Vegas Line: Marquette +7

[TAMU, Knower of Ball]

Badgers were -9 going into their game against Ohio State. MU by 27. #donedeal

[jsglow]

Two observations.  Vegas needs equal dollars on both sides of the bet.  Second, NCAA has always had a lag effect with NCAA hoops in my experience. When JFB was a Senior we snuck up on everyone.  While MU didn't win every game, we covered about 80%. (I remember.  )  Vegas hasn't yet figured out that Bucky blows this year.  The bookmakers simply don't follow it quite as closely as the NFL, especially below the Top 25. 

And again, refer to rule one.  The ONLY job is equal money on each side.

[Goose]

TAMU


I am going with MU in a rout. If it does not happen I will not be bitching, unless they lay a major, major egg. Two average teams and one that can score points, should be an easy win, IMO.

[esotericmindguy]

TAMU


I am going with MU in a rout. If it does not happen I will not be bitching, unless they lay a major, major egg. Two average teams and one that can score points, should be an easy win, IMO.

This statement is a good example why you don't bet on your favorite team. UW has played ranked teams tough on a neutral court, took xavier down to the end and had a late lead against a tough Temple team on the road. Plus UW plays a lot like Georgia, which didn't end well last weekend.

[Dr. Blackheart]

This statement is a good example why you don't bet on your favorite team. UW has played ranked teams tough on a neutral court, took xavier down to the end and had a late lead against a tough Temple team on the road. Plus UW plays a lot like Georgia, which didn't end well last weekend.

And EIU took MU to OT at the BC.  MU needs to play defense to get respect on the road.

[79Warrior]

TAMU


I am going with MU in a rout. If it does not happen I will not be bitching, unless they lay a major, major egg. Two average teams and one that can score points, should be an easy win, IMO.

Goose,

First true road game and a tough gym. This is going to be closer than many people think. Would not be surprised to see UW win.

[muguru]

Let's see how much the line moves when the bettors catch wind of the fact that Trice is OUT today. 

[Stretchdeltsig]

Agreed, but there needs to be a threshold of talent that can leverage that home court advantage. It ain't there this year.

Agree the rodents have Happ and zip.  The Warriors will win this game.  Would love to see a slaughter.

[Goose]

eso

This guy is far from a homer when it comes to a wager. Would NEVER bet against MU, but my comments are not based off being a fan. I think the Badgers stink and MU can score points.

[forgetful]

Let's see how much the line moves when the bettors catch wind of the fact that Trice is OUT today. 

Trice's eFG% was 45.6% with over 9 FGA per game.  People may bet more on UW with him being out.  King and Pritzl are likely better players (haven't been doing it yet though).

[TAMU, Knower of Ball]

Trice's eFG% was 45.6% with over 9 FGA per game.  People may bet more on UW with him being out.  King and Pritzl are likely better players (haven't been doing it yet though).

If Trice is out, (I've heard rumors based on a tweet by Trice's mom but haven't found an official confirmation yet) it is a big blow for Bucky. Trice is the closest thing to a PG that they have. Happ was bringing the ball up against Temple when Trice was out. And while he he has been cold to start the season, he did shoot 42% from three last season. One less shooter that Happ can pass to out of the double team.

Wisconsin only uses an 8 man rotation so this brings that down to 7. They have three big men on the bench who can theoretically play in Van Vilet, Illianikin, and Thomas. I wonder if Gard will run with 7 or if they will use some two big sets with Happ and Reuevers/Van Vilet both on the floor. Badgers are not a team that likes to do things they normally don't do, forcing an adjustment like that could really hurt their flow.

[ChitownSpaceForRent]

I dunno, with Trice out this kinda reminds me of 2012 when Bruesewitz wasn't playing and we ran them out of the gym.

Obviously very different teams, but that's probably the last time you can say the two teams were even or Marquette had a slight advantage.

[Loose Cannon]

  Vegas hasn't yet figured out that Bucky blows this year.  The bookmakers simply don't follow it quite as closely as the NFL, especially below the Top 25. 

That's exactly how I see it.

