Oso planning to go pro
The current positivity rates are absolutely terrifying.* Wyoming 93%* South Dakota 56%* Iowa 50%* Idaho 44%* Kansas 43%https://www.beckershospitalreview.com/public-health/states-ranked-by-covid-19-test-positivity-rates-july-14.html
GOP Senator Rick Scott of FL tests positive...a week after speaking at a crowded, indoor, maskless rally in GA for GOP candidates in runoff elections.https://www.cnbc.com/2020/11/20/florida-sen-rick-scott-tests-positive-for-covid-s.html#2020superspreaderevents
The numbers are on a relentless upward trajectory nationwide. Current 7-day averages compared to two weeks ago:New cases: Up 73%Hospitalizations: Up 50%Deaths: Up 63%And the continued increase in new cases means that hospitalizations and deaths will continue to climb at least well into December, and likely longer.
I fear by mid-January we could be seeing 4,000 deaths a day.
San Francisco and South Dakota have similar populations. 14k cases San Francisco, 60k cases South Dakota. Masks.
DJT Jr. positive.
If you want to know why South Dakota is one of the hottest of the hotspots right now:Sanford Health CEO says he had virus, won't wear maskhttps://www.mprnews.org/story/2020/11/20/sanford-health-ceo-says-he-had-virus-wont-wear-maskThe head of one of the largest regional health systems in the Midwest has told his employees that he has recovered from COVID-19 and is back in the office — without a mask.Sanford Health's president and chief executive, Kelby Krabbenhoft, said in an email Wednesday that he believes he’s now immune to the disease for “at least seven months and perhaps years to come” and that he isn’t a threat to transmit it to anyone, so wearing a mask would be merely for show.The email from Krabbenhoft, who is not a physician, comes as hospitals throughout the region, including in his own network, are struggling to keep up with some of the country’s worst surges of coronavirus patients. And it comes at a time when mask wearing remains a politicized issue in many states.—————Of course there is no data to back up his claims of immunity and inability to transmit the virus, but then again data doesn’t seem to matter anymore…
Andrew Giuliani, too.Can't make this shyte up!!!Someday, somebody is gonna do a hell of a movie or Broadway play about 2020 in general and the pandemic in particular.
And those that did not live through it will think it is all fiction
Amber Elliot, Director of St. Francois County, MO Health Department, steps down due to threats to her family and ongoing abuse. These were in response to her COVID-19 recommendations. She is the 12th MO Health Official to step down. In her own words:https://www.washingtonpost.com/nation/2020/11/18/health-care-worker-threats-coronavirus/?arc404=true
Although I fear this also, I'm hopeful this will not be the case.Not because I expect anyone to magically change their view on things, or change their behavior, but simply a probability based analysis. Eventually we maximize the number of contacts each infected individual can spread to based on current behavior. I actually think that plateau of maximized spread under current scenarios is not that far off.I think we plateau around 200k-250k diagnosed cases daily, which I estimate will correlate with deaths at a maximum of 3k per day. We will likely then taper back down after the holidays as people start to have fewer contacts again. Right now, a good part of the spike might be attributable to Halloween, that will get worse with Thanksgiving, Christmas, and New Years, but still think it plateaus around the above range.Still horrendous and something that was entirely preventable.