   Pat   0.14
28   Duke   ACC   0.14
29   Saint Mary's   WCC   0.14
30   Syracuse   ACC   0.14
31   North Carolina   ACC   0.14
32   Notre Dame   ACC   0.14
33   Iowa   B10   0.13
34   Oklahoma   B12   0.13
35   Maryland   B10   0.13
36   Albany   AE   0.12
37   Texas Southern   SWAC   0.12
38   Eastern Illinois   OVC   0.12
39   IUPUI   Sum   0.11
40   Northern Arizona   BSky   0.11
41   South Dakota   Sum   0.11
42   Texas Pan American   WAC   0.11
43   George Washington   A10   0.11
44   Kansas   B12   0.11
45   Colorado   P12   0.11
46   Oregon St.   P12   0.11
47   Stanford   P12   0.11
48   Georgia   SEC   0.11
49   Alabama   SEC   0.11
50   Purdue   B10   0.11

I won't root for Wisconsin, Indiana or Notre Dame, but I'll have no problem rooting for the others.

Go NJIT Fighting Whatever They Ares!!!