[muguru]

Interesting...the site I check opened at -5, it's now up to -6.5...very strange.

[wadesworld]

I remember when Doogie was out for the UW game. I thought MU was going to lose with him, get smoked without him surely. But we won.

You never know.

[Boozemon Barro]

I've been doing well this year fading Wisconsin. They keep being favored every game even though they're garbage. I'll be hammering the ML at +220.

[muguru]

Uh oh...


 Jim Polzin
✔
@JimPolzinWSJ

The #Badgers are going to be really thin today. No sign of D’Mitrik Trice or Kobe King during pregame warmups.

[forgetful]

If Trice is out, (I've heard rumors based on a tweet by Trice's mom but haven't found an official confirmation yet) it is a big blow for Bucky. Trice is the closest thing to a PG that they have. Happ was bringing the ball up against Temple when Trice was out. And while he he has been cold to start the season, he did shoot 42% from three last season. One less shooter that Happ can pass to out of the double team.

Wisconsin only uses an 8 man rotation so this brings that down to 7. They have three big men on the bench who can theoretically play in Van Vilet, Illianikin, and Thomas. I wonder if Gard will run with 7 or if they will use some two big sets with Happ and Reuevers/Van Vilet both on the floor. Badgers are not a team that likes to do things they normally don't do, forcing an adjustment like that could really hurt their flow.

I expect them to go big, and play even slower than ever.  Try to get the game played in the 40s.  They will bump (or should I say hump) our guards constantly on the perimeter, but they will get the Kohl treatment and nothing will be called. 

7 man rotation becomes no problem, when they get called for 5 fouls the entire game.  Expect the opposite on our end with Howard getting called for 2 "bump" fouls quick.

[cheebs09]

I expect them to go big, and play even slower than ever.  Try to get the game played in the 40s.  They will bump (or should I say hump) our guards constantly on the perimeter, but they will get the Kohl treatment and nothing will be called. 

7 man rotation becomes no problem, when they get called for 5 fouls the entire game.  Expect the opposite on our end with Howard getting called for 2 "bump" falls quick.

True, but they have played 4 games in 7 days. With two on the road. So their lack of depth could affect their legs.

 Playing more of their big guys would worry me about the possibility of Sam getting in foul trouble.

[WarriorDad]

TAMU


I am going with MU in a rout. If it does not happen I will not be bitching, unless they lay a major, major egg. Two average teams and one that can score points, should be an easy win, IMO.

You guys are more optimistic than I.  The Kohl Center is a tough place to play.  Wisconsin has been in most games this year down to the final two minutes. 

Lost to UCLA by 2
Lost at Temple by 4  (had lead with 3 minutes to go)
Lost to ranked Baylor by 5 (two point game with two minutes to play)
Lost to Xavier (tie game with 2 minutes to go)

What am I missing here?  Why is this a rout, even a win?  This will be a tough game for us and I expect to be on the wrong side of the W / L column, but neither result would surprise me.  A rout?

[muguru]

You guys are more optimistic than I.  The Kohl Center is a tough place to play.  Wisconsin has been in most games this year down to the final two minutes. 

Lost to UCLA by 2
Lost at Temple by 4  (had lead with 3 minutes to go)
Lost to ranked Baylor by 5 (two point game with two minutes to play)
Lost to Xavier (tie game with 2 minutes to go)

What am I missing here?  Why is this a rout, even a win?  This will be a tough game for us and I expect to be on the wrong side of the W / L column, but neither result would surprise me.  A rout?

King and Trice both officially OUT..They have to play a walk on Guard today that has never even suited up..If MU doesn't win this game...

[jsglow]

King and Trice both officially OUT..They have to play a walk on Guard today that has never even suited up..If MU doesn't win this game...

Schlundt. 

[WarriorDad]

King and Trice both officially OUT..They have to play a walk on Guard today that has never even suited up..If MU doesn't win this game...

OK, but the predictions here were made before that knowledge was known and seemed highly optimistic.

[muguru]

Line down to -4-5. Glad I got the money line at +225 

[mileskishnish72]

I was going to call my man and lay the 6 until I read the Scoop